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小米“老对手”败退:卖出3亿台 拿不下中国1%市场

朱之丛 2026-07-28 08:42
朱之丛 2026/07/28 08:42

邦小白快读

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本文核心分享了手机品牌realme退出中国市场的行业事件,以及当前手机行业的整体现状,干货内容如下:

1. 当前行业用户特征:中国用户平均换机周期达到近三年半,全球用户平均换机周期超4年,消费者普遍认为手机性能已经过剩,手机已经从快消品转变为耐用品。

2. realme的发展结局:realme创立7年,全球累计销量突破3亿台,在海外市场表现出色,但在中国市场市占率最终跌破1%,现已宣布暂停中国市场产品更新,销售售后交由OPPO接手,团队集中资源深耕海外。

3. realme败退原因:中国手机市场头部集中,前六家厂商占据96.4%的份额,realme单靠性价比卖点,产品力不够全面,品牌没能破圈,还和同集团一加定位重叠,最终不敌市场竞争。

4. 当前行业新风口:AI已经成为手机品牌下一个增长方向,多家厂商都在布局自研AI大模型、AI手机。

本文通过realme败退中国市场的案例,总结了手机行业的发展现状与规律,对手机品牌商有多方面参考价值,核心干货如下:

1. 消费趋势与行业格局:当前手机市场已经进入存量博弈阶段,换机周期延长,市场份额向头部高度集中,马太效应凸显,中小品牌生存空间极窄,产品力不足的玩家会逐步被挤出市场。

2. 产品与品牌策略启示:低价高配的性价比路线能在海外新兴市场打开局面,但中国消费者要求性能、影像、质感全维度均衡,单一侧重点无法满足需求;多品牌布局要做好清晰的定位区隔,避免内部定位重叠造成资源内耗。

3. 机会与挑战:当前AI产业崛起既带来存储成本上涨挤压利润的挑战,也带来了新的增长风口,布局AI、折叠屏、车机等新方向,是品牌破局的主要方向。

本文结合realme退出中国市场的事件,梳理了手机行业的现状、风险与机会,对手机卖家的经营有较强参考意义,核心干货如下:

1. 中国市场现状与风险:当前中国手机市场头部集中度极高,前六大厂商已经占据96.4%的市场份额,非头部品牌生存难度极大,盈利困难,单纯主打性价比的中小品牌增长后劲不足,随时可能退出市场,卖家合作需要注意风险。

2. 消费需求变化:用户换机周期延长到近三年半,性能已经普遍过剩,消费者不再只追求参数,对产品综合体验要求更高,单纯性价比卖点已经很难打动消费者。

3. 可把握的增长机会:海外市场仍有增量空间,realme在海外拥有可观的销量和份额,出海是不错的增长方向;AI手机、折叠屏、特色功能手机是行业新风口,消费者接受度逐步提升,可以提前布局相关品类获得增长。

本文通过realme的发展与败退案例,给手机生产工厂带来了多方面的行业启示,核心干货内容如下:

1. 产品生产设计的方向调整:不同市场的需求差异明显,海外市场对低价高配的性价比产品需求旺盛,而中国市场消费者要求性能、影像、机身质感全维度达标,工厂需要针对不同目标市场调整生产设计方案,匹配市场需求。

2. 商业机会:当前手机行业的新增长点集中在AI手机、折叠屏手机、特色功能手机以及车机智能系统领域,相关供应链工厂可以提前布局对应产能,抓住行业新机会。

3. 生产供应链优化方向:多品牌共享厂区、供应链和集中化采购,可以发挥规模效应,有效降低生产成本,这种协同模式值得生产端参考。

4. 经营风险提示:当前手机行业头部集中趋势明显,中小品牌出清速度加快,工厂可以优先绑定头部品牌,降低自身经营的不确定性。

本文梳理了当前智能手机行业的发展趋势与行业痛点,给手机相关服务商的业务布局提供了清晰参考,核心干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:智能手机行业已经从增量市场转入存量博弈,市场份额向头部高度集中,中小品牌逐步出清,AI已经成为行业公认的下一个增长风口,头部手机厂商、互联网大模型厂商都在纷纷布局AI手机,此外折叠屏、车机系统也是行业探索的新方向。

2. 当前品牌客户的核心痛点:手机品牌普遍面临用户换机周期延长、存储芯片成本暴涨、产品同质化严重、存量竞争激烈的问题,中小品牌难以在中国市场实现盈利,多品牌布局的企业还容易出现品牌定位重叠、内部资源内耗的问题。

3. 服务商的业务机会:服务商可以围绕AI手机技术服务、品牌差异化定位咨询、供应链协同管理、品牌海外市场拓展等方向布局,匹配品牌当下的核心需求,拓展自身业务空间。

本文梳理了智能手机行业的格局变化,给手机销售平台的招商、运营和风险规避带来多方面参考,核心干货如下:

1. 品牌端对平台的核心需求:性价比品牌高度依赖线上渠道获取用户,平台需要为品牌提供更多面向年轻群体的流量曝光,帮助品牌触达目标用户,才能吸引品牌入驻合作。

2. 平台招商与运营方向:当前头部品牌占据绝大多数市场份额,AI手机、特色功能手机是行业新的增长点,平台可以重点加强与头部品牌、布局AI新赛道的品牌合作,依托新品类获得平台增长;同时针对用户换机周期延长的特点,平台可以拓展二手手机、手机维修保养等业务,挖掘存量市场的价值。

3. 风险规避要点:中小性价比品牌生存不确定性很高,市占率低于1%的品牌随时可能退出市场,平台和这类品牌合作时,需要提前做好应对品牌退市后售后、库存积压等问题的预案,规避经营风险。

本文以realme退出中国市场为案例,梳理了智能手机产业的最新动向与核心问题,给产业研究者提供了丰富的研究素材,核心干货如下:

1. 产业最新动向:当前全球智能手机产业已经进入存量竞争阶段,用户换机周期大幅延长,中国市场头部集中趋势明显,前六大厂商占据超过96%的市场份额;AI成为产业新的增长引擎,头部厂商纷纷推出自研手机端大模型,大模型厂商也开始下场做AI手机,折叠屏、车机系统等新方向也成为品牌破局的主要方向。

2. 产业新问题:多品牌战略如果没有清晰的定位区隔,很容易出现内部定位重叠、资源内耗的问题;存量市场下中小品牌生存空间被极度压缩,存储成本上涨进一步挤压全行业利润,中小品牌出清速度加快。

3. 商业模式研究启示:母品牌依托多品牌出击不同细分市场、共享供应链的大体系作战模式,可以有效发挥规模效应降低成本,核心前提是做好品牌定位区隔;出海依然是中国手机品牌寻求增量的有效战略方向。

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Quick Summary

This article shares industry insights around the exit of smartphone brand realme from the Chinese market and analyzes the current state of the global smartphone industry. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. User trends today: The average replacement cycle for smartphones has reached nearly 3.5 years among Chinese users, and exceeds 4 years globally. Most consumers now view smartphone performance as sufficient for daily needs, and the product category has shifted from fast-moving consumer goods to durable goods.

2. realme’s outcome: Founded seven years ago, realme has shipped more than 300 million units globally and performed strongly in overseas markets. However, its market share in China eventually fell below 1%. The brand has announced it will suspend new product releases in China, hand over sales and after-sales services to parent company OPPO, and refocus its resources on overseas expansion.

3. Why realme pulled back: China’s smartphone market is extremely concentrated at the top, with the top six players holding 96.4% of total market share. realme relied heavily on value-for-money positioning, but lacked comprehensive product strength, failed to build mass brand awareness, and had overlapping positioning with fellow OPPO group brand OnePlus, ultimately failing to outcompete in the crowded market.

4. The next industry growth opportunity: AI has emerged as the next major growth driver for smartphone brands, with multiple leading players already developing in-house large AI models and working on AI-enabled smartphones.

Through the case study of realme’s exit from China, this article summarizes the current development status and underlying rules of the smartphone industry, offering multiple key takeaways for smartphone brand owners. Key insights include:

1. Consumption trends and industry structure: The smartphone market has entered a stage of stock competition, with lengthening replacement cycles and extremely high market concentration at the top. The Matthew effect is prominent, leaving very little room for small and mid-sized brands, and players with insufficient product strength are gradually pushed out of the market.

2. Lessons for product and brand strategy: A value-for-money strategy focused on low prices and high specs can help brands gain traction in emerging overseas markets, but Chinese consumers demand balanced performance across all dimensions including specs, imaging, and build quality. A single-focused value proposition cannot meet market demand. For multi-brand portfolios, clear positioning differentiation is critical to avoid internal resource drain from overlapping target segments.

3. Opportunities and challenges: The rise of the AI industry brings both challenges — higher memory costs that squeeze profit margins — and new growth opportunities. Expanding into AI, foldables and in-vehicle connectivity systems have become the main paths for brands to break through market stagnation.

This article analyzes the current status, risks and opportunities of the smartphone industry against the backdrop of realme’s exit from China, offering actionable insights for mobile phone sellers. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Status and risks in the Chinese market: China’s smartphone market is extremely concentrated, with the top six players holding 96.4% of total market share. Non-leading brands face enormous survival and profitability challenges. Small and mid-sized value-focused brands lack sustained growth momentum and may exit the market at any time, so sellers need to assess partnership risks carefully.

2. Shifting consumer demand: The average user replacement cycle has extended to nearly 3.5 years, and performance is widely seen as sufficient for daily needs. Consumers no longer prioritize specs alone, and demand higher comprehensive product experience. A pure value-for-money positioning is no longer enough to attract buyers.

3. Accessible growth opportunities: Overseas markets still offer meaningful incremental growth. realme’s strong overseas performance demonstrates the opportunity of expansion, and going global is a promising growth path. AI smartphones, foldables, and niche feature phones are emerging industry trends with growing consumer acceptance, so sellers can get ahead by stocking these categories to drive growth.

Through the case study of realme’s rise and exit from China, this article offers key industry insights for smartphone manufacturing plants. Core takeaways are as follows:

1. Adjusting production and design strategy: Demand varies significantly across markets. Overseas markets have strong demand for affordable, high-spec value products, while Chinese consumers require full-stack performance across specs, imaging and build quality. Factories need to adjust production and design plans for different target markets to match local demand.

2. Business opportunities: New growth points in the smartphone industry are concentrated in AI phones, foldables, niche feature phones and in-vehicle intelligent systems. Relevant supply chain factories can prepare capacity in advance to capture these new industry opportunities.

3. Optimizing supply chain operations: Sharing production facilities, supply chains and centralized purchasing across multiple brands unlocks economies of scale and effectively reduces production costs. This collaborative model is a valuable reference for manufacturing players.

4. Risk management: The trend toward market concentration is accelerating, and small and mid-sized brands are exiting the market at a faster pace. Factories can prioritize partnerships with leading brands to reduce operational uncertainty.

This article outlines the current development trends and pain points of the smartphone industry, offering clear guidance for business layout for smartphone-related service providers. Key insights include:

1. Industry development trends: The smartphone industry has shifted from an incremental market to stock competition, with high market concentration and accelerated exit of small and mid-sized brands. AI is widely recognized as the next major growth driver, with leading handset makers and large internet model developers all rushing to develop AI smartphones. Foldables and in-vehicle systems are also key areas of industry exploration.

2. Core pain points for brand clients: Most smartphone brands face lengthened user replacement cycles, skyrocketing memory chip costs, severe product homogenization, and intense stock competition. Small and mid-sized brands struggle to turn a profit in the Chinese market, and companies with multi-brand portfolios often face internal resource drain from overlapping positioning.

3. Business opportunities for service providers: Service providers can expand their business by focusing on areas that match brands’ current core needs, including AI smartphone technical services, brand differentiation positioning consulting, collaborative supply chain management, and support for brands’ overseas expansion.

This article analyzes the changing landscape of the smartphone industry, offering guidance on sourcing, operations and risk management for e-commerce platforms selling mobile phones. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Core brand needs for platforms: Value-focused brands rely heavily on online channels to acquire users. To attract brands to partner, platforms need to provide more traffic exposure targeted at young demographics to help brands reach their target audience.

2. Sourcing and operation priorities: Leading brands currently hold the vast majority of market share, and AI smartphones and niche feature phones are new industry growth points. Platforms can prioritize partnerships with leading brands and players expanding into the AI track to drive platform growth through new product categories. Meanwhile, in response to lengthened replacement cycles, platforms can expand into second-hand phones, repair and maintenance services to capture value from the existing stock market.

3. Risk mitigation: Small and mid-sized value brands face high survival uncertainty, and brands with market share below 1% may exit the market at any time. When partnering with these brands, platforms need to prepare contingency plans in advance for after-sales support and inventory backlog to avoid operational risks.

Taking realme’s exit from the Chinese market as a case study, this article sorts out the latest developments and core issues of the global smartphone industry, providing rich research material for industry analysts. Key insights are as follows:

1. Latest industry developments: The global smartphone industry has entered a stage of stock competition, with user replacement cycles lengthening significantly. The Chinese market shows a clear trend toward high concentration, with the top six players holding more than 96% of total market share. AI has become the new growth engine for the industry, with leading handset makers launching in-house on-device large models and general-purpose model developers entering the AI phone space. Foldables and in-vehicle systems are also key strategic directions for brands seeking growth.

2. New industry challenges: Without clear positioning differentiation, multi-brand strategies easily lead to overlapping positioning and internal resource drain. In a stock market, the living space for small and mid-sized brands has been drastically compressed, and rising memory costs have further squeezed industry-wide profit margins, accelerating the exit of small and mid-sized players.

3. Implications for business model research: A large-scale system in which a parent company deploys multiple brands to target different segments while sharing supply chains can effectively leverage economies of scale to reduce costs, but clear positioning differentiation across brands is a core prerequisite. Going global remains an effective strategy for Chinese smartphone brands to pursue incremental growth.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

“轻骑兵”打不赢“阵地战”。

你有多久没换过手机了?

中国信通院给出的最新数据是40.2个月——将近三年半。把范围放大到全球,用户平均换机周期更是超过4年。越来越多消费者选择成为手机“钉子户”,有用户直言:“手机性能早就过剩了,够用就行。”

对消费者来说,手机正在从快消品转向耐用品;对手机品牌来说,这意味着一场无法置身事外的残酷洗牌。

OPPO旗下子品牌realme(真我),就是近期倒下的多米诺骨牌之一。

7月16日,realme副总裁徐起发布了一封致用户公开信,宣告realme将在中国市场暂停产品更新,销售、售后等环节交给母品牌OPPO接手,realme将集中资源,深耕海外市场。

在竞争激烈的中国智能手机市场,realme存在感相对薄弱。但在海外市场,它曾是一匹高歌猛进的“黑马”:问世仅1年,realme全球出货量就突破2500万台,在印度市场排名第四,年增长率超过500%。

“步步高系”强大的渠道能力,为realme的出海之路打下了扎实的底子。在产品端,realme主打低价高配,面向预算有限、追求极致性能的“参数党”。OPPO之所以祭出这款“性价比杀手”,正是为了在下沉市场狙击自己的老对手——小米。

但风头过后,realme终究没能在拼杀最激烈的本土市场证明自己。2025年末,经历了7年角逐的realme在中国的市占率已低于1%。随着市场份额不断向头部集中,realme、魅族等多个品牌不得不退出商业舞台,在别处另谋增长。

诚如徐起在公开信中所说:“这是一次理性的转身。”但在转身之后,realme、OPPO乃至所有手机厂商都必须思考下一个问题:AI来势汹汹、存储成本暴涨、换机周期延长,品牌该如何在这样的新常态中存活到终局?

OPPO的“轻骑兵”

Realme是带着使命“降生”的:剑指海外市场,迎击老对手小米。

2018年,OPPO时任副总裁李炳忠带队创立了realme品牌,在印度市场上线了第一款手机Realme 1。这款机型采用了当时较为领先的处理器联发科P60,但售价仅为8990卢比(当前约合人民币632元),切中了印度电商需求量最大的价位,立刻成为爆款。

彼时,小米是印度市场的“头号玩家”,尤其在线上渠道占据绝对优势。OPPO、vivo和三星只能在占整体市场容量55%的线下渠道竞争。

因此,OPPO推出realme的用意相当明确:以性价比机型开辟线上市场,作为突袭小米和红米的“轻骑兵”。

此后,realme以接近4个月一款的速度快速上新,在千元机领域先撕开突破口,然后逐渐把价格上探到全价位。为了争取年轻消费群体,realme的印度CEO还在大学校园里召开发布会,并邀请数码KOL现场拆机测评。

清晰的产品定位和营销策略,让realme迅速在海外市场打出了声量。

数据显示,2019年,realme全球手机出货量已突破2500万台,同比增长500%,它在印度市场份额位居第4名,线上份额仅次于小米。2021年,realme宣布全球累计销量超过1亿台,跃居全球手机市场销量第6名。截至目前,realme全球累计销量突破3亿台。

从全局来看,realme进一步补全了OPPO的品牌版图。有从业者把这种战术称为“大OPPO体系作战”:OPPO负责线下渠道,Realme偏向线上,一加进攻高端市场。

在供应端,这也能发挥整个大OPPO体系的协同效应。在印度北方邦的诺伊达市,OPPO、一加、Realme这三个品牌共用同一片厂区,共享供应链和集中化采购,这与手机作为快消品的规模效应相得益彰。

一次注定的撤退

Realme败退中国市场,也可以说是一种必然。徐起曾坦言:“中国市场盈利非常困难。”

最直观的原因,当然是数据层面看不到回报:2024年,realme在中国的市占率仅为1.22%;到2025年第四季度,这个数据已跌破1%。

在数据背后,realme在中国市场的失语有多方面原因:

首先,中国手机市场已经进入高烈度竞争,单纯在性能上做差异化,无法再说服挑剔的消费者买单。

在海外,realme喊出的口号是“敢越级”:把旗舰芯片下放给千元机,同时在质感上作出一定牺牲,采用低配摄像头、塑料中框等廉价方案。这命中了一部分数码爱好者的痛点。

但在中国这个竞争更充分的市场,消费者的选择往往是“既要又要”:性能、摄像、机身质感,哪一项都不能偏废。Realme势必要面对产品力更全面、供应链更成熟的对手,其中甚至包括自己的“兄弟品牌”一加。

其次,realme的品牌认知始终没能提级和破圈。在中国,realme主打的“极致性价比”标签成为一把双刃剑,它瞄准的核心用户圈层年龄小、预算低,其真实购买力和影响力有限,增长后劲不足。

不过,这也不是独属于realme一家的困境。中国手机市场这片“红海”,已经把越来越多产品力不足的玩家挤下了牌桌。

曾经在“游戏手机”细分赛道内占据70%份额的黑鲨,自2022年起就销声匿迹;以“小而美”的设计美学著称的魅族,宣布暂停手机业务、向AI领域转型;只有iQOO、红米、一加等少数几个性价比品牌,还在母品牌的支撑下深耕细分人群。

数据显示,2026年第二季度,华为、苹果、OPPO、vivo、小米、荣耀六大手机厂商合计吃掉了中国市场96.4%的份额。在这个品牌分治格局确立的时代,realme战略性撤出中国、全身心投入海外市场,不失为明智之举。

官宣退出中国市场后,原本平缓下滑的二手realme价格出现了一定波动。Realme粉丝也纷纷现身,在徐起的微博评论区发出感怀:“纯粹的性价比手机,以后再也买不到了”“目前用过最好的安卓机品牌,没想到成为了绝唱”。

到终局的距离

在信息化时代,手机几乎已成为人们的“外置器官”。

QuestMobile发布的报告显示,2025年,中国移动互联网月活跃用户数达到12.76亿,人均单日使用时长接近8小时。通讯社交、本地生活、影音娱乐……对现代人来说,手机是毫无疑问的刚需。

但同时,中国智能手机市场已经见顶,各家产品也开始趋于同质化,手机行业从增量市场转入存量博弈。AI产业崛起导致的存储芯片成本暴涨,更是切实威胁到了各家手机厂商的利润水平。

不过,AI既是冲击,也是机遇。

在性能、影像等方向“卷”到极致后,AI成为了手机品牌的下一个增长风口。华为盘古、小米MiMo、vivo蓝心、OPPO安第斯……各家厂商纷纷推出自研大模型,试图在离终端最近的地方打造AI第一入口。

为了抢占市场,专业大模型厂商也开始下场做手机。2025年,与努比亚合作的第一代豆包AI手机问世,运用GUI Agent技术帮助用户操作App,自主完成复杂任务,在二手市场一度被炒到上万元的高价。近期,第二代豆包AI手机也在世界人工智能大会上展出。

除了AI智能体手机外,厂商还在更多技术方向上启动探索。华为通过自研芯片实现系统层面的软硬协同,在国内折叠屏手机市场已占据6成以上份额;荣耀的“机器人手机”在机身顶部加装机械云台,并配备智能体操作系统Agentic OS;就连魅族也在吉利汽车上改头换面,以Flyme Auto车机系统增强驾驶体验。

在这些品牌的争奇斗妍中,realme的“出局”似乎稍显落寞。

它就像一个偏科严重的学生:极致性能、激进调教,但质感不足、线下渠道缺失,和自家品牌一加的定位也出现重叠,最终无法战胜中国市场的“马太效应”。

但在全球范围内,realme依旧保有可观的市场份额。在完成这一轮战略收缩之后,OPPO如何在海外市场打好自己的手牌,把这支灵活的“轻骑兵”变成全能的“阵地战”选手,将是决定realme未来命运的关键。

注:文/朱之丛,文章来源:天下网商(公众号ID:txws_txws),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:天下网商

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FAQ回顾

realme是什么品牌?

realme是OPPO旗下的智能手机子品牌,2018年成立,主打高性价比,面向预算有限、追求极致性能的消费群体,全球累计销量已突破3亿台,目前已暂停中国市场产品更新,集中资源深耕海外市场。

realme为什么要退出中国市场?

中国智能手机市场竞争烈度极高,realme主打极致性价比的产品无法满足消费者对性能、摄像、机身质感的全面需求,同时其品牌认知未能破圈,核心用户购买力有限,2025年末中国市占率跌破1%,盈利困难,因此选择战略性撤退。

当前中国智能手机市场的竞争格局是什么样的?

中国智能手机市场已进入存量博弈阶段,用户平均换机周期达40.2个月,头部效应显著,2026年第二季度华为、苹果、OPPO、vivo、小米、荣耀六大厂商合计占据中国市场96.4%的份额,中小品牌生存空间被大幅挤压。

未来智能手机行业有哪些发展方向?

AI是当前智能手机行业的核心增长风口,各大厂商纷纷布局自研大模型打造AI终端,此外折叠屏技术、机械云台手机、车机系统协同等也是行业重点探索方向,差异化技术布局成为存量竞争阶段的核心竞争力。

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