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禁令传闻引发市值大跌千亿 阳光电源依然值得期待

李平 2026-07-15 14:36
李平 2026/07/15 14:36

邦小白快读

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本文主要梳理了阳光电源受美国逆变器禁令传闻影响股价大跌的事件全貌,同时介绍了企业发展现状和投资价值判断,核心干货如下:

1. 事件核心:6月30日传出美国特朗普政府起草禁止中国逆变器进口的禁令草案,7月1日A股逆变器板块大跌,龙头阳光电源单日收盘跌13.9%,市值一日蒸发超400亿元,截至发文累计蒸发近千亿元,距离历史高点缩水近2000亿元。

2. 企业背景:阳光电源是全球逆变器市占率第一的光储双龙头,2025年储能业务已经超越光伏逆变器成为第一大收入来源,海外收入占比超过60%,技术和订单优势明显。

3. 投资判断:禁令目前仅为草案,未形成正式法案,年内落地概率极低,即便落地也只会小幅影响业绩增速,不会出现断崖式下滑,本次政策恐慌带来的下跌大概率是黄金坑,若AI相关储能新品突破还会迎来价值重估。

本文梳理了光储龙头阳光电源的发展路径和行业现状,对出海新能源品牌有多维度的参考干货,核心内容如下:

1. 行业与消费趋势:近年来全球光伏储能需求持续爆发,中国逆变器企业凭借完整产业链和成本优势,已经拿下全球56%的市场份额,欧洲市场占比更是超过60%,头部品牌的出海空间已经打开。

2. 产品研发启示:阳光电源依托光伏逆变器的技术积累,提前布局储能赛道,快速形成技术优势,同时提前卡位AI数据中心配储新场景,即将发布适配英伟达算力集群的第一代SST固态变压器产品,抓住新需求红利。

3. 风险提示:出海品牌需要警惕地缘政策风险,目前欧盟已经出台禁令禁止公共项目使用中国逆变器,美国也推出相关草案,政策风险会直接冲击品牌业绩和市值,需要提前做好应对预案和风险对冲。

本文梳理了逆变器储能行业的最新政策变化和市场机会,对相关从业者的经营决策有参考价值,核心干货如下:

1. 最新政策解读:本次引发市场恐慌的美国逆变器进口禁令目前仍处于内部草案阶段,没有公开征求意见和落地时间表,年内落地概率极低,从业者无需过度恐慌;但也要注意,欧盟已经正式出台相关禁令,中国逆变器出海的政策风险整体在抬升。

2. 市场机会提示:当前全球储能需求仍处于爆发周期,AI数据中心配储未来会成为行业标配,虽然目前存在标准不统一等问题,预计2027-2028年就能实现大规模应用,相关配套产品有较大的增长空间。

3. 风险提示:当前光伏行业整体产能过剩,行业内卷加剧,储能产品价格持续下滑,会直接挤压企业毛利率,从业者要尽量分散市场布局,降低对单一海外市场的依赖,同时控制重资产业务的占比。

本文梳理了光伏储能行业的需求变化和发展趋势,对逆变器储能相关生产制造工厂有较多启示,核心干货如下:

1. 产品生产与设计需求:当前行业需求结构已经发生变化,储能业务已经超越传统光伏逆变器成为头部企业的第一大收入来源,同时AI算力中心的800V直流供电、配储成为新的刚需,需要适配新架构的专用电源产品,未来新场景的需求空间十分广阔。

2. 商业机会:中国逆变器企业已经占据全球超过一半的市场份额,龙头企业近年来拿下了沙特、拉美、法国等多个国家的大型储能订单,订单量增长稳定,相关代工生产工厂可以获得稳定的合作机会。

3. 转型启示:工厂可以依托光伏逆变器领域的技术积累,延伸布局储能相关产品的生产,抓住储能赛道的增长红利,同时要提前布局新场景的配套产品研发,还要注意分散客户和市场结构,降低海外政策变动带来的订单波动风险。

本文梳理了当前光储行业的发展趋势和行业痛点,对服务光储行业的相关服务商有较多参考价值,核心干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:当前传统光伏行业已经陷入产能过剩、价格内卷的发展阶段,储能成为全行业新的增长曲线,全球储能需求持续爆发,同时AI数据中心配储成为全新的增量场景,预计2027-2028年就能实现大规模应用,行业整体处于结构升级阶段。

2. 行业客户核心痛点:出海逆变器储能企业面临欧美政策不确定性的风险,很容易引发业绩和市值的大幅波动,缺少对应的风险对冲工具;AI数据中心配储目前还面临标准不统一、安装位置不明确等发展障碍;储能行业价格竞争加剧,企业降本增效的需求十分强烈。

3. 业务方向参考:服务商可以围绕出海企业的政策风险对冲、新应用场景的标准制定、企业数字化降本工具等方向开发解决方案,匹配当前行业客户的核心需求,获得新的增长机会。

本文梳理了光储行业的发展现状和需求,对新能源相关产业平台、投资交易平台的运营布局有参考价值,核心干货如下:

1. 市场对平台的核心需求:当前传统光伏行业产能过剩,大量企业都在转型拓展储能业务,对储能赛道的资源对接、合作拓展有强烈需求,同时投资者对储能相关优质企业的投资需求也在提升,平台需要匹配这类需求。

2. 平台风险规避方向:平台要重点提示海外政策风险,对于海外收入占比高的逆变器储能企业,要充分披露政策不确定性风险,避免过度炒作引发投资者大幅亏损,同时要警惕行业价格内卷对企业盈利能力的冲击,提前做好风险提示。

3. 平台招商与运营方向:平台可以重点引入具备技术优势、提前卡位新场景的头部储能企业,比如布局AI数据中心配储、新型供电设备的相关企业,这类企业符合行业未来发展方向,更容易获得市场和投资者的认可,也能帮助平台吸引更多流量。

本文梳理了光储产业的最新发展动向和龙头企业的成长路径,对产业研究者有较多干货内容,核心总结如下:

1. 产业最新动向:当前中国逆变器企业已经占据全球56%的市场份额,阳光电源以绝对优势位居全球第一,产业结构上储能已经超越传统光伏逆变器成为龙头企业的第一大收入来源,AI数据中心配储成为全新的增量场景,头部企业已经推出适配新需求的专用产品,产业新的增长曲线正在形成。

2. 产业新问题:中国储能逆变器出海面临越来越严峻的地缘政策压力,欧盟已经正式出台禁令限制中国逆变器,美国也在起草相关禁令,地缘政治风险已经成为影响出海企业业绩和估值的核心变量;同时光伏行业整体产能过剩,储能行业价格竞争加剧,头部企业的毛利率也出现大幅下滑,行业内卷问题突出。

3. 商业模式研究启示:阳光电源从单一逆变器业务,到拓展EPC业务再到转型光储双龙头的发展路径,证明依托原有技术积累拓展第二增长曲线,可以有效提升企业的抗周期能力,对新能源企业的转型发展有重要的研究参考价值。

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Quick Summary

This article outlines the full story of Sungrow Power Supply's sharp stock drop driven by rumors of a U.S. inverter import ban, and presents an overview of the company's current operations and an assessment of its investment value. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Event background: On June 30, news broke that the Trump administration had drafted a proposed ban on Chinese inverter imports. On July 1, China's A-share inverter sector plummeted, with industry leader Sungrow closing down 13.9% in a single day. The company lost more than RMB 40 billion in market capitalization that day, and nearly RMB 100 billion as of the time of publication, representing a nearly RMB 200 billion drop from its all-time market high.

2. Company profile: Sungrow is the dual global leader in both PV inverters and energy storage, holding the top global market share for inverters. By 2025, its energy storage business has surpassed PV inverters to become the company's largest source of revenue. More than 60% of its total revenue comes from overseas markets, with clear advantages in technology and order volume.

3. Investment assessment: The proposed ban remains only a draft and has not been enacted into formal law, making it extremely unlikely to take effect this year. Even if it is eventually implemented, it would only moderately dent Sungrow's revenue growth rather than triggering a cliff-like decline. The current sell-off driven by policy panic is very likely a "golden pit" buying opportunity; if the company achieves breakthroughs in AI-related energy storage products, it will also see a subsequent valuation re-rating.

This article breaks down the growth trajectory and current industry position of leading PV and energy storage player Sungrow, offering multi-dimensional insights for outbound new energy brands. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Industry and consumer trends: Global demand for PV and energy storage has surged in recent years. Leveraging a complete industrial chain and cost advantages, Chinese inverter manufacturers have captured 56% of the global market, and over 60% of the European market, opening up massive growth room for leading Chinese brands expanding overseas.

2. Product R&D insights: Drawing on its technical积累 in PV inverters, Sungrow positioned itself in the energy storage track early, rapidly built out technological advantages, and moved early to stake a claim in the new AI data center energy storage scenario. It is set to launch its first-generation SST solid-state transformer product adapted for NVIDIA's computing clusters, positioning it to capture the dividends of new emerging demand.

3. Risk warning: Outbound brands must stay alert to geopolitical policy risks. The EU has already enacted a ban barring Chinese inverters from public procurement projects, and the U.S. has released a related draft ban. Policy risk directly hits brands' revenue and market valuation, so companies need to prepare contingency plans and risk hedging strategies in advance.

This article summarizes the latest policy changes and market opportunities in the inverter and energy storage industry, providing actionable insights for operating decisions of industry practitioners. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Latest policy analysis: The U.S. inverter import ban that triggered recent market panic remains only an internal draft, with no public comment period or official implementation timeline. It is extremely unlikely to go into effect this year, so practitioners do not need to overreact. However, it is important to note that the EU has already formally implemented a related ban, meaning overall policy risk for Chinese inverter exporters is rising.

2. Market opportunity outlook: Global energy storage demand remains in a period of explosive growth. Energy storage for AI data centers will become a standard industry requirement in the future. While challenges including inconsistent standards remain, large-scale commercial adoption is expected by 2027-2028, leaving substantial room for growth for related supporting products.

3. Risk warning: The broader PV industry is currently facing overcapacity and intensifying cutthroat competition. Energy storage product prices have declined continuously, directly squeezing corporate gross margins. Practitioners should diversify their market footprint to reduce reliance on any single overseas market, while controlling the share of capital-heavy businesses in their portfolio.

This article summarizes shifting demand and development trends in the PV and energy storage industry, offering key insights for inverter and energy storage manufacturers. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Product design and manufacturing demand: The industry's demand structure has already shifted: energy storage has surpassed traditional PV inverters to become the largest revenue source for leading industry players. Meanwhile, 800V DC power supply and supporting energy storage for AI computing centers have emerged as new core requirements, creating demand for specialized power products adapted to new architectures. Demand from these new scenarios offers massive growth potential going forward.

2. Commercial opportunities: Chinese inverter manufacturers already hold more than half of the global market. Leading players have secured large-scale energy storage orders in Saudi Arabia, Latin America, France and other markets in recent years, with stable order growth. This creates steady cooperation opportunities for related contract manufacturing factories.

3. Transformation insights: Factories can leverage their existing technical experience in PV inverter manufacturing to expand into energy storage product production and capture the growth dividends of the energy storage track. They should also invest in R&D for supporting products for new emerging scenarios in advance, and diversify their client and market footprint to reduce order volatility driven by overseas policy changes.

This article outlines current development trends and pain points in the PV and energy storage industry, offering key insights for service providers serving the sector. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Industry development trends: The traditional PV industry has entered a phase of overcapacity and cutthroat price competition, and energy storage has become the new core growth curve for the entire industry. Global energy storage demand continues to surge, while energy storage for AI data centers has emerged as an entirely new incremental market. Large-scale adoption is expected by 2027-2028, and the industry as a whole is undergoing a structural upgrade.

2. Core pain points for industry clients: Outbound inverter and energy storage companies face policy uncertainty in Europe and the U.S., which can easily trigger sharp volatility in both revenue and market valuation, and most lack access to effective risk hedging tools. Energy storage for AI data centers still faces barriers including inconsistent standards and unclear installation requirements. Intensifying price competition in the energy storage sector has also created strong demand among companies for cost reduction and efficiency improvement solutions.

3. Business direction reference: Service providers can develop solutions focused on policy risk hedging for outbound companies, standard-setting for new application scenarios, and digital tools for corporate cost reduction. These offerings align with the core current needs of industry clients and can unlock new growth opportunities for service providers.

This article summarizes the current status and demand of the PV and energy storage industry, offering insights for the operation and layout of new energy industry platforms and investment trading platforms. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Core market demand for platforms: The traditional PV industry is facing overcapacity, and a large number of companies are transitioning to expand into the energy storage sector, creating strong demand for resource matching and partnership development in the energy storage track. At the same time, investor demand for high-quality energy storage companies is rising, and platforms need to adapt to these demands.

2. Platform risk mitigation guidance: Platforms should prioritize highlighting overseas policy risks. For inverter and energy storage companies with high shares of overseas revenue, platforms should fully disclose policy uncertainty risks to avoid excessive hype that leads to large losses for investors. They should also remain alert to the impact of industry price competition on corporate profitability and issue risk warnings in advance.

3. Platform recruitment and operation guidance: Platforms can prioritize onboarding leading energy storage companies with clear technological advantages and early positioning in new scenarios, such as companies focused on AI data center energy storage and new power supply equipment. These companies align with the future direction of the industry, are more likely to win recognition from the market and investors, and can help platforms attract more traffic.

This article summarizes the latest development trends of the PV and energy storage industry and the growth path of its leading player, offering valuable insights for industry researchers. Key conclusions are as follows:

1. Latest industry developments: Chinese inverter manufacturers currently hold 56% of the global market, with Sungrow claiming the top global position by a wide margin. On the structural level, energy storage has already surpassed traditional PV inverters to become the largest revenue source for leading industry players. Energy storage for AI data centers has emerged as an entirely new incremental market, and leading players have already launched specialized products adapted to this new demand, forming a new growth curve for the industry.

2. Emerging industry challenges: Chinese energy storage inverter exporters face growing geopolitical policy pressure. The EU has already formally enacted a ban restricting Chinese inverters, and the U.S. is drafting a similar ban. Geopolitical risk has become a core variable affecting the revenue and valuation of outbound companies. Meanwhile, the broader PV industry faces overcapacity, intensifying price competition in the energy storage sector has led to sharp gross margin declines even for leading players, making cutthroat competition a prominent industry issue.

3. Insights for business model research: Sungrow's growth trajectory—from a single inverter business, to expanding into EPC services, and transitioning to become a dual leader in both PV and energy storage—proves that leveraging existing technical accumulation to expand a second growth curve can effectively improve a company's counter-cyclical resilience. This offers important research reference for the transformation and development of other new energy companies.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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“美国逆变器禁令草案”的传闻,会给阳光电源带来什么实质性的影响?

李平 | 作者

平凡 | 编辑

砺石商业评论 | 出品

1

利空来袭股价大跌

近日,一则有关“美国逆变器禁令草案”的传闻,在国内逆变行业掀起了一场不小的风暴,同时也将光储龙头阳光电源推至二级市场的风口浪尖。

当地时间6月30日,路透社援引五名知情人士消息称,特朗普政府正在起草一项禁止进口外国产逆变器的禁令,拟以所谓“电网安全”为由限制新型号海外逆变器输入美国市场,目标直指中国厂商。路透社报道同时指出,新规最快年内落地,目前仍处于草案磋商阶段,存在修改、搁置的可能性。

7月1日,也就是上述消息公布次日,A股逆变器板块大跌。其中,板块龙头阳光电源盘中最大跌幅接近20%,收盘报跌13.9%,总市值一日内蒸发超400亿元。

作为能源设施中的关键设备,逆变器的主要作用是把直流电转变为交流电,并在此过程中承担着电能质量控制、能量调度、并离网与系统保护等多重核心职能,其可靠性、高效性和安全性将直接影响整个光伏系统的发电量及稳定性。

近年来,凭借完整的产业链优势和极致的成本控制能力,中国逆变器企业在全球的市场份额一路飙升。据伍德麦肯兹《2024年全球光伏逆变器市场报告》显示,中国逆变器企业全球出货量市占率达到56% 。其中,阳光电源以147GW出货量蝉联全球榜首。尤其在欧洲市场,中国逆变器占比已经超过60%,部分细分场景甚至达到70%-80%的绝对垄断水平。

事实上,早在美国之前,欧盟已经于2026年5月出台决议,明确禁止在公共资助的能源项目中使用中国制造的逆变器。因此,对于中国逆变器企业而言,美国的禁令草案成为继欧盟之后的又一记重拳。

作为全球逆变器市场的龙头企业,阳光电源自然首当其冲。数据显示,2025年全年,阳光电源实现总营收891.84亿元,其中海外营收高达539.92亿元,海外收入占比高达60.54%,同比增速接近50%。其中,美国属于公司海外重要组成部分,营收占比约为15%-20%(据公司此前在互动平台披露)。因此,一旦禁令落地,阳光电源在美国市场的储能逆变器、大型光伏逆变器等高毛利产品必然受到冲击。

7月1日下午,阳光电源紧急召开投资者交流会并披露互动记录,公司创始人曹仁贤亲自出席并针对市场传闻的“美国逆变器进口禁令”及股价波动作出回应。根据网传完整版纪要,针对有关美国逆变器的禁令报道,阳光电源认为所谓“美国FCC起草逆变器进口禁令”目前仅为外媒爆料的内部草案, 未形成正式法案 ,无公开征求意见、投票及落地时间表,年内落地概率极低。

阳光电源同时表示,美国整体营收占公司总营收10%-20%区间,以大型地面光伏逆变器、储能PCS、大型储能系统为主,户用逆变器占比极低;就算未来禁令落地,也不会对全年净利润造成重大冲击,最多小幅影响增速,不会出现业绩断崖下滑。

针对市场高度关注的“数据中心配储”,阳光电源也给出了较为积极的回应。阳光电源表示,未来数据中心将成为电网友好型负荷,配储可能成为标配,但目前还面临到标准不统一、安装位置未定等问题,大规模应用预计在2027-2028年。阳光电源同时披露,公司将于7月内正式对外发布第一代SST固态变压器产品,专门适配AI算力中心800V直流供电的核心设备,完美匹配英伟达算力集群供电架构。

然而,阳光电源这场覆盖九百人的电话会议似乎并没有起到“危机公关”的效果。截至最近一个交易日收盘,阳光电源最新市值约为2239.07亿元,总市值蒸发近1000亿元。

显然,面对悬而未决的海外政策利空,阳光电源遭遇资金集中避险出逃,短期内空方力量呈现压倒性优势。从拉长周期来看,阳光电源市值距离其历史高点(2025年11月)缩水更是近2000亿元。这其中,除了“美国逆变器禁令草案”这一突发利空之外,阳光电源不及预期的财报数据也是其股价承压的一个深层次原因。

2

光储双龙头的成长之路

阳光电源成立于2007年,最早从事不间断电源、应急电源等业务,创始人曹仁贤原为合肥工业大学教师。2003年,阳光电源成功研制出中国首台具有完全自主知识产权的10kW光伏并网逆变器,打破了国外企业的垄断。2011年,阳光电源成功登陆创业板,成为“新能源电源第一股”。

不过,阳光电源在上市之后不久便经历了遭遇到欧美“双反”叠加国内产能严重过剩的行业危机。2012年,阳光电源净利润缩水超过50%,扣非净利润降幅超过90%。

为了摆脱光伏产业周期性对企业的负面冲击,阳光电源决定进军下游的新能源投资开发业务,改变了此前“专一”深耕逆变器的策略。数据显示,2013年-2019年,阳光电源新能源投资开发业务营收从6.61亿元增长至79.39亿元,营收占比则从31.18%提升至61.06%。

据悉,阳光电源新能源投资开发业务主要是以EPC承包商的身份切入电站项目(以光伏为主,含风电)开发领域,为客户提供从立项、设计、采购、施工到交付的 全生命周期解决方案 。

但从商业模式来看,阳光电源新能源投资开发业务本质上仍是低毛利率(10%-20%)、重资产、以系统集成为核心的EPC(工程总承包)业务,这也导致阳光电源应收账款持续飙升,公司毛利率水平随着该业务占比的提升而持续下行。

因此,在很长的一段时间内,阳光电源在光伏行业的影响力并不突出,市值表现远不及隆基股份、通威股份等头部光伏企业。自2023年开始,阳光电源新能源投资开发业务营收规模处于快速缩水态势。

不过,储能业务的爆发最终让阳光电源迎来了逆天改命的机会。早在2016年,阳光电源便前瞻性地进行储能变流器(PCS)的研发投入。凭借在光伏逆变器上积累的拓扑结构、电网支撑算法等核心技术,阳光电源在保持较高的研发效率的同时实现了储能逆变器快速迭代。与此同时,依托自研的PCS、BMS(电池管理系统)、EMS(能量管理系统)以及独创的PowMart智慧能源解决方案,阳光电源成功将“储能系统集成”打造为核心业务支柱,这一独特的商业模式使其在激烈的市场竞争中脱颖而出。

凭借着在光伏逆变器的技术积累,阳光电源在储能逆变器领域发展迅速,并成功将技术优势转化为市场胜势。尤其是近两年以来,阳光电源先后拿下沙特7.8GWh、拉美880MWh、法国800MWh等大型储能订单,行业知名度及影响力不断提升。

数据显示,2020年-2024年,阳光电源储能系统营收从11.69亿元增长至249.59亿元,成功为公司打开第二增长曲线,并抵消了公司新能源投资开发业务营收缩水对公司整体业绩的冲击。2025年,阳光电源储能营收达到372.87亿元,营收占比达到41.81%,正式超越光伏逆变器成为公司第一大收入来源。

3

价值拐点还是“黄金坑”机会?

伴随着储能业务的快速爆发,阳光电源在上一轮新能源超级大牛市中受到了资金的热力追捧。2021年7月,阳光电源总市值突破2400亿元,动态市盈率超过110倍,成为光伏板块中最“贵”的头部上市公司。

2023年以来,光伏行业内卷持续加剧,产能过剩问题愈发突出,硅料、电池片、组件等产品价格纷纷大跌,传统光伏企业营收持续缩水,亏损金额不断加剧。

另一方面,由于阳光电源坚持光伏+储能两条腿走路的模式,企业经营抗风险性明显增强。数据显示,2024年阳光电源实现净利润110.36亿元。对比看,隆基绿能、通威股份等头部光伏企业则纷纷陷入亏损的泥潭,股价也随着一落千丈。截至目前,隆基绿能、通威股份最新市值分别为881亿元、480亿元,早已被阳光电源远远甩在身后。

2025年以来,得益于全球储能需求的爆发以及海外市场的持续突破,阳光电源经营业绩在此迎来强劲增长。此前的财报数据显示,2025年前三季度,阳光电源实现营业收入664.02亿元,同比增长32.95%;实现归母净利润118.81亿元,同比增幅高达56.34%,盈利能力持续领跑行业。

随着经营业绩的节节攀升,阳光电源股价迎来了一波极其强劲的上涨。2025年4月-2025年11月,阳光电源股价从低点51.76元一路飙升至11月初的209.88元,短短7个月内实现了约3倍的涨幅。2025年11月6日,阳光电源一举创下4135亿元市值的历史新高,成为A股市场光伏储能板块的绝对王者。

不过,阳光电源股价的大幅上涨还是引发了部分资金的抛售——尤其是公司2025年年报业绩发布之后,阳光电源股价开始下跌。2026年4月7日,阳光电源股价最低跌至121.05元,短短五个月之内股价缩水幅度超过40%,这也令不少追高买入的投资者损失惨重。

回头来看,2025年第四季度的业绩“爆雷”成为阳光电源股价加速下挫的一个重要因素。年报数据显示,2025年第四季度,阳光电源实现营收227.82亿元,同比下滑18.37%;实现归母净利润15.8亿元,同比大跌54.02%。这是自2021年四季度以来,阳光电源首次出现单季度营收与净利润双双下滑的情况。

分业务来看,储能业务的大幅收缩成为阳光电源四季度业绩急转直下的一个关键点。数据显示,2025年第四季度,阳光电源储能业务实现销售收入84.9亿元,同比、环比分别下滑22%和23%。从产品单价来看,随着电芯采购成本的增加以及行业竞争的加剧,阳光电源四季度储能系统单价已降至0.6元/Wh,环比跌幅高达45%。

除了营收端不及预期之外,阳光电源毛利率也出现了“意外”大跌。数据显示,2025年第四季度,阳光电源毛利率仅为22.95%,较第三季度下滑仅13个点。这其中,除了储能业务单价的骤降之外,低毛利电站开发业务的集中确认也是一个主要原因。

随后发布的2026年第一季报数据显示,阳光电源实现营收155.61亿元,同比下滑18.26%,实现净利润22.91亿元,同比下滑40.12%。但从毛利率来看,阳光电源一季度毛利率已经提升至33.26%,其中储能业务已经回升至30%,相较于2025年第四季度的24%左右有了明显回升,主要得益于如欧洲等高毛利区域占比的提升。

尽管经营业绩依然处于“双杀”的态势,阳光电源股价却在一季报发布之后迎来了一波强势反弹。4月28日-5月28日,阳光电源股价从130.7元最高上涨至191.71元,期间最大涨幅超过50%。截至5月28日收盘,阳光电源总市值约为3941亿元,距离历史新高仅有一步之遥。

不幸的是,“美国逆变器禁令”传闻的突出再次对阳光电源股价造成重创。但从阳光电源一季报业绩下滑而股价反而冲高这一情形来看,投资者仍然看好其储能业务的未来成长天花板。毕竟,无论从技术实力还是从海外大单获取能力来看,阳光电源在储能赛道的领先优势都有目共睹。此外,如果一旦公司AIDC电源、AI储能等新品研发取得关键性突破,势必会引发新一轮的价值重估。政策恐慌所带来的股价下探,很可能是阳光电源冲击新一轮行情前的“黄金坑”机会。

注:文/李平,文章来源:砺石商业评论(公众号ID:libusiness),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:砺石商业评论

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FAQ回顾

阳光电源主要业务有哪些?

阳光电源是全球光伏储能龙头,核心业务包括光伏逆变器、储能系统集成,此前曾布局新能源电站EPC开发业务。2025年其储能营收占比达41.81%,正式超越光伏逆变器成为第一大收入来源,目前还在研发适配AI算力中心的SST固态变压器产品。

美国逆变器禁令传闻对阳光电源造成了哪些影响?

2024年6月美国拟出台进口逆变器禁令的传闻流出后,阳光电源股价单日收盘下跌13.9%,总市值累计蒸发近千亿元。阳光电源回应该禁令目前仅为草案,年内落地概率极低,美国营收占比仅10%-20%,即便落地也不会造成业绩断崖下滑。

中国逆变器企业在全球市场的占比怎么样?

据伍德麦肯兹《2024年全球光伏逆变器市场报告》统计,中国逆变器企业全球出货量市占率达56%,其中阳光电源以147GW出货量蝉联全球榜首。欧洲市场中国逆变器占比超60%,部分细分场景达70%-80%的绝对垄断水平。

阳光电源在储能赛道有哪些竞争优势?

阳光电源2016年就前瞻性布局储能变流器研发,依托光伏逆变器领域积累的核心技术实现产品快速迭代,自研PCS、BMS、EMS及独创PowMart智慧能源解决方案,先后拿下沙特7.8GWh等多个海外大型储能订单,全球市占率领先。

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