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“女性茅台”神话破灭 爱美客的价值逻辑正在被重估

李平 2026-06-15 14:02
李平 2026/06/15 14:02

邦小白快读

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本文梳理了医美龙头爱美客从“女性茅台”的市值神话到市值缩水超1500亿、价值被重估的全过程,核心干货信息如下:

1. 发展与股价历程:爱美客2004年创立,2020年以“国内玻尿酸第一股”身份登陆创业板,2021年创下1523.49元每股的历史最高价,总市值接近1800亿,此后持续下跌,截至2026年年初,收盘价仅94.27元,总市值不足300亿,无数中小投资者被套,创始人身家也缩水超300亿。

2. 业绩现状:2025年爱美客营收、归母净利润、扣非净利润分别同比下滑18.94%、34.05%、41.30%,且扣非净利润逐季恶化,核心大单品嗨体、濡白天使营收均下滑超26%,新增并购的童颜针业务没能扭转颓势,2026年一季度仍保持负增长。

3. 下跌核心原因:行业内卷加剧,消费需求疲软,核心大单品的垄断格局被竞品打破,爱美客未能建立新的护城河,高增长逻辑破灭引发资本市场价值重估。

本文对医美行业品牌商有多维度的干货参考,核心内容如下:

1. 行业与消费趋势:当前轻医美行业已经告别野蛮生长红利期,整体消费需求疲软,内卷加剧,细分赛道垄断格局极易被打破,上游品牌的定价权不断流失,各类注射产品价格大幅下滑,行业整体进入挤泡沫阶段。

2. 产品研发警示:过去依靠单一大单品垄断细分赛道就能获得超90%毛利率、数百倍市盈率高估值的黄金时代已经终结,过度依赖单一大单品会带来极高的经营风险,爱美客就是因为核心产品嗨体的独占性消失,直接陷入业绩双降的泥沼。

3. 业务拓展提示:外延并购、拓展新品类的策略,如果规模不够大,无法对冲核心主业的下滑,也很难扭转企业的负增长趋势,品牌商需要持续研发新品,搭建多产品护城河才能维持稳定增长。

4. 资本层面参考:即便拥有超过茅台的高毛利,若没有持续高增长和新的壁垒,资本市场会快速完成杀估值、杀业绩、杀逻辑的三重重估,品牌市值和创始人财富都会大幅缩水。

本文能给医美行业下游卖家提供需求变化、风险提示、机会参考等多方面干货,内容如下:

1. 行业变化现状:当前轻医美整体消费需求疲软,上游行业内卷引发产品价格大幅下滑,会向下传导压缩下游卖家的利润空间,行业整体红利消退,进入调整阶段。

2. 风险提示:过往依赖头部品牌独家爆品引流、盈利的模式已经不再可靠,独家爆品的垄断优势很容易被竞品打破,会导致卖家的引流效果和利润同步下滑,需要提前调整产品结构。

3. 机会提示:差异化的合规细分产品依然有市场机会,爱美客最初就是靠国内首款专门修复颈纹的嗨体打开市场,获得了超高利润,卖家可以挖掘更多差异化合规产品,布局多元产品矩阵,分散经营风险。

4. 趋势提示:医美上游单一大单品神话已经终结,行业整体波动加剧,卖家需要控制对单一品牌、单一爆品的依赖,提前应对行业变化带来的冲击。

本文对医美上游生产制造工厂,有产品需求、商业机会、发展战略方面的诸多启示,干货内容如下:

1. 产品生产设计需求:当前医美注射产品市场竞争白热化,消费者可选产品丰富,只有具备差异化优势、合规独家资质的产品才能获得高溢价,工厂在研发生产阶段,就需要瞄准尚未被满足的细分消费需求做布局,才能获得更高的订单利润。

2. 商业机会与风险:单一大单品支撑企业增长的时代已经结束,如果工厂仅为少数头部品牌做单一品类代工,会因为头部品牌业绩下滑遭遇订单大幅波动的风险,工厂需要主动拓展多客户、多品类的业务布局,分散经营风险。

3. 发展启示:不管是代工还是自有品牌工厂,都需要持续投入研发,不断推出符合市场需求的新品,建立多产品的竞争壁垒,不能躺在过往大单品的优势上,也可以尝试通过整合海外先进技术产品,拓展自身的业务边界,寻找新的增长点。

本文能给医美产业链相关服务商明确行业发展趋势、客户痛点,找到自身的业务方向,干货内容如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:国内医美上游已经从供不应求的野蛮生长红利期,进入供过于求、内卷加剧的调整挤泡沫阶段,多数上游品牌都面临增长瓶颈,资本对医美赛道的热度已经大幅消退,全行业都在经历挤泡沫的过程。

2. 核心客户痛点:上游品牌商的核心痛点是原有大单品的垄断优势消失,新的增长点不足,资本信心缺失,市值和品牌影响力都在下滑;下游医美卖家的核心痛点是上游价格战压缩了自身利润,获客和用户留存的难度持续提升。

3. 业务解决方案方向:服务商可以针对上游品牌商的需求,推出新品研发合规咨询、多产品矩阵规划、投资者关系管理、资本对接等服务;针对下游卖家,可以推出选品优化、精准流量运营、用户运营等相关服务,帮助不同环节的参与者应对行业调整。

本文对布局医美赛道的各类平台商,在招商、运营管理、风险规避方面有诸多参考,干货内容如下:

1. 行业需求与现存问题:当前医美上游品牌普遍面临业绩下滑、增长乏力的问题,对平台的引流赋能、品牌推广、招商对接的需求比以往更高,传统的头部品牌已经不再拥有绝对的流量和业绩优势,平台原有倚重头部品牌的运营模式需要调整。

2. 招商与运营建议:平台招商不能只迷信头部大牌的光环,需要主动挖掘更多拥有差异化合规新品的中小品牌,丰富平台的产品供给,满足消费者多样化的需求,同时可以针对不同品牌的增长需求,推出分层的运营扶持方案,帮助品牌对接需求,提升平台整体交易额。

3. 风险规避提示:医美行业已经进入调整期,头部品牌的业绩波动较大,平台需要避免过度集中资源重仓少数头部医美品牌,降低业绩波动带来的影响,同时要严格审核平台产品的合规资质,规避不合规产品带来的政策和舆论风险。

本文为医美产业研究者提供了非常典型的头部企业案例,反映了国内医美上游产业的最新动向与核心问题,干货内容如下:

1. 产业最新动向:国内医美上游产业已经正式结束了靠单一大单品垄断细分赛道就能获得高增长高利润的黄金时代,行业整体供需格局发生逆转,定价权从上游向下游转移,曾经的“医美三剑客”先后出现业绩下滑、市值缩水,整个赛道都在经历资本市场的挤泡沫过程。

2. 产业新问题:过往资本市场对医美赛道“高毛利+高增长=高估值”的定价逻辑已经被打破,当企业的高增长红利消退,又没能及时建立新的竞争护城河,就会遭遇杀估值、杀业绩、杀逻辑的戴维斯三杀,资本对赛道的信心已经大幅消退。

3. 研究价值:爱美客从兴起到陨落的全过程,为研究大单品商业模式、医美产业发展规律、资本市场估值逻辑都提供了非常鲜活的完整案例,对研究国内消费医疗赛道的发展趋势、企业成长规律都有很高的参考价值。

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Quick Summary

This article chronicles the full trajectory of Imeik, China's leading medical aesthetics company, from its "female Moutai" market cap myth to a market value erosion of over 150 billion yuan and a full industry revaluation. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Development and share price history: Founded in 2004, Imeik went public on the ChiNext board in 2020 as "China's first hyaluronic acid stock". It hit an all-time high of 1,523.49 yuan per share in 2021, with a total market capitalization approaching 180 billion yuan. Since then, its share price has fallen steadily: as of early 2026, its closing price stands at only 94.27 yuan per share, with total market cap below 30 billion yuan. Countless retail investors have been left holding losing positions, and the founder's personal net worth has also shrunk by more than 30 billion yuan.

2. Current performance: In 2025, Imeik's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and non-GAAP net profit fell 18.94%, 34.05% and 41.30% year-on-year respectively, with non-GAAP net profit worsening quarter over quarter. Revenue of its core flagship products, Heite and Rutian Tianxin, both dropped over 26%. The newly acquired polydioxanone thread (PDS) injectable business failed to reverse the downturn, and the company remained in negative growth in the first quarter of 2026.

3. Core reasons for the decline: Intensifying industry competition, weakening consumer demand, and the breakdown of its monopoly position in core flagship product segments by competitors have left Imeik unable to build new competitive moats. The collapse of its high-growth investment thesis triggered a full revaluation by the capital market.

This article offers multi-dimensional actionable insights for medical aesthetics brand owners, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Industry and consumer trends: The minimally invasive medical aesthetics industry has left its era of explosive unregulated growth behind. It now faces weak overall consumer demand and intensifying competition, where monopolies in niche segments are easily disrupted. Pricing power for upstream brands continues to erode, prices of various injectable products have dropped sharply, and the entire industry is in a phase of deflating excess valuation.

2. R&D warning: The golden era of achieving over 90% gross margins and hundreds of times price-to-earnings valuations by monopolizing a niche segment with a single flagship product is over. Over-reliance on one core product carries extremely high operational risk: Imeik fell into a pattern of dual revenue and profit decline immediately after the exclusive advantage of its core product Heite disappeared.

3. Business expansion guidance: Outbound mergers and acquisitions to expand into new product categories cannot offset a decline in core business or reverse negative growth if the new lines are too small in scale. Brands must continuously develop new products and build a multi-product competitive moat to maintain stable growth.

4. Capital market insights: Even with gross margins higher than Kweichow Moutai, the capital market will quickly reprice the stock through the three-stage process of valuation compression, earnings downgrades and investment thesis rejection without sustained high growth and new barriers to entry, resulting in sharp drops in both brand market cap and founder wealth.

This article provides downstream medical aesthetics sellers with actionable insights on demand shifts, risk warnings and growth opportunities, as follows:

1. Current industry changes: Overall consumer demand for minimally invasive medical aesthetics is weak, and upstream competition has triggered sharp product price drops that pass downstream, squeezing sellers' profit margins. The industry's broad growth era has ended, and it is now in a correction phase.

2. Risk warning: The old model of relying on exclusive flagship products from top brands for customer acquisition and profit is no longer reliable. The monopoly advantage of exclusive hit products is easily broken by competitors, which causes a simultaneous drop in sellers' customer acquisition effectiveness and profit margins. Sellers need to adjust their product structure proactively.

3. Opportunity outlook: Differentiated, compliant niche products still hold market opportunities. Imeik originally gained market share and ultra-high profits with Heite, China's first product specifically for neck wrinkle treatment. Sellers can explore more differentiated compliant products, build a diversified product portfolio, and diversify operational risk.

4. Trend outlook: The era of the single flagship product myth for upstream medical aesthetics is over, and overall industry volatility has increased. Sellers need to reduce dependence on a single brand or single hit product, and prepare proactively for shocks from industry shifts.

This article offers insights on product demand, business opportunities and development strategy for upstream manufacturing factories in the medical aesthetics industry, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Product design and development demand: The market for injectable medical aesthetics products is now hyper-competitive, with abundant options for consumers. Only products with differentiated advantages and compliant exclusive qualifications can command a premium. To secure higher profit per order, factories need to target unmet niche consumer demand during their R&D and production planning phase.

2. Business opportunities and risks: The era of relying on a single flagship product to drive corporate growth has ended. If a factory only acts as an OEM for a small number of leading brands in a single product category, it will face sharp order volatility when the leading brands' performance declines. Factories need to proactively expand their business to serve multiple clients across multiple product categories to diversify operational risk.

3. Development insights: Both OEM factories and factories with own brands must continuously invest in R&D, launch new products that match market demand, and build multi-product competitive barriers, rather than resting on past advantages of their flagship products. They can also seek new growth points by integrating advanced overseas technology and products to expand their business boundaries.

This article helps medical aesthetics industry service providers clarify industry development trends, client pain points and identify their own business directions, with key insights as follows:

1. Industry development trends: China's upstream medical aesthetics sector has transitioned from a high-growth era of unregulated expansion with undersupply to a correction and deflation phase marked by oversupply and intensifying competition. Most upstream brands are facing growth bottlenecks, capital enthusiasm for the medical aesthetics track has cooled significantly, and the entire industry is going through a process of deflating excess valuation.

2. Core client pain points: For upstream brands, the core pain point is the loss of monopoly advantage of original flagship products, lack of new growth drivers, weakening capital confidence, and declines in both market cap and brand influence. For downstream sellers, the core pain point is that upstream price wars have compressed their profit margins, while customer acquisition and user retention have become increasingly difficult.

3. Business direction for solutions: Service providers can develop offerings tailored to upstream brands' needs, such as compliance consulting for new product R&D, multi-product portfolio planning, investor relations management, and capital connection services. For downstream sellers, they can offer services including product selection optimization, targeted traffic operation, and user management to help participants across all industry segments navigate the sector correction.

This article offers references for medical aesthetics-focused platform operators on business recruitment, operations management and risk mitigation, as follows:

1. Industry demand and existing problems: Upstream medical aesthetics brands are currently facing widespread performance declines and stagnant growth, so their demand for platforms' customer acquisition support, brand promotion, and business matching services is higher than ever. Traditional leading brands no longer hold absolute advantages in traffic and performance, so platforms need to adjust their original operating model that over-reliant on top brands.

2. Recruitment and operation recommendations: Platforms should not only chase the cachet of big-name leading brands in recruitment. They should proactively source more small and mid-sized brands with differentiated compliant new products to enrich platform product supply and meet consumers' diversified demand. Meanwhile, platforms can roll out tiered operation support schemes tailored to different brands' growth needs, help brands match market demand, and lift the platform's overall transaction volume.

3. Risk mitigation guidance: The medical aesthetics industry has entered a correction phase, and leading brands face high performance volatility. Platforms should avoid concentrating too many resources on a small number of top medical aesthetics brands to reduce the impact of performance volatility. They should also strictly audit the compliance qualifications of products on their platforms to avoid policy and public opinion risks from non-compliant products.

This article provides medical aesthetics industry researchers with a highly typical case study of a leading enterprise, reflecting the latest developments and core issues in China's upstream medical aesthetics sector, with key insights as follows:

1. Latest industry developments: China's upstream medical aesthetics industry has officially ended the golden era of achieving high growth and high profits by monopolizing a niche segment with a single flagship product. The overall supply and demand pattern of the industry has reversed, and pricing power has shifted from upstream to downstream. The once-called "Three Musketeers of Medical Aesthetics" have all experienced performance declines and market cap erosion, and the entire track is going through a deflation of excess valuation by the capital market.

2. New core industry issues: The old capital market pricing logic for the medical aesthetics track, which equated "high gross margin + high growth = high valuation", has been broken. When a company's high-growth dividend fades and it fails to build new competitive moats in time, it will suffer the "triple kill" of valuation compression, earnings downgrades and investment thesis rejection, and capital confidence in the track has declined sharply.

3. Research value: The full trajectory of Imeik from its rise to its downturn provides a vivid, complete case study for research on the single flagship product business model, the development law of the medical aesthetics industry, and the valuation logic of the capital market. It has high reference value for research on the development trend and corporate growth law of China's consumer healthcare track.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

随着大单品的失速以及行业内卷的加剧,爱美客正遭遇资本市场的价值重估。

李平 | 作者

平凡 | 编辑

砺石商业评论 | 出品

1

市值缩水超1500亿元

“市场在大牛市情况下,公司现在都已经跌破了发行价了,公司没有什么市值维护的动作吗?”

昔日凭借“嗨体”大单品热销而创造市值神话的医美龙头爱美客,如今正深陷业绩失速与股价承压的双重泥沼,这也令其不得不直面来自众多中小投资者的“灵魂拷问”。

2020年9月,爱美客头顶“国内玻尿酸第一股”的光环登陆创业板,发行价高达118.27元/股。2021年7月1日,爱美客股价曾创下1523.49元(复权价)的历史新高,总市值超过1700亿元,“女人的茅台”这一称号也由此在资本市场广为流传。

然而,仅凭7亿元营收就创造近2000亿元市值的爱美客受到了不少价值投资者的质疑。也是从2021年7月开始,爱美客股价走向了漫漫寻底之路。数据显示,2023年-2025年,爱美客股价年跌幅分别为48.5%、12.86%、20.25%。

进入到2026年之后,“医美茅”爱美客依然没有止跌的迹象。截至最近一个交易日,爱美客收盘价为94.27元,市值仅为285亿人民币,再创上市以来新低。这其中,经营业绩的骤然下滑成为爱美客股价跌跌不休的一个主要原因。

年报数据显示,2025年全年,爱美客实现营业收入24.53亿元,同比减少18.94%;实现归母净利润为12.91亿元,同比下降34.05%;扣非净利润为10.99亿元,同比降幅高达41.30%。

分季度来看,2025年Q1-Q4,爱美客实现营收分别为6.63亿元、6.36亿元、5.66亿元、5.88亿元,对应同比增速分别为-17.9%、-25.1%、-21.3%、-9.6%;同期,公司实现扣非净利润分别为4.02亿元、3.20亿元、2.55亿元、1.22亿元,对应同比增速分别为-24.02%、-42.83%、-42.37%、-64.14%。

不难看出,从2025年全年四个季度来看,爱美客始终处于营收、净利润双降的泥潭之中,尤其从其扣非净利润来看明显处于逐季恶化的趋势之中。

分产品来看,爱美客溶液类与凝胶类两大主力产品营收均出现了明显的下滑,主要受轻医美行业竞争加剧、消费需求疲软影响。其中,以“嗨体”为代表的溶液类注射产品实现销售收入12.65亿元,同比下降27.48%;以“濡白天使”为代表的凝胶类注射产品实现销售收入8.90亿元,同比下降26.82%。

面对主业增长的乏力,爱美客一度通过外延并购来拓展业务边界。2025年3月,爱美客发布公告称,拟通过全资子公司爱美客国际收购韩国REGEN公司85%的股权,将后者的两大核心产品AestheFill(面部填充剂)与PowerFill(身体填充剂)的全球销售纳入版图。年报数据显示,2025年全年,爱美客新增的冻干粉类注射产品贡献收入2.08亿元,营收占比为8.48%。

然而,由于公司两大传统主力产品营收的大幅下滑,“童颜针”业务的增长并没有让爱美客摆脱负增长的泥潭。进入到2026年,爱美客的业绩颓势仍在继续。最新发布的一季度财报数据显示,2026年1-3月,爱美客实现营收6.34亿元,同比下降4.48%,实现归母净利润为2.98亿元,同比下降32.79%。

2026年至今,爱美客股价累计跌幅已经近40%,总市值不足300亿元,无数中小投资者深套其中。与此同时,受公司股价大幅下跌影响,爱美客创始人简军的身家也大幅缩水。2026年胡润全球富豪榜单显示,简军财富已经从五年前的520亿元缩水至195亿元,全球排名从第336位下滑至第1689位。

所有命运馈赠的礼物,早已在暗中表明了价格。对于“?玻尿酸女王?”简军来说,这句话更是别具一番道理。

2

“女人的茅台”的虚与实

公开资料显示,简军出生于1963年,毕业于?对外经济贸易大学?英语学院。20世纪90年代,简军先后在美国和巴拿马的贸易公司工作。就在其海外工作期间,简军偶然接触到玻尿酸注射技术,并敏锐地察觉到了医美市场的巨大潜力,从而萌生了回国创业的念头。

2004年,41岁的简军回到国内,与丈夫姚京及朋友共同出资创立了北京英之煌生物科技有限公司,这便是爱美客的前身。彼时,国内尚未有玻尿酸生产技术,只能从欧美及韩国企业进口。

2009年,经过了长期的研发攻关之后,英之煌自主研发的首款复合玻尿酸注射产品“逸美”成功取得III类医疗器械注册证并上市,一举打破外资垄断的市场格局。此后,英之煌又陆续推出了长效玻尿酸“宝尼达”、含利多卡因的无痛玻尿酸“爱芙莱”等一系列重磅产品。

2016年,北京英之煌生物科技有限公司正式更名为爱美客。同年12月,爱美客明星产品“嗨体”取得III类医疗器械注册证,后于2017年正式上市,成为国内首款专门用于修复颈纹的复合注射材料,进一步巩固了其在医美江湖的龙头地位。

2020年9月,爱美客头顶“国内玻尿酸第一股”的光环登陆创业板,发行价高达118.27元/股。上市首日,爱美客股价便飙升至320元/股,首日涨幅高达170.57%。在此之后,爱美客股价继续保持快速攀升。2021年2月,爱美客股价最高涨至1331元/股,较上市首日收盘价上涨315%,市盈率更是逼近400倍。

此后发布的年报数据显示,2020年全年,爱美客实现营收7.1亿元,同比增长27.2%;实现归母净利润4.4亿元,同比增长43.9%。其中,大单品“嗨体”作为国内首款及目前唯一获批的颈部皱纹改善产品,2020年全年公司实现营业收入44737.52万元,在总营收的占比超过六成,成为驱动公司业绩快速增长的关键点。

拉长周期来看,爱美客业绩增速更为惊人。数据显示,2016年-2020年,爱美客营收从1.12亿元增长至7.09亿元,五年内增幅超过七倍;同期,公司扣非净利润由4412万元增长至4.24亿元,五年内增幅接近10倍。

另外,爱美客的销售毛利率和销售净利润率也非常惊人。据招股书披露,2019年,爱美客“嗨体”产品单位成本仅为24.72元/支,出厂价却高达352.61元/支。因此,爱美客拥有着高达91.81%的销售毛利率和61.1%的销售净利润率,远超华熙生物、昊海生科等竞争对手,甚至已经超过了贵州茅台。

年报所披露的股东信息同时显示,投资大佬葛卫东在2020年第四季度大举买入爱美客43.45万股,直接跃升为公司第二大流通股东(持有市值约3亿元左右),引发了市场的广泛关注。此外,刘格菘的广发小盘、胡昕炜的汇添富中盘价值等知名机构均位列爱美客前十大流动股名单。

年报公布之后,爱美客股价盘整之后继续上攻,并于2021年7月创出历史新高。2021年7月1日,爱美客股价曾创下1523.49元/股(复权价)的历史新高,总市值逼近1800亿元,静态市盈率超过400倍,“女人的茅台”这一称号也由此在资本市场广为流传。

3

从杀估值到杀逻辑

然而,对比市盈率仅30倍左右的贵州茅台来看,爱美客超过400倍的盈利率受到了不少价值投资者的质疑。与此同时,自2021年下半年以来,A股白酒、医药、新能源等前期热门赛道均经历了显著的估值回调与股价下跌。在此背景下,爱美客股价从2021年7月便开始掉头向下。截至2024年9月,爱美客股价最低跌至128元,总市值跌至400亿元左右。

不过,就在公司股价节节下滑的同时,爱美客的经营业绩仍然保持了快速的增长。数据显示,2022年-2023年,爱美客实现营收分别为19.39亿元、28.69亿元,对应同比增速分别为33.91%、47.99%;同期,公司实现净利润分别为12.64亿元、18.58亿元,对应同比增速分别为31.90%、47.08%。这其中,除了明星大单品“嗨体”的放量之外,爱美客童颜针“濡白天使”(2021年上市)也成为拉动公司营收增长的一个关键。

同时,伴随着公司经营业绩的持续提升以及股价的回落,爱美客动态市盈率已经跌至30倍之后,此前高估值问题得到了明显的改善。因此,“924”行情启动之后,爱美客股价一度强劲上涨至273元附近,总市值重回到900亿元左右。

进入到2024年以来,随着华熙生物“润致·格格”等同类竞品相继获批上市,爱美客核心产品“嗨体”的市场垄断格局被打破,其市场地位与业绩表现均受到直接冲击。数据显示,2024年,爱美客实现营收30.26亿元,同比增长5.45%;同期,公司实现净利润为19.58亿元,同比增长5.33%。分产品看,爱美客溶液类和凝胶类两大主力产品营收增速均降至个位数。

至2025年,爱美客营收、净利润同时出现了负增长,“嗨体”、“濡白天使”两大产品均面临到增长瓶颈。二级市场上,爱美客股价在短暂反弹后又重回跌势。尤其是在2025年年报发布之后,爱美客股价加速下滑。

如果说爱美客股价在“924”行情启动之前属于“杀估值”阶段,2024年年报发布之后则明显属于“杀业绩”阶段。而从最近两个月的单边下跌行情来看,爱美客股价的下跌明显有些“杀逻辑”的味道。

长期以来,“颜值经济”备受二级市场关注。除了爱美客之外,华熙生物、巨子生物等个股市值都曾超越或者逼近千亿市值。然而,随着行业供需格局的逆转,医美产业链上游定价权的失势,童颜针、水光针、熊猫针等产品价格大幅下滑。而早在2023年,华熙生物经营业绩就出现了负增长,股价也随之一落千丈。

相比华熙生物,爱美客一度显示出较强的盈利韧性,这也是公司股价此前相对坚挺的原因所在。但随着“嗨体”产品独占性的消失以及“濡白天使”所在的童颜针赛道竞争的加剧,爱美客终究未能抵挡业绩下滑的压力,这也标志着医美上游靠单一“大单品”垄断细分赛道的黄金时代正式终结。

显然,当医美赛道告别野蛮生长的红利期,资本市场的狂热也随之褪去,“医美三剑客”曾经的市值神话正面临严峻的挤泡沫考验。而爱美客的案例更是生动地展示出资本市场的现实与残酷:当一家公司的高增长红利消退且未能及时建立起新的护城河时,二级市场便会通过“戴维斯三杀”(杀估值、杀业绩、杀逻辑)对其进行价值重估。

注:文/李平,文章来源:砺石商业评论(公众号ID:libusiness),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:砺石商业评论

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