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中国电视的“坏日子” 还没结束

杜志强 2026-09-03 09:23
杜志强 2026/09/03 09:23

邦小白快读

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本文梳理了当前中国电视市场的整体现状,核心干货信息如下

1. 行业整体延续颓势,国补退潮后二季度中国市场电视出货量同比下降15.1%,2026年上半年全渠道零售量同比降12.7%、销额降7.7%,就连世界杯赛事、618大促都没能拉动销量增长,7月颓势仍在延续

2. 行业格局迎来大洗牌,曾经的国民“彩电一哥”康佳因连年亏损资不抵债拟主动退市,三星、LG等外资品牌已经退出中国市场,仅索尼等三家留在尾部市场,海信、TCL凭借技术优势实现了营收和利润双增长

3. 行业未来增长点集中在高端领域,Mini LED电视逆势增长,AI赋能大屏是接下来的探索方向,普通消费者选购电视可优先考虑头部品牌的高端Mini LED产品

当前国内电视行业进入深度调整期,对品牌商的干货总结如下

1. 消费与竞争趋势:国内电视刚需时代已经结束,消费者换机需求不足,体育大年拉动销量的传统定律已经失效,年轻人更习惯用手机平板看内容,电视会员和移动端不互通也降低了用户意愿,国内市场长期无底线价格内卷,中小品牌、老牌厂商持续出清,外资品牌基本退出市场

2. 可借鉴的经验:头部品牌海信、TCL凭借差异化技术优势站稳市场,实现业绩双增长,国内竞争压力大可以转移业务重心到海外市场,避开价格内卷

3. 产品研发方向:放弃低价走量路线,发力高端化,重点布局已经实现渗透率持续提升的Mini LED赛道,同时探索AI大屏新功能,挖掘存量市场增量

结合当前国内电视行业现状,给卖家的干货总结如下

1. 风险提示:国内电视市场需求持续萎靡,国补退潮后颓势难以扭转,体育营销、大促节点都无法拉动销量增长,行业长期处于无底线价格内卷,生存空间极窄,就连曾经的头部品牌康佳都走到退市地步,中小玩家经营风险很高

2. 机会提示:海外市场是新增量方向,目前已有不少品牌转移重心到海外,避开国内恶性竞争;高端市场仍有增长空间,Mini LED电视销量逆势增长,艺术电视增速超三成,高端产品能实现稳定利润增长

3. 可学习的经验:避开低价竞争,走技术差异化的高端路线,绑定核心显示技术建立竞争壁垒,才能在行业下行周期实现稳定增长

国内电视行业进入深度调整阶段,给电视产业链工厂的干货总结如下

1. 生产设计需求变化:低端走量的传统LCD电视需求持续下滑,市场已经从普及型刚需转向高端升级需求,大尺寸、高端显示技术的产品需求上涨,2026年上半年Mini LED电视渗透率已经达到29.4%,第二季度进一步升至31.9%,还在持续提升

2. 商业机会:当前国内行业加快出清,中小品牌持续退出,头部品牌市场份额不断集中,同时全球市场对Mini LED的需求持续上涨,中国屏厂已经掌握LCD技术主导权,头部品牌出海也给上游工厂带来了稳定的海外订单机会

3. 发展启示:要跟上头部品牌的技术升级节奏,绑定头部品牌的技术路线,切入高端产品供应链,避开低端低价产能的恶性竞争,抓住行业升级的红利

结合当前国内电视行业的发展情况,给相关服务商的干货总结如下

1. 行业发展趋势:国内电视市场已经告别规模增长的黄金时代,进入存量调整的下半场,行业出清速度加快,中小品牌、外资品牌持续退出,市场向头部品牌集中,高端化、技术化是未来的主要发展方向

2. 客户核心痛点:品牌方的核心痛点一是国内市场需求不足,价格内卷严重利润微薄;二是行业存量竞争下找不到新的增量增长点,AI大屏目前还没有成熟的落地体验,找不到破局方向;三是不少老牌厂商转型慢,跟不上行业变化,容易被市场淘汰

3. 行业机会:可以为品牌方提供高端显示技术配套研发服务、品牌出海相关配套服务,以及AI大屏相关的技术解决方案,帮助品牌开发AI Agent大屏新功能,挖掘存量市场的新需求

当前国内电视行业的变化,给电视零售平台商的干货总结如下

1. 风险提示:国内电视整体需求持续下滑,就连大促节点都无法拉动销量增长,行业整体销量销额双降,品牌端出清速度加快,中小品牌、老牌厂商退市风险高,平台引入品牌时要注意规避经营风险,提前布局应对品牌退市后的售后等问题

2. 平台机会:高端电视均价稳定上涨,Mini LED等高端电视需求逆势增长,用户仍有电视升级换新需求,平台可以调整运营策略,加大高端电视板块的流量倾斜,重点招商头部优势品牌的高端产品线,抓住高端升级的红利

3. 可优化的方向:针对用户反馈的电视会员和手机平板不通用、降低使用意愿的问题,平台可以联合品牌方探索会员互通的解决方案,提升用户体验,带动产品销售

当前国内电视行业出现了诸多新变化,值得研究的核心内容如下

1. 产业新动向:国内电视市场进入存量竞争阶段,行业出清加速,曾经的行业龙头康佳拟主动退市,外资品牌基本退出中国市场,头部品牌海信、TCL凭借技术优势实现业绩增长,行业格局洗牌加速;技术层面,中国主导的Mini LED技术成为新增长曲线,渗透率持续提升,AI赋能大屏是行业接下来重点探索的方向

2. 产业新问题:电视普及完成后,行业规模红利彻底消退,国内市场长期价格内卷,体育营销拉动增长的传统逻辑已经失效,用户使用习惯向小屏转移,如何挖掘新的增量成为全行业需要解决的核心问题

3. 启示:过去靠规模扩张、价格竞争的商业模式已经失效,高端化、技术差异化的新商业模式更适配当下的竞争环境,品牌出海是可行的新增长路径,产业迭代下头部集中是必然发展趋势

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Quick Summary

This article sorts out the current status of China's TV market, with key takeaways as follows:

1. The overall industry continues to decline. After the phasing out of national subsidies, Q2 TV shipments in China fell 15.1% year-on-year. In the first half of 2026, total retail volume dropped 12.7% year-on-year, and retail revenue fell 7.7%. Even the FIFA World Cup and the 618 shopping festival failed to drive sales growth, and the downturn continued into July.

2. The industry is undergoing a major reshuffle. Konka, once China's leading color TV brand, plans to voluntarily delist after years of losses that left it insolvent. Foreign brands including Samsung and LG have exited the Chinese market, with only three players such as Sony remaining in the low-tier market. Hisense and TCL have achieved double growth in both revenue and profit thanks to their technological advantages.

3. Future industry growth will be concentrated in the high-end segment. Mini LED TVs are growing against the broader downturn, and AI-powered large screens are the next key direction for industry exploration. For general consumers, high-end Mini LED models from leading brands are recommended as top options when purchasing a new TV.

China's TV industry is currently in a period of deep adjustment. Key takeaways for brands are as follows:

1. Consumption and competition trends: The era of widespread mass demand for TVs in China is over, and consumer replacement demand remains weak. The traditional rule that major sports years drive sales growth no longer holds. Young consumers increasingly prefer to consume content on smartphones and tablets, and the incompatibility between TV memberships and mobile memberships further reduces user willingness to purchase. Long-term cutthroat price competition in the domestic market has forced continuous consolidation of small and medium-sized brands and legacy manufacturers, with almost all foreign brands having exited the market.

2. Actionable insights: Leading players Hisense and TCL have secured solid market positions and achieved double growth in revenue and profit by leveraging differentiated technological advantages. Facing intense domestic competition, brands can shift their business focus to overseas markets to avoid cutthroat price wars at home.

3. Product R&D direction: Brands should abandon the low-price, high-volume strategy and focus on high-end development. They should prioritize布局 in the Mini LED segment, which has seen continuous penetration growth, while exploring new AI-powered large screen functions to unlock incremental demand in the existing stock market.

Based on the current status of China's TV industry, key takeaways for sellers are as follows:

1. Risk warning: Domestic TV market demand continues to slump, and the downturn has not reversed after national subsidies were phased out. Sports marketing and major shopping festival promotions cannot boost sales growth. The industry has long been trapped in cutthroat price competition, leaving extremely narrow survival space. Even former leading brand Konka has reached the point of delisting, meaning operating risks are very high for small and mid-sized players.

2. Opportunity outlook: Overseas markets represent a new source of growth. Many brands have already shifted their focus overseas to escape vicious competition at home. There is still room for growth in the high-end market: Mini LED TV sales are growing against the broader downturn, and art TV growth exceeds 30%. High-end products can deliver steady profit growth.

3. Key lessons: To achieve stable growth during the industry downturn, sellers should avoid low-price competition, pursue a technology-differentiated high-end route, and build competitive barriers by core display technology.

China's TV industry has entered a phase of deep adjustment. Key takeaways for factories across the TV supply chain are as follows:

1. Shifts in production and design demand: Demand for low-volume, mass-market traditional LCD TVs continues to decline. The market has shifted from universal mass demand to high-end upgrade demand, with growing demand for large-size products featuring high-end display technologies. In the first half of 2026, Mini LED TV penetration reached 29.4%, rising further to 31.9% in the second quarter, and it continues to climb.

2. Business opportunities: Domestic industry consolidation is accelerating, with continuous exit of small and medium-sized brands and growing market concentration among leading brands. At the same time, global demand for Mini LED continues to rise. Chinese panel manufacturers have already secured technological dominance in LCD, and the overseas expansion of leading Chinese TV brands has brought stable overseas order opportunities to upstream factories.

3. Strategic insights: Factories should keep up with the technology upgrading pace of leading brands, align with leading brands' technological roadmaps, enter the supply chain for high-end products, avoid vicious competition in low-end low-price capacity, and capture the dividends of industry upgrading.

Based on current development of China's TV industry, key takeaways for related service providers are as follows:

1. Industry development trends: China's TV market has bid farewell to the golden era of scale growth and entered the second half of stock adjustment. Industry consolidation is accelerating, with continuous exit of small and medium-sized brands and foreign brands, and the market is increasingly concentrated among leading players. High-end and technology-driven development will be the main direction going forward.

2. Core pain points of brand clients: First, domestic demand is weak and intense price competition leaves brands with razor-thin margins. Second, in stock-based competition, brands struggle to find new incremental growth, and AI-powered large screens have not yet delivered mature user experiences, leaving brands without a clear path to break through. Third, many legacy manufacturers are slow to transform and cannot keep up with industry changes, making them vulnerable to being eliminated.

3. Industry opportunities: Service providers can offer supporting R&D services for high-end display technologies, supporting services for brands' global expansion, and technical solutions for AI-powered large screens. They can help brands develop new AI Agent functions for large screens to unlock new demand in the stock market.

Key takeaways for TV retail platform operators based on recent changes in China's TV industry are as follows:

1. Risk warning: Overall domestic TV demand continues to decline, and even major shopping promotions cannot boost sales growth. The industry is seeing a double drop in both total volume and total revenue. Industry consolidation on the brand side is accelerating, with small and medium-sized brands and legacy manufacturers facing high delisting risk. Platforms need to mitigate operational risks when onboarding new brands, and prepare in advance for after-sales issues following brand delistings.

2. Platform opportunities: The average price of high-end TVs is rising steadily, and demand for high-end models such as Mini LED TVs is growing against the broader downturn. Consumers still have demand for TV upgrades. Platforms can adjust their operating strategies, allocate more traffic to the high-end TV category, prioritize招商 for high-end product lines from leading brands, and capture the dividends of high-end upgrading.

3. Areas for optimization: In response to user feedback that TV memberships are incompatible with mobile and tablet memberships, which reduces purchase willingness, platforms can collaborate with brands to explore a cross-device membership interoperability solution, improve user experience, and drive product sales.

China's TV industry has seen many new changes recently, and the core content worth studying is as follows:

1. New industry trends: The domestic TV market has entered a phase of stock-based competition, and industry consolidation is accelerating. Former industry leader Konka plans to voluntarily delist, almost all foreign brands have exited the Chinese market, and leading players Hisense and TCL have achieved revenue and profit growth through technological advantages. Industry reshuffle is accelerating. On the technology side, China-led Mini LED technology has become a new growth curve, with penetration continuing to rise, and AI-powered large screens are the next key area for industry exploration.

2. New industry challenges: After the completion of TV popularization, the industry's scale dividend has completely disappeared. Long-term cutthroat price competition in the domestic market has become the norm, and the traditional logic that sports marketing drives growth no longer holds. User habits have shifted to smaller screens, and unlocking new incremental growth has become the core challenge the entire industry must address.

3. Key insights: The old business model relying on scale expansion and price competition is no longer viable. A new business model focused on high-end development and technological differentiation is better suited to the current competitive environment. Global expansion is a viable new growth path for brands, and growing concentration among leading players is an inevitable trend amid industry iteration.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

当规模红利彻底退潮,中国电视产业真正的下半场,或许才刚刚开始。

研究机构Omdia近日发布的数据显示,与手机市场不同的是,在存储器供应收紧加大整个行业成本的压力下,二季度全球电视出货量仍同比增长3.6%,达到4880万台。但相同的一点是,中国市场仍旧表现拉垮,国补退潮后,颓势渐显,出货量同比下降15.1%。

而在过去的几天内,还有两件事,进一步凸显出国内电视市场的矛盾。一个是曾经的国民“彩电一哥”康佳拟主动退市,迫于连年亏损、资不抵债的压力,只能终结三十四年A股征程。另一个则是海信视像与TCL电子发布的最新业绩,二者双双实现收入利润双增长。

“凛冬”之下,当补贴褪去,中国电视市场的寒意没有消散的意思。某品牌市场负责人告诉作者,国内太卷,主要消费者也“不给力”,公司从前两年开始就已经将重心转向海外,起码不同无底线的搞价格战。

中国人不买世界杯的账

按照过往的通用逻辑,每次体育大年,都是大屏电视销售的旺季。如果从全球电视市场的走势来看,的确是如此。无论是今年的世界杯,还是此前的欧洲杯、美洲杯,在开赛前,电视都有一波较高幅度的增长。但这一定律从去年开始就在中国失效了。

今年正值世界杯,火热的赛事吸引海信、TCL等品牌上阵,全球主要发达市场表现强劲。其中,西欧市场增长9.5%,而北美作为三个世界杯东道主中两个国家的所在地,增长了4.7%。对比之下,中国市场则一直萎靡不振。

数据显示,今年上半年,中国电视市场的品牌出货量为1494.7万台,较2025年同期下降10.1%;全渠道零售量为1198万台,同比下降12.7%;销额为499.4亿元,同比下降7.7%。不过,也有涨的数据,均价涨了229元,增幅为5.8%,达4169元。

即便是在618这样的大促节日,也唤醒不了大众消费者对电视品类的关注。奥维云网(AVC)推广数据显示,2026年618促销期彩电市场整体承压,全渠道规模同比双降,销量达361万台,同比下降9.3%;销额达153亿元,同比下降11.6%。

到了7月,这一颓势仍未减退,单月品牌整机出货量为185.0万台,较去年同期微降0.5%,环比6月大幅下降25.6%。1至7月的累计出货总量为1679.7万台,较去年同期下降9.1%。

“我自己是球迷,但也没多大的欲望在电视上看世界杯了。”康佳员工张帅(化名)告诉作者,“两年前,在有了孩子之后,客厅的电视柜也都改成了书柜,只剩下卧室的一个小电视,但一年可能也就开个三四次。要看视频就手机、平板,再说了,电视端还要会员,关键还和手机平板会员不通用,太麻烦了。”

其实,看球的人仍在,甚至群体还在扩大,只是电视这个曾经作为看球第一选择的介质,在国内已成为备选项,甚至是弃选项。

“彩电一哥”也扛不住了

中国电视市场的衰退,已经在终端品牌侧显现。前有三星退出中国市场,现有康佳拟退市。

日前,康佳发布公告称,拟以股东会决议方式主动撤回A股和B股股票在深交所的上市交易,终止上市后申请转入全国中小企业股份转让系统代为管理的退市板块转让。财报数据显示,2026年上半年,康佳实现营业收入38.52亿元,同比下降26.6%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为亏损1.73亿元。

作为曾经的“彩电一哥”,康佳曾多次高居中国电视市场的第一名。那时候,品牌是用户买单的最多考量因素。只是,在内卷加剧的国内电视行业,康佳没能持续站在高位。一位投资者也无奈对作者说道,“我套了好久等来了退市。”

“已经两年没有发年终奖了”,张帅说道,“本身市场不景气,本以为前两年的国补能缓和一下,但也就好了一阵,能找到出路的早就已经撤了。骑驴找马,毕竟只是退市,又不是倒闭。”

从辉煌到“落幕”,康佳的故事,是中国彩电产业从无到有、从弱到强的缩影。洛图科技分析师也认为,康佳的如今是中国彩电产业从零崛起、盛极而变、迭代重生的真实注脚,其发展历程亦是一部镌刻着产业起落、市场兴衰、技术突围的时代历史。

康佳的落幕当然有其自身经营层面的原因,但如果把时间拉长来看,那个靠规模扩张、价格竞争和家庭普及驱动的电视黄金时代,正在走向终点。

而在康佳之前,多个外资品牌也早已扛不住了。LG此前就已经悄悄退出,今年5月,三星官宣撤出中国市场,市场仅剩索尼、飞利浦、夏普三家。最新数据显示,这三家的合并出货量低于5万台,长期处于市场尾部。其中,索尼和TCL成立了合资公司运营全球电视业务,新公司将于2027年4月正式运营。

“国内市场就不是那些舒服惯了的外资品牌玩儿的转的,况且现在LCD技术的主导权在中国屏厂这里。之前能留下,只是因为市场有冗余,当潮水褪去,不只是外资品牌,那些在末尾的小品牌也逃脱不了关门的命运。”上述品牌市场负责人说道。

自救,需要新故事

虽然整个国内电视市场被凛冽的寒气笼盖,但挖开数据看内里会发现,中国人不是不需要电视了,只是作为“必需品”的时代正在过去。更尴尬的一点是,中国品牌占据全球市场前三名,却难让自家人买单。

回看中国电视产业过去40多年的发展历史,电视从一个客厅的“奢侈品”,变成了几乎每个家庭都拥有的普通电器。但也正因为如此,它今天遇到了一个过去从未遇到过的问题:当几乎每个人都有电视以后,电视还能靠什么继续增长?

答案显然不再是更低的价格,也不只是更大的尺寸,追求极致画质的同时,需要厂商更聚焦才能找到增量。

一个很明显的数据就是,对比大盘的下跌,Mini LED电视持续抢占着传统LCD和OLED电视份额。根据洛图科技零售监测数据显示,2026年上半年,Mini LED电视的销量同比增长3.8%,渗透率达29.4%,同比提升5.8个百分点;其中,第二季度受618大促带动,渗透率进一步攀升至31.9%,环比提升4.7个百分点。

事实上,Mini LED作为中国引导的显示技术,不仅仅是在国内,在全球市场也正在成为大众市场主流的选择之一。尤其是以海信为代表的RGB-Mini LED以及以TCL为代表的SQD-Mini LED技术,均在各细分领域占据主导。

而这两家在各自技术领域的引领,也推动其主体公司业绩的持续上涨。其中,TCL电子上半年收入637.63亿港元,同比增长16.4%;归母净利润15.29亿港元,同比增长40.2%。海信视像上半年主营业务收入276.8亿元、同比增长11%,归母净利润11.95亿元、同比增长13.23%。

其实,这和手机市场是一个道理,在行业的下行周期,讲好高端故事,做好高端产品,是保证量额齐升的关键,这也是为什么艺术电视在上半年增速超三成的原因之一,而不是让年轻人“背锅”。

至于AI,目前来看各家电视厂商的故事都还不够饱满。在物理AI加速落地的今天,过两天开幕的IFA 2026不知道是否会带来更多的原生惊喜体验。当大屏有了真正的Agent,可能会成为电视新的注脚。

当规模红利彻底退潮,中国电视产业真正的下半场,或许才刚刚开始。

注:文/杜志强,文章来源:钛媒体(公众号ID:taimeiti),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:钛媒体

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FAQ回顾

2026年中国电视市场出货量表现如何?

2026年上半年中国电视市场品牌出货量1494.7万台,较2025年同期下降10.1%;618促销期销量361万台同比降9.3%,7月出货量同比微降0.5%,1-7月累计出货量同比下降9.1%,整体呈持续下滑态势。

中国电视企业应对行业下行有哪些可行路径?

国内电视企业可布局Mini LED等高端显示技术,推出艺术电视等高端产品跳出价格战,也可将经营重心转向海外市场,同时探索AI Agent等大屏原生智能体验寻找新增量。

康佳拟主动退市的原因是什么?

康佳近年连年亏损、资不抵债,2026年上半年营收38.52亿元同比下降26.6%,净亏损1.73亿元;叠加国内电视市场持续低迷、行业内卷加剧,企业经营承压,因此拟主动退市。

Mini LED电视在中国市场的发展情况如何?

2026年上半年Mini LED电视销量同比增长3.8%,渗透率达29.4%、同比提升5.8个百分点,第二季度受618大促带动渗透率攀升至31.9%,正持续抢占传统LCD和OLED电视的市场份额。

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