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小米阔折叠 定了!

雷科技数码组 2026-06-22 11:06
雷科技数码组 2026/06/22 11:06

邦小白快读

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本文核心介绍了小米首款阔折叠旗舰新机入网的信息,同时梳理了当前全球阔折叠手机行业的整体动向,核心干货如下:

1. 小米这款新机传闻为MIX Ultra(也叫MIX Fold 5),是小米首款阔折叠旗舰,预计定价突破一万元,配置拉满:是首款搭载自研玄戒O3芯片的量产机,首发澎湃OS 4,全机结构设计重新调整,玄戒O3基于台积电3nm工艺,跑分预计达400万,性能接近骁龙8E5,是小米目前最强自研芯片。

2. 当前华为、苹果、三星、小米四大巨头都已经布局阔折叠赛道,下半年将迎来新品发布高潮,阔折叠兴起核心是为适配端侧AI发展,能提供更大屏幕空间放多应用、更好的散热条件满足AI运行需求,行业竞争会加快阔折叠价格下探,普通消费者很快就能用上更成熟的产品。

本文梳理了阔折叠手机行业的发展动向,能给手机品牌的高端化、产品研发提供诸多参考,核心干货如下:

1. 品牌高端化路径参考:小米此前折叠屏坚持以价换量,MIX Fold 3起售价压到8999,此次敢将新品定价突破万元,说明小米判断自身已经积累足够品牌势能,准备冲击万元高端市场和华为正面竞争,打破万元价位消费者对性价比的心智绑定,这对所有想冲击高端的品牌都有参考意义。

2. 产品研发和消费趋势:当前行业集体转向阔折叠,核心动因是系统级端侧AI的发展需求,阔折叠的宽屏幕能同时承载多个全功能APP,给AI提供更大的视觉上下文,更大机身也能留出更多散热空间,满足端侧AI推理的散热需求,是未来高端旗舰的研发方向。

3. 头部玩家已经形成差异化打法,品牌可结合自身资源优势选择竞争赛道。

本文梳理了下半年折叠屏市场的最新动向,给到手机卖家相关的趋势、机会参考,核心干货如下:

1. 市场变化:阔折叠赛道已经从华为一家独做变成群雄混战,华为、苹果、三星、小米四大巨头都会在下半年推出新品,市场热度会快速升高,是接下来智能手机赛道的核心增长方向。

2. 需求变化:消费者对万元高端旗舰的接受度正在提升,小米敢推出万元定价产品,说明高端市场已经有足够的需求空间,同时消费者对AI功能的需求越来越高,阔折叠是AI手机的最佳载体,后续市场需求会持续增长。

3. 机会提示:下半年行业会迎来新品发布高潮,市场关注度高,消费者换机需求会被集中带动,卖家可以提前备货布局头部品牌的阔折叠新品,营销端重点突出阔折叠搭配AI的使用优势,抓住这一轮市场增长机会。

本文分析了阔折叠手机兴起的行业背景,给到手机供应链工厂相关的启发和机会,核心干货如下:

1. 生产设计需求变化:阔折叠和传统折叠屏、直板机要求不同,需要重新设计铰链、屏幕、电池、摄像头模组的整体布局,对结构件、屏幕厂商提出了新的设计生产要求;同时为了满足端侧AI的散热需求,终端品牌需要更大面积的散热方案,石墨烯散热膜、超薄VC散热板这类配件的需求会大幅增长。

2. 商业机会:当前四大头部手机品牌都已经布局阔折叠赛道,下半年会有大量新品集中上市,阔折叠将成为接下来旗舰手机的主流形态,对应供应链相关部件的订单会快速增长,工厂可以提前调整产能布局,抓住这一轮订单增长机会。

3. 行业启示:终端产品围绕AI需求快速创新,工厂需要跟进终端需求变化,提前推进技术升级,匹配终端新品的生产要求,抓住行业迭代的红利。

本文梳理了阔折叠手机行业的发展趋势,给到相关服务商明确的行业动向和需求方向,核心干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:折叠屏已经正式进入阔折叠时代,核心驱动是系统级端侧AI的发展,未来几年阔折叠会逐步成为旗舰手机的主流形态,行业整体规模会快速扩张,相关配套服务的需求也会随之增长。

2. 客户痛点梳理:当前安卓品牌的核心痛点是阔折叠屏幕的应用适配不足,需要逐个对接开发者完成适配优化,不像苹果本身有iPad生态可以直接复用;同时终端品牌还有阔折叠结构设计、散热设计的优化升级需求,对配套技术服务有新的要求。

3. 市场机会方向:应用开发服务商可以提前针对阔折叠的屏幕比例做应用适配,抢占市场先机;散热、结构设计相关的技术服务商,可以加大针对阔折叠产品的技术研发,推出更成熟的解决方案,满足终端品牌的新需求。

本文分析了下半年阔折叠手机市场的最新动向,给到手机销售平台相关的招商、运营参考,核心干货如下:

1. 市场需求变化:阔折叠手机即将迎来新品发布高潮,四大头部品牌都会推出定位高端的新品,市场关注度和消费者需求都会快速上升,平台需要提前调整自身的招商和运营规划,跟上行业变化。

2. 招商方向参考:当前头部品牌都在发力高端阔折叠市场,产品核心卖点围绕自研技术、AI能力、新形态展开,平台在招商时可以重点引入头部品牌的新款阔折叠产品,争取头部品牌的首发合作资源,带动平台整体流量。

3. 运营和风险规避:运营层面可以针对阔折叠新品打造专门的营销活动专区,突出AI+阔折叠的卖点,吸引高端消费者群体;风险层面需要注意,当前万元高端阔折叠市场还处于教育阶段,首批产品的销量存在不确定性,平台需要引导商家合理控制备货,避免出现库存积压的风险。

本文梳理了当前全球智能手机行业折叠屏领域的最新产业动向,总结了行业新的发展趋势,供产业研究者参考,核心干货如下:

1. 产业新动向:全球头部手机厂商已经集体转向阔折叠形态,赛道从华为独走变成群雄混战,阔折叠的兴起本质是端侧AI发展推动的硬件形态变革,解决了AI多任务运行的屏幕空间约束和散热约束,印证了硬件形态随软件功能进化的产业规律,是智能手机行业新的发展方向。

2. 竞争格局的新特征:四大头部玩家基于自身资源不同,形成了完全差异化的竞争打法,华为依靠多年积累的供应链话语权和自研芯片系统成为行业标准制定者,苹果依靠iPad生态形成天然适配优势,三星依靠自有供应链控制成本加快迭代,小米依靠自研芯片和系统打造差异化,这种差异化格局为产业竞争研究提供了新的样本。

3. 值得研究的新课题:国内厂商冲击万元高端市场的实际成效、AI与阔折叠形态的融合发展路径,都是接下来值得持续跟踪研究的新产业问题。

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Quick Summary

This article covers the regulatory filing of Xiaomi's first large-display foldable flagship phone and summarizes the latest developments in the global large foldable smartphone industry, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Rumored to be named Xiaomi MIX Ultra (also referred to as MIX Fold 5), this device is Xiaomi's first large-display foldable flagship, expected to be priced above 10,000 yuan with top-tier specifications. It will be the first mass-produced phone powered by Xiaomi's self-developed Xuanjie O3 chip, and the first to launch with Xiaomi's HyperOS 4, featuring a fully redesigned internal structure. Built on TSMC's 3nm process, the Xuanjie O3 is projected to score up to 4 million on benchmark tests, with performance close to Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5, making it Xiaomi's most powerful self-developed chip to date.

2. Four of the world's biggest players — Huawei, Apple, Samsung, and Xiaomi — have all entered the large-display foldable space, with a wave of new launches coming in the second half of the year. The rise of large foldables is primarily driven by the growth of on-device AI: the larger form factor supports multi-app workflows and offers improved thermal performance to meet the demands of AI workloads. Growing industry competition will push prices down quickly, making more mature large foldable devices accessible to mainstream consumers in the near future.

This article summarizes industry developments in the large foldable smartphone space, offering actionable insights for handset brands pursuing premium positioning and product R&D, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Insights for premium brand building: Xiaomi previously pursued a volume-over-margin strategy for its foldable line, with the MIX Fold 3 starting at just 8,999 yuan. Its decision to price the new model above 10,000 yuan indicates Xiaomi believes it has built sufficient brand equity to challenge Huawei directly in the 10,000+ yuan premium market, and break consumers' long-held perception that Xiaomi only offers value-for-money products. This path offers a valuable reference for all brands looking to enter the premium segment.

2. Product R&D and consumer trends: The industry-wide shift to large-display foldables is driven primarily by the demand for system-level on-device AI. Large foldables' wider screens can simultaneously support multiple full-featured apps to provide larger visual context for AI workloads, while the larger chassis accommodates more advanced thermal solutions to meet the cooling requirements of on-device AI inference. This makes large foldables the key R&D direction for future premium flagship devices.

3. Leading players have already developed differentiated competitive strategies, and brands can choose their competitive track based on their own resource advantages.

This article summarizes the latest developments in the second-half foldable phone market, offering trend and opportunity insights for mobile phone sellers, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Market shifts: The large foldable space has evolved from Huawei's solo market to a crowded competitive field, with Huawei, Apple, Samsung, and Xiaomi all set to launch new models in the second half of the year. Market buzz will rise rapidly, making large foldables the core growth driver of the smartphone segment in the coming period.

2. Changing demand: Consumer acceptance of 10,000+ yuan premium flagships is growing, and Xiaomi's confidence in launching a 10,000+ yuan model confirms that there is sufficient demand in the premium market. Meanwhile, consumer demand for AI features is growing steadily, and large foldables are the ideal form factor for AI smartphones, so market demand will continue to grow going forward.

3. Opportunity outlook: The wave of new product launches in the second half of the year will draw strong market attention and drive concentrated consumer upgrade demand. Sellers can stock up early on new large foldable models from leading brands, and highlight the advantages of large foldables paired with AI features in marketing, to capture this round of market growth.

This article analyzes the industry background behind the rise of large-display foldables, offering insights and opportunities for mobile phone supply chain factories, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Shifting production and design requirements: Large foldables have different requirements than traditional foldables and bar phones, requiring fully redesigned layouts for hinges, displays, batteries, and camera modules, which brings new design and production requirements for component and display suppliers. To meet the thermal requirements of on-device AI, handset brands also need larger thermal solutions, so demand for components such as graphene heat dissipation films and ultra-thin VC vapor chambers will grow significantly.

2. Business opportunities: All four leading handset brands have entered the large foldable track, and a large number of new models will launch in the second half of the year. Large foldables will become the mainstream form factor for flagship phones going forward, so orders for related supply chain components will grow rapidly. Factories can adjust production capacity layout in advance to capture this round of order growth.

3. Industry takeaways: End-product innovation is accelerating around AI demand, so factories need to keep up with changing end-market requirements, advance technological upgrades to match the production requirements of new end products, and capture dividends from industry iteration.

This article summarizes industry development trends for large-display foldable phones, clarifying industry dynamics and demand directions for related service providers, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Industry development trends: The foldable phone market has officially entered the large-display foldable era, driven primarily by the development of system-level on-device AI. Large foldables will gradually become the mainstream form factor for flagship phones over the next few years, driving rapid expansion of the overall industry size and corresponding growth in demand for supporting services.

2. Key client pain points: The core pain point for Android brands right now is insufficient application adaptation for large foldable displays. Android brands need to coordinate with developers one by one to complete adaptation and optimization, unlike Apple which can directly reuse its existing iPad ecosystem. Handset brands also have needs for optimization and upgrades for large foldable structure and thermal design, creating new demand for supporting technical services.

3. Market opportunity directions: Application development service providers can complete application adaptation for large foldable aspect ratios in advance to gain first-mover advantage. Technical service providers focused on thermal and structure design can ramp up R&D for large foldable products to launch more mature solutions that meet the new needs of handset brands.

This article analyzes the latest developments in the second-half large-display foldable phone market, offering reference for sales platforms on sourcing and operations, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Shifting market demand: Large foldable phones are about to see a wave of new product launches, with all four leading brands launching new premium-positioned models. Market attention and consumer demand will both rise rapidly, so platforms need to adjust their sourcing and operation plans in advance to keep up with industry changes.

2. Sourcing direction reference: Leading brands are all prioritizing the premium large foldable market, with new products centered on core selling points of self-developed technology, AI capabilities, and new form factors. Platforms can prioritize sourcing new large foldable models from leading brands, secure exclusive first-launch cooperation with top brands, and drive overall platform traffic.

3. Operations and risk mitigation: For operations, platforms can build dedicated marketing sections for new large foldables, highlight the "AI + large foldable" selling proposition to attract high-end consumers. For risk management, note that the 10,000+ yuan premium large foldable market is still in the consumer education stage, and sales volume for first-wave models is uncertain. Platforms should guide merchants to control inventory reasonably to avoid the risk of overstock.

This article summarizes the latest industry developments in the foldable phone segment of the global smartphone industry, summarizes new industry development trends, for reference by industry researchers, with key takeaways as follows:

1. New industry developments: Global leading handset makers have collectively shifted to the large-display foldable form factor, and the track has evolved from Huawei's solo effort to a multi-player competition. The rise of large foldables is essentially a hardware form factor transformation driven by the development of on-device AI, which solves the screen space and thermal constraints for AI multi-tasking. This confirms the industry rule that hardware form factors evolve alongside software functionality, and represents the new development direction of the smartphone industry.

2. New characteristics of the competitive landscape: The four leading players have developed fully differentiated competitive strategies based on their respective resources: Huawei has become an industry standard-setter relying on its years of accumulated supply chain influence and self-developed chips and operating systems; Apple holds a natural adaptation advantage thanks to its existing iPad ecosystem; Samsung controls costs and accelerates iteration via its in-house supply chain; Xiaomi builds differentiation via its self-developed chips and operating systems. This differentiated competitive landscape provides a new sample for industry competition research.

3. New topics for further research: The actual market outcome of domestic vendors' push into the 10,000+ yuan premium market, and the integration development path of AI and large foldable form factors, are both new industry issues worthy of continuous tracking and research going forward.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

6月17日,一款神秘的小米新机正式入网。

根据数码闲聊站等多方爆料以及工信部透露的信息来看,这极有可能就是传闻已久的小米超高端旗舰——MIX Ultra(亦有传闻称其为MIX Fold 5)。

据悉,这将是小米旗下首款阔折叠旗舰,且最终售价预计将正式突破10,000元大关。自研的玄戒芯片、首发搭载的澎湃OS 4,再加上全新的“阔折叠”形态,小米这一次,显然要把硬件、软件和高端溢价全部顶格安排。

从华为的率先领跑,到小米、三星的重兵集结,甚至连一向在折叠屏领域按兵不动的苹果,其暗流涌动的线索也直指阔屏比例。

智能手机,为什么突然集体“变宽”了?雷科技聊聊自己的看法。

小米首款阔折叠入网,

万元定价真高端

小米的折叠屏之路,走了快五年。2021年MIX Fold第一代发布,那是一台典型的抢先占位产品,铰链松垮,屏幕折痕明显,软件适配几乎没做,售价倒是直接拉到9999。那一代MIX Fold的销量和口碑,米粉们应该心里有数。

2023年MIX Fold 3算是一次正经的修正。铰链换了水滴形态,折痕大幅减轻,澎湃OS的多任务框架开始适配折叠屏场景,价格也下调到了更亲民的区间。

这一次入网的MIX Ultra,如果爆料属实,是小米第一次把折叠形态切换到“阔”。意味着整机的结构设计要重做:铰链的弯折半径变了,屏幕的应力分布变了,电池的布局要重新排,摄像头的模组位置也要调,几乎是从头再来一遍。

此外,据IT之家爆料,其核心芯片为玄戒O3,推测小米或将跳过玄戒O2迭代版本,这也就意味着该机大概率会成为首款搭载玄戒O3芯片的量产机型。同时玄戒O3的安兔兔跑分预计有望摸到400万分,整体性能表现接近骁龙8E5,芯片基于台积电3nm工艺制造,成为小米旗下综合性能最强的自研芯片。

价格方面,小米过去的折叠屏,哪怕定位旗舰,也都在有意“说服高管”控制起售价,这是小米一贯的以价换量逻辑。比如MIX Fold 3的起售价压到了8999,比同期华为的折叠屏便宜一大截,靠的是供应链效率和品牌溢价让步。

但如果MIX Ultra真的把定价拉过一万,那说明小米已经在高端段位做好了跟华为正面硬刚的准备,不再只是在中间价位段收割溢出用户。

从8999到过万,不是差1000块钱的事,一万以内,消费者还可能在心里把它跟性价比旗舰挂钩;过了万,就进入了“我花这个钱是因为真的想要这台机器”的决策区间。小米敢进这个区间,意味着它相信自己已经攒够了足够的品牌势能。

芯片自研、形态重做、系统重构、价格突破,四件事叠在一起,可见小米这一步迈得不小。

华为领跑,苹果三星跟进,

阔折叠大战怎么打?

事实上,阔折叠这条赛道,完全是中国厂商在本土市场摸爬滚打后自己摸索出来的。小米入局之前,华为已经把阔折叠玩透了,接下来还有三星跟苹果进场。

表面上看是在卷屏幕尺寸和形态,但四大巨头各自押注的底牌和解题思路,完全是南辕北辙。

首先是华为,作为“阔折叠”甚至多折叠形态的绝对开创者,华为的底牌是供应链的绝对话语权与溢价统治力。从早期的横折、外折,三折,再到如今的“阔折叠”。华为在折叠屏这个赛道一直很激进。

华为的底牌跟苹果有点相似:自研麒麟芯片、鸿蒙系统。

不过,华为还有另一个苹果没有的优势,即折叠屏领域七年积累下来的供应链话语权,再加上销量常年稳居第一,华为在折叠屏赛道已经形成了事实上的标准制定者地位。IDC数据显示,2025年前三季度,华为折叠屏份额断档领先,比其他品牌全部加起来还多。

苹果这边,iPhone Ultra是2026年科技圈最确定的变量之一。

目前曝光的信息显示,苹果首款折叠屏外屏约5.5英寸,内屏约7.8英寸,比例接近4:3。这个尺寸和比例,跟华为Pura X Max非常接近,说明苹果也认同阔折叠的方向。配置方面,A20 Pro芯片、全系12GB内存、第二代自研C2基带、可变光圈,这些堆料符合苹果一贯的风格。

苹果的底牌是系统,iPadOS沉淀了数十年的百万级高价值应用生态,这是任何一家安卓厂商用五年,甚至十年都无法逾越的护城河。对于华为、小米而言,要把一个办公软件或剪辑软件适配到阔折叠屏幕上,需要一家一家去求开发者做优化。

但对苹果来说,阔折叠就是iPad的原生比例。一旦苹果推出阔折叠设备,iOS和 iPadOS在底层完成合并。那款设备展开后,根本不需要任何所谓的折叠屏适配,它天生就能完美运行iPad的专属生产力工具。

三星的动作比苹果更快。Galaxy Z Fold Wide预计7月就在伦敦发布,比苹果的9月提前两个月。

三星的底牌是全球化的供应链和屏幕技术,它是唯一一家能自己生产折叠屏面板、铰链、芯片(部分地区)的厂商,成本控制和技术迭代速度都有优势。但三星在中国市场的品牌势能已经大不如前,Fold Wide能不能帮三星重新夺回高端话语权,关键看定价和本地化适配做得怎么样。

下半年的旗舰之争,9月会是第一个高潮。

华为Mate 90+Pura X Max对阵iPhone 18 Pro+iPhone Ultra,三星提前两个月抢跑试图截胡。小米选择在此时入网,显然是想要在这场混战中抢到属于自己的位置。

手机变宽只是开始,

AI变强才是终点

总之,下半年这四家手机巨头,开始朝同一个目标汇拢。但为什么是阔折叠?答案藏在软件侧:屏幕宽了,AI才能干活。

这两年手机AI的进化速度,超过了大多数人的预期。

豆包手机指明了一个方向,AI手机不是装个Agent那么简单,而是接管手机的控制权,它需要看屏幕、理解屏幕,然后代替用户去操作屏幕。

这里的关键问题出现了。

AI要并行处理多件事,就需要同时“看到”多件事。手机的屏幕如果还是那个窄长的直板形态,AI能调用的视觉上下文就被物理地限制死了。一个Agent在帮你整理日程的同时,还得去找你的邮件,如果这两件事只能占屏幕的一半,它的处理效率就打了折扣。

而阔折叠能够解决这个问题。展开之后的阔折叠,横向空间几乎是直板机的两倍,可以同时运行两个或者多个全功能App,AI在调度任务时的视觉上下文窗口也随之加倍。

举个例子:手机AI帮你在飞书处理一条会议邀请,同时需要查你的日历冲突,在阔折叠上,两个App可以同时铺开,AI的操作路径更直接,理解上下文的成本更低。

散热也是另一个硬约束。

端侧AI推理本质上是在手机芯片里跑一个小型神经网络,长时间持续运行会产生大量热量。直板机那点内部空间,散热面积相当有限。阔折叠的机身通常更厚、展开面积更大,给散热系统留出了更多余量。

华为在设计这一代旗舰折叠时,也把散热列为优先级靠前的设计。网上有Pura X Max的拆机视频,拆解后壳可见,Pura X Max在散热系统上投入了较大成本,内部覆盖了黑色石墨烯散热膜,其下方还配备了大面积的超薄VC散热板,散热区域几乎覆盖了整机90%的面积

也就是说,AI想在手机上进化成系统级能力,它需要更宽的屏幕、更强的散热、更灵活的多任务界面,阔折叠恰好满足了这些条件。

写在最后

毫无疑问,下半年阔折叠赛道将从华为一家独舞,正式变成群雄混战。

华为用Pura X和Pura X Max证明了市场需求,苹果用iPhone Ultra验证了这个方向的全球普适性,三星用Fold Wide展示了供应链的响应速度,小米则用玄戒芯片和澎湃OS4试图在技术和生态上建立差异化。

四家巨头,四种打法。

对于消费者来说,这是个好消息,阔折叠的竞争越激烈,价格下探的速度就越快,应用适配的质量就越高。也许在两年后,万元级别的阔折叠会变成常态,而AI也会真正从噱头变成日常工具。

总之,手机变宽只是开始,AI变强才是终点。

注:文/雷科技数码组,文章来源:雷科技(公众号ID:leitech),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:雷科技

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