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科沃斯只吃“老钱红利”

古廿 2026-06-12 14:11
古廿 2026/06/12 14:11

邦小白快读

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本文核心梳理了科沃斯集团当前的发展现状与面临的问题,重点干货整理如下

1. 发展历程:科沃斯是家用智能扫地机行业老牌龙头,创始人钱东奇(业内称老钱)交棒儿子钱程(小钱),2019年剥离ODM代工聚焦自有品牌,当年归母净利从上年4.85亿元下滑至1.21亿元,后续靠钱东奇二次创业的子品牌添可拉动增长,当前双品牌各贡献集团近一半收入。

2. 当前行业格局:受新老交班阵痛影响,科沃斯主品牌错过了扫地机功能升级窗口期,被追觅、石头、云鲸、小米分流,全球排名滑至第三;子品牌添可深耕洗地机赛道,拿下全球销量四连冠、国内销量销额六连冠。

3. 现状困境:当前科沃斯增长依赖出海,但面临汇率波动侵蚀利润的问题,钱东奇年近七旬仍需掌舵,尚未到放心交棒退休的状态,股价也持续承压。

本文披露了科沃斯双品牌运营的经验教训,对智能清洁品牌的发展有诸多参考价值,干货整理如下

1. 品牌布局教训:双品牌运营要平衡主品牌与新赛道的资源投入,科沃斯因创始人精力放在添可二次创业,新接任的团队没抓住扫地机从单机到全能基站的升级窗口,让头部市场被新势力分流,从行业第一滑至第三,丢掉了强者通吃的机会。

2. 新品类运营经验:添可抓住国内外洗地机品类的信息差,依靠先发优势抢占用户心智,同时搭建全价位段、全场景的产品矩阵,吃透不同人群需求,成功拿下赛道第一,这个路径值得新品牌参考。

3. 风险提示:当前国内智能清洁市场竞争白热化,洗地机的需求天花板低于扫地机,出海虽然能拉动增长,但也会带来汇率、关税等经营风险,品牌需要提前做好风险应对。

本文梳理了智能清洁家电行业的机会与风险,对清洁电器卖家的经营有不少参考,干货整理如下

1. 增长机会:当前国内市场增长承压,出海已经成为头部品牌核心增长动力,科沃斯预计2026年底海外收入占比将超过50%,比2025年提升4个百分点,出海是现阶段清洁电器卖家重要的增长方向;另外扫地机仍在向高端化升级,还有市场空间可以挖掘。

2. 风险提示:出海不是绝对的安全岛,会面临汇兑损失、关税波动等风险,科沃斯2026年一季度汇兑损失就吃掉了近四分之一的净利润,卖家需要提前做好风险对冲;国内市场已经进入多方围剿的竞争状态,没有差异化很难抢到市场份额。

3. 可学习经验:新品类一定要抓住先发窗口抢占用户心智,不能错过功能升级的时间窗口,否则很容易被后来者分流市场。

本文梳理了智能清洁行业的需求变化与趋势,对生产制造工厂的发展有诸多启示,干货整理如下

1. 产品生产设计方向:当前清洁电器两类核心产品需求差异明显,扫地机主打帮用户省时间,正向高端化、全能基站、AI避障、自动上下水方向升级;洗地机主打帮用户省力气,覆盖从2000元到6000元全价位段,需要适配不同人群的场景需求,工厂做产品开发要匹配这个定位。

2. 商业机会:头部品牌都在加大出海布局,对适配海外市场的供应链需求提升;科沃斯已经投入数亿建设灵巧手、减速器自有产线,核心零部件自主化是行业趋势,相关生产环节有布局机会。

3. 转型启示:目前头部品牌都在剥离ODM代工,聚焦发展自有品牌,传统代工厂需要提前规划转型方向;头部品牌推进核心部件自主生产,对数字化、智能化生产的需求提升,工厂需要提前升级适配。

本文梳理了智能清洁家电行业的发展趋势与头部玩家痛点,对相关服务商的业务方向有参考价值,干货整理如下

1. 行业发展趋势:当前国内智能清洁家电行业已经从国内内卷转向出海拓展,头部品牌的海外收入占比持续提升,很快将达到一半以上,围绕品牌出海的相关服务需求正在快速增长。

2. 客户核心痛点:头部品牌普遍面临新老接班换代的治理问题,还有双品牌运营的资源分配痛点,出海后面临汇率波动侵蚀利润的问题,国内市场竞争中面临用户心智被分流的营销痛点,这些都是服务商可以切入的方向。

3. 业务机会:可以针对出海企业推出汇率风险管理、海外合规、本地化运营相关服务;针对新老交接的企业提供战略咨询、组织治理服务;针对品类竞争提供用户心智运营、差异化营销服务,核心零部件研发的技术服务也有较大市场需求。

本文反映了智能清洁家电行业的变化,对平台的招商运营和风险规避有参考意义,干货整理如下

1. 品牌对平台的核心需求:当前头部智能清洁品牌都在发力出海,需要平台提供出海配套服务,包括汇率避险、海外仓、本地化运营、合规咨询等支持;中小新势力品牌要做差异化突围,需要平台提供用户洞察、流量倾斜等支持。

2. 招商布局机会:扫地机、洗地机都是快速增长的智能家电品类,添可的发展验证了新品类的增长潜力,还有不少主打新功能、新定位的品牌可以引入,丰富平台的品类矩阵。

3. 风险规避要点:国内智能清洁市场增长承压,价格竞争激烈,平台要注意规避恶性价格战,避免破坏平台生态;出海品牌面临合规风险、汇率风险,平台要提前向商家提示风险,提供相关工具帮助商家做好应对。

本文以科沃斯为案例,梳理了智能清洁家电产业的新变化与新问题,对产业研究有较高的参考价值,干货整理如下

1. 产业新动向:全球家用智能扫地机赛道格局已经重塑,追觅首次拿下全球销量销额双第一,科沃斯退居第三;洗地机赛道添可连续多年稳居第一,行业竞争从早期的新品类教育转向功能同质化后的价值竞争,出海已经成为头部品牌共同的增长方向。

2. 产业新问题:老牌科创企业面临新老交接的治理困境,科沃斯当前依赖创始人的“老钱红利”,新团队尚未建立足够的市场确定性,资本市场更偏好实控人年轻、研发投入高、职业经理人治理的企业,这个问题在很多老牌企业中普遍存在。

3. 研究参考:科沃斯双品牌运营中,第二曲线增长反而耽误主品牌领跑的案例,对研究家族企业接班、多元化品牌战略、出海经营风险都有典型的参考价值。

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Quick Summary

This article outlines the current development status and challenges of Ecovacs Robotics, with key takeaways as follows:

1. Development History: Ecovacs is a long-standing leading player in the consumer robotic vacuum industry. Founder David Qian (Dongqi Qian, known as "Old Qian" in the industry) has handed over the reins to his son Adam Qian (Cheng Qian, "Little Qian"). In 2019, the group spun off its ODM manufacturing business to focus on its own brands; that year, its net profit attributable to shareholders dropped from RMB 485 million the previous year to RMB 121 million. Subsequent growth has been driven by Tineco, the secondary brand founded by David Qian during his second entrepreneurial venture. Today, the two brands each contribute nearly half of the group's total revenue.

2. Current Industry Landscape: Hit by the growing pains of leadership transition, the core Ecovacs brand missed the window for functional upgrades in the robotic vacuum segment, losing market share to Dreame, Roborock, Narwal and Xiaomi. It has dropped to third place globally. Its secondary brand Tineco has carved out a strong position in the floor washer segment, holding four consecutive titles for global sales and six consecutive titles for both sales volume and value in China.

3. Current Challenges: Ecovacs' current growth relies heavily on overseas expansion, but it faces profit erosion from exchange rate fluctuations. At nearly 70 years old, David Qian still needs to lead the business, and is not yet able to retire comfortably after a successful handover. The company's stock price has also remained under persistent pressure.

This article shares lessons and insights from Ecovacs' dual-brand operation, offering valuable references for smart cleaning brands. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Lessons on brand portfolio: Dual-brand operations require balanced resource allocation between the core brand and new category ventures. At Ecovacs, as the founder focused his energy on building Tineco as a second venture, the new leadership team missed the upgrade window when robotic vacuums shifted from standalone units to all-in-one base stations. This allowed new players to take large shares of the top-tier market, pushing Ecovacs from first to third place and costing it the first-mover advantage that comes with winner-takes-all dynamics.

2. Best practices for new category operation: Tineco capitalized on the information gap for the floor washer category between domestic and overseas markets, seized user mindshare with a first-mover advantage, and built a full-price, full-scenario product portfolio to meet the needs of different consumer groups. This strategy successfully secured its top position in the segment, and the path is replicable for emerging brands.

3. Risk warning: Competition in China's smart cleaning market is now extremely intense. The demand ceiling for floor washers is lower than that for robotic vacuums. While overseas expansion drives growth, it also brings operational risks including exchange rate fluctuations and tariffs, which brands need to prepare for in advance.

This article outlines opportunities and risks in the smart cleaning appliance industry, offering actionable insights for cleaning appliance sellers. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Growth opportunities: As domestic growth in China slows, overseas expansion has become the core growth driver for leading brands. Ecovacs projects that its overseas revenue share will exceed 50% by the end of 2026, up 4 percentage points from 2025, making international expansion a key growth direction for cleaning appliance sellers at this stage. In addition, the robotic vacuum segment is still upgrading toward higher-end offerings, with untapped market space remaining.

2. Risk warning: Overseas expansion is not a guaranteed safe haven. It carries risks of exchange losses and tariff fluctuations. In Q1 2024, Ecovacs' exchange losses ate up nearly a quarter of its net profit, so sellers need to implement risk hedging in advance. The domestic market is now a crowded, competitive landscape, and it is difficult to capture market share without clear differentiation.

3. Actionable lessons: For new categories, it is critical to seize the first-mover window to capture user mindshare and not miss the timing for functional upgrades. Failing to do so easily leaves room for later entrants to steal market share.

This article outlines shifting demand and trends in the smart cleaning industry, offering key insights for manufacturing facilities. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Product design and manufacturing direction: Demand for the two core products in the cleaning appliance space differs sharply. Robotic vacuums are positioned to save users time, and are upgrading toward high-end offerings with all-in-one bases, AI obstacle avoidance, and automatic water refill/drainage. Floor washers are positioned to reduce physical effort for users, and cover a full price range from RMB 2,000 to RMB 6,000 to meet the needs of different consumer groups. Factories should align their product development with these positioning requirements.

2. Business opportunities: Leading brands are scaling up their overseas布局, increasing demand for supply chains adapted to international markets. Ecovacs has already invested hundreds of millions of RMB to build in-house production lines for dexterous robot grippers and gear reducers. Localization of core components is an industry-wide trend, creating layout opportunities for relevant production segments.

3. Transformation insights: Today's leading brands are spinning off their ODM manufacturing businesses to focus on own-brand growth. Traditional contract manufacturers need to plan their transformation paths early. As leading brands bring core component production in-house, demand for digital and intelligent manufacturing is rising, so factories need to upgrade their capabilities to adapt.

This article outlines development trends and key pain points for leading players in the smart cleaning appliance industry, offering guidance for service providers' business direction. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Industry development trends: China's smart cleaning appliance industry has shifted from domestic competition to overseas expansion. The overseas revenue share of leading brands is rising steadily, and will soon exceed 50%. Demand for related services supporting brand global expansion is growing rapidly.

2. Core pain points of clients: Leading brands普遍 face governance challenges from generational leadership transitions, as well as resource allocation pain points from dual-brand operations. After expanding overseas, they face profit erosion from exchange rate fluctuations, and in the domestic market, they face marketing pain points from eroding user mindshare to competitors. All of these are promising entry points for service providers.

3. Business opportunities: Service providers can develop offerings including exchange rate risk management, overseas compliance, and localized operation services for globalizing brands; provide strategic consulting and organizational governance services for companies undergoing generational leadership transition; and offer user mindshare management and differentiated marketing services for category competitors. There is also strong market demand for technical services supporting core component R&D.

This article outlines shifts in the smart cleaning appliance industry, offering insights for platforms'招商, operations, and risk mitigation. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Core brand demands from platforms: Today's leading smart cleaning brands are all pushing hard on overseas expansion, and need platforms to provide supporting global expansion services, including exchange rate hedging, overseas warehousing, localized operation, and compliance consulting. Small and mid-sized emerging brands looking to differentiate and break through need support including consumer insights and preferential traffic allocation.

2. Opportunities for招商布局: Robotic vacuums and floor washers are both fast-growing smart home appliance categories. Tineco's growth validates the potential of new categories, so platforms can onboard more brands focused on new functions and new positioning to enrich their category portfolio.

3. Risk mitigation priorities: Growth in China's domestic smart cleaning market is slowing, and price competition is intense. Platforms need to guard against cutthroat price wars that damage the platform ecosystem. For brands expanding overseas, platforms should proactively warn merchants of compliance and exchange rate risks, and provide relevant tools to help them prepare.

This article uses Ecovacs as a case study to outline new shifts and challenges in the smart cleaning appliance industry, offering high reference value for industry research. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. New industry dynamics: The competitive landscape of the global consumer robotic vacuum industry has been reshaped: Dreame has taken the top spot in both global sales volume and value for the first time, pushing Ecovacs to third place. In the floor washer segment, Tineco has held the top position for multiple consecutive years. Industry competition has shifted from early-stage new category education to value-based competition after functional commoditization, and overseas expansion has become the shared growth priority for all leading brands.

2. New industry challenges: Established technology companies face governance challenges from generational leadership transition. Ecovacs currently still relies on the "Old Qian dividend" from its founder, and the new leadership team has not yet established sufficient market certainty. Capital markets prefer companies with younger controllers, higher R&D investment, and professional manager governance, a challenge that is widespread among many established enterprises.

3. Research reference value: Ecovacs' case, where growth from a second brand line came at the cost of the core brand's leading position, offers a typical reference for research on family business succession, multi-brand diversification strategies, and cross-border operation risks.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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父子共治下的科沃斯,怎么成了第三名?

尽管科沃斯在湖州南浔,投入数亿建了一个灵巧手及减速器等产线的工厂,堪称目前扫地机三巨头里面,少数实打实扎根机器人产业,但它依然没有吃到机器人红利。

市场显示,科沃斯股价持续承压。

外界试图从经营层面找到原因,比如有人认为机器人目前还没有放量,还有人觉得它跟石头一样,沾上了出海企业的概念,会受到整个外贸市场环境的影响。

但熟悉科沃斯的投资者,对于最近科沃斯跌跌不休的股价,更喜欢用一个词概括“老钱红利”。

“老钱”,指的是科沃斯创始人、现任董事长钱东奇。为了和现任CEO钱程区分,业内常把父子二人称为老钱总和小钱总。

所谓老钱红利,主要是指目前科沃斯核心是依靠创始人,需要创始人一手抓。老钱的精力投入在哪里,哪里的是市场表现就会好起来。

比如2024年市场流传消息称科沃斯治理结构有一些改变,老钱回来了。市场闻声,就令股价快速反弹了将近一倍。

这是老牌企业的优势,比如海尔的张瑞敏,联想的柳传志,都曾经在公司危机时刻先后出手稳住大局。

但依靠创始人,也是老牌企业的劣势。

科沃斯的主要竞争对手石头和追觅,创始人分别是82年和87年生人,正处于45岁之前的当打之年。

无论石头的昌敬就还是追觅的俞浩,都比90年的小钱总大不了几岁。同样估值的水平下,投资者优先选研发投入更高,实控人更年轻的公司大概率是更具确定性的。

更重要的是,石头已经进入职业经理人管理期,老板放手也不影响大局。

相比之下,钱东奇过去几年在主品牌科沃斯和子品牌添可之间来回切换,一边要稳住扫地机基本盘,一边要推动添可二次创业。对一位已经年近七旬的创始人来说,这样的节奏多少显得辛苦。

二次创业子品牌添可时,谈及退休,68岁的钱东奇直言这条船在这儿,还有这么多的利益相关方都在上面,我必须得让这条船行稳致远,这是我的责任。如果这条船已经是行稳致远的,能退休我一定退休。

一语成谶。从全球市场看,科沃斯已经从过去的行业代表,退到了第三位。IDC 2026年一季度全球家用智能扫地机器人数据里,追觅第一次同时拿下销量和销额双第一,石头位列第二,科沃斯排在第三。

全球滑退到第三名的科沃斯,显然还没遇到钱东奇口中行稳致远的退休良机。

是谁给了追觅们机会?

“海这么深,你自己跳下去吧。”这是2018年钱东奇对儿子,现任科沃斯CEO钱程说的原话。

在钱东奇看来,年轻人要亲自操盘,亲自撞一撞冰山、撞一撞铁板,才能变得皮实。如果自己告诉他前方有哪些险礁需要躲避,那他永远不能成为真正意义上的一号位。

彼时28岁接手科沃斯的钱程,紧跟着大刀阔斧改革先摔了一跤。2019年,科沃斯为了剥离ODM代工、强化自有品牌,当年公司归母净利润只有1.21亿元,而上一年这个数字还是4.85亿元。

在后来的年报里,科沃斯曾坦诚地检讨战略和经营应对不足,将问题指向产品、渠道和市场竞争判断等方面的调整不及时。

不过去代工化,发展自有品牌的大方向没有错。

一年后,科沃斯用一份年报回应了所有市场质疑:2020年全年实现营业收入72亿元,同比增长36%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为6亿元,同比增长431%。

但这些喜人的业绩表现,主要来自钱东奇二次创业的子品牌添可。报告期内,添可品牌收入12.59亿元,同比361.64%,营收占比提升至17.41%。

科沃斯2020年后的增长,不是巩固扫地机龙头的地位,继续扩大领先者的优势。而是创始人二次创业成功,开辟新赛道,以洗地机为主的第二曲线添可成了新的增长引擎。

目前科沃斯和添可几乎各自对集团贡献一半的收入,对于添可来说是增长。对主品牌科沃斯而言,或许只是进入修复期。毕竟作为母品牌,科沃斯创立十多年,竟然和一个年轻的子品牌平分秋色。

双品牌格局下,添可确实成了,但或许也耽误了科沃斯主品牌成为扫地机赛道里的大疆。

如果扫地机赛道在钱东奇二次创业前已经见顶,科沃斯转向添可就是神来之笔,可当时扫地机远没到天花板。

恰恰是在科沃斯新老交班的阵痛期(2019-2023年),整个扫地机涌现出来了更多以新功能打开市场需求的新势力。

2019年,云鲸J1用“自动洗拖布”打出差异化;2021年石头G10推自清洁,2022年 G10S系列把基站能力继续堆满,形成“算法、避障、清洁基站、海外渠道”的组合拳。

追觅从高速马达和小米生态链杀出来;小米则把扫地机打到1999,让整个行业都很难在国内舒服的吃到品牌溢价。

多方围剿之下,尽管同期的科沃斯也在推新品,尤其X1 OMNI把全能基站推到大众视野里,但这些牌已经错过了最佳时间窗口期。

科沃斯的问题不是手里没有牌,有品牌、渠道、供应链、售后服务、数据积累,也有上市公司的融资能力。它完全可以在扫地机从单机走向基站系统的那几年,依托先发优势让后来者只能在边角市场讨饭吃。

但产品洗牌进入更快的新节奏后,2018年前后已经开始逐步接管科沃斯的钱程还没有适应脚感,就加入竞速期。

作为行业老大,最有机会把扫地机做成一个“强者通吃”市场的科沃斯,此后成了和后来者抢食的诸强之一。

云鲸切拖地,石头切高端,追觅切配置和速度,小米切价格。大家各拿一把刀,把原本属于科沃斯的机会分成了好几块。

商业世界很残酷:一个新故事讲得太成功,就会掩盖旧战场没有吃透的失利。

科沃斯集团变大了,但科沃斯却成了扫地机的第三名。添可从2019年约2.7亿元的收入起步,几年时间做到70亿元上下。相比之下,科沃斯服务机器人业务从2020年 40亿元出头,到2023年 70多亿元,仍在增长,但增速和想象力已经不是一个量级。

双总经理治下的添可

有趣的是,主品牌被动接招,频频失利退守第三名的同时,子品牌添可却连连攀升,拿下洗地机赛道的头名。

有业内人士调侃:添可能成头名的原因,或许是这块业务成了老钱总和小钱总心心念念的阵地。

一个细节是,尽管添可是钱东奇二次创业的项目。但是2020年10月,钱程邀请到前奥克斯空调的掌门人冷泠的加入,从公开财报披露看,作为科沃斯董事,自加入科沃斯至今,一直担任添可总经理一职。

有趣的是,目前添可官方页面显示,法定代表人、执行董事兼总经理是庄建华。作为科沃斯的最早的15名创始成员之一,庄建华历任科沃斯多处关键岗位,也是长期跟随钱东奇的得力干将之一。

在两个总经理治理下,洗地机作为添可通过产品创新开辟出来的新赛道,也是在冷泠加入的这一年,推出了第一款智能洗地机“芙万”。

依托“智能吸拖洗、一键自清洁”的独特卖点,这款产品上市即大获成功。或许是吃了主品牌在扫地机品类的亏,自2018年创立以来,添可八年时间里选择纵向深耕,在这个赛道里做深做透。

比如在产品价格带上,以五大系列覆盖2000元到6000元全价位段。同时在人群场景上,以芙万五大产品矩阵(极客、小折叠、艺术家、科学家、空间站)吃透不同人群、不同场景。

截止2026年3月,欧睿认证2022-2025年,添可洗地机连续四年全球销量排名第一;同期,奥维云网数据显示:2020年1月至2025年 12月,添可洗地机国内销量、销售额连续六年双第一。

对于这些优势,熟悉洗地机品类的人士认为,添可能够快速起量,吃的是市场认知的红利。添可主营的洗地机在国内算是一个新品类。几年前,消费者还不知道什么是洗地机,但在美国市场,必胜早些年已经打出。

依靠国内外市场之间的信息不对称,添可以“先发优势”快速抢下了头名。

但是这个品类目前的市场规模远不及扫地机市场大,好的一面是市场还未完全成熟,坏的一面是相比扫地的高频需求,洗地或许是一个相对低的需求。

从市场规模看,按奥维云网等行业公开口径,扫地机器人在2020年之后已经是百亿级赛道:2021年国内零售额大约突破120亿元,2022年、2023年仍维持在百亿以上,2024年伴随全能基站、自动上下水、机械臂、AI避障等功能升级,市场继续往高端化走。

洗地机则是从更小的盘子里突然爆发。2020年前后,国内洗地机仍是十亿级甚至更小的市场;2021年开始加速,2022年冲到接近百亿规模,2023年之后进入百亿上下的高位竞争区间。

低基数带来爆发,也带来天花板疑问。

从需求看,扫地机器人解决的是“人能不能不干活”。一旦产品足够成熟,它替代的是整段家务时间。用户可以出门、睡觉、上班,让机器自己完成清扫。

洗地机解决的是“人干活能不能轻松一点”。它效率更高,清洁效果更强,但仍然需要人推着走、加水、倒污水、维护滚刷。

这也是两个品类最大的差别:扫地机器人是在省“时间”,洗地机是在省“力气”。时间的生意,天花板通常更高。力气的生意,爆发可以很快,但复购和渗透要慢慢证明。

从技术看,扫地机面向洗地机也是降维打击。比如目前从扫地机升级后的扫拖一体,理论上也是覆盖掉了一部分洗地机的使用场景。

尽管二者不完全是替代关系,但是互补场景里,更省时间的扫地机也是更高频刚需的产品。

科沃斯难寻换舵时刻

钱东奇很爱用“船”来讲公司。

在创建品牌的过程中,他说自己像船长,带着大家一起把船开到彼岸。船能不能到岸,两个条件最关键:方向要对,动力要足。方向由船长负责,动力来自团队。船身任何地方都不能出纰漏。

这话放在科沃斯今天需要提速的市场环境里,很有意思。2025年全年科沃斯营收190.4亿元,同比增长15.1%;归母净利润17.6亿元,同比增长118.2%。到2026年一季度,公司收入49.0亿元,同比增长27.1%。

科沃斯又把船速提起来了,但船能跑多快,掌舵手很重要。

从2025年四季度开始,国内市场已经明显承压。当季科沃斯营收61.6亿元,同比下滑2.4%。

扫地机这边,科沃斯主品牌已经不再是那个可以靠行业老大身份压住全场的玩家。追觅、石头、云鲸持续上攻,科沃斯在国内扫地机器人市场滑到第三名,本质上不是一个排名变化,而是用户心智被重新分配。

洗地机这边,添可仍然是头名,但品类红利也在变薄。早期消费者还在理解“什么是洗地机”,添可能够吃到定义新品类的红利;现在追觅、石头、美的、海尔、小米都已经围上来,热水洗、躺平洗、贴边清洁、热风烘干、自清洁这些功能很快被拉平,竞争开始从“新品类教育”变成“凭什么你更贵”。

所以科沃斯现在的增长,更多来自另一条路:海外。

2026年一季度,科沃斯主品牌增长约35%,其中海外增长超过60%;添可子品牌增长约20%,其中海外增长超过40%。公司预计,到2026年底,海外市场将贡献核心收入的50% 以上,而2025年这一比例为46%。

但海外不是免费的救生艇。

一季度科沃斯出现1.10亿元汇兑损失,而当季净利润只有4.05亿元,汇率一项就吃掉了接近四分之一利润。与此同时,2025年一季度公司有1.41亿元公允价值收益,2026年一季度则变成1200万元损失。

一来一回,最终表现为:收入增长27.1%,净利润反而同比下降15%。这就是全球化的另一面。

它的增长可以带领企业从国内卷出来,也会把汇率、关税、渠道费用、库存周期一起带上船。

好消息是,科沃斯预计可从IEEPA关税返还中获得2000万至3000万美元,折合人民币约1.4亿至2.2亿元。这部分如果落袋,能对利润表形成一次修复。但它和汇兑损失一样,本质上都不是经营质量本身。

钱东奇谈到退休时认为,如果这条船已经行稳致远,能退休一定退休。但前提是,新一代团队能把方向、价值观、产品、市场、产业链、服务这些节点做到七八成手感。后面几成,可以让他们在打磨中慢慢长出来。

七八成的手感,是要求公司主航道不偏,能经得住周期波动。

目前的科沃斯还没到这个状态。国内市场承压,扫地机主品牌退到第三,洗地机品类红利进入后半场。

钱东奇当年让钱程跳进深海,是为了让年轻人真正学会掌舵。但现在的问题是,海没有变浅,浪还更大了。

科沃斯这条船,钱东奇还没有开到可以放心松手的水域。

注:文/古廿,文章来源:市象,本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:市象

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