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蚂蚁灵波沈宇军:区分模型能力和模型展现的能力 「触觉共识」将率先形成|WAIC 2026

公司情报专家 2026-07-23 11:37
公司情报专家 2026/07/23 11:37

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本文整理了WAIC2026世界模型颠峰论坛上,蚂蚁灵波首席科学家沈宇军关于物理AI与世界模型的核心观点,干货内容如下

1. 要区分模型本身能力和模型展现能力,目前行业对模型架构、数据链路的积累都是有价值的,但过度追求模型呈现效果的价值存疑,AI进入物理世界最缺失的环节是数据标准,没有统一标准行业无法规模化扩展

2. 评测好的世界模型有三个核心指标:一是能否以当前状态加动作预测反事实未来状态,判断是否真正理解世界;二是恒常性记忆表示能力,能否提取世界公共表示;三是高时效性的推理能力,长程预测对具身模型来说是伪需求

3. 行业下一阶段会率先在触觉领域形成共识,触觉将成为物理AI机器人的核心必备模态

本文透露出物理AI领域的最新发展趋势,对布局AI相关业务的品牌商有这些参考干货

1. AI落地物理场景是未来行业大方向,但目前行业缺少统一数据标准,模态对齐没有规范,短期内很难实现规模化落地,品牌布局相关新业务需要预留足够的技术迭代空间,不要盲目大规模投入

2. AI落地线下消费场景会频繁遇到非预设的突发情况,比如服务机器人处理顾客非常规需求,品牌推出相关AI产品前,需要充分测试各类极端日常场景的应对能力

3. 行业下一步会率先在触觉模态形成共识,带触觉交互功能的AI硬件将成为新的热门产品方向,品牌可提前关注技术迭代,提前布局相关品类抢占市场先机

本次分享的物理AI行业进展,对布局AI相关产品或服务的卖家有这些干货参考

1. 当前世界模型、物理AI还处于技术迭代阶段,数据标准和评测标准都未统一,规模化落地仍需要时间,卖家不要盲目跟风押注,避免投入过多资源造成损失

2. AI商业化落地的核心是成本控制,同时还要解决非预设突发场景的处理问题,卖家选品或推出AI相关服务时,要优先核算综合落地成本,重点测试非常规日常场景的应对能力,提升用户体验

3. 行业下一阶段会率先在触觉领域形成技术共识,相关触觉交互AI产品会迎来新的增长机会,卖家可提前布局相关赛道,卡位先发优势抓住增长红利

本次分享对工厂推进数字化、布局AI相关生产研发有这些干货启示

1. 物理AI、具身智能落地工厂场景,不能只看演示Demo的效果,要重点关注实际运行的损失和综合投入成本,技术商业化的核心是经济账,成本是落地的首要考核因素

2. 当前行业缺少统一数据标准和评测标准,技术还不成熟,工厂引入相关AI技术改造生产或者研发新产品,要先做小范围测试验证效果,再逐步推广,避免大规模投入踩坑

3. 未来触觉会成为机器人,包括工业机器人和服务机器人的核心必备模态,相关产品的生产设计会新增触觉交互的需求,工厂可提前布局相关技术储备和生产线调整,抓住行业新的商业机会

本次分享明确了物理AI、世界模型领域的行业趋势和核心痛点,对AI技术服务商有这些干货内容

1. 当前行业最核心的痛点是数据标准缺失,不同模态无法对齐,导致整个行业无法实现规模化扩展,服务商可围绕统一数据标准搭建、多模态对齐开发相关解决方案,挖掘新的市场机会

2. 客户落地AI技术最突出的两个痛点是成本过高和无法处理非预设突发场景,现有Demo无法覆盖日常的随机情况,服务商可针对不同行业场景优化模型的突发情况处理能力,同时帮客户控制落地成本,提升解决方案竞争力

3. 下一阶段行业路线的收敛点是评测标准,触觉领域会率先形成共识,服务商可提前布局触觉相关AI技术研发,提前卡位新的市场赛道

本次分享透露出物理AI行业的核心需求和发展方向,对布局AI领域的平台商有这些干货参考

1. 当前物理AI行业最核心的共性需求是统一数据标准和统一评测标准,平台可牵头联合行业头部企业共同制定相关标准,建立行业壁垒,吸引更多相关企业入驻平台,丰富平台生态

2. 当前很多AI企业在落地阶段都遇到了成本控制、突发场景处理的难题,平台可推出针对性的赋能服务,帮助入驻企业解决落地痛点,提升平台的用户粘性

3. 触觉领域会率先形成行业共识,相关创业企业会迎来快速增长,平台可提前针对触觉AI相关企业开展专项招商,卡位下一阶段的赛道增长,抢占行业发展先机

本次分享反映了当前世界模型与具身智能融合领域的最新产业动向,对相关研究者有这些干货参考

1. 当前产业界已经达成共识,AI进入物理世界将成为行业发展的基础范式,当前最核心待解决的产业问题是数据标准缺失,没有统一标准行业无法规模化扩展,这是非常重要的前沿研究方向

2. 产业界提出了世界模型的三个核心评测指标,明确提出长程预测对具身世界模型是伪需求,更看重推理时效性,同时判断评测标准会是下一阶段行业路线的收敛点,为相关研究指明了方向

3. 产业界判断触觉领域会率先形成行业共识,也就是“触觉共识”,明确触觉是物理AI区别于数字世界模型的核心模态,这是产业层面出现的新动向,具有较高的研究价值

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Quick Summary

This article compiles key insights on physical AI and world models from Shen Yujun, Chief Scientist of Ant Lingbo, delivered at the WAIC 2026 World Model Summit. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. It is critical to distinguish between a model's intrinsic capability and its demonstrated performance. While current industry investments in model architecture and data infrastructure are valuable, over-prioritizing flashy demonstration outcomes has questionable merit. The biggest gap holding AI back from widespread adoption in the physical world is the lack of unified data standards, which are required for industry-wide scalable expansion.

2. A high-quality world model can be measured by three core metrics: First, its ability to predict counterfactual future states based on current conditions and actions, which demonstrates true understanding of the world. Second, its ability to retain invariant world representations and extract shared universal representations of the environment. Third, its ability to conduct high-temporal-efficiency inference; long-horizon prediction is a false demand for embodied models.

3. The industry will first reach consensus on the tactile modality, which will become a core required capability for physical AI-powered robots.

This article outlines the latest development trends in physical AI, offering key takeaways for brands positioning AI-related businesses:

1. AI deployment in physical scenarios is a major long-term industry direction, but the current lack of unified data standards and modality alignment norms means large-scale commercialization will take time. Brands should reserve sufficient room for technical iteration when rolling out new AI-related businesses, and avoid rushing into large-scale blind investments.

2. AI deployed in offline consumer scenarios frequently encounters unplanned emergent situations, such as service robots handling customers' non-standard requests. Brands should fully test an AI product's performance across a full range of extreme daily scenarios before launch.

3. The industry will first reach consensus on the tactile modality, and AI hardware with tactile interactive capabilities will emerge as a hot new product category. Brands can monitor technical iteration early and pre-position in this category to capture first-mover advantage.

This update on physical AI industry progress offers key takeaways for sellers positioning AI-related products or services:

1. World models and physical AI are still in the stage of rapid technical iteration, with no unified data or evaluation standards, and large-scale commercialization will take time. Sellers should avoid blindly following hype and overcommitting resources to prevent losses.

2. The core of successful AI commercialization is cost control, paired with the ability to handle unplanned emergent scenarios. When selecting AI products or launching AI-related services, sellers should prioritize calculating total deployment costs, and focus testing on performance in non-standard daily scenarios to improve user experience.

3. The industry will first reach technical consensus in the tactile field, and related tactile interactive AI products will see new growth opportunities. Sellers can pre-position in this track to capture first-mover advantage and growth dividends.

This presentation offers key insights for factories advancing digital transformation and developing AI-related production and R&D:

1. When deploying physical AI and embodied intelligence in factory settings, do not only judge by demo performance. Instead, focus on actual operational losses and total investment costs. The core of commercializing technology is economic viability, so cost is the primary criterion for deployment.

2. Currently the industry lacks unified data and evaluation standards, and the technology is still immature. When introducing AI technology to upgrade production or develop new products, factories should first run small-scale tests to verify performance before expanding gradually, to avoid losses from large-scale unproven investments.

3. Tactile perception will become a core required capability for all robots, including both industrial and service robots, and new tactile interaction requirements will be added to related product design and production. Factories can build up relevant technical reserves and adjust production lines in advance to capture new industry opportunities.

This presentation clarifies industry trends and core pain points in physical AI and world models, offering key insights for AI technology service providers:

1. The most pressing core pain point facing the industry today is the lack of unified data standards and cross-modality alignment, which blocks industry-wide scalable expansion. Service providers can develop new solutions focused on building unified data standards and enabling multi-modality alignment to tap into new market opportunities.

2. The two most prominent pain points for clients deploying AI are excessive costs and inability to handle unplanned emergent scenarios, as existing demos cannot cover random daily situations. Service providers can optimize model performance for handling emergent scenarios across different industry use cases, while helping clients control deployment costs to improve the competitiveness of their solutions.

3. The next phase of industry convergence will center on evaluation standards, and consensus will first emerge in the tactile field. Service providers can start R&D for tactile-related AI technology early to secure position in this emerging market.

This presentation reveals core demands and development directions of the physical AI industry, offering key insights for marketplace platforms positioning in the AI sector:

1. The most critical shared demand in the physical AI industry today is unified data standards and unified evaluation standards. Platforms can take the lead to work with leading industry players to co-develop these standards, build industry barriers, attract more relevant enterprises to join the platform, and enrich the platform ecosystem.

2. Many AI companies currently face common challenges with cost control and handling emergent scenarios during deployment. Platforms can launch targeted enablement services to help member companies solve these deployment pain points and improve user retention.

3. Consensus will first emerge in the tactile field, and related startups will see rapid growth. Platforms can launch targeted recruitment for tactile AI-related enterprises in advance to position for the next phase of track growth and capture first-mover advantage.

This presentation reflects the latest industry developments in the integration of world models and embodied intelligence, offering key insights for related researchers:

1. Industry has reached a consensus that AI integration into the physical world will become a foundational paradigm for the sector. The most critical unresolved industry issue is the lack of unified data standards, which are required for industry-wide scalable expansion, making this a highly important frontier research direction.

2. Industry has proposed three core evaluation metrics for world models, explicitly noting that long-horizon prediction is a false demand for embodied world models, with inference timeliness prioritized instead. It also notes that evaluation standards will be the focal point of industry convergence in the next phase, providing clear direction for related research.

3. Industry expects consensus to first emerge in the tactile field (the "tactile consensus"), with tactile explicitly identified as the core modality that distinguishes physical AI from digital world models. This is a new development at the industry level with high research value.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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数据标准是AI进入物理世界要补齐的关键一环

作者:苏打

编辑:tuya

出品:财经涂鸦(ID:caijingtuya)

“有些时候,大家会对模型能力本身和模型展现出来的能力混淆。比如推理效率是一种模型能力,可交互性是一种模型能力。但展现出来,大家会更关注画质、物理准确性等”。

公司情报专家《财经涂鸦》获悉,7月19日,“世界模型‘六小龙’颠峰论坛”于WAIC2026期间举行。

该论坛由世界人工智能大会组委会举办、大晓机器人承办,以驱动物理AI从理解到执行为主题,是大会唯一聚焦世界模型与具身智能深度融合的核心论坛,旨在定义并开启物理AI的开悟时刻。

现场,蚂蚁灵波首席科学家沈宇军参加论坛圆桌讨论,就AI要进入物理世界的短板、世界模型的评测标尺、路线收敛、落地鸿沟等进行讨论。

在解释“两年后回望现在对对与错”时,沈宇军表示,如果届时回看,目前所有为模型架构本身积累的能力,应该都是对的。但对于“过度追求模型呈现出来的能力”,他认为“不好说”。

简言之,“所有为模型准备数据的过程中积累下来的数据链路,应该都是对的,但数据本身是否还会继续被用并被迭代,不好说。”

伴随AI进入物理世界正成为基础范式,针对其中“最缺失”的部分,沈宇军认为,模型本质是输入、架构到输出。模型能力由输出决定,比如奖励函数或监督函数,因为输出决定了架构设计。但其中要补齐的关键一块是数据标准。

“目前数据标准依据没有定好,比如世界模型需要哪些模态,这些模态如何对齐等等。在数据定不出标准前,行业可能就无法规模扩展。”

现场,沈宇军给出评测一个好的世界模型三个最关键的指标。

“第一个指标是它是否真正理解世界。世界模型不是给当前状态预测下一个状态,而是以当前状态加动作预测未来状态,且动作是反事实的。这是评估模型是否理解世界的核心。”

第二个指标是与人类比,模型的记忆能力。“人的大脑有恒常性表示,比如转头看东西,不看了有人移动或推倒它,你还知道是同一个。这种恒常性表示能力会考验世界模型,因为它关乎能否提取世界公共表示并形成记忆。表面上看似是评估记忆,实际上是在评估恒常表示能力”。

第三个指标是推理能力。沈宇军认为,长程预测对具身世界模型而言是伪需求,因此没有必要追求这个指标,“我们需要它快速推理,得到反馈后立即回来。所以推理时效性更重要。”

在落地层面,很多经验的演示Demo都是百里挑一,或者更加复杂,但工厂不看剪辑,而看相关损失。谈及“从Demo到Deployment踩过最深的坑”,沈宇军表示,所有技术一旦走到商业化,算的一定是经济账,所以成本一定是最核心的。

“除了成本之外,我觉得落地上比较难处理的就是随机性或突发情况。现在展台上所有能展示的Demo,都是工作人员复位的,但如果观众想互动,可能会有些奇异的想法,但这些在数据采集时根本没有考虑过。比如,有人可能会要求把一个东西放到很远的地方,然后问你还能不能拿到。”

“另外更有体感的一个例子是,在超市,如果你想让机器人帮忙找一种菜,但是那个菜可能会其他顾客拿到牛奶柜或者其他地方了,这时候他能不能处理?即便是人,面对这种情况可能也很难办。但这种看起来很突发的情况,就是我们生活中的日常。机器人究竟能否处理这种状况,现在还很不确定。”

面向“路线收敛”这一问题,沈宇军坦言,表征统一、物理因果、动作接口还是评测标准中,评测标准将是下一个阶段的收敛点。

“我相信下一个阶段行业会有共识的,一定是触觉。至少从输入的角度讲,很难证明数字世界的模型在物理世界就是不work。因此触觉一旦有了突破,我们将会明显感受到物理世界的世界模型跟所谓的视频生成就完全是两件事情,他们从模态上就会被区分开。”

他坦言,目前行业在触觉方向的进展非常快,下一步应该会率先形成共识,即触觉将是机器人不可或缺的模态。

注:文/公司情报专家,文章来源:财经涂鸦(公众号ID:caijingtuya),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:财经涂鸦

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FAQ回顾

好的世界模型的核心评测指标有哪些?

评测好的世界模型有三个核心指标:一是能以当前状态加反事实动作预测未来状态,真正理解世界;二是具备恒常性表示的记忆能力,可提取世界公共表示形成记忆;三是具备高时效性的推理能力,无需追求长程预测。

AI进入物理世界落地面临的主要难点有哪些?

AI进入物理世界落地首先要补齐数据标准短板,明确所需模态及对齐规则才能实现规模化扩展;商业化落地核心要控制成本,同时还要能应对日常场景中各种未被纳入数据采集范围的随机性、突发状况。

世界模型行业下一个阶段的共识方向是什么?

世界模型行业下一个阶段的收敛点将是评测标准,其中触觉方向将率先形成共识,触觉会成为机器人不可或缺的模态,触觉突破后可从模态上区分物理世界世界模型与视频生成类模型。

世界模型的模型能力和展现能力有什么区别?

模型能力指推理效率、可交互性等模型本身的固有能力,模型展现能力指呈现出的画质、物理准确性等外在表现,当前行业不宜过度追求模型展现能力,应重视模型架构、数据链路等基础能力积累。

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