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日本铠侠暴涨570%之后:AI存储逻辑仍强 股价已新高

专注消费研究的 2026-07-17 13:22
专注消费研究的 2026/07/17 13:22

邦小白快读

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本文围绕日本存储企业铠侠股价暴涨570%的事件,梳理了上涨背后的逻辑和当前投资风险,核心干货如下:

1.核心事实:2026年以来日经225上涨约30%,铠侠股价年初涨幅超570%,市值从约2400亿元人民币涨至超1.78万亿元,大幅跑赢指数和全球半导体同业。

2.上涨逻辑:并非单纯AI概念炒作,而是市场将铠侠从传统周期性存储厂商,重新定价为AI推理阶段数据中心底层存储的核心受益者,AI需求推高NAND价格,带动利润率爆发式增长,叠加纳入日经225、筹备赴美上市等催化剂共同推动上涨。

3.实操提示:当前铠侠估值已经偏高,静态市盈率超70倍,只有AI驱动的高盈利周期能长期持续,估值才合理,普通投资者需要警惕行业周期波动带来的回调风险。

本文对存储品牌商把握AI时代产业趋势、优化产品研发与资本运作有较多参考干货,具体如下:

1.产业趋势:AI从训练转向大规模推理落地后,NAND闪存和企业级SSD需求快速增长,传统PC、智能手机已经不再是NAND的核心增长引擎,铠侠预计2026年AI推理服务器将拉动NAND需求增长,2027年需求将超过供给,行业迎来长期景气窗口。

2.产品研发方向:品牌商需要聚焦大容量、高速度、低延迟的AI专用存储产品研发,比如面向AI数据中心的高性能TLC SSD、高容量QLC SSD,以及适配不同AI架构的定制化存储产品,才能抓住新一波增长。

3.资本运作参考:铠侠通过业务聚焦突出AI存储属性获得市场重估,通过纳入指数、筹备海外上市拓宽投资者基础,优化资产负债表获得评级提升,这些经验都值得品牌商参考。

本文对存储赛道相关卖家梳理行业机会、规避风险有较多干货,具体内容如下:

1.行业机会:AI存储赛道已经迎来明确的结构性增长机会,AI进入推理落地阶段后,底层存储成为AI数据中心新的行业瓶颈,企业级SSD、AI存储需求爆发,当前供需偏紧推高产品价格,行业盈利空间大幅提升,从业者可以把握这一轮上行周期的机会。

2.风险提示:当前行业龙头铠侠的估值已经处于历史高位,静态市盈率从2024年底的3.4倍涨至76.9倍,且行业仍然没有摆脱周期性波动的特征,如果后续NAND价格回落,当前高估值将难以支撑,从业者和投资者需要警惕周期回调的风险。

3.可借鉴经验:铠侠聚焦NAND和SSD核心业务,突出自身AI存储赛道的高纯度,差异化定位获得市场认可,这种聚焦战略值得中小卖家学习。

本文对存储生产制造工厂把握AI时代商业机会、调整生产方向有较多启示,干货内容如下:

1.产品生产设计需求变化:传统面向PC、智能手机的存储产品需求增长已经见顶,AI数据中心、AI推理服务器对大容量、高速度、低延迟NAND闪存和SSD的需求快速增长,工厂需要及时调整产品结构,加大高端AI相关存储产品的产能布局。

2.商业机会:当前NAND行业已经进入供需偏紧的上行周期,AI并未消除NAND的周期性,但会抬高行业需求上限,延长当前上行周期,铠侠预计2027年NAND需求将超过供给,相关生产工厂将获得较长周期的盈利窗口。

3.转型启示:工厂需要加速技术研发和产能升级,铠侠已经在扩大自主研发的第8代3D NAND产能,开发适配不同AI场景的专用存储产品,工厂需要跟进技术迭代,匹配AI市场的需求变化,才能抓住产业升级的红利。

本文能帮助存储产业链相关服务商把握行业趋势,找准客户需求,梳理业务方向,干货内容如下:

1.行业发展趋势:全球存储产业正在经历结构性重构,AI已经成为存储产业新的核心增长引擎,AI从训练转向推理落地的过程中,底层存储成为AI基础设施新的产业瓶颈,NAND和企业级SSD的需求将迎来持续增长,整个行业景气度持续上行。

2.核心客户痛点:当前AI数据中心客户的核心痛点是底层存储能力不足,无法满足推理阶段快速访问模型数据、检索数据库、存储新增生成数据的需求,迫切需要更大容量、更快速度、更低延迟、可扩展的存储方案。

3.业务机会:服务商可以围绕AI数据中心底层存储需求,对接上游存储厂商的技术产品,为客户提供适配AI推理场景的一体化存储解决方案,分享AI存储行业增长带来的红利。

本文对半导体存储相关的产业平台、资本市场平台把握行业需求、调整运营策略有参考价值,干货内容如下:

1.企业端需求变化:AI产业发展带动存储产业链发生结构性变化,传统周期性存储企业正在转型为AI基础设施提供商,企业对拓展全球资本渠道、优化股东结构的需求明显提升,铠侠筹备美国ADS上市就是典型案例,平台可以针对性满足这类企业的需求。

2.招商与运营方向:平台可以重点引入AI存储赛道的优质企业,这类企业当前盈利增长快,成长确定性强,获得资本市场高度认可,能够提升平台的活力与关注度。

3.风险规避:AI存储龙头当前估值已经明显偏高,行业仍然存在周期性波动风险,平台需要及时向市场提示相关风险,做好投资者风险教育,避免投资者盲目追高,规避市场大幅回调带来的负面影响。

本文为半导体存储产业研究者提供了AI时代产业转型的典型案例,有诸多研究价值,干货内容如下:

1.产业新动向:AI发展正在重构整个存储产业的格局,AI从训练转向推理后,行业对存储的需求结构发生深刻变化,底层NAND存储的重要性大幅提升,行业增长逻辑从消费电子驱动转向AI数据中心驱动,彻底改变了行业的估值逻辑和增长天花板。

2.需要关注的新问题:AI虽然抬高了存储行业的需求上限,延长了行业上行周期,但并没有消除存储行业的周期性,当前龙头企业估值已经提前透支了市场的乐观预期,估值偏高背后隐含周期回调的风险,这是产业发展中值得深入研究的新问题。

3.商业模式研究价值:铠侠走聚焦NAND和SSD的专业化商业模式,区别于三星的多元化模式、SK海力士聚焦HBM的模式,锚定AI底层存储的差异化定位获得资本市场认可,为研究存储行业不同商业模式的价值提供了新样本。

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Quick Summary

This article breaks down the logic behind Japanese memory firm Kioxia's 570% explosive stock rally and assesses its current investment risks, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Core facts: Since the start of 2026, the Nikkei 225 has gained roughly 30%, while Kioxia's stock has surged more than 570% year-to-date. Its market capitalization has jumped from around ¥240 billion RMB to over ¥1.78 trillion RMB, vastly outperforming both the index and its global semiconductor peers.

2. Rally drivers: The gain is not merely AI-driven hype. Instead, investors have re-rated Kioxia from a traditional cyclical memory chipmaker to a core beneficiary of underlying storage for AI inference data centers. AI-driven demand has lifted NAND prices, fueled explosive margin growth, and gains have been further amplified by catalysts including the stock's inclusion in the Nikkei 225 and its preparations for a U.S. IPO.

3. Practical takeaway: Kioxia's valuation is already stretched at this point, with a trailing P/E ratio exceeding 70x. The current valuation is only justified if the AI-driven high-profit cycle is sustained over the long term. Ordinary investors should be alert to correction risks stemming from the industry's inherent cyclical volatility.

This article offers actionable insights for memory brand owners on navigating AI-era industry trends, optimizing R&D and capital operations, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Industry outlook: After AI shifted from model training to large-scale inference deployment, demand for NAND flash and enterprise SSDs has grown rapidly. Traditional PCs and smartphones are no longer the core growth drivers for NAND. Kioxia projects that AI inference servers will drive NAND demand growth from 2026, and demand will outstrip supply by 2027, opening a window of long-term industry growth.

2. R&D priorities: Brands need to focus on developing AI-specific memory products featuring high capacity, high speed and low latency. Examples include high-performance TLC SSDs and high-capacity QLC SSDs for AI data centers, as well as customized storage products tailored to different AI architectures, to capture this new wave of growth.

3. Capital operations lessons: Kioxia achieved a market re-rating by sharpening its AI storage focus through business streamlining. It also expanded its investor base via index inclusion and preparations for an overseas listing, and improved its credit ratings by optimizing its balance sheet — all experiences that offer valuable references for memory brands.

This article provides key insights for memory industry sellers to identify opportunities and mitigate risks, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Industry opportunities: The AI storage track is already seeing clear structural growth. As AI enters the inference deployment phase, underlying storage has become a new bottleneck for AI data centers, driving explosive demand for enterprise SSDs and AI storage. Current tight supply-demand conditions have lifted product prices and significantly expanded industry profit margins, allowing industry players to capitalize on this upcycle.

2. Risk warnings: Valuations for industry leader Kioxia are already at all-time highs, with its trailing P/E jumping from 3.4x at the end of 2024 to 76.9x. The industry has not shaken off its cyclical nature: if NAND prices decline in the future, the current high valuation will not be sustainable. Industry players and investors should watch for risks of a cyclical correction.

3. Actionable lessons: Kioxia focused on its core NAND and SSD businesses, emphasized its pure-play positioning in the AI storage track, and earned market recognition through its differentiated positioning. This focused strategy is a useful reference for small and medium-sized sellers.

This article offers key insights for memory manufacturing factories to capture AI-era opportunities and adjust production strategies, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Shifts in product design and demand: Demand growth for traditional memory products for PCs and smartphones has already peaked. Demand for high-capacity, high-speed, low-latency NAND flash and SSDs from AI data centers and AI inference servers is growing rapidly. Factories need to adjust their product mix in a timely manner and expand capacity for high-end AI-related storage products.

2. Commercial opportunities: The NAND industry is currently in an upcycle characterized by tight supply. AI has not eliminated the industry's cyclicality, but it has raised the ceiling for industry demand and extended the current upcycle. Kioxia projects NAND demand will outpace supply by 2027, giving relevant manufacturers an extended window of strong profitability.

3. Transformation insights: Factories need to accelerate technology R&D and capacity upgrades. Kioxia is already expanding production capacity for its in-house developed 8th-generation 3D NAND and developing specialized storage products for different AI scenarios. To capture industrial upgrading dividends, factories need to keep up with technology iterations and align with changing demand from the AI market.

This article helps service providers across the memory supply chain understand industry trends, identify customer needs and refine business strategies, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Industry trends: The global memory industry is undergoing structural restructuring, and AI has become the new core growth engine for the industry. As AI shifts from training to inference deployment, underlying storage has become a new bottleneck for AI infrastructure, and demand for NAND and enterprise SSDs will see sustained growth, driving continued upward momentum across the industry.

2. Core customer pain points: The key pain point for AI data center customers today is insufficient underlying storage capacity, which cannot meet the needs of inference-stage workloads including fast access to model data, database retrieval, and storage of newly generated data. There is strong unmet demand for higher-capacity, faster, lower-latency and scalable storage solutions.

3. Business opportunities: Service providers can leverage the underlying storage demand from AI data centers, partner with upstream memory manufacturers to access their technologies and products, and deliver integrated storage solutions tailored for AI inference scenarios to capture a share of the growth dividends from the AI storage industry.

This article offers actionable references for semiconductor memory industry platforms and capital market platforms to align with industry demand and adjust operating strategies, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Shifts in enterprise demand: AI-driven industry development has triggered structural changes across the memory supply chain. Traditional cyclical memory companies are transitioning into AI infrastructure providers, and demand for accessing global capital channels and optimizing shareholder structures has increased significantly. Kioxia's plan for a U.S. ADS listing is a typical example, and platforms can tailor services to meet this demand from enterprises.

2. Investment and operation priorities: Platforms can prioritize onboarding high-quality companies in the AI storage track. These companies are currently seeing fast profit growth, high growth certainty, and strong capital market recognition, which can boost platform dynamism and visibility.

3. Risk mitigation: Valuations for AI storage leaders are already significantly stretched, and the industry still faces cyclical volatility risks. Platforms should proactively disclose relevant risks to the market, conduct investor risk education, prevent investors from chasing overvalued stocks blindly, and mitigate the negative impact of potential large market corrections.

This article presents a typical case of industry transformation in the AI era for semiconductor storage industry researchers, with high research value, as outlined below:

1. New industry dynamics: AI development is reshaping the entire global memory industry landscape. After AI shifted from training to inference, the industry's demand structure for storage has undergone profound changes: the importance of underlying NAND storage has increased significantly, and the industry's growth driver has shifted from consumer electronics to AI data centers, fundamentally rewriting the industry's valuation logic and growth ceiling.

2. New issues for further research: While AI has raised the demand ceiling for the memory industry and extended the current upcycle, it has not eliminated the industry's inherent cyclicality. Current valuations for leading players have already priced in overly optimistic market expectations in advance, and the stretched valuation hides correction risks tied to cyclicality — a new issue that deserves in-depth research amid the industry's development.

3. Value for business model research: Kioxia has adopted a specialized business model focused on NAND and SSDs, which differs from Samsung's diversified model and SK Hynix's HBM-focused strategy. Its differentiated positioning anchored in AI underlying storage has won capital market recognition, providing a new case study for research into the value of different business models in the memory industry.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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导语

2026年以来,日本股市成为全球市场中最受关注的市场之一。截至6月初,日经225指数年初以来涨幅已达到约30%,其中AI、半导体及相关产业链公司成为推动市场上涨的核心主线。但即便在这样强势的市场环境中,铠侠控股(Kioxia Holdings,TSE:285A)仍然是其中最具代表性的重估案例之一。

截至2025年12月底,铠侠在日本上市公司市值排名中仅位列第43位,市值约为5.65万亿日元,折合约人民币2,400亿元。但到了2026年6月初,其市值已经扩大至超过42万亿日元,折合约人民币1.78万亿元,并一度短暂突破45万亿日元,折合约人民币1.91万亿元,市值排名快速接近日本上市公司的最前列。与此同时,铠侠股价年初以来涨幅已超过570%,不仅大幅跑赢日经225指数,也明显跑赢多数全球半导体同业。

铠侠股价大涨的原因并不能简单归结为“AI概念炒作”。铠侠是全球领先的NAND闪存(NAND闪存是一种非易失性半导体存储技术)和SSD(固态硬盘)厂商之一,而市场正在快速改变对公司的估值方式:从过去的一家周期性存储器制造商,重新定价为潜在的AI数据中心存储瓶颈受益者。强劲的企业级SSD需求、趋紧的NAND供需格局、快速上升的平均销售价格(ASP)、爆发式的利润率扩张、被纳入日经225指数,以及正在筹备的美国ADS上市,共同推动了这一轮股价上涨。

公司背景与商业模式

铠侠并不是像三星那样的多元化半导体集团,也不是像SK海力士那样以DRAM/HBM为核心的存储器公司。铠侠是一家业务更加集中于NAND闪存和SSD的公司,因此其盈利对NAND周期高度敏感。FY3/26财年,铠侠实现收入2.34万亿日元(约人民币990亿元),Non-GAAP营业利润为8,762亿日元(约人民币371亿元)。公司将大容量、高速度的闪存和SSD定义为支持生成式AI发展的关键器件,尤其是在AI应用从训练逐步转向推理之后,存储的重要性明显提升。

从应用结构来看,SSD&Storage已经成为铠侠最核心的业务。FY3/26财年,SSD&Storage收入达1.36万亿日元(约人民币577亿元),占总收入58%;Smart Devices(智能设备)收入为7,600亿日元(约人民币322亿元),占比33%;Others收入为2,150亿日元(约人民币91亿元),占比9%。其中,SSD&Storage包括用于PC、数据中心和企业级应用的SSD及存储产品;Smart Devices则包括用于智能手机、平板电脑、电视、消费电子、汽车和工业场景的存储产品。

关键变化在于,市场不再只把NAND视为智能手机和PC中的普通存储器。铠侠正在扩大第8代BiCS FLASH(铠侠KIOXIA自主研发的3D NAND闪存技术)产能,并开发面向AI应用的高性能TLC SSD、高容量QLC SSD、245TB KIOXIA LC9 Series、针对KV cache优化的TLC SSD,以及面向NVIDIA Storage-NEXT架构的KIOXIA GP Series。

因此,铠侠的AI逻辑并不是HBM(高带宽内存)逻辑,而是AI数据中心存储逻辑。随着AI应用从训练转向推理,数据中心需要更大、更快、更低延迟的存储层,用于模型存储、数据检索、生成数据和企业级工作负载。铠侠预计AI推理服务器将在CY2026推动NAND需求增长,并预计CY2027需求将超过供给。因此,公司正被市场视为AI存储需求的纯度较高受益者;但同时,它仍然无法摆脱NAND价格周期波动的影响。

为什么AI数据中心需要NAND和SSD

市场通常会把AI基础设施与GPU和HBM联系在一起,但这并不是完整故事。随着AI应用从训练逐步转向推理,数据中心同样需要更大、更快的存储层。AI推理需要快速访问模型数据、检索数据库、生成内容以及类似缓存的工作负载。在这一环节,NAND闪存和企业级SSD的重要性开始上升。对铠侠而言,其AI逻辑与SK海力士这类HBM龙头并不相同。铠侠并不是在提供最靠近GPU的高带宽存储器,而是在构建AI数据中心进入推理阶段后越来越需要的底层存储层。当AI应用大规模落地后,系统需要不断访问模型数据、调用外部信息、管理类似缓存的工作负载,并保存大量新生成的数据。此时,瓶颈的一部分开始从单纯算力转向高速、可扩展、低延迟的存储能力。

这正是铠侠NAND和SSD产品组合的意义所在。本质上都围绕同一个方向:帮助AI数据中心更高效地存储、访问和流转数据。这一点非常关键,因为NAND需求来源正在变化。传统智能手机和PC需求已经不再是最主要的增长引擎。铠侠预计,AI推理服务器以及数据中心/企业级应用将在CY2026推动NAND需求增长,并预计CY2027需求将超过供给。因此,AI并没有消除NAND的周期性,但它可能抬高需求上限并延长当前这一轮上行周期。

为什么铠侠股价涨得这么猛

铠侠股价上涨的第一阶段来自真实的盈利冲击。FY3/26第四季度,公司实现收入1.0029万亿日元(约人民币425亿元),环比接近翻倍并创下历史新高。Non-GAAP营业利润达到5,991亿日元(约人民币254亿元),约为上一季度的四倍,营业利润率接近60%。仅仅一个季度,铠侠创造的营业利润就已经超过上一财年全年水平。

这一轮利润突然爆发,核心驱动力其实是价格

FY3/26第四季度,铠侠的blended ASP和like-for-like ASP环比均超过两倍,而整体bit出货量反而环比下降约10%。这说明公司盈利大幅提升并不是因为单纯卖出了更多NAND,而是因为每一单位产品的售价和利润都显著提高。在AI相关需求快速上升、NAND供给仍然偏紧的市场环境下,定价权重新回到上游厂商手中。对于铠侠而言,这直接转化为利润率和盈利能力的爆发式提升。

第二个催化剂是超预期的业绩指引

对于FY3/27第一季度,铠侠指引收入为1.75万亿日元(约人民币741亿元),Non-GAAP营业利润为1.30万亿日元(约人民币550亿元),Non-GAAP净利润为8,700亿日元(约人民币368亿元)。这意味着营业利润率接近74%,即使放在存储器上行周期中也是非常罕见的水平。这一指引使投资者不再只把铠侠看作NAND周期反弹标的,而是开始将其视为潜在的AI存储超级周期受益者。

最后一层推动来自资本市场面的重估

铠侠自2026年4月起被纳入日经225指数,提升了被动资金和基准配置需求。公司也开始筹备美国ADS上市,有望扩大其全球投资者基础。与此同时,S&P和Fitch将铠侠评级上调至投资级BBB-,反映其盈利能力和财务结构改善。管理层也表示,在强化资产负债表并提升自由现金流之后将考虑股东回报。综合来看,这些催化剂改变了市场对铠侠的认知:它不再只是高杠杆、强周期的NAND公司,而是一个更干净、更容易被机构投资者配置的AI存储受益标的。

财务分析

收入与利润拐点

铠侠FY2025的财务表现持续改善,但真正的拐点出现在第四季度。公司收入从第一季度的3,428亿日元提升至第四季度的1.0029万亿日元,折合约人民币145亿元至425亿元。IFRS净利润提升更快,从183亿日元增至4,077亿日元,折合约人民币8亿元至173亿元。这说明第四季度并不是普通复苏,而是盈利能力的断层式跃升。

利润率扩张

最关键的变化在于利润率。毛利率从第一季度的21%提升至第四季度的64%,营业利润率从13%提升至60%,净利率从5%提升至41%。这说明铠侠利润爆发主要来自ASP上升和经营杠杆释放,而不是单纯依靠出货量增长。

现金流质量

这种改善同样体现在现金流上。经营现金流从第一季度的611亿日元提升至第四季度的2,944亿日元,折合约人民币26亿元至125亿元。自由现金流从270亿日元提升至2,411亿日元,折合约人民币11亿元至102亿元。这说明铠侠的盈利恢复并不只是会计利润,而是已经转化为真实现金流。

资产负债表修复

铠侠的资产负债表也明显改善。现金及现金等价物从第一季度的1,784亿日元提升至第四季度的4,707亿日元,折合约人民币76亿元至199亿元。与此同时,净D/E从120%降至39%,权益比率从26%提升至38%。这种资产负债表修复,也帮助市场将铠侠从高杠杆、强周期的NAND公司,重新定价为更干净的AI存储受益标的。

估值分析

铠侠的估值需要放在其上市时间背景下理解。公司是在2024年12月才刚刚上市,上市初期市场仍然主要按照周期性NAND制造商来给公司定价。当时铠侠估值较低,是因为市场还没有充分反映公司在AI存储周期中的弹性。随着NAND价格趋紧、AI数据中心叙事强化,市场迅速将铠侠股价上涨。

但经历大幅上涨之后,铠侠已经很难再被称为便宜。公司当前市值约为39.59万亿日元(约人民币1.68万亿元),企业价值约为40.37万亿日元(约人民币1.71万亿元)。目前公司静态市盈率已经超过70倍,市净率约30倍,EV/Revenue约17倍,EV/EBITDA约34倍。对于一家仍然暴露于NAND周期波动的公司而言,这已经是非常高的估值水平。

历史估值变化更能说明这一轮重估的激进程度。铠侠静态市盈率从2024年底的3.4倍上升至2026年6月初的76.9倍;市净率则从1.2倍大幅上升至30.5倍。这说明市场已经不再按照短期账面价值或历史盈利来给铠侠定价,而是在押注公司有机会成为AI数据中心存储领域的结构性赢家。

同业比较也显示出铠侠当前估值并不便宜。从静态市盈率看,铠侠约为75.8倍,高于SanDisk的57.8倍、Micron的46.6倍、三星电子的28.0倍和SK海力士的21.6倍。即便从前瞻市盈率看,铠侠也并不算明显便宜:其前瞻市盈率约为8.6倍,仍高于三星电子的7.4倍和SK海力士的7.2倍,只是低于SanDisk和Micron。

刚上市时,铠侠确实便宜,因为市场还没有充分认识到其AI存储弹性;但在股价大幅上涨之后,它已经不再是简单的低估值标的。当前估值只有在一个前提下才显得合理:投资者相信AI驱动的NAND供需紧张、高ASP和超高利润率,能够比过去正常的存储器周期持续更久。若NAND价格开始正常化,今天看似可以解释的估值,也可能很快变得偏贵。

结语

总体来看,铠侠这一轮上涨并不是单纯的AI概念炒作。公司提供的NAND和SSD,确实正在成为AI数据中心,尤其是AI推理阶段所需要的重要底层存储能力。当前NAND供需偏紧,AI服务器和企业级SSD需求强劲,使铠侠在ASP上拥有更强议价能力,这也是公司利润率和盈利能力突然爆发的核心原因。

但问题在于,股价已经提前反映了很多乐观预期。铠侠上市初期确实便宜,因为市场尚未充分认识到其AI存储弹性;但经过大幅上涨后估值已经明显进入高位。即便从前瞻市盈率看,铠侠也并不算特别便宜,尤其相比SK海力士和三星电子,其估值仍然更高。

因此,铠侠更适合被定义为:基本面强、AI逻辑成立,但当前估值已经偏贵的高弹性周期股。

注:文/专注消费研究的,文章来源:弘章消费研习社(公众号ID:Charismapartner),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:弘章消费研习社

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FAQ回顾

铠侠是做什么业务的?

铠侠是全球领先的NAND闪存和SSD(固态硬盘)厂商,业务集中于NAND闪存和SSD领域,核心业务包括面向PC、数据中心、企业级应用的SSD及存储产品,以及面向智能手机、消费电子、汽车等场景的智能设备存储产品。

铠侠2026年股价大幅上涨的核心原因是什么?

一是AI数据中心存储需求上升带动NAND闪存平均销售价格大幅上涨,公司盈利实现断层式跃升;二是超预期的业绩指引强化了其AI存储受益逻辑;三是被纳入日经225指数、筹备美国ADS上市等资本市场因素催化,带动估值重估。

AI发展对NAND闪存需求有哪些影响?

随着AI应用从训练转向推理,AI数据中心需要更大、更快、低延迟的存储层,带动NAND闪存和企业级SSD需求快速上升,铠侠预计2026年AI推理服务器将推动NAND需求增长,2027年NAND需求将超过供给。

当前铠侠的估值水平处于什么位置?

经历2026年大幅上涨后,铠侠静态市盈率超70倍、市净率约30倍,高于三星电子、SK海力士等全球半导体存储同业,已处于较高水平,估值合理性高度依赖AI驱动的NAND高景气周期的持续性。

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