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44个品牌、1.5万家店 中国茶饮出海的红利窗口还剩多久?

新熵-新消费组 2026-06-17 09:46
新熵-新消费组 2026/06/17 09:46

邦小白快读

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本文核心梳理了当前中国茶饮出海的整体现状,点明红利背后的风险,以及出海成功的核心要求,干货如下:

1. 当前国内茶饮市场高度拥挤,截至2025年底共有47.8万家门店,已经进入存量价格战,不少产品售价跌破7元还要满减,多数品牌利润大幅下滑,大量头部品牌开启出海浪潮。

2. 当前海外市场存在稀缺性红利,目前已有44个中国茶饮品牌在海外开出近1.5万家门店,同一款茶饮在海外售价是国内的数倍,利润率远高于国内,是品牌当前的利润避风港。

3. 出海并非躺赢,存在海外租金人力成本高、合规要求严格、文化口味适配难等问题,盲目快速扩张会导致品控下滑、门店关闭,当前红利窗口期正在收窄,只有做好供应链本地化和产品适配,才能长期存活。

本文为出海茶饮品牌梳理了行业趋势、红利、风险和核心发展方向,干货如下:

1. 行业与消费趋势:国内茶饮已经进入零和博弈的存量市场,价格战持续挤压品牌利润,出海已经从可选项变为必选项;海外中国茶饮渗透率极低,消费者没有国内7元低价的心理锚定,愿意为中国茶饮这个新物种支付溢价,当前存在明显的稀缺性红利。

2. 定价与竞争层面:同品牌产品在海外售价可达国内的3-4倍,东南亚等地租金人工低于国内一线城市,整体利润空间显著高于国内,品牌要抓住当前的稀缺红利窗口提前布局。

3. 风险与发展方向:盲目快速扩张会导致选址重叠、品控失控,还要应对海外合规、文化口味冲突等问题,未来比拼供应链全球复制、产品本地化适配、品牌文化穿透三项能力,提前搭建本地化供应链才能避免未来海外价格战重演。

本文为想要布局出海的茶饮卖家梳理了当前出海的机会、风险和可参考的发展路径,干货如下:

1. 机会提示:当前海外中国茶饮处于稀缺红利期,整体渗透率低,没有国内的低价锚定,产品售价和利润率远高于国内,东南亚、北美都是潜力巨大的增长市场,2026年已经有44个品牌布局1.5万家门店,红利窗口仍未关闭。

2. 风险提示:不要盲目追求快速扩张,头部品牌蜜雪冰城快速扩张后,在印尼越南核心市场全年净闭店428家,暴露出选址重叠、品控失控的问题;欧美市场租金人力成本是国内数倍,还有含糖饮料税这类政策门槛,口味文化适配难度大,实际利润远没有看上去美好。

3. 可学习路径:目前有两种成熟路径可选,要么先扩张再通过本地化供应链调优,要么先直营夯实盈利模型再扩张,核心都要聚焦供应链能力和本地化适配。

本文为茶饮配套生产工厂梳理了茶饮出海背景下的商业机会、生产需求和发展启示,干货如下:

1. 商业机会:当前中国茶饮出海进入加速期,已经有44个品牌开出近1.5万家海外门店,头部品牌都在加紧布局本地化供应链,比如蜜雪冰城在印尼投资15亿元建设冷链物流体系,在泰国和本地农业合作社合作开发椰浆供应链,未来3-5年还计划在巴西采购不低于40亿元农产品并建设供应链工厂,给海内外生产工厂带来大量合作订单。

2. 生产与设计需求:出海茶饮需要针对海外市场做产品适配,还要符合当地的食品安全合规标准,要求工厂能够提供符合当地规范的定制化原料生产服务。

3. 发展启示:茶饮出海的核心竞争力是供应链能力,工厂要抓住头部品牌出海的供应链本地化需求,提前布局全球生产物流网络,提升自身定制化生产和合规服务能力,绑定头部品牌获得新增长。

本文梳理了中国茶饮出海的行业趋势,总结了出海品牌的核心痛点,给相关出海服务提供商指明了发展方向,干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:中国茶饮出海已经从企业的可选项变为行业必选项,2026年至少有44个品牌在海外开出近1.5万家门店,接下来行业会从拼开店速度转向拼供应链和本地化能力,市场空间广阔,对配套服务的需求大幅增长。

2. 客户核心痛点:出海品牌普遍面临跨境物流成本高、海外本地化供应链搭建难、合规成本高、产品口味本地化适配难、加盟体系管理半径过长品控难等核心痛点。

3. 发展机会:服务商可以针对这些痛点,开发海外本地冷链物流配套、出海合规咨询、本地原料采购对接、加盟品控管理系统等相关服务,抓住头部品牌出海布局供应链的浪潮,拓展新的客户群体,实现自身业务增长。

本文梳理了茶饮出海行业的需求和现状,给对接茶饮品牌出海的相关平台提供了发展方向和风险提示,干货如下:

1. 行业核心需求:当前大量中国茶饮品牌加速出海,核心需求是海外本地化供应链配套、本地招商加盟管理、合规服务、原料采购对接等综合性配套支持,现有市场的配套供给仍有缺口。

2. 平台发展机会:平台可以针对性推出出海茶饮专属服务板块,对接海外本地的地产、物流、合规、生产资源,帮助品牌解决供应链和本地化的痛点,吸引品牌入驻;还可以针对不同品牌的扩张模式,提供对应服务,比如给加盟扩张型品牌提供品控管理工具,给直营品牌提供本地化资源对接。

3. 风险规避:平台要引导入驻品牌避免盲目快速扩张,提前提示海外政策、口味文化差异等风险,引导品牌先夯实供应链盈利模型再扩张,避免大量闭店影响平台口碑。

本文呈现了2026年中国新茶饮产业出海的最新动向,梳理了行业新问题和不同商业模式,给产业研究提供了丰富的样本和启示,干货如下:

1. 产业新动向:国内新茶饮已经进入存量零和博弈,价格战导致行业整体利润下滑,2026年行业正经历前所未有的出海大迁徙,目前已有44个品牌在海外开出近1.5万家门店,出海已经从企业的可选项变为行业必选项。

2. 行业新问题:当前出海品牌享受稀缺性带来的增量红利,但也存在诸多待解问题,盲目快速扩张会导致门店密度过高品控下滑,海外租金人力合规成本推高运营成本,存在文化政策冲突,且稀缺红利窗口期正在收窄,未来行业很可能重演国内的价格战。

3. 商业模式与启示:当前出海有两种主流成熟模式,一是蜜雪冰城的供应链输出+加盟复制先规模化再精细化,二是霸王茶姬的直营筑基+文化输出先夯实模型再扩张,两种模式都证明供应链深度和本地化能力是出海的核心竞争力,为研究中国消费品牌出海提供了重要参考。

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Quick Summary

This article outlines the current status of Chinese tea beverage brands going global, highlights the risks behind the current profitability boom, and lays out core requirements for successful expansion. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. The domestic tea beverage market in China is extremely saturated: by the end of 2025, the country hosts 478,000 tea beverage stores, and the market has entered a phase of cutthroat price competition. Many products are priced below 7 yuan even with additional discounts, dragging down profits for most brands and pushing a wave of leading brands to expand overseas.

2. Overseas markets currently offer scarcity-driven growth opportunities. To date, 44 Chinese tea beverage brands have opened nearly 15,000 stores abroad. The same products sell for several times their domestic price overseas, delivering far higher profit margins than in China, making global expansion a reliable profit safe haven for brands.

3. Expansion overseas is not a guaranteed win. Brands face high local rent and labor costs, strict regulatory compliance requirements, and challenges adapting products to local cultural preferences and tastes. Blind rapid expansion often leads to declining quality control and store closures. The window for easy profit is narrowing, and only brands that build localized supply chains and adapt products to local markets can achieve long-term survival.

This article outlines industry trends, opportunities, risks and core strategic directions for Chinese tea beverage brands expanding overseas. Key insights are as follows:

1. Industry and consumer trends: The domestic tea beverage market has become a zero-sum saturated market, where ongoing price wars continuously squeeze brand profits. Global expansion has shifted from an optional strategy to a necessity. Chinese tea beverages still have very low penetration in overseas markets, where consumers do not have a 7-yuan low-price anchor like their domestic counterparts, and are willing to pay a premium for this new category. This creates clear scarcity-driven profit opportunities today.

2. Pricing and competitive landscape: The same brand's products can sell for 3 to 4 times their domestic price overseas. In regions like Southeast Asia, rent and labor costs are lower than in China's first-tier cities, resulting in significantly larger overall profit margins than in the domestic market. Brands should capitalize on the current scarcity window and expand their overseas footprint early.

3. Risks and strategic priorities: Blind rapid expansion leads to overlapping store locations and uncontrolled quality. Brands also face challenges around regulatory compliance, and cultural and taste mismatches. Long-term success will depend on three core capabilities: global scaling of supply chains, localized product adaptation, and effective cross-cultural brand communication. Building localized supply chains in advance is critical to avoiding a repeat of domestic-style price wars in overseas markets.

This article outlines current expansion opportunities, risks and actionable development paths for tea beverage sellers looking to enter overseas markets. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Opportunity outlook: Chinese tea beverages are currently in a phase of scarcity-driven growth overseas, with low overall market penetration and no established low-price expectation like in China. Product prices and profit margins are far higher than domestically, with Southeast Asia and North America offering enormous growth potential. As of 2026, 44 Chinese brands have already established 15,000 overseas stores, and the window of opportunity remains open.

2. Risk warnings: Sellers should avoid chasing unplanned rapid expansion. After Mixue's aggressive expansion in Indonesia and Vietnam, the brand recorded a net closure of 428 stores across its core markets in one year, exposing problems with overlapping locations and poor quality control. In Europe and North America, rent and labor costs are multiple times higher than in China, and policy barriers such as sugar taxes add further complexity, along with big challenges adapting to local taste and cultural preferences. Actual profits are far less attractive than they initially appear.

3. Proven expansion paths: There are two mature, well-tested paths for expansion. The first is to scale first, then optimize via localized supply chains. The second is to build a profitable direct-operated model first, then scale up. Both paths center on building supply chain capability and localized adaptation.

This article outlines new business opportunities, production requirements and strategic insights for tea beverage ingredient manufacturers amid the wave of Chinese tea beverage brands going global. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. New business opportunities: The expansion of Chinese tea beverage brands into overseas markets is now accelerating, with 44 brands already operating nearly 15,000 stores abroad. Leading brands are rushing to build localized supply chains: for example, Mixue has invested 1.5 billion yuan to build a cold chain logistics system in Indonesia, partnered with local agricultural cooperatives to develop coconut milk supply chains in Thailand, and plans to purchase no less than 4 billion yuan of agricultural products and build new supply chain factories in Brazil over the next 3 to 5 years. This trend is generating massive new order opportunities for both domestic and overseas manufacturing facilities.

2. Production and product development requirements: Tea beverage brands expanding overseas need to adapt products for local markets and meet local food safety and compliance standards. This requires manufacturers to offer customized ingredient production services that align with local regulatory requirements.

3. Strategic insights: Supply chain capability is the core competitive advantage for tea beverage brands going global. Manufacturers should capitalize on leading brands' demand for localized supply chains, build out global production and logistics networks in advance, enhance their customized production and compliance service capabilities, and partner with leading brands to unlock new growth.

This article outlines industry trends for Chinese tea beverage brands going global, summarizes the core pain points facing expansion, and maps out growth directions for relevant cross-border service providers. Key insights are as follows:

1. Industry development trends: Global expansion has shifted from an optional strategy for individual brands to an industry-wide necessity. As of 2026, at least 44 Chinese brands have opened nearly 15,000 stores overseas. Going forward, the industry will shift focus from opening speed to supply chain and localization capabilities, creating enormous market opportunities and sharply rising demand for supporting services.

2. Core client pain points: Brands expanding overseas universally struggle with high cross-border logistics costs, difficulty building localized overseas supply chains, high compliance costs, challenges adapting products to local tastes, and quality control issues stemming from the long management radius of franchising models.

3. Growth opportunities: Service providers can develop targeted solutions to these pain points, including local cold chain logistics, cross-border compliance consulting, local raw material sourcing connections, and quality control management systems for franchised networks. By capitalizing on the wave of leading brands building global supply chains, providers can acquire new customer groups and drive their own business growth.

This article outlines the current status and core demand of the overseas expansion wave of Chinese tea beverage brands, and provides strategic directions and risk warnings for platforms that serve these expanding brands. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Core industry demand: As a large number of Chinese tea beverage brands accelerate their global expansion, their core demand is comprehensive supporting services including localized overseas supply chains, local franchise management, compliance services, and raw material sourcing connections. Current market supply of these services still has significant gaps to fill.

2. Growth opportunities for platforms: Platforms can launch dedicated service sections for tea beverage brands expanding overseas, connecting local real estate, logistics, compliance and production resources to help brands resolve supply chain and localization pain points and attract brands to onboard. Platforms can also tailor services to different brands' expansion models: for example, providing quality control management tools for franchise-focused expansion brands, and localized resource connections for direct-operated brands.

3. Risk mitigation: Platforms should guide onboarded brands to avoid blind rapid expansion, proactively warn of risks from overseas policy differences and cultural/taste mismatches, and encourage brands to solidify their supply chain and profitability model before scaling, to avoid mass store closures that damage the platform's reputation.

This article presents the latest 2026 developments in the global expansion of China's new-style tea beverage industry, sorts out emerging industry issues and prevailing business models, and offers rich empirical insights for industrial research. Key findings are as follows:

1. New industry developments: China's domestic new-style tea beverage market has entered a zero-sum saturated phase, with price wars driving down industry-wide profits. In 2026, the industry is experiencing an unprecedented wave of global expansion, with 44 brands already operating nearly 15,000 stores overseas. Expansion has shifted from an optional strategy for individual firms to an industry-wide necessity.

2. Emerging industry challenges: While expanding brands currently benefit from incremental growth driven by market scarcity, they face multiple unresolved challenges. Blind rapid expansion leads to over-saturated store networks and declining quality, high overseas rent, labor and compliance costs push up operating expenses, and brands face cultural and policy conflicts. The scarcity-driven growth window is narrowing, and the industry is likely to see a repeat of domestic-style price competition in overseas markets in the future.

3. Business models and research insights: There are two dominant mature expansion models in the current market. The first is Mixue's model: supply chain output plus franchised replication, prioritizing scale before fine-tuning operations. The second is Chagee's model: building a solid direct-operated foundation plus cultural output, solidifying the business model before expanding. Both models confirm that deep supply chain capability and localization are the core competitive advantages for global expansion, providing important reference for research on Chinese consumer brands going global.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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国内卷到7元一杯还要满减,海外同一杯卖到15元还有人排队——这不是定价策略的胜利,是稀缺性红利的短暂窗口。当44个中国茶饮品牌在海外开出近1.5万家门店,出海的真正考题已经变了:不是谁能开得更快,而是谁能用供应链把"中国茶"变成"世界的茶"。否则,今天在国内互相踩踏的价格战,明天就会在海外重演。

原创?新熵 新消费组

作者丨千浔 编辑丨九黎

当47.8万家茶饮店在国内一度卷到"7元一杯还要满减"的时候,蜜雪冰城在越南卖到了折合人民币15元。

不是品牌突然想涨价——是海外根本没有"一杯奶茶只值7块钱"的心理锚定。

这不是段子,是正在发生的真实商业逻辑。

2026年,中国新茶饮行业正经历一场前所未有的"出海大迁徙"。蜜雪冰城、喜茶、奈雪、霸王茶姬集体出海——同一个品牌、同一杯茶,在国内被价格战按在地板上摩擦,到了海外却能卖出翻倍的溢价,利润率远高于国内。

这个巨大的反差背后,究竟藏着什么?

国内的茶:卷到地板,喝到心酸

先看一组让人窒息的数据。

截至2025年底,全国奶茶门店达到47.8万家,是美国的3倍。换算一下,全国每3000个人不到就有一家奶茶店。 这不是繁荣,这是拥挤。

价格战是最直观的表征。喜茶2025年初宣布停止接受新的加盟申请——不是不想开,是开得越多亏得越狠。部分门店饮品售价跌破7元,堂食价格快回到2015年的水平。蜜雪冰城国内毛利率从32.5%滑至31.1%,核心业务毛利率跌破30%——在"极致性价比"的护城河里,一杯柠檬水4块钱,成本端的任何风吹草动都会被无限放大。

霸王茶姬的数字更刺眼:Q3净利润降至4亿元,净利润率从去年同期的18%骤降至12%。Q3仅新增200余家门店,增速同比为-64%。品牌在涨,门店在涨,利润却在跌——这是一个行业性信号。

7元的奶茶不是"让利消费者",是"扛不住也要扛"。当一条街上有5家茶饮店,每个品牌分到的流量都在被稀释。这不是经营问题,是成本问题。

国内茶饮市场,已经从一个增量战场,变成了一个零和博弈的绞肉机。

海外的茶:供给稀缺,品牌溢价

与国内的惨烈状况形成鲜明对比的,是海外市场的"稀缺红利"。

蜜雪冰城是出海规模最大的中国茶饮品牌,截至2025年底海外门店4467家,覆盖13个国家。截止2024年三季度末,印尼2667家门店,越南1304家门店,后者使其登顶当地饮品榜首。在东南亚,蜜雪冰城定价为当地同类品牌的1/2到2/3,而当地租金和人工远低于国内一线城市,竞品定价更高,利润空间显著优于国内。在美国,1.19美元的冰淇淋、1.99美元的柠檬水,折合人民币是国内售价的3-4倍。

高端品牌的海外溢价更惊人。喜茶在纽约时代广场开设LAB店,招牌"椰椰芒芒"全美销量破百万杯;奈雪2025年10月纽约法拉盛首店开业,海外事业部副总经理姚杰直言:"这里的利润率绝对高于国内";霸王茶姬海外GMV连续三个季度同比增长超75%,Q4达3.7亿元,海外门店仅345家,增速却碾压国内。

一杯茶,国内7元赔本赚吆喝,海外30元排队买单——这种荒诞反差的背后,核心逻辑只有一个:稀缺性定价权。海外中国茶饮品牌渗透率极低,消费者缺乏替代选择;没有7元奶茶的"地板价"锚定,品牌可以合理定价;中国茶饮在海外仍处"尝鲜期",消费者愿意为"新物种"支付溢价。三重红利叠加,海外市场成了茶饮品牌的"利润避风港"。

但这个避风港,真的安全吗?

出海不是躺赢:溢价背后有成本账

出海绝非一条坦途。蜜雪冰城2025年的经历,就是一记警钟。

全年海外净闭店428家。这是蜜雪冰城出海七年来首次出现海外门店年度收缩。收缩主要集中在印尼、越南两大核心市场——不是因为"做不下去",而是前期快速扩张埋下的雷:门店密度过高导致选址重叠,加盟体系管理半径过长,部分加盟商品控不达标,早期门店差评率一度超过30%。

美国市场的账更难算。纽约曼哈顿店年租金超34万美元,是国内一线城市的20倍以上;员工时薪15-20美元,人力成本占营收35%;为符合FDA标准,核心原料需分拆采购,物流成本激增30%。(据行业估算)蜜雪冰城在美国的日均保本销量是800杯,而国内保本线远低于此。1.19美元的冰淇淋、1.99美元的柠檬水——看起来比国内贵了好几倍,利润空间反而更薄。

更棘手的是文化与政策冲突。美国多地征收"含糖饮料税",蜜雪冰城的明星产品与当地健康饮食趋势正面硬刚;品牌推出200%糖度选项,却被美国消费者吐槽"淡如水"——蔗糖风味与美国人习惯的浓缩糖浆完全是两个世界。

出海的红利真实存在,但代价同样真实。 海外赚的是溢价,付的也是溢价——租金溢价、人力溢价、合规溢价、物流溢价,层层叠加之后,"海外利润率更高"这句话,远没有看上去那么美好。

出海核心:供应链才是真“船票”

蜜雪冰城闭店428家不是撤退,而是换挡——从"门店数量驱动"转向"供应链能力驱动"。

一组数据感受一下蜜雪冰城的供应链厚度:国内5大生产基地、79万平方米、年产能165万吨、核心原料自产率超70%;全球采购网络覆盖38个国家,集采成本较行业低10%-20%。

在海外,这套能力正在被复制。在越南建设本地化供应链体系,推动原料本地化生产;印尼投资15亿元建设冷链物流体系,配送时效从72小时压缩到24小时;泰国与农业合作社合作开发椰浆供应链,物流成本降低42%;巴西签署合作备忘录,未来3-5年投资采购不低于40亿元农产品,同步建设供应链工厂。

调改效果立竿见影:调改后新店的营业额达到老店的1.7倍,差评率从超30%大幅收窄至个位数,老店营收同比提升17.6%。 闭店不是败退,是给供应链换血的时间。

霸王茶姬走了另一条路——用6年时间搭建海外供应链体系,而非急于开店。在美国采用直营模式,创始人张俊杰称之为"走了一条难而正确的路"。2026年,霸王茶姬将海外定义为"休养基年",不追求数量,而是"在每一个已进入的国家市场,跑通并夯实盈利模型"。

两条路线的对抗显而易见:蜜雪冰城的路径是"供应链输出+加盟复制",先规模化再精细化;霸王茶姬的路径是"直营筑基+文化输出",先夯实模型再扩张。两条路殊途同归——最终比拼的都是供应链深度和本地化能力。

没有供应链的出海,就是拿品牌信誉在海外裸奔。门店可以一夜开起来,但供应链不行。

出海终局:"中国茶"变成"世界的茶"

2026年,至少44个中国茶饮品牌在海外开出近1.5万家门店。出海已从"可选项"变成了"必选项"。

但下半场比的不再是谁开得快,而是谁活得久。

从各家扩张计划看,子弹还在飞:蜜雪冰城2026年计划海外新开1100家门店,三年目标海外破万店;霸王茶姬2026年计划海外新增约200家,进军韩国、清迈、巴厘岛;奈雪也在加速推进海外布局——数字在膨胀,但真正决定胜负的只有三项能力:供应链的全球复制能力、产品的本地化适配能力、品牌的文化穿透能力。

蜜雪冰城在印尼推出"椰香斑斓雪顶"、在越南推出"炼乳珍珠奶茶"(甜度比国内高20%),差评率大幅下降——这是本地化适配的胜利。霸王茶姬在新加坡联合旅游局开办茶文化展览《茶苑梦》、在东南亚五国与Hello Kitty联名——这是文化穿透的尝试。奈雪在纽约以"小绿瓶"等健康茶饮为主打——这是从"卖奶茶"到"卖生活方式"的转型信号。

中国茶饮出海的终局,不应是商业模式的简单输出,而是用一杯茶重新定义"中国品牌"的全球形象。国内的7元奶茶是残酷的存量博弈,海外的高溢价是稀缺性带来的增量红利——但稀缺不会永远存在。当海外门店密度接近国内水平时,今天的价格战就会在海外重演。

而窗口期正在收窄,谁能在这个窗口期完成从"卖产品"到"输出生活方式"的跨越,谁才能真正把"中国茶"变成"世界的茶"。而那些把出海当成"国内卷不动了换个地方卷"的品牌——它们的结局,已经在蜜雪冰城那428家关闭的门店里写好了。

注:文/新熵-新消费组,文章来源:新熵(公众号ID:baoliaohui),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:新熵

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