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阿里腾讯领衔 “反字节联盟”狙击Seedance?

翟元元 2026-07-22 14:15
翟元元 2026/07/22 14:15

邦小白快读

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当前国内AI视频生成赛道竞争已经进入白热化,字节跳动的Seedance模型占据绝对领先地位,阿里腾讯等牵头多家企业形成“反字节联盟”试图围剿,核心干货信息如下:

1. 核心产品与行业格局:字节即将上线Seedance2.5,升级后支持30秒原生视频直出、可同时导入50个全模态参考素材,生成可控性和精细化程度更高,目前技术处于断档领先,国内市场份额约80%,单月流水在18-21亿元,赛道整体毛利率在70%-90%,已经验证可稳定盈利。

2. 产品价格对比:阿里快乐马720P视频最低0.36元/秒,腾讯WorkRally生成视频约0.8元/秒,字节Seedance2.0为1元/秒且不打折,普通用户追求性价比可以选择快乐马,追求生成效果优先选Seedance。

3. 未来行业方向:目前反字节联盟暂时无法撼动字节的市场地位,国内漫赛道补贴退潮进入淘汰赛,出海成为行业新的增量方向,海外AI短剧日消耗达3000万美金,市场规模和国内相当。

当前AI视频生成已经验证可实现盈利,短剧漫赛道内容需求爆发,品牌商可借助AI工具降本提效,把握新营销机会,核心干货如下:

1. 消费与市场趋势:国内漫剧短剧市场规模半年从200亿增长至400多亿,海外AI短剧日消耗达3000万美金,市场规模和国内相当,内容生产需求爆发,为品牌内容营销、创意生产带来了新的增量机会。

2. 工具选择参考:不同AI视频工具适配不同需求,追求性价比的静态营销内容,可选择阿里快乐马,当前最低四折,成本远低于Seedance;追求生成效果和多场景适配可选择字节Seedance,音画同步、画面质感领先;做漫剧相关内容可选择腾讯WorkRally,可降低制作成本约60%,已有130多家企业入驻。

3. 合作参考:字节依托抖音红果形成完整流量变现闭环,占据80%市场份额,品牌合作可优先考虑成熟头部产品,也可布局出海挖掘新机会。

当前AI视频生成已经跑通商业闭环,短剧是核心增长场景,卖家可从中挖掘新机会,同时注意规避风险,核心干货如下:

1. 市场机会:国内短剧市场规模半年翻倍至400多亿,海外AI短剧日消耗达3000万美金,和国内市场规模相当,出海是明确的新增量市场;AI视频工具可大幅降低内容制作成本,比如腾讯WorkRally可让漫剧制作成本降低60%,适合内容卖家降本提效。

2. 竞争现状与切入路径:字节Seedance占据80%市场份额,技术断档领先,已经形成IP制作、分发、投流完整闭环,中小卖家尽量不要正面竞争,可依托现有平台生态切入,比如快乐马对接优酷爱奇艺,可灵对接快手,WorkRally对接腾讯视频,都有成熟的变现闭环。

3. 风险提示:当前国内漫剧补贴退潮进入淘汰赛,头部集中效应明显,新入场卖家竞争压力较大;Seedance存在算力不足偶尔发挥不稳定的问题,新功能升级还会推高算力成本,卖家需要提前核算成本再选择工具。

AI视频生成技术给内容生产工厂带来了降本增效和数字化升级的新机会,也带来了新的商业空间,核心干货如下:

1. 产品生产需求:当前国内短剧漫剧市场爆发,市场规模半年翻倍至400多亿,对AI视频生成工具的需求大幅增长,行业要求工具能提升制作效率、降低生产成本,目前不同工具已经适配不同生产需求,字节Seedance可实现精细化视频生成编辑,腾讯WorkRally专门适配漫剧工业化制作。

2. 商业机会:AI视频生成赛道已经验证可盈利,毛利率高达70%-90%,内容生产工厂可对接不同平台的AI工具,依托平台流量实现稳定变现,目前字节、快手、腾讯、阿里都搭建了从制作到变现的完整闭环,工厂可根据自身需求选择对接。

3. 数字化转型启示:内容生产工厂需要积极接入AI大模型工具改造生产流程,大幅降低制作成本、提升产出效率;国内市场竞争激烈头部集中,工厂可主动布局出海赛道,把握海外短剧市场的增量机会。

当前国内AI视频生成赛道进入白热化竞争阶段,行业已经跑通商业闭环,服务商可把握行业痛点挖掘新机会,核心干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:AI视频生成是继AI Coding之后第二个跑通商业闭环的AI变现场景,市场需求随短剧爆发快速增长,当前行业呈现一超多强格局,字节占据80%市场份额,阿里腾讯通过自研+投资的方式布局多家AI视频企业,形成围剿态势,未来出海是行业核心增量方向。

2. 客户核心痛点:目前头部产品Seedance存在价格偏高、算力供给不足偶尔不稳定的问题,新推出的功能升级不匹配短剧制作核心痛点,还会推高用户算力成本;而其他二三线玩家普遍存在技术体验不足、稳定性差的问题,客户需要性价比合适、技术稳定、贴合核心制作需求的产品。

3. 解决方案方向:服务商可针对短剧制作核心痛点开发适配功能,避开头部已经占据的成熟市场,重点布局出海赛道,依托国内的成本优势抢占海外市场,也可以对接大厂生态,获得流量和资源支持。

当前AI视频生成赛道盈利前景明确,竞争愈发激烈,平台商可参考现有玩家玩法,优化自身布局规避风险,核心干货如下:

1. 行业需求:AI视频生成已经验证盈利性,毛利率可达70%-90%,随着短剧漫剧市场爆发,市场需求快速增长,平台商需要提前布局相关业务抓住增长机会。

2. 现有成熟玩法参考:字节的玩法是推出Seedance大模型,联动抖音红果搭建从内容制作到分发投流的完整闭环,依托流量优势占据80%市场;阿里采用“投资+自研+挖人”的组合策略,靠低价抢占市场;腾讯针对漫剧制作推出垂直化专业平台,靠降本优势吸引商家入驻,目前已经吸引130多家企业入驻,这些模式都可参考。

3. 风险规避:当前国内市场头部集中,竞争已经进入白热化,红果对漫剧的补贴退潮后行业进入淘汰赛,不要盲目在国内市场烧钱抢占份额,可重点布局出海挖掘增量;要优先保障算力供给,避免产品不稳定影响用户体验,功能升级要贴合用户核心痛点,不要盲目升级推高用户使用成本。

本文梳理了国内AI视频生成赛道的最新竞争格局和产业动向,对AI商业化研究有较高参考价值,核心内容如下:

1. 产业新动向:AI视频生成已经成为继AI Coding之后第二个跑通商业闭环的AI变现场景,盈利性好毛利率可达70%-90%,吸引互联网大厂和初创公司纷纷入场,当前产业形成字节一家独大,阿里腾讯牵头多家AI视频企业组成“反字节联盟”围剿的竞争格局,字节占据约80%市场份额,整体呈现一超多强的态势。

2. 产业新问题:行业竞争已经进入白热化,国内市场头部集中效应明显,中小玩家很难切入分得市场份额;产品端存在功能升级脱离用户核心痛点的问题,Seedance2.5即将推出的新功能并非短剧制作核心需求,反而会增加算力消耗成本;国内漫剧补贴退潮,行业已经进入淘汰赛阶段,存量竞争加剧。

3. 商业模式总结:当前头部玩家普遍采用“AI大模型+自有内容平台+自有流量平台”的闭环商业模式,不同玩家都依托自身原有流量和内容资源搭建闭环,这种模式是当前AI视频生成领域成熟的变现模式,未来出海将成为行业新的增长方向。

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Quick Summary

Competition in China's AI video generation market has now reached a fever pitch, with ByteDance's Seedance model holding an overwhelming leading position. An "anti-Byte alliance" led by Alibaba, Tencent and other firms has formed to challenge Byte's dominance. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Core products and industry landscape: ByteDance will soon launch Seedance 2.5, which supports 30-second native video generation and allows importing up to 50 multi-modal reference materials, delivering improved generation controllability and fine-grained output. Byte currently holds a large technology lead over competitors, commanding roughly 80% of the domestic market with a monthly revenue of 1.8 billion to 2.1 billion yuan. The overall industry gross margin ranges from 70% to 90%, and stable profitability has already been proven.

2. Price comparison: Alibaba's Kuailema offers 720P video generation starting at 0.36 yuan per second, Tencent's WorkRally charges roughly 0.8 yuan per second, while ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 is priced at 1 yuan per second with no discounts. Cost-conscious general users can choose Kuailema, while those prioritizing output quality should opt for Seedance.

3. Industry outlook: The anti-Byte alliance has not yet been able to challenge ByteDance's market position. Domestic subsidies for the donghua-style drama sector are pulling back, pushing the industry into a consolidation phase. Going global has emerged as the key new growth driver for the industry, with daily spending on overseas AI-powered short dramas reaching $30 million, equal in market size to China's domestic market.

AI video generation has already demonstrated proven profitability, and demand for short donghua-style dramas is exploding, creating new marketing opportunities for brands to cut costs and improve efficiency. Key insights for brands are as follows:

1. Consumption and market trends: China's domestic short donghua-style drama market has doubled in size from 200 billion yuan to over 400 billion yuan in six months. Overseas AI short dramas see $30 million in daily consumption, matching the size of China's domestic market. The surge in content production demand has created new incremental opportunities for brand content marketing and creative production.

2. Tool selection guide: Different AI video tools fit different use cases. For cost-sensitive static marketing content, brands can choose Alibaba's Kuailema, which currently offers discounts as deep as 60% off, with far lower costs than Seedance. For superior output quality and multi-scene adaptability, ByteDance's Seedance is the top choice, with industry-leading audio-visual synchronization and output quality. For donghua-style drama content production, Tencent's WorkRally can cut production costs by roughly 60% and already hosts over 130 corporate clients.

3. Cooperation reference: ByteDance has built a complete traffic monetization closed loop through Douyin and Hongguo, and holds 80% of the market share. Brands can prioritize partnerships with established leading products, while also exploring overseas markets for new opportunities.

AI video generation has already built a fully functional commercial closed loop, with short dramas as the core growth scenario. Sellers can tap new opportunities in this space while taking steps to avoid risks. Key takeaways for sellers are as follows:

1. Market opportunities: China's domestic short drama market has doubled in six months to over 400 billion yuan, while overseas AI short dramas hit $30 million in daily consumption, matching the size of China's domestic market. Overseas expansion is a clear new growth market. AI video tools can drastically cut content production costs: for example, Tencent's WorkRally reduces donghua-style drama production costs by 60%, making it ideal for content sellers looking to cut costs and boost efficiency.

2. Competitive landscape and entry paths: ByteDance's Seedance holds 80% of the market with a sizable technology lead, and has built a full closed loop covering IP development, distribution and ad targeting. Small and medium-sized sellers should avoid direct head-to-head competition, and can instead enter the market by integrating with existing platform ecosystems. For example, Kuailema connects with Youku and iQiyi, Keling connects with Kuaishou, and WorkRally connects with Tencent Video, all offering established monetization closed loops.

3. Risk warnings: Domestic donghua-style drama subsidies are retreating, pushing the industry into a consolidation phase with strong market concentration toward top players. New entrants face steep competition. Additionally, Seedance suffers from occasional unstable performance due to insufficient computing power, and new feature upgrades will further increase computing costs. Sellers should calculate costs carefully before selecting a tool.

AI video generation technology brings new opportunities for content production factories to cut costs, boost efficiency and achieve digital upgrading, while opening up new commercial space. Key insights for factories are as follows:

1. Production demand: China's domestic short donghua-style drama market is booming, doubling in six months to over 400 billion yuan, driving sharply higher demand for AI video generation tools. The industry requires tools that improve production efficiency and cut costs, and existing tools already cater to different production needs. ByteDance's Seedance enables fine-grained video generation and editing, while Tencent's WorkRally is purpose-built for industrial-scale donghua-style drama production.

2. Commercial opportunities: The AI video generation sector has already proven profitable, with gross margins as high as 70% to 90%. Content production factories can integrate with AI tools from different platforms and achieve stable monetization through platform traffic. ByteDance, Kuaishou, Tencent and Alibaba have all built complete closed loops from production to monetization, and factories can choose the partner that fits their needs.

3. Insights for digital transformation: Content production factories should actively integrate large AI model tools to revamp production workflows, drastically cutting production costs and boosting output efficiency. Given intense competition and rising concentration in the domestic market, factories should proactively expand into the overseas sector to capture the incremental growth opportunity from the global short drama market.

Competition in China's domestic AI video generation sector is now at a fever pitch, and the industry has built a fully functional commercial closed loop. Service providers can address industry pain points to unlock new opportunities. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Industry development trends: AI video generation is the second AI monetization scenario after AI coding to build a working commercial closed loop. Market demand is growing rapidly alongside the boom in short dramas, and the industry currently has a "one superpower, multiple strong players" structure: ByteDance holds 80% of the market, while Alibaba and Tencent have built a network of self-developed and invested AI video firms to challenge Byte's dominance. Going global will be the core future growth direction for the industry.

2. Core customer pain points: The leading product Seedance suffers from high pricing and occasional unstable performance due to insufficient computing power supply. Its new feature upgrades do not address the core pain points of short drama production, and will further push up users' computing costs. Meanwhile, second- and third-tier players generally suffer from poor technical performance and low stability. Customers are hungry for cost-effective, technically stable products tailored to their core production needs.

3. Solution directions: Service providers can develop targeted features for the core pain points of short drama production, avoid crowded mature markets already dominated by top players, prioritize the overseas expansion track, and leverage China's cost advantages to capture global market share. They can also integrate with big tech ecosystems to gain access to traffic and resource support.

The AI video generation sector has clear profitable prospects and increasingly intense competition. Platforms can draw on the playbooks of existing players to optimize their positioning and avoid risks. Key takeaways for platforms are as follows:

1. Industry demand: AI video generation has already proven profitable with gross margins of 70% to 90%, and market demand is growing rapidly alongside the boom in short donghua-style dramas. Platforms should position themselves early in this space to capture growth opportunities.

2. Playbook references from established players: ByteDance's approach is to launch the Seedance large model, and partner with Douyin and Hongguo to build a complete closed loop from content production to distribution and ad targeting, capturing 80% of the market through its traffic advantage. Alibaba uses a combined strategy of "investment + in-house development + talent poaching" to gain market share through low pricing. Tencent has launched a vertical professional platform for donghua-style drama production, attracting over 130 business clients with its cost-reduction advantages. All three models are worth referencing.

3. Risk mitigation: The domestic market is highly concentrated and competition is already at a fever pitch. After Hongguo cut subsidies for donghua-style dramas, the industry entered a consolidation phase. Platforms should not burn cash blindly to gain domestic market share, and should instead prioritize global expansion to capture incremental growth. They must also prioritize stable computing power supply to avoid poor product stability hurting user experience, and ensure feature upgrades align with core user pain points rather than blindly pushing upgrades that raise user costs.

This article outlines the latest competitive landscape and industry developments in China's AI video generation sector, offering high-value reference for AI commercialization research. Core content is as follows:

1. New industry developments: AI video generation has become the second AI monetization scenario after AI coding to build a working commercial closed loop, with strong profitability and gross margins of 70% to 90%. This has drawn entry from major internet firms and startups alike. The industry is currently dominated by ByteDance, with an "anti-Byte alliance" of multiple AI video firms led by Alibaba and Tencent challenging its dominance. ByteDance holds roughly 80% of the market, forming the overall "one superpower, multiple strong players" structure.

2. Emerging industry issues: Competition has reached a fever pitch, with strong market concentration in the domestic market making it hard for small and mid-sized players to enter and gain share. On the product side, feature upgrades are increasingly disconnected from core user pain points: the upcoming new features in Seedance 2.5 do not address core short drama production needs, and will only increase computing costs. As domestic subsidies for donghua-style dramas retreat, the industry has entered a consolidation phase with intensified stock competition.

3. Business model summary: Leading players currently widely adopt the closed-loop business model of "large AI model + proprietary content platform + proprietary traffic platform", with each player building its closed loop based on its existing traffic and content resources. This model is the mature monetization approach for the current AI video generation industry, and going global will become the new core growth direction for the sector in the future.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

|翟元元

字节Seedance 2.5上线在即,业界传闻,Seedance 2.5将于7月16日正式全量开放API。字节旗下一位火山引擎销售告诉Tech星球,正式上线或在17日晚上。不过,截至目前还未上线。

对于行业而言,完成多项核心能力升级的Seedance 2.5值得期待:支持单段原生30秒视频直出,可同时导入50个全模态参考素材,实现可控性更强、精细化程度更高的视频生成与编辑。

Seedance 2.5上线,字节在视频生成模型领域大概率将继续保持其行业领先地位。但是,一个不容忽视的现实是,国内AI视频生成领域的竞争,已经变得白热化。快手可灵完成独立融资,BAT罕见同台投资;阿里、腾讯等互联网大厂频频出手,或迭代升级自研大模型版本,或斥巨资投资外部公司,采取自研+投资并行策略,试图在视频生成领域分一杯羹。

大厂之外,初创公司也纷纷拿到巨额融资。从结果来看,行业已经形成多方势力围剿字节Seedance之势。

“反字节联盟”能否狙击Seedance?

阿里、腾讯加码视频生成

国内大厂AI之争,已经从语言大模型扩展到视频生成模型。

视频生成被视为继AI Coding之后,第二个跑通商业闭环的AI变现场景。字节凭借火山引擎推出的Seedance模型真正赚到了钱。公开报道称,Seedance单月收入超10亿元。2026年,火山引擎MaaS收入一半以上由Seedance贡献。

已经被字节验证过可盈利、毛利率在70%-90%的好生意,没人愿意错过。即便不是为了丰厚的财务回报,大厂们也不会将市场完全拱手让人。

狙击Seedance,BAT罕见站在了同一条战线,投资快手可灵。快手7月2日披露的可灵AI独立融资及重组方案公告显示,36家投资方中,中国互联网三巨头悉数入局。其中,腾讯出资约13.63亿元,持股比例约1.12%;阿里旗下阿里云飞天出资约13.63亿元,持股比例约1.11%;百度出资约3.41亿元,持股比例约0.28%。

可灵在国内视频生成领域的排名仅次于Seedance,押注可灵,便是押注市场第二名。

但阿里、腾讯的AI视频战略,不仅仅押注在一家外部公司。

阿里4月份上线了AI视频生成模型快乐马(HappyHorse),6月份大模型迭代到HappyHorse-1.1。阿里云官网显示,HappyHorse-1.1系列模型深度适配广告营销、电商展示、短剧制作与社交媒体创意等内容生产场景。生成720P视频每秒价格在0.54元。

值得一提的是,快乐马负责人为此前被称为“可灵之父”的张迪。阿里一边投资可灵,一边从可灵挖人。

目前快乐马最大优势可能就是价格。阿里云一位商务向Tech星球表示,快乐马目前在使用体验上其实没有太大优势,主要客户为广告营销主,更适合制作静态,没有太多打斗画面,场景不太多的内容。价格上,最近一个月快乐马开放了年框,价格直接低到四折,之前都是八折。720P原价0.9元/秒,1080P1.2元/秒,现在最低0.36元/秒。对比来看,Seedance2.0每秒价格在1元。最便宜的就属快乐马。

上述商务人员坦言,现在快乐马客户并不多,市场份额不高,与Seedance差距比较大。

腾讯则通过腾讯视频推出了面向漫剧制作的工业级AI平台WorkRally(“我可接力”),在名字上与腾讯当下最火的AI应用WorkBuddy类似。WorkRally工作台显示,平台内嵌的大模型分别有:梦宝2.0、梦宝2.0FAST、灵宝O3、乐宝、维宝主体生视频、维宝Q2pro。大模型名字与腾讯元宝类似。

腾讯视频6月底在2026腾讯视频年度发布上披露,目前已有130多家漫剧企业入驻WorkRally,制作成本普遍降低约60%。WorkRally在原来的基础上升级成三个版本:专业影视版、精品动画版、AI漫剧版。

价格上,WorkRally工作台显示,用户充值500元起,1元等于10积分。生成一个480p视频需要消耗32积分,一秒约为0.8元。

可见,阿里与腾讯两大巨头,在加码视频生成领域的战略几乎如出一辙。

“反字节联盟”浮出水面

除了自研和投资可灵之外,阿里、腾讯还在押注其他AI视频公司。

腾讯联合领投LiblibAI母公司。6月中旬,演语科技(LiblibAI母公司)完成近3亿美元B+轮融资,估值超过20亿美元。本轮融资由Granite Asia、腾讯、顺为资本联合领投,HT Investment、时代资本共同参与投资。天眼查显示,截至本轮,演语科技共计融资6轮。

阿里出手次数更多,先后领投爱诗科技、生数科技。

7月14日,爱诗科技宣布完成整体C轮融资,累计融资29.8亿元。其中,C+轮由阿里领投,另有十余家机构参与。本轮融资后PixVerse估值超20亿美元,约合人民币140亿元。天眼查显示,爱诗科技自2023年成立至今,共计融资10轮。阿里在2025年便领投了爱诗科技B轮融资,出手不算晚。

7月初,基于世界生成模型打造了视频大模型产品Vidu的通用世界模型企业生数科技,宣布完成新一轮5亿美元融资,创下国内通用世界模型领域单笔融资最高纪录。天眼查显示,生数科技共融资过8轮。今年5个月时间融资3轮,累计融资60亿元左右。其中,阿里云领投了生数科技近20亿元人民币的B轮融资,投后估值超20亿美元。

值得一提的是,演语科技(LiblibAI母公司)创始人陈冕,曾在字节担任剪映及CapCut全球商业化负责人。生数科技CEO为原火山引擎AI解决方案负责人骆怡航。爱诗科技创始人王长虎为前字节视觉技术负责人,核心团队也有多位字节背景。业内有人称,字节为AI视频赛道的黄埔军校。

阿里、腾讯通过自研+投资可灵、演语科技、生数科技、爱诗科技四家公司,某种意义上,在AI视频赛道形成了“反字节联盟”。

阿里云商务透露,阿里云也在接可灵,但在漫剧领域,视频生视频上,优势方绝对是Seedance,除了贵以外没有什么劣势。不过最近,他们可能遇到一点问题,就是背后算力资源不太够,所以有时候发挥不稳定。

眼下Seedance领先优势比较明显,几家反字节联盟公司连在一起,暂时无法撼动字节的主导地位。公开数据显示,可灵2025年收入约11亿元人民币;截至2026年3月,可灵AI年化收入运行率约5亿美元;截至2026年5月,演语科技年化收入(ARR)达到3亿美元;爱诗科技去年下半年,年化收入(ARR)为超过4000万美元;生数科技去年7月份披露的数据显示,旗下AI内容生成平台Vidu上线8个月后年化收入超过2000万美元。对比来看,一位分析师向Tech星球透露,Seedance6月份流水在18-21亿元(此前业界传闻Seedance单月收入超过10亿元,火山引擎总裁谭待曾公开辟谣, 称外界传闻都是错误的,比实际收入偏高)。

撼动Seedance很难?

Seedance优势,短时间内很难被削弱。

一位火山引擎商务人员向Tech星球表示,都是一个品类的视频模型,Seedance2.0是最贵且不打折的,现在在音画同步、画面质感和普通小白提示词上手层面,应该是断档领先的。Seedance2.5都要出了,但是市面上还没有能对标2.0的模型。Seedance现在每个月十几亿收入,其他模型都没什么人用。可灵、快乐马加起来的收入可能都不到Seedance零头,“都想抢市场份额,但根本切不动”。

互联网分析师白露同样认为,字节在视频生成领域占据绝对主导。白露称,目前国内市场呈现“一超多强”格局,字节跳动凭借其在短剧赛道的深度布局,市场份额预计达到80% 左右。快手可灵与快乐马处于追赶地位。其中,快手(Kling可灵)在国内市场份额约为10%,主要优势在于海外市场;而快乐马目前市场份额较低,实际使用比例不高。

据白露估算,Seedance在6月份的月流水远高于其他竞品。

字节Seedance在视频生成赛道大杀四方,赚得盆满钵满,主要得益于国内短剧尤其是漫剧的爆发式增长,目前市场规模已从年初的约200亿增长至400多亿,AI视频生成工具成为该赛道最直接的受益者。

字节Seedance制作的漫剧、AI短剧,依托红果、抖音,成功卡位IP版权、制作、分发、投流、分成等短视频赛道的各个关键环节,形成了一个完整的商业闭环。可灵与快手短剧互为闭环;阿里快乐马依赖优酷短剧,以及进入爱奇艺纳逗Pro,实现转化。腾讯视频WorkRally与火龙漫剧形成闭环。不过,字节的优势在于,短剧赛道红果、抖音流量优势最大。

要挑战市场上领先的视频生成大模型+市场上短剧头部玩家红果+超级流量平台抖音,难度可想而知。

不过,值得一提的是,其他家模型迭代速度或许相对滞后,但即将上线的SeeDance 2.5版本,有可能会被不少短剧从业者视为鸡肋。白露称,针对行业热议的4K、30秒长视频及50个参考素材功能,其实这些并非短剧制作的核心痛点,而且,这些功能升级反而会大幅增加算力消耗成本。

对字节之外的其他AI视频玩家而言,在Seedance市场份额占比80%、且大模型技术保持领先的背景下,新的机会可能需要向外求。眼下,红果对漫剧赛道的补贴退潮,国内漫剧风口进入淘汰赛,出海或成为新的增量市场。白露认为,海外短剧市场潜力巨大,海外AI短剧市场日消耗已达3000万美金,与国内市场规模相当,成为模型厂商出海的重要方向。

注:文/翟元元,文章来源:Tech星球(公众号ID:tech618),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:Tech星球

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FAQ回顾

国内AI视频生成赛道目前的竞争格局是什么样的?

目前国内AI视频生成赛道呈“一超多强”格局,字节旗下Seedance市场份额约80%,处于绝对领先地位;快手可灵市场份额约10%,位居第二;阿里快乐马、腾讯WorkRally等产品处于追赶阶段,阿里腾讯等通过自研+投资组成阵营围剿Seedance。

字节Seedance有哪些核心竞争优势?

Seedance在音画同步、画面质感、普通用户提示词上手层面断档领先,背靠抖音、红果的流量优势,已形成IP版权、制作、分发、投流、分成的完整商业闭环,单月流水可达18-21亿元,毛利率在70%-90%之间。

AI视频生成赛道未来的增量市场在哪里?

当前国内漫剧风口进入淘汰赛,红果对漫剧赛道的补贴已经退潮,海外AI短剧市场成为新的增量方向,目前海外AI短剧市场日消耗达3000万美金,规模与国内市场相当,是各大AI视频模型厂商的重点布局方向。

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