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柠檬茶困在9.9元 柠檬奶却想卖到19元

龙猫君 2026-07-02 08:35
龙猫君 2026/07/02 08:35

邦小白快读

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本文介绍了新茶饮行业近期热门新品柠檬奶的诞生背景与行业现状,核心干货信息如下:

1. 当前新茶饮原有品类都存在明显短板:柠檬茶被打成9.9元低价引流款,难以提升客单;季节性水果茶生命周期只有两三个月,很难常年售卖;传统厚奶茶不符合当下年轻人追求清爽低甜、轻负担的消费趋势,因此行业需要一款全年可卖、价格适中的稳定大单品,柠檬奶正好填补了这个缺口。

2. 柠檬奶定价在15元到19元之间,改良了制作工艺,改用捶打柠檬皮取香,解决了牛奶结块问题,兼顾了柠檬的清爽和牛乳的满足感,目前多个头部品牌已经集中上新,霸王茶姬两款柠檬奶开售三天销量就突破8万杯,市场热度较高。

3. 目前柠檬奶还在发展初期,后续大概率会出现同质化和价格下探,消费者想要尝试可以优先选择头部品牌或者已经在区域做开的品牌,产品体验更稳定。

本文为新茶饮品牌梳理了当前行业趋势、产品研发方向与潜在风险,核心干货如下:

1. 消费趋势与品类缺口:当下年轻人越来越偏好清爽低甜、轻负担的饮品,原有三类产品都无法满足品牌长期发展需求:低价柠檬茶难以贡献利润,季节水果茶生命周期太短,传统厚奶茶不符合健康趋势,行业缺口明显,急需一款能常年售卖、提升客单的稳定大单品。

2. 产品研发与创新方向:柠檬奶重构了柠檬的价值,改从柠檬皮取香,解决了牛奶蛋白结块的工艺问题,定价15-19元的中间带,既能承接清爽需求,又能提升客单,适合做品牌菜单的长期基本盘。同时创新不一定都来自总部研发,可引入区域市场已经验证的产品,降低试错成本。

3. 风险提示:要警惕后续同质化价格战,需拓展不同产品线守住价格带,还要平衡产品现制感和门店出杯效率,提升产品放置后的稳定性,拓展外带配送场景。

本文为新茶饮卖家梳理了当前市场的增长机会与需要应对的风险,核心干货如下:

1. 明确的增长机会:新茶饮进入存量竞争后,出现了清晰的品类缺口,柠檬奶是经过区域市场验证的新品,符合当下消费者追求清爽低负担的需求,定价15-19元可以有效提升门店客单价,还能全年售卖不受水果季节限制,不需要频繁换菜单,当前品类热度正在快速上升,提前布局可以吃到品类增长的红利。

2. 需要警惕的风险:柠檬奶很可能重走柠檬茶的老路,在大量品牌入局后陷入同质化低价竞争,同时捶打柠檬皮的工艺会增加门店操作时间,降低出杯效率,还可能出现产品放置后风味衰减、结块的问题,限制外带配送场景。

3. 可参考的应对方向:可以开发不同风味、不同价位的柠檬奶产品线,避免陷入低价内卷;优化制作流程,平衡现制感和运营效率,进一步改良配方提升产品稳定性,拓展更多消费场景;多关注区域市场验证的新品,降低自身研发试错成本。

本文为新茶饮相关供应链工厂梳理了产品需求变化与新的商业机会,核心干货如下:

1. 产品生产与设计需求变化:随着各大头部品牌集中推出柠檬奶,市场对柠檬奶相关原料的需求会快速上升,柠檬奶核心需要香水柠檬、适配的牛乳、花茶底等原料,行业对原料的稳定性要求更高,需要解决产品制作后容易结块、变涩、风味衰减的问题,适配全国连锁门店的标准化出品需求。

2. 新的商业机会:柠檬奶目前已经完成区域市场验证,正在向全国市场铺开,对应原料的需求量会持续增长,提前布局对应原料的标准化加工产能,就能拿到新增量市场的份额。还可以针对品牌需求开发专用的预制原料,比如预处理的柠檬香原料,帮助品牌解决出品不稳定的问题,提升产品附加值。

3. 发展启示:工厂可以多关注区域市场提前验证的新品需求,提前布局产能,不要只等头部品牌提需求再调整,同时要推进供应链的数字化管理,满足全国连锁品牌的大规模、稳定供货需求,提升自身的服务能力。

本文为新茶饮相关服务商梳理了行业发展趋势、客户痛点与可挖掘的解决方案方向,核心干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:新茶饮已经进入存量竞争阶段,行业缺的是短期流量,而是能长期留在菜单上、稳定贡献销量的大单品,柠檬奶是当前全行业重点布局的热门新品,行业对柠檬奶相关配套服务的需求会快速上升,相关配套服务有较大的增长空间。

2. 客户核心痛点:品牌和门店做柠檬奶,面临两个核心痛点,一是捶打柠檬皮的工艺会增加人力成本,降低高峰期出杯效率,影响门店整体运营;二是很难保证所有门店出品的一致性,产品放置后容易出现风味衰减、轻微结块的问题,影响消费体验。

3. 解决方案方向:设备服务商可以开发适配柠檬奶制作的半自动化专用工具,帮助门店降低人力成本,提升出杯效率;原料服务商可以开发预加工的标准化柠檬香原料,帮助品牌解决出品不稳定的问题,适配大规模连锁的标准化需求,还可以针对品牌推出柠檬奶相关的研发咨询服务,帮助品牌快速完成产品落地。

本文为新茶饮相关平台梳理了行业需求、可布局的方向与需要规避的风险,核心干货如下:

1. 行业对平台的核心需求:当前新茶饮品牌和中小门店都在寻找能长期售卖、稳定盈利的新品,柠檬奶作为当前热门的验证过的新品,品牌和门店有获取成熟配方、供应链资源、流量曝光的需求,平台可以抓住这个品类窗口做点差。

2. 平台可布局的动作:可以针对柠檬奶赛道推出专属招商活动,吸引区域柠檬奶专门店、成熟品牌入驻,也可以给上线柠檬奶的商家提供专属流量扶持,借助品类热度提升平台整体交易额,还可以整合柠檬奶相关的供应链资源、标准化制作指南,开放给入驻商家,提升商家的存活率。

3. 风险规避方向:要提前提醒商家警惕同质化低价竞争,引导商家做差异化产品,避免全行业价格内卷拉低平台整体客单价和盈利能力,还要关注柠檬奶的品质投诉风险,提前建立基础的品质规范,降低平台的客诉率,维护平台口碑。

本文为新茶饮产业研究者提供了产业迭代的新动向与新的研究课题,核心干货如下:

1. 产业新动向:新茶饮已经进入存量竞争阶段,原有品类结构已经无法满足行业发展需求,头部品牌集体推出柠檬奶,本质是行业对菜单结构和价格带的一次重新梳理,目的是找到能长期贡献销量和利润的常态化大单品,填补低价引流款、季节流量款、厚奶茶之间的中间产品空白,重构行业的产品结构。

2. 创新模式的新变化:不同于过去新茶饮爆款都来自头部品牌的研发部门,柠檬奶是先由街边小店、区域市场反复试错验证,再由头部品牌放大推广,这说明新茶饮的创新路径已经发生变化,真正有生命力的创新开始从区域市场、真实消费反馈中生长出来,这是值得关注的产业创新新特征。

3. 新的研究课题:当前新茶饮行业新品复制速度越来越快,创新窗口越来越短,很容易陷入同质化价格竞争,柠檬奶能否守住15-19元的价格带,平衡现制感和运营效率,最终成长为长期大单品,还需要经过完整生命周期的考验,这是新茶饮产业研究值得持续追踪的新课题。

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Quick Summary

This article introduces the background of lemon milk, the trending new product in China's modern tea beverage industry, and the current state of the sector. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. All existing major product categories in the industry have notable flaws: Lemon tea has been reduced to a 9.9-yuan low-price traffic driver with little room to lift average order value; seasonal fruit teas only have a 2-3 month lifecycle and cannot be sold year-round; and traditional thick milk teas do not align with young consumers' current preference for refreshing, low-sugar, low-burden beverages. The industry needs a stable core product that can be sold year-round at a moderate price point, and lemon milk fills exactly this gap.

2. Priced between 15 and 19 yuan, lemon milk features an improved production technique that extracts aroma from lemon zest instead of pulp, solving the problem of milk curdling. It balances the refreshing taste of lemon with the richness of cow's milk. Multiple leading brands have already launched lemon milk products in quick succession: Chagee sold more than 80,000 cups of its two lemon milk variants within just three days of launch, indicating strong market demand.

3. Lemon milk is still in its early development stage, and homogenization and price competition are likely to emerge in the future. For consumers looking to try the product, it is recommended to choose leading brands or established regional players for more consistent product quality.

This article outlines industry trends, product R&D directions and potential risks for modern tea beverage brands. Key insights are as follows:

1. Consumer trends and category gaps: Young consumers are increasingly demanding refreshing, low-sugar, low-burden beverages, and three existing core product categories cannot meet brands' long-term development needs: low-priced lemon tea contributes little profit, seasonal fruit teas have overly short lifecycles, and traditional thick milk teas conflict with health trends. The industry has a clear gap for a stable core product that can be sold year-round and lift average order value.

2. Product R&D and innovation direction: Lemon milk redefines the value of lemons by extracting aroma from lemon zest, solving the technical problem of milk protein curdling. Priced in the 15-19 yuan mid-range, it meets consumer demand for refreshment while boosting average order value, making it ideal as a long-term core product on brand menus. In addition, innovation does not have to come solely from headquarters R&D: brands can adopt products already validated in regional markets to reduce trial-and-error costs.

3. Risk warnings: Brands should guard against future homogenization and price competition, and expand diverse product lines to defend their price points. They also need to balance handcrafted texture with store throughput, improve product stability after preparation, and expand into takeaway and delivery scenarios.

This article summarizes growth opportunities and risks for new tea beverage store owners. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Clear growth opportunities: As the new tea beverage industry enters the stage of stock competition, a clear category gap has emerged. Lemon milk, a new product already validated in regional markets, aligns with current consumer demand for refreshing, low-burden beverages. Priced at 15-19 yuan, it can effectively lift a store's average order value, can be sold year-round without being constrained by fruit seasonality, and eliminates the need for frequent menu updates. The category is growing rapidly in popularity, and early positioning allows sellers to capture category growth dividends.

2. Risks to watch out for: Lemon milk is very likely to follow the same path as lemon tea, falling into homogenized low-price competition once a flood of brands enter the market. In addition, the lemon zest tapping process increases store operation time and reduces throughput, and products may experience flavor degradation and curdling after preparation, limiting suitability for takeaway and delivery.

3. Recommended coping strategies: Sellers can develop lemon milk product lines in different flavors and at different price points to avoid low-price competition; optimize production workflows to balance handcrafted texture with operational efficiency, further improve formula to boost product stability, and expand into more consumption scenarios; and prioritize new products already validated in regional markets to reduce in-house R&D trial-and-error costs.

This article outlines changing product demand and new business opportunities for supply chain factories serving the new tea beverage industry. Key insights are as follows:

1. Changing product design and production demand: As major leading brands roll out lemon milk products en masse, market demand for lemon milk-related raw materials will rise rapidly. Core raw materials for lemon milk include perfumed lemons, compatible cow milk products and flower tea bases. The industry is demanding higher raw material stability to solve problems of curdling, astringency and flavor degradation after preparation, and to meet the standardized production requirements of national chain stores.

2. New business opportunities: Lemon milk has already completed validation in regional markets and is now expanding nationwide, driving sustained growth in demand for related raw materials. Factories that proactively build standardized processing capacity for relevant raw materials will secure share in this growing market. They can also develop custom pre-processed raw materials tailored to brand needs (such as pre-extracted lemon aroma ingredients) to help brands solve inconsistent production issues and increase product added value.

3. Strategic takeaways: Factories should pay close attention to demand for new products already validated in regional markets and build capacity proactively, rather than waiting for leading brands to submit requests. They should also advance digital supply chain management to meet the large-scale, stable supply requirements of national chain brands and improve their overall service capabilities.

This article outlines industry development trends, client pain points and actionable solution directions for service providers serving the new tea beverage industry. Key insights are as follows:

1. Industry development trends: The new tea beverage industry has entered the stock competition stage, and what the industry lacks is not short-term traffic, but stable core products that can remain on menus and deliver consistent sales. Lemon milk is currently the most-watched new product being rolled out across the industry, so demand for lemon milk-related supporting services will rise rapidly, creating substantial room for growth for relevant service providers.

2. Core client pain points: Brands and stores developing lemon milk face two core pain points. First, the lemon zest tapping process increases labor costs and reduces peak-hour throughput, hurting overall store operations. Second, it is difficult to guarantee consistent product quality across all stores, and prepared products often experience flavor degradation and minor curdling, hurting the consumer experience.

3. Solution directions: Equipment service providers can develop specialized semi-automated tools tailored for lemon milk production to help stores cut labor costs and improve throughput; raw material service providers can develop pre-processed standardized lemon aroma ingredients to help brands solve inconsistent production issues and meet the standardization needs of large-scale chains. Service providers can also offer specialized R&D consulting services for lemon milk to help brands bring products to market quickly.

This article outlines industry demand, positioning opportunities and risk mitigation for platforms serving the new tea beverage industry. Key insights are as follows:

1. Core industry demand for platforms: Both new tea beverage brands and small and medium-sized independent stores are currently searching for new products that can be sold long-term and deliver stable profits. As a popular, already-validated new product, lemon milk has created clear demand from brands and stores for mature formulas, supply chain resources and traffic exposure, which platforms can leverage to capture growth during this category window.

2. Actionable positioning opportunities for platforms: Platforms can launch dedicated recruitment events for the lemon milk category to attract established regional lemon milk specialty stores and mature brands to join the platform; offer dedicated traffic support for merchants that launch lemon milk products to leverage category popularity and boost overall platform GMV; and integrate lemon milk-related supply chain resources and standardized production guides to share with participating merchants to improve merchant survival rates.

3. Risk mitigation directions: Platforms should proactively warn merchants about the risk of homogenized price competition, guide merchants to develop differentiated products to avoid industry-wide price erosion that drags down the platform's overall average order value and profitability. They should also prepare for quality complaint risks by establishing basic quality standards in advance to reduce platform-wide complaint rates and protect platform reputation.

This article presents new trends in industry iteration and emerging research topics for new tea beverage industry researchers. Key insights are as follows:

1. New industry trends: The new tea beverage industry has entered the stock competition stage, and its existing category structure can no longer meet industry development needs. The collective launch of lemon milk by leading brands is essentially an industry-wide readjustment of menu structure and price positioning, aimed at identifying a permanent core product that can deliver long-term sales and profits, fill the gap between low-price traffic drivers, seasonal limited products and thick milk teas, and restructure the industry's product mix.

2. New changes in innovation models: Unlike previous hit new tea beverage products, which were all developed by leading brands' in-house R&D departments, lemon milk was first tested and validated repeatedly by street stores and regional markets before being scaled up and promoted by leading brands. This shows that the innovation path of the new tea beverage industry has changed: impactful, sustainable innovation is now emerging from regional markets and real consumer feedback, which is a notable new feature of industry innovation worth studying.

3. Emerging research topics: As new product replication speeds up and innovation windows become shorter in the new tea beverage industry, the sector is increasingly prone to falling into homogenized price competition. Whether lemon milk can defend its 15-19 yuan price point, balance handcrafted texture with operational efficiency, and ultimately grow into a long-term core product remains to be tested through a full product lifecycle, making it a new research topic worth continued tracking in new tea beverage industry research.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

茶饮行业不缺新品。每到夏天,各个品牌的菜单都会迅速变得热闹。荔枝、水蜜桃、杨梅、葡萄、西瓜、芒果轮番登场,季节性水果像一张张短期流量牌,被反复打出。

但遗憾的是,这些产品大多只能卖两三个月,依赖时令供应,生命周期短,波动也大。它们适合制造夏季声量,却很难成为一个品牌长期菜单里的稳定基本盘。

与此同时,另一类常青产品也遇到了自己的问题。柠檬茶曾经是新茶饮里最稳定的品类之一。它清爽、解渴、标准化程度高,适合大规模门店复制。但随着越来越多品牌入局,手打柠檬茶逐渐被打成低价引流款。

9.9元,几乎成了柠檬茶的主流心智。这对新茶饮品牌来说,并不是一个轻松的局面。

低价柠檬茶可以带来客流,却很难贡献更高客单;季节水果茶可以制造热度,却很难全年销售;传统厚奶茶仍然有市场,但在年轻人越来越追求清爽、低甜、轻负担的消费趋势下,也需要新的替代和补充。

于是,新茶饮菜单上开始出现一个明显缺口:品牌需要一种全年可卖、风味不重、客单价高于柠檬茶、又能承接清爽化趋势的新大单品。

柠檬奶正是踩着这个缺口出现的。它不是简单把柠檬和牛奶放在一起,而是试图把柠檬从9.9元的低价引流款里拉出来,重新放进15元到19元的中高价格带里。

这也是为什么,今年夏天多个头部品牌开始集中上新柠檬奶。

霸王茶姬在全国门店推出糯青山、雾红尘两款柠檬奶特调。品牌对外公布的数据显示,两款产品开售三天,总销量突破8万杯。

在此前后,喜茶茶坊推出柠打·九窨茉王,沪上阿姨上架沁爽青柠小铁。几个头部品牌几乎在同一时间,把柠檬奶推到了消费者面前。

表面上看,这是一场新品上新。

但进一步来看,它其实是新茶饮行业在存量竞争里,对菜单结构和价格带的一次重新试探。

01 新茶饮菜单重排,柠檬奶补位

过去几年,新茶饮品牌的菜单大致由几类产品构成。

第一类,是低价引流款。

该类产品承担拉新、促活和提高门店到访频次的作用。柠檬茶就是其中最典型的代表。

它足够大众,足够清爽,足够稳定,也足够容易低价化。一杯柠檬茶卖9.9元,消费者会觉得合理。价格再高,就需要更多解释。

第二类,是季节流量款。

夏天的荔枝、杨梅、水蜜桃、葡萄,秋冬的草莓、芋泥、栗子,都属于这一类。

它们的价值在于制造新鲜感。但它们的问题也很明显:窗口期短,供应波动大,产品很容易随季节结束而退场。

第三类,是经典奶茶和高满足感产品。

厚乳、生椰、奶盖、芋泥、布蕾、麻薯、冰淇淋等元素,曾经长期支撑新茶饮的客单价和满足感。

但当消费者喝了足够多厚重饮品之后,疲劳也会出现。尤其是在健康意识增强、控糖意识上升之后,年轻人对高糖、厚重、强负担的奶茶开始变得更谨慎。

这就让新茶饮品牌面临一个现实问题:

低价款太便宜,时令款太短命,厚奶茶又太重。

品牌需要一种新的中间层产品。目前市面上多数柠檬奶产品价格大多在15元到19元之间。这个区间高于9.9元柠檬茶,却又没有高到像一些限定款那样成为偶发消费。它市场缺一个可以日常售卖、可以提高客单、可以摆脱水果季节限制、又能承接清爽口味趋势的中高价格带单品。

这就是柠檬奶真正的价值。柠檬奶之所以能承担这个角色,是因为它重新组织了柠檬的价值。

过去,柠檬茶卖的是解渴和清爽。解渴是一种很容易被低价化的需求。消费者不会愿意为“解渴”支付太高溢价。

但柠檬奶把柠檬放进了另一个风味结构里。香水柠檬提供清爽香气,牛乳提供顺滑口感,花茶底提供香气层次。

这样一来,产品就不再只是普通柠檬茶,而更像一杯轻盈型奶饮。柠檬香气降低了奶饮的甜腻感,牛乳又降低了柠檬茶的刺激感,花茶则让整杯饮品不至于只有酸和奶两个单薄维度。

这让柠檬奶有机会同时满足两种需求:既要清爽,也要满足感。这种产品结构,对今天的新茶饮行业很重要。

奶茶行业到今天已经不再缺单点创意,真正稀缺的是能够在菜单里长期存在的固定主力型产品。

很多新品可以火一个月。但品牌真正想要的,是一款能留在菜单上、持续贡献销量和利润的常态化单品。

柠檬奶的想象力,正来自这里。它不只是今年夏天的一杯新品,而是新茶饮品牌在重新寻找菜单基本盘。

02 柠檬奶是区域市场筛选出来的产品

柠檬奶看起来像头部品牌共同推热的新品,但它并不是一个凭空出现的创意。更准确地说,它是一款先在区域市场里被反复试错、完成初步验证,再被头部品牌放大的产品。

这很重要。

过去,新茶饮行业很多爆款来自头部品牌的研发部门。品牌先提出一个概念,市场迅速跟进,中小品牌再复刻扩散。柠檬奶的路径有些不同。

它不是从总部会议室里直接长出来的,而是先在街边小店、区域门店和本地消费习惯里被慢慢筛选出来。

从公开资料和行业报道来看,柠檬与牛奶的组合并不新鲜。早年港式茶餐厅、台式奶茶店里,都曾出现过类似产品。但很长时间里,这类饮品没有成为全国性主流品类。

原因不在概念,而在工艺。柠檬有酸,牛奶有蛋白质。如果大量柠檬汁直接混入鲜奶,果酸很容易导致牛奶蛋白凝固,出现分层、结块、发涩等问题。

一杯饮品在小店里偶尔做出来好喝,并不代表它可以进入几千家门店。新茶饮要做成大单品,关键不只是创意,而是能不能稳定出品。

柠檬奶真正的转折,来自区域市场里长期的门店试错。在浙江部分市场,一些小店和柠檬奶专门品牌开始摸索更稳定的处理方式。它们不再把重点放在挤压柠檬果肉取汁,而是转向捶打香水柠檬表皮,依靠果皮释放天然香气。

这个动作看似很小,但改变了整杯饮品的底层逻辑。过去是用柠檬汁提供酸,现在是用柠檬皮提供香。

酸度降低之后,牛奶结块风险随之下降,柠檬奶才有了更稳定的出品基础。这也是柠檬奶能够从区域小店走向连锁品牌的前提。

区域市场之所以能筛选出这类产品,是因为它有三个优势。

第一,用户反馈更直接。

小店没有复杂的研发流程,也没有层层审批。老板每天站在门店里,能直接看到消费者喝完之后的反应,能听到顾客说酸了、腻了、淡了、涩了,也能很快调整配方。对一款还不成熟的饮品来说,这种反馈速度很重要。

第二,门店操作更灵活。

头部品牌做新品,往往要考虑全国门店适配、供应链稳定、品牌调性、价格体系、运营效率,动作会更谨慎。

但区域品牌可以围绕一个小品类反复试配方、调甜度、换茶底、换奶基,直到产品在本地市场跑通。

第三,区域消费习惯更容易沉淀成品类心智。

很多全国性新品,在早期都不是靠大规模投放被教育出来的,而是在某些城市、某些街区、某类人群里先形成稳定复购。

柠檬奶也是如此。它最早并不是以“全国大单品”的姿态出现,而是先在部分区域市场被消费者接受。随后,区域连锁品牌进一步把这套产品模型标准化,让它具备了向更大市场扩散的基础。

比如爷爷不泡茶推出兰香青柠后,就进一步把柠檬奶的制作流程量化,用花茶和特制牛乳完善风味结构,使产品不再只是柠檬香和奶香的简单叠加,而是形成更完整的茶饮表达。

这类产品能够取得不错的市场反馈,说明柠檬奶已经在区域连锁体系里完成过一次规模化验证。

等到霸王茶姬、喜茶茶坊、沪上阿姨等品牌今年集中入局时,柠檬奶已经不是未经验证的新品。

头部品牌做的,是把一个被区域市场验证过的产品模型,放进更大的全国门店网络里,这说明新茶饮行业的创新,并不总是发生在头部品牌的研发部门。

很多真正有生命力的新品,可能先从地方市场、区域门店和真实消费习惯里生长出来。

03 柠檬奶进入爆品生命周期,真正的竞争才刚开始

柠檬奶现在的热度,已经让它提前进入了同质化倒计时。新茶饮行业过去几年发现,一个新品只要被验证,复制速度会非常快。

一个品牌做出声量,其他品牌迅速跟进,供应链快速成熟,产品表达趋同,最后价格下探。

柠檬奶很可能也会经历类似过程。它现在还有新鲜感,消费者觉得柠檬和牛奶的组合有反差,品牌也能围绕“柠檬奶”制造新品认知。

但当越来越多门店同步上架,消费者很快会发现,不同品牌的柠檬奶差异可能没有想象中那么大。

柠檬皮香气、牛乳、花茶底、清爽低甜,这些关键词都容易被复刻。一旦产品表达趋同,竞争就会回到品牌势能、门店密度、会员体系、价格活动和出杯效率上。

创新窗口越来越短,产品被复制的速度,往往快过消费者形成稳定偏好的速度。

所以,柠檬奶能不能真正成为长期大单品,不能只看今年夏天有多少品牌上新。

它还需要经过完整的爆品生命周期考验。

第一阶段,是认知扩散期。

头部品牌入局,最大的价值不是卖出多少杯,而是迅速扩大品类认知。当霸王茶姬、喜茶茶坊、沪上阿姨同时把柠檬奶推到消费者面前,市场教育速度会明显加快。

原本只在部分区域流行的柠檬奶,会被更多消费者知道。在这个阶段,区域品牌和专门店会受益,也会承压。受益在于品类变热,搜索、尝鲜和讨论都会增加。

承压在于,消费者一旦知道头部品牌也有柠檬奶,就会开始用更熟悉的品牌、更近的门店和更稳定的会员权益来选择产品。

第二阶段,是规模复制期。

这个阶段考验的是门店工程能力。柠檬奶的核心动作之一,是捶打柠皮。这个动作带来了现制感,也带来了香气释放。但对门店来说,它也意味着额外操作时间和人力成本。

消费者喜欢“现打”“现捶”的真实感,门店则必须面对高峰期出杯效率。一款产品如果太慢,会影响门店整体运营。

尤其是全国性连锁品牌,一款产品能不能长期留在菜单上,取决于它是否足够适应标准化生产,手打柠檬茶过去已经遇到过类似问题。

现制感越强,消费者感知越好,但门店效率压力也越大。柠檬奶未来要解决的,是如何在“现制价值”和“经营效率”之间找到平衡。

规模复制期还会放大另一个问题:饮用稳定性。虽然捶打柠皮降低了酸度,也缓解了牛奶蛋白凝固问题,但这并不代表所有问题彻底消失。

柠檬奶放置时间过长后,仍可能出现苦涩感、轻微凝固或风味衰减。这对外带、配送和长时间饮用场景都会产生影响。

一款产品如果只能在门店现喝时表现最好,离店后体验下降,它的场景就会被限制。

第三阶段,是价格带保卫期。

这是柠檬奶最关键的一关。柠檬奶这次被行业看见,一个重要原因在于它有机会把柠檬从9.9元低价心智里拉出来,放进15元到19元价格带。

但一旦所有品牌都开始做,产品差异又不明显,价格竞争很可能再次发生。如果柠檬奶最终也被打回9.9元,它就只是替代了旧柠檬茶,而没有真正改变新茶饮的菜单结构。

柠檬奶真正要避免的,是重走柠檬茶低价化的老路。基础款之外,能不能开发花茶线、热饮线、低糖线、不同奶基线,决定柠檬奶能不能从短期爆品变成长期菜单。只有这样,它才有可能从今年夏天的热门新品,变成新茶饮行业里的长期品类。

04 结尾:

新茶饮不缺新品,缺的是能留下来的产品

今天的新茶饮行业,已经不再是靠一个新品就能轻松增长的行业。消费者见过太多组合。

水果、茶底、奶基、小料、香气、口感,几乎都被反复开发过。品牌每年都能推出新品,但真正能够留在菜单上的并不多。

行业缺的不是三个月的热闹,而是一款可以长期卖、稳定卖、反复被购买的产品。

柠檬奶的价值就在这里。它从街边小店长出来,在区域品牌里被验证,再由头部品牌放大。这说明新茶饮的创新不只发生在头部品牌的新品发布会上,也发生在街边小店、区域市场和消费者日常反馈里。

它会被复制,会被内卷,会被低价化,也可能很快迎来审美疲劳。但至少在当下,它给新茶饮行业提供了一个信号:当旧品类被低价打穿,行业就需要新的价值表达,这也是新茶饮行业对下一个常态化大单品的渴望。

注:文/龙猫君,文章来源:新消费智库,本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:新消费智库

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FAQ回顾

为什么新茶饮品牌纷纷推出柠檬奶产品?

当前新茶饮产品结构存在明显缺口:9.9元柠檬茶难以贡献高客单,季节水果茶生命周期短无法全年售卖,厚奶茶不符合消费者清爽低甜的消费趋势。柠檬奶定价15-19元,兼具清爽感和满足感,可全年售卖,能填补中高价格带常态化单品空缺。

柠檬奶是怎么从区域小众产品变成全国性新品的?

早年柠檬奶因果酸易导致牛奶蛋白结块,无法实现稳定标准化出品。后来区域门店摸索出捶打柠檬皮取香而非取汁的工艺,降低酸度避免结块,经过区域市场验证形成标准化产品模型后,被霸王茶姬、喜茶等头部品牌推向全国市场。

柠檬奶和传统柠檬茶相比有什么优势?

传统柠檬茶主打解渴功能,已陷入9.9元低价心智,难以贡献高利润。柠檬奶以柠檬皮香气、牛乳顺滑口感、花茶底风味层次打造产品,兼具清爽感和奶饮满足感,定价在15-19元中高区间,可支撑更高客单价和利润空间。

柠檬奶要成为新茶饮长期大单品需要克服哪些难点?

首先要完成品类认知扩散,提升消费者接受度;其次要平衡现制价值与门店出杯效率,解决外带配送后的风味稳定性问题;最后要守住15-19元价格带,开发多元产品线,避免重走柠檬茶低价化的老路。

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