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任泽平团队回应解散会员群 年内VIP收入超2600万 有学员受舆情影响退款

蓝鲸 2026-07-21 11:17
蓝鲸 2026/07/21 11:17

邦小白快读

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本次事件核心为网红经济学家任泽平旗下泽平宏观知识付费业务,因学员投资亏损传闻引发舆情,核心干货信息整理如下。

1. 事件起因:有VIP学员称听信任泽平“科技牛”行情判断,满仓加融资买入两只存储芯片股,随后A股大跌爆仓亏损超千万元,相关聊天截图在投资圈广泛传播。

2. 涉事方回应:任泽平团队称解散所有VIP群是因为群内出现诈骗链接和违规信息,并非规避舆情,目前课程仍正常交付,受舆情影响申请退款的学员流程顺畅,加入时间较短的可获得全额退款。

3. 业务情况:泽平宏观VIP会员年费2980元,年内单平台VIP收入超2600万元,此外还有高价私董会、海外研学等产品,10天海外研学收费达六位数。

对普通投资者的提醒:投资需坚持闲钱投资,不要加杠杆,不要盲目跟随他人观点操作。

本次事件能给财经知识付费领域的品牌商带来多维度的参考经验,具体干货如下。

1. 品牌营销与变现:头部个人IP靠专业影响力积累流量后,变现效率极高,泽平宏观累计全网订阅3500万+,年内单平台VIP会员收入就超2600万元,还可延伸出高端私董会、企业研学等多元高价产品,分层满足不同用户需求,盈利能力较强。

2. 风险防控:品牌需提前做好合规和风险告知,本次事件中泽平宏观虽然提前在订阅须知标明不涉及荐股、提示不适合抗风险能力低的用户,但仍因用户盲目操作引发舆情,品牌需要持续对用户做投资理念引导,降低负面事件发生概率。

3. 渠道布局:采用多渠道布局模式,本次事件后抖音下架相关会员,但微信小店仍可正常售卖,能降低单一渠道的波动风险。

本次任泽平知识付费舆情事件,给知识付费领域的卖家带来多方面的经验和提示,具体如下。

1. 合规与风险提示:监管明确要求知识付费课程不能涉及荐股,卖家必须在订阅环节明确公示相关规则,同时要持续向用户传递正确投资理念,避免用户盲目跟风操作引发负面舆情,给自身经营带来风险。

2. 舆情应对参考:本次事件中任泽平团队的应对有可借鉴之处,一是顺畅处理退款诉求,快速平息异议用户的不满,二是及时调整信息发布渠道,解散原有社群规避负面发酵,整体应对相对成熟。

3. 商业机会:财经知识付费领域分层变现空间大,从平价课程到年度VIP、高价私董会、高端研学,不同层级用户都有付费意愿,高端研学项目客单价可达六位数,利润空间十分可观。

本次事件相关信息也能给各类制造企业,尤其是科技领域的工厂带来不少启发和商业机会,具体如下。

1. 商业合作机会:当前头部财经IP推出的实战研学项目,重点聚焦科技、AI、存储、人形机器人等新赛道的头部企业,已经开展多站研学,下半年也多规划相关行程,如果工厂属于符合新经济方向的相关企业,可以对接这类研学项目,获得品牌曝光、资源对接的机会,触达高净值投资人和企业客群。

2. 转型方向启示:泽平宏观的研学路线重点布局科技龙头企业,说明当前市场端对科技转型、数字化升级的关注度极高,传统工厂布局相关赛道更容易获得资本和市场的关注,契合当前的产业发展趋势。

3. 需求层面:市场对科技相关赛道的投资热情较高,对应的科技消费品也更容易获得流量倾斜,工厂布局相关产品更容易打开市场。

本次事件给知识付费行业相关服务商带来了明确的行业信息和需求参考,具体干货整理如下。

1. 行业发展趋势:当前国内财经知识付费行业增长空间充足,头部IP的年变现能力十分可观,仅年度会员收入就能突破数千万元,同时用户对高端服务的需求越来越旺盛,高端私董会、海外研学等产品客单价可达六位数,行业整体商业化成熟度很高。

2. 客户核心痛点:知识付费IP尤其是头部财经IP,普遍存在几个痛点:一是社群运营容易出现违规信息、负面言论发酵的问题,二是用户盲目跟随IP观点投资亏损后,会给IP带来极大的品牌舆情风险,三是舆情发生后需要快速处理用户退款、内容调整等需求,自身处理成本较高。

3. 解决方案方向:服务商可以针对头部知识付费IP的需求,开发合规内容审核、舆情监测、用户纠纷处理等相关服务,帮助IP规范运营,降低经营风险,市场需求充足。

本次任泽平知识付费舆情事件,给知识付费平台的运营管理带来不少参考经验,具体整理如下。

1. 合规运营要求:针对财经类知识付费内容,平台需要强化合规审核,严格落实监管要求,禁止内容涉及荐股,同时要求商家必须在显眼位置公示风险提示,明确告知用户课程不涉及荐股,不适合短线操作、抗风险能力低的用户,降低平台的合规风险。

2. 商家与舆情管理:头部财经IP自带大量流量,能给平台带来不错的收益,但同时也容易引发社会性舆情,给平台带来连带负面影响,平台需要建立完善的舆情应对机制,对出现重大负面舆情的商家及时调整产品上架状态,本次事件中抖音下架相关会员产品就是符合风险管控的做法。

3. 用户权益保护:平台需要完善商家的退款保障机制,方便用户在产生异议时快速完成退款,既保护用户权益,也能避免舆情进一步发酵,影响平台口碑。

本次事件对研究网红IP经济、知识付费行业的研究者来说,有较多的研究参考价值,具体整理如下。

1. 产业新动向:当前国内财经知识付费行业已经形成非常成熟的商业模式,核心是头部知识分子的个人IP影响力,变现路径清晰,从公域流量积累到分层变现,覆盖平价内容、年度VIP、高价商学院、私董会、高端企业研学等多个层级,仅单个头部IP年内单平台会员收入就能超过2600万元,高端项目客单价可达六位数,行业商业化程度已经很高。

2. 行业新问题:这种高度依赖个人IP的商业模式存在很大的不确定性,IP的个人言论和舆情会直接影响整个商业版图,同时网红IP的观点对普通用户投资行为影响力极强,即便IP提前做了风险提示,仍然无法避免用户盲目跟风操作引发亏损,进而引发品牌危机。

3. 监管启示:目前监管已经明确要求知识付费课程不得涉及荐股,未来如何平衡IP的言论自由、商业变现和普通用户的权益保护,是行业和监管层面需要进一步探索的问题。

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Quick Summary

This article summarizes the recent public opinion incident involving the paid knowledge business of Zeping Macro, founded by celebrity Chinese economist Ren Zeping. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Inciting incident: A VIP member of Ren's program claimed that he followed Ren's "tech bull market" analysis, invested all his capital with leverage in two memory chip stocks, and was forced into a margin call when the A-share market tumbled, resulting in a loss of over 10 million yuan. Screenshots of the member's chat spread widely in Chinese investment circles.

2. Response from the involved party: Ren Zeping's team explained that the dissolution of all VIP groups was caused by scam links and violating content shared in the groups, not an attempt to avoid public backlash. It stated that courses are still operating as usual, and refund requests triggered by the incident are processed smoothly; members who joined recently are eligible for full refunds.

3. Business overview: Zeping Macro charges an annual fee of 2,980 yuan for VIP membership, generating over 26 million yuan in VIP membership revenue from a single platform this year. It also offers higher-priced products including private board membership and overseas study tours, with a 10-day overseas tour priced at six figures.

A reminder for retail investors: Always invest with idle funds, avoid leverage, and never make trading decisions by blindly following others' opinions.

This incident offers multi-dimensional insights for brands in the financial paid knowledge industry, as summarized below:

1. Brand marketing and monetization: Top individual IPs achieve extremely high monetization efficiency after building audience trust through professional influence. Zeping Macro has accumulated over 35 million total subscriptions across Chinese platforms, generated more than 26 million yuan in single-platform VIP membership revenue this year, and can expand into diverse high-margin products such as premium private boards and corporate study tours to meet the needs of different user segments, delivering strong profitability.

2. Risk prevention and control: Brands must strengthen compliance efforts and repeated risk disclosures. Although Zeping Macro already stated in its terms that it does not recommend specific stocks and the service is not suitable for users with low risk tolerance, blind trading by users still triggered this public relations crisis. Brands need to continuously educate users on sound investment principles to reduce the probability of negative events.

3. Multi-channel distribution: Adopting a multi-channel distribution strategy reduces exposure to single-channel volatility. After this incident, Douyin removed Zeping Macro's membership products, but the offering is still available for purchase via WeChat Mini Store.

This public opinion incident involving Ren Zeping's paid knowledge business delivers multiple takeaways for sellers in the paid knowledge industry, as outlined below:

1. Compliance and risk disclosure: Chinese regulators explicitly prohibit paid knowledge courses from recommending specific stocks. Sellers must clearly disclose this rule during the subscription process, and continuously educate users on proper investment concepts to avoid negative PR caused by blind trading, which threatens business operations.

2. Crisis response reference: Ren Zeping's team set a useful example for crisis management: it processed refund requests quickly to appease dissatisfied users, and adjusted communication channels by dissolving existing groups to prevent negative sentiment from spreading. The overall response was relatively mature.

3. Commercial opportunities: The financial paid knowledge sector offers substantial tiered monetization potential. Users across all segments are willing to pay for products ranging from affordable courses to annual VIP membership, high-priced private boards, and premium study tours. Premium study tours can command six-figure price points, offering very attractive profit margins.

This incident also brings insights and commercial opportunities for manufacturing companies, especially technology-focused factories, as summarized below:

1. Business cooperation opportunities: The practical study tour programs run by top financial IPs currently focus on leading enterprises in emerging tracks including technology, AI, memory chips and humanoid robots, with multiple completed tours and more scheduled for the second half of the year. Factories operating in new economy sectors can partner with these programs to gain brand exposure, access business networking opportunities, and reach high-net-worth investors and corporate clients.

2. Transformation guidance: The fact that Zeping Macro's study tours focus on leading technology companies reflects extremely high market attention on technology transformation and digital upgrading. Traditional factories that enter these related tracks are more likely to attract capital and market attention, aligning with the current industry development trend.

3. Demand insight: The market has strong investment enthusiasm for technology-related tracks, and corresponding consumer technology products also receive greater traffic support. Factories that develop products aligned with these tracks can more easily open up new markets.

This incident provides clear industry insights and demand references for service providers serving the paid knowledge sector, as outlined below:

1. Industry development trend: China's financial paid knowledge industry still has ample room for growth. Top IPs deliver impressive annual monetization, with annual membership revenue alone exceeding tens of millions of yuan. User demand for premium services is also growing, with products such as private boards and overseas study tours commanding six-figure price points, and the overall industry has achieved a high level of commercial maturity.

2. Core pain points of clients: Knowledge IPs, especially top financial IPs, face three common pain points: First, community operations are vulnerable to violating content and the spread of negative sentiment. Second, when users suffer losses from blindly following an IP's investment views, it triggers major brand reputation risks for the IP. Third, handling refunds and content adjustments after a crisis generates high in-house operating costs.

3. Solution opportunities: Service providers can develop targeted offerings for top knowledge IPs including compliance content review, public opinion monitoring, and user dispute resolution. These services help IPs standardize operations and reduce business risks, and the market demand is substantial.

This incident offers useful operational insights for knowledge sharing platforms, as summarized below:

1. Compliance requirements: Platforms need to strengthen compliance review for financial paid knowledge content, strictly implement regulatory requirements banning stock recommendations, and require merchants to post prominent risk disclosures clarifying that courses do not include stock recommendations, and are not suitable for short-term traders or users with low risk tolerance. This reduces the platform's own compliance risk.

2. Merchant and reputation management: Top financial IPs bring large amounts of traffic and revenue to platforms, but they also carry higher risk of triggering high-profile public opinion crises that can lead to collateral reputational damage for the platform. Platforms need to establish complete crisis response protocols, and adjust the listing status of products from merchants involved in major negative incidents. The removal of Zeping Macro's membership by Douyin in this incident is a proper risk control practice.

3. User rights protection: Platforms need to improve refund guarantee mechanisms for merchants to allow users to complete refunds quickly when they have disputes. This protects user rights and prevents negative public opinion from escalating and damaging the platform's reputation.

This incident offers valuable research insights for scholars studying influencer IP economy and the paid knowledge industry, as outlined below:

1. New industry trends: China's financial paid knowledge industry has developed a highly mature business model centered on the influence of individual intellectual IPs, with a clear monetization path: building public domain traffic, then monetizing through a tiered model covering affordable content, annual VIP, high-priced business schools, private boards, and premium corporate study tours. A single top IP can generate over 26 million yuan in single-platform membership revenue in one year, with premium projects carrying six-figure price points, marking a high level of commercialization for the industry.

2. Emerging industry problems: This business model, which is highly dependent on individual IPs, carries significant inherent uncertainty. An IP's personal statements and PR crises directly impact the entire business. Additionally, influencer IPs hold enormous influence over retail users' investment decisions; even when pre-emptive risk disclosures are in place, it is impossible to prevent losses caused by users' blind followership, which can evolve into full-blown brand crises.

3. Regulatory implications: Chinese regulators have already explicitly banned stock recommendations in paid knowledge courses. Going forward, how to balance IP freedom of expression, commercial monetization, and retail user protection remains an open question that requires further exploration by both the industry and regulators.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

蓝鲸新闻7月18日讯(记者 赵凯)疑似有任泽平学员爆仓亏超千万的传闻仍在发酵,网红经济学家任泽平再陷风波。

近期一张广泛传播于投资圈的聊天截图显示,有人在任泽平的付费群中怒骂其“为了会员费没有底线”。该学员表示听信任泽平关于“科技牛”的行情判断,满仓并融资买入德明利、江波龙,随后爆仓亏损超过1000万元,“一辈子毁了”。

网传截图显示,涉事群聊名为“泽平宏观VIP群30”,群内共有494人。随后有爆料称,任泽平团队已经解散所有群规避下跌舆情。

团队回应解散群聊:有人发诈骗链接、课程正常进行

有学员受舆情影响退课,学习圈子中此前动态已删除

7月13日,A股遭遇全面重挫,上证指数跌逾2%、报收3913.79点,年内涨幅全部清零;深证成指、创业板指均大跌超3%。全市场超4600只个股飘绿,176只个股跌停。其中,存储芯片股集体重挫,网传截图中提到的德明利跌停、江波龙跌超11%。

网传学员发言正是发生在这场大跌之后。

7月16日,微信公众号“泽平宏观”发布《写给股民的九条建议》,疑似回应网传截图。文章强调,“市场有涨有落,有其规律性,有其魅力,但也有残酷性”;“闲钱做投资是重要原则,不要放杠杆,不要举债投资”。

随后两天内,该官方账号接连发布多篇关于“不要加杠杆”的文章。其中提到,“最近听到个别放杠杆付出惨痛代价,因涉及个人隐私,尚难核实该人员所说的前因后果和实际情况。” 其表示这与我们一直提示风险的“勿加杠杆、勿负债炒股”理念严重不符,且南辕北辙。”

官方账号页面显示,泽平宏观VIP会员收费2980元/年,包含100节视频课程、每月2场内部直播、线下活动优先权等。订阅须知中提到,应监管要求,课程全程不涉及荐股;不适合倾向于短线操作快进快出、抗风险能力较低者。

本周中,任泽平团队已解散VIP群聊。

18日,蓝鲸记者从任泽平团队助手处获悉,解散群聊是因为“发现有人借我们的群发送诈骗链接以及私自拉群发表违规信息,为保障大家安全,所以不再通过群的方式进行信息通知”。后续可以正常报课,会员权益也都正常交付。

蓝鲸新闻从多位VIP学员处了解到,解散群聊大概发生在15号,课程仍能正常交付。

有学员透露,群聊解散后,每日更新观点在另一个新的链接中发布,但该网页只显示当天的内容而无此前观点。原先圈子中的动态显示已被删除,但录播课程仍然可以查看。

本轮爆发后,任泽平还在7月15日正常展开了一次会员直播。当日直播并未直接回应舆情,但学员回忆称其有提到“不要加杠杆”。

多位学员透露,他们在本轮舆情发生后申请了退款,退款流程很顺利,部分加入时间不久的学员获全额退款。有学员表示,她本来月初锁定收益全卖了,听了会员观点后又加仓回来把利润亏没了还损失了本金。正好碰上舆论发酵,一气之下就申请退费了。

年内单平台售出2万+课程,会员收入超2600万

力推科技研学项目,海外研学10天收费六位数

这个VIP付费会员群并不是任泽平的新业务,此前已经运营多年。第三方数据平台显示,仅今年开年以来,其在抖音单平台上的知识付费课程销量就有2-10万。

其中,排名前五的课程均为这个收费2980的年度会员,页面累计销量超8800份。若按照商品标价计算,仅这项收入保守估计就已在2622万元以上。

目前该会员服务已在抖音下架,但在微信小店等平台仍可正常购买。

这些年,任泽平的知识付费做得如火如荼。其官方账号透露,2014-2025年,泽平宏观用十一年时间做到财经领域头部,累计收阅全网3500万+订阅。

除VIP会员外,任泽平还有大量其他课程可售,内容包括房地产投资、价值投资、保险计划等。

蓝鲸新闻此前报道,任泽平曾开通4.8万的商学院VIP会员、12万元的私董会会员,私董会员可享受全年十场标杆企业研学、资产配置论坛、私董晚宴等权益。

从泽平宏观当前宣传来看,近期的推广重点之一是2026年的实战研学,目前已开展7站,覆盖英伟达、追觅、人形机器人企业等。值得一提的是,其下半年的行程多与科技、AI、存储领域企业相关,并包含部分海外研学。其助手动态显示,2025年泽平宏观也曾前往美国研习AI相关和巴菲特投资智慧,10天6夜收费六位数。

任泽平成名已久,其所获得的关注和流量确实足以撑起一个商业帝国。

2014年,任泽平加入国泰君安并喊出“5000点不是梦”的惊人观点。那时,上证指数点位还在2000点左右;一年后,上证指数突破5000点,任泽平一战成名。2017年底,他以1500万年薪入职恒大,引发舆论关注。

“房地产长期看人口、中期看土地、短期看金融”、“新5%比旧8%好”、“一线房价翻一倍”、“印钱生娃” 等观点均令任泽平争议缠身。而他的上一次被禁言,发生在与私募大佬但斌争吵之后。

作为一个靠学识和观点立身的人,任泽平的发言相当程度上影响着他和他背后的商业帝国。不知本次风波,又会带来怎样的涟漪?

注:文/蓝鲸,文章来源:蓝鲸新闻(公众号ID:lanjingcj),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:蓝鲸新闻

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FAQ回顾

泽平宏观VIP会员的收费标准和权益有哪些?

泽平宏观VIP会员收费为2980元/年,包含100节视频课程、每月2场内部直播、线下活动优先权等权益。订阅须知明确课程全程不涉及荐股,不适合短线操作、抗风险能力较低人群。

任泽平团队解散VIP会员群的原因是什么?

任泽平团队称解散VIP会员群是因为发现有人借群发送诈骗链接、私自拉群发表违规信息,为保障用户安全不再通过群聊发布通知,目前会员权益可正常交付,课程也可正常购买。

泽平宏观2025年VIP会员收入规模有多大?

第三方数据显示,2025年开年以来泽平宏观仅抖音平台上售价2980元的年度VIP会员累计销量超8800份,保守估算该项收入已超2622万元,目前该服务抖音已下架,微信小店仍可购买。

购买泽平宏观VIP会员后可以申请退款吗?

本轮舆情发生后有不少泽平宏观VIP学员申请退款,退款流程顺畅,部分加入时间较短的学员可获得全额退款,原有录播课程等已开放的会员权益仍可正常查看。

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