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“无人店之王”冲刺港股 靠薅打工人羊毛 一年赚走20亿

天下网商 2026-07-07 15:40
天下网商 2026/07/07 15:40

邦小白快读

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本文核心介绍了无人零售柜头部品牌丰e足食冲刺港股IPO的行业背景、企业现状以及无人零售赛道的发展现状,核心干货信息如下

1. 核心行业信息:此前无人零售赛道经历洗牌,大量早期明星玩家倒闭,目前仅剩下丰e足食、友宝在线两大头部玩家,丰e足食是当前市占率第一的品牌,2025年市占率达21.5%,也是行业内首家全直营实现规模化盈利的企业。

2. 普通消费者相关干货:丰e足食的点位多布局在办公场景,依托场景优势免场地租金,结合AI算法降低运营成本,但商品定价普遍高于线下便利店,不少消费者反映溢价过高,普通消费者可根据自身对即时便利的需求选择是否购买。

本文梳理了无人零售头部品牌丰e足食和友宝在线的两种发展路径,对品牌运营、赛道布局有不少参考干货,内容如下

1. 消费趋势层面:当前封闭办公场景的即时便利消费需求稳定,白领群体愿意为场景便利性支付一定溢价,是值得深度布局的垂直赛道。

2. 品牌渠道层面:切入封闭排他的办公私域场景,可获得免场地租金的优势,且场景流量稳定、竞品难以进入,抗风险能力远高于公域点位布局;丰e依托大规模集采压低成本,结合AI优化补货运营进一步降本,毛利率可达55.8%,模式可参考性强。

3. 定价层面:依托封闭场景的排他性,品牌可获得更高的定价空间,支撑远高于传统连锁便利店的毛利率,盈利空间更大。

本文分析了无人零售赛道的现状和头部玩家的模式差异,给零售相关卖家整理干货如下

1. 市场机会:当前封闭办公、工厂茶水间等垂直微场景仍有较大拓店空间,友宝看不上的月销300元微型点位,依托AI算法降本也能实现盈利,是值得挖掘的增量市场。

2. 可学习模式:丰e足食依托顺丰原有物流仓储网络,结合自研AI智能体优化补货路线和SKU选择,将单个补货员可管理点位从60个翻倍到120个,大幅降低人力成本,这种数字化降本模式值得零售卖家参考。

3. 风险提示:全直营拓店模式销售费用率始终居高不下,随着点位向低线市场渗透,单柜营收会逐步下滑,同时还要面对美团等即时零售平台的竞争,消费者对溢价的接受度仍待验证,扩张需警惕成本侵蚀利润的风险。

无人零售赛道的发展变化,给快消生产工厂带来不少干货启示,内容整理如下

1. 商业机会:目前头部智能零售柜品牌点位仍在持续扩张,仅丰e足食就有超18万台点位,对快消商品的大规模集采需求旺盛,工厂可依托稳定供货拿到长期订单,借助智能柜渠道触达办公场景的白领消费群体,开辟新的销量增长渠道。

2. 产品生产设计需求:智能零售柜主要覆盖即时办公消费需求,以饮料、零食、简餐等高频刚需品类为主,工厂可针对办公场景消费者的需求,开发适配零售柜尺寸、符合白领消费偏好的小包装即时产品,匹配渠道需求。

3. 数字化转型启示:丰e依托AI智能体实现运营降本增效,挖掘传统模式下不盈利的小微场景价值,对工厂推进数字化转型有参考意义,借助算法优化供应链和运营流程,可有效降低人力成本,提升整体盈利空间。

本文梳理了无人零售行业的发展现状和核心痛点,对相关服务商的干货内容整理如下

1. 行业发展趋势:无人零售赛道经过早期洗牌后,头部玩家已经跑通盈利模式,头部品牌丰e足食当前市占率超过20%,近期筹备IPO扩张,赛道整体仍保持发展态势,对相关配套服务的需求稳定增长。

2. 客户核心痛点:当前无人零售企业的核心痛点是扩张带来的运营成本上涨,随着点位向低线城市和微场景渗透,新增点位的边际开发、运维成本不断上升,AI算法带来的效率提升目前还不足以抵消成本上涨,单柜营收逐步下滑,同时还要应对即时零售平台的竞争。

3. 解决方案方向:头部企业已经在广泛布局AI运营,需要大模型、智能算法相关技术支持,优化补货、SKU管理、路线规划,同时对低成本的仓储物流配套服务也有较高需求,服务商可针对性开发相关解决方案匹配需求。

本文关于无人零售头部玩家的发展情况,对零售相关平台商的干货总结如下

1. 招商拓展机会:无人零售企业目前对优质点位资源的需求很高,封闭办公场景的点位资源是核心竞争点,丰e的招商政策是设备安装免费,企业人流超30人即可入驻还可给企业分成,平台可依托自身资源对接企业,为无人零售品牌对接点位,拓展自身招商业务。

2. 运营管理启示:丰e依托AI智能体实现运营降本,将单点位盈亏平衡点降到月销300元,可覆盖传统模式不盈利的微型点位,平台可借鉴这种数字化运营思路,优化自身运营效率,挖掘低产出点位的价值,拓展增长空间。

3. 风向规避:当前赛道优质公域点位已经接近饱和,盲目扩张会带来销售费用率持续高企,全直营模式经营杠杆较高,同时还要面对即时零售业态的竞争,平台布局相关业务需要警惕重资产扩张带来的成本风险,避免盲目追求规模忽略盈利验证。

本文梳理了无人零售产业的发展历程和当前新动向,对研究者的干货总结如下

1. 产业新动向:无人零售赛道经过早期百柜大战洗牌后,当前形成了两种差异化的成熟商业模式,一种是友宝在线的大流量公域点位+加盟扩张+多元化营收模式,另一种是丰e足食的封闭私域办公场景+全直营+商品差价盈利模式,丰e作为新头部已经实现规模化盈利,近期冲刺港股IPO,是产业发展的新节点。

2. 产业新问题:当前头部玩家仍然面临不少共性问题,丰e虽然依托AI实现运营降本,但扩张过程中销售费用率仍然居高不下,单柜营收持续下滑,算法带来的效率提升无法抵消扩张的结构性成本,同时整个行业还要面对即时零售的竞争,消费者对溢价的接受度仍待验证,还未完全破解线下零售的重力法则。

3. 研究价值:两种商业模式的路径分野和优劣势对比,为研究线下零售、无人零售的商业模式提供了典型样本,具备较高的研究价值。

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Quick Summary

This article introduces the industry background, current operation status of Feng e Zushi, the leading player in the unmanned retail cabinet sector, as well as the development of the broader unmanned retail industry, ahead of its Hong Kong IPO filing. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Core industry overview: The unmanned retail sector has experienced a major shakeout in early years, which saw numerous once-promising startups exit the market. Today, only two major leading players remain: Feng e Zushi and Youbao Online. Feng e Zushi ranks first in market share, which is projected to hit 21.5% by 2025, and it is the first fully directly operated player in the industry to achieve large-scale profitability.

2. Key insights for consumers: Feng e Zushi primarily deploys its cabinets in office locations, benefiting from free venue rent thanks to its exclusive access to these spaces, and leverages AI algorithms to cut operational costs. However, its product prices are generally higher than those of brick-and-mortar convenience stores, with many consumers complaining about the excessive markup. General consumers can choose whether to purchase based on their demand for immediate convenience.

This article sorts out the two distinct development paths of leading unmanned retail brands Feng e Zushi and Youbao Online, offering valuable references for brand operation and track layout. Key insights are as follows:

1. Consumer trend: The demand for instant convenience in enclosed office scenarios remains stable, and white-collar workers are willing to pay a certain premium for on-site convenience. This vertical track is well worth in-depth layout.

2. Brand channel strategy: Entering closed, exclusive private office scenarios brings the advantage of free venue rent, as well as stable traffic with high barriers to entry for competitors, resulting in far stronger anti-risk ability than layout in public scenarios. Feng e Zushi lowers costs through large-scale bulk purchasing, and further cuts operational costs via AI-powered replenishment optimization, pushing its gross margin to 55.8%, making its model highly replicable for reference.

3. Pricing strategy: Thanks to the exclusivity of closed scenarios, brands can gain larger pricing space, supporting much higher gross margins than traditional chain convenience stores and delivering greater profit potential.

This article analyzes the current status of the unmanned retail track and the model differences between leading players, sorting out key takeaways for retail-related sellers as follows:

1. Market opportunities: There is still considerable room for expansion in vertical micro-scenarios such as closed offices and factory break rooms. Even small micro-points with monthly sales of only 300 yuan, which are overlooked by Youbao, can achieve profitability with AI-driven cost reduction, making this a valuable incremental market worth exploring.

2. Replicable operating model: Leveraging SF Express' existing logistics and warehousing network and self-developed AI agents to optimize replenishment routes and SKU selection, Feng e Zushi doubled the number of cabinets a single restocker can manage from 60 to 120, significantly cutting labor costs. This digital cost-reduction model is well worth reference for retail sellers.

3. Risk warning: The sales expense ratio of the fully directly operated expansion model remains persistently high. As cabinets expand into lower-tier markets, per-cabinet revenue will gradually decline. Players also face competition from instant retail platforms such as Meituan, and consumer acceptance of price premiums remains unproven. Players need to guard against the risk of costs eroding profits during expansion.

The evolution of the unmanned retail track has brought valuable insights for fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) manufacturers, summarized as follows:

1. Business opportunities: Leading smart retail cabinet brands are still expanding their footprint continuously. Feng e Zushi alone operates more than 180,000 cabinets, and has strong demand for large-scale bulk purchasing of FMCG products. Manufacturers can secure long-term orders by providing stable supply, reach white-collar consumers in office scenarios via this smart cabinet channel, and open up a new growth channel for sales.

2. Product design and development requirements: Smart retail cabinets mainly meet instant consumption demand in offices, dominated by high-frequency, staple categories such as beverages, snacks and light meals. Manufacturers can develop small-sized instant products that fit the dimensions of retail cabinets and match the consumption preferences of white-collar workers to align with channel needs.

3. Implications for digital transformation: Feng e Zushi achieves operational cost reduction and efficiency improvement via AI agents, unlocking the value of unprofitable micro-scenarios under traditional models. This offers a useful reference for manufacturers advancing digital transformation: leveraging algorithms to optimize supply chains and operational processes can effectively cut labor costs and improve overall profitability.

This article sorts out the current development status and core pain points of the unmanned retail industry, with key takeaways for relevant service providers as follows:

1. Industry development trend: After the early industry shakeout, leading players have now validated their profit models. Feng e Zushi, the current market leader, holds over 20% market share and is preparing for an IPO to fund further expansion, so the overall track maintains a growth trend, driving steady growth in demand for related supporting services.

2. Core customer pain points: The core pain point for current unmanned retail enterprises is rising operational costs driven by expansion. As players expand into lower-tier cities and micro-scenarios, the marginal development and operation costs of new points continue to rise. Efficiency gains from AI algorithms are not yet enough to offset rising costs, leading to gradual decline in per-cabinet revenue, while enterprises also have to compete with instant retail platforms.

3. Solution direction: Leading enterprises have been widely deploying AI-powered operations, and need technical support for large models and intelligent algorithms to optimize replenishment, SKU management and route planning. They also have strong demand for low-cost warehousing and logistics supporting services. Service providers can develop targeted solutions to match these demands.

This article summarizes key takeaways from the development of leading unmanned retail players for retail-related platform operators as follows:

1. Business expansion opportunities: Unmanned retail enterprises currently have strong demand for high-quality point resources, and closed office scenario points are the core competitive advantage. Feng e Zushi offers free equipment installation for qualified points: offices with more than 30 employees can settle in, and the office even gets a share of revenue. Platforms can leverage their own resources to connect enterprises with unmanned retail brands, and expand their own investment promotion business.

2. Operational management insights: Leveraging AI agents for operational cost reduction, Feng e Zushi lowered the break-even point for single points to 300 yuan in monthly sales, allowing it to cover micro-points that were unprofitable under traditional models. Platforms can learn from this digital operation approach to optimize their own operational efficiency, unlock the value of low-output points, and expand growth space.

3. Risk warning: High-quality public domain points in the current track are nearly saturated. Blind expansion will lead to persistently high sales expense ratios, and the fully directly operated model has high operating leverage. Players also face competition from the instant retail sector. When laying out related businesses, platforms need to be wary of cost risks brought by asset-heavy expansion, and avoid blindly pursuing scale without validating profitability first.

This article sorts out the development history and new trends of the unmanned retail industry, with key takeaways for researchers as follows:

1. New industry developments: After the early "hundred-cabinet war" shakeout, the sector has now formed two distinct, mature business models. One is Youbao Online's model: high-traffic public domain points + franchise expansion + diversified revenue. The other is Feng e Zushi's model: closed private office scenarios + fully direct operation + profit from product price difference. As the new market leader, Feng e Zushi has achieved large-scale profitability and is currently pushing for a Hong Kong IPO, marking a new development milestone for the industry.

2. Unsolved industry challenges: Leading players still face a number of common challenges. Although Feng e Zushi has cut operational costs via AI, its sales expense ratio remains high during expansion, and per-cabinet revenue continues to decline. Efficiency gains from algorithms cannot offset the structural cost growth from expansion. The entire industry also faces competition from instant retail, consumer acceptance of price premiums remains unproven, and the sector has not yet fully cracked the "gravity rule" of offline retail.

3. Research value: The divergent development paths and the comparison of advantages and disadvantages between the two business models provide typical samples for research on business models of offline retail and unmanned retail, with high research value.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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无人零售是门好生意吗?

|章航英

打开柜门,拿出想要的饮料、小零食,手机小程序弹出账单、自动扣款……智能零食柜,正在慢慢侵入办公空间,成了越来越多上班族的“能量充电站”。

时间拨回9年前。无人货架和智能零售柜曾是资本市场的最强风口之一,数以百计的公司试图把写字楼的茶水间变成“生意战场”。然而,从赛道如火如荼到经历剧烈洗牌,仅用了不到两年,果小美、猩便利等明星玩家相继倒下,有分析人士甚至给这一赛道贴上了“伪命题”的标签。

硝烟落尽,如今有两家头部公司,通过全然不同的逻辑打磨出了生存模式。一家是行业先行者友宝在线(以下简称“友宝”),另一家则是顺丰孵化的“隐形王者”——丰e足食(以下简称“丰e”),也就是首创“先开门、再买单”的无人柜公司。

近日,丰e母公司深圳丰e科技股份有限公司,正式向港交所递交招股书,拟在港股主板挂牌。

作为顺丰在卖货界的尝试,此次丰e的IPO,至少有两层底气。

据招股书数据,第一,它是智能零售柜行业市占率第一的公司。到2025年底在全国智能柜保有量超过18.4万台,市占率达21.5%,已然成为无人零售行业的“一哥”。而比它更早上市的友宝,以4.97万台智能柜市占率5.8% 排在第二,接下来,是农夫山泉、元气森林等快消巨头布局的智能柜品牌。

第二,它是行业内首家全直营实现规模化盈利的公司。2025年,丰e年收入达20.09亿元,毛利11.2亿元,毛利率达55.8%,经调整净利润1.186亿元。相比较而言,友宝上市多年,依然在盈亏平衡线上挣扎,据其公布的财报数据,2025年经调整净亏损为5560万元。

作为顺丰在卖货赛道上深耕多年的战果,丰e抛出了AI智能体驱动的新叙事。但回归零售本质,这家“智能柜之王”靠什么赚钱?无人零售的模式,真的跑通了吗?

100%直营,顺丰孵化的“隐形王者”

虽然顺丰已经在IPO前完成了股权退出,开始独立运营,但是丰e科技最初是顺丰体系孵化的。2017年,它最初是顺丰的一家控股附属公司,创始人单新宁是80后清华学霸,在顺丰工作多年。

丰e主要切入的是办公楼、茶水间等封闭但高频的垂直场景。在其对企业的招商广告中,设备和安装都不需要费用,只要周边人流多于30人就能接入享受分成。

根据招股书,丰e科技的收入几乎全部来自智能零售柜的商品销售,仅1%来自广告及其他收益。

过去三年,丰e的毛利率都在50%以上,2025年更是达到55.8%,超过友宝37.1%,远超许多连锁便利店。

高毛利的支撑在于三点:一是点位的“寄生属性”,其深耕的办公室、茶水间场景,一般是企业为员工免费安置货柜,一般不用支付场地租金;二是,规模壁垒形成海量集采体量,让它在成本端拿到专属低价;三是,由于办公室白领对即时便利有较高的溢价接受度,产品定价空间更大。

但海量的点位依赖人力补货,丰e科技正试图用AI把“重生意”做“轻”。

在招股书中,丰e科技称自己是一家AI驱动的零售企业,AI体系下补货运营人力成本只有传统零售柜的30%。

2024年,丰e研发了“星途智航FLOW Pilot”AI智能体,并介绍其是国内首个大规模商用的AI零售智能体,其逻辑与“L4级自动驾驶”类似:AI全面主导经营决策,24小时自动分析18万个点位的动态数据。

通过算法,丰e实现了两个关键突破:

一方面是去经验化补货。补货小哥不再需要判断该选择什么货,AI会提前规划好补货路线和SKU组合。这让一个补货员可管理的点位从60个翻倍至120个。

另一方面是极低盈亏平衡点。依靠算法提效和顺丰现成的物流仓储网络,丰e将经营门槛降到了月销300元。这意味着友宝看不上的“微型点位”,丰e也能靠算法抠出钱来。

最近,丰e还宣布与千问合作,通过接入阿里云大模型,利用AI提升无人零售效率。

两种“幸存者”的路径分野

无人零售赛道冲出来的两家公司,代表了行业两种不同行进方向。

友宝更符合“大流量点位+加盟扩张+多元化”的平台逻辑。

它的点位主要分布在学校、工厂、交通枢纽等公域流量池。这些点位虽然单点产出高,但入场费也是沉重的负担。为了缓解压力,友宝早期选择了加盟模式,并试图打破零售的边际,转型为“流量入口”。

招股书显示,友宝曾对多元化有极高的期待,其广告及系统支援服务毛利率一度接近100%。为了讲新故事,友宝还涉足过迷你KTV(友唱)、自助咖啡机、甚至彩票自动售票机等业务。

但这些业务高度依赖线下客流量和广告行情。当线下流量波动、广告主预算收缩时,友宝的增长也将面临长期挑战。

友宝业绩报告显示,公司自2020年之后从未实现年度盈利。2025年营收27.59亿元,同比下滑5.5%,净亏损约6870万元,核心无人零售业务收入18.37亿元,同比下降6.5%,广告及系统支援业务收入因广告需求减少,同比缩水28.3%,仅运营系统支援、友唱AI智慧歌咏亭等其他业务增长。

2025年,友宝经调整亏损虽然大幅收窄,但背后主要依靠关停高租金低效点位、控制成本以及非经营项目优化实现,并未显著实现盈利效率的改善。

友宝这些年努力探索“新业务”,主要是迷你KTV的硬件销售及点位运营,以及售货机等批发业务。虽然这部分业务贡献了一部分正增长,但是营收占比只有11.3%,当家业务还要靠无人零售主业(占比66.6%)。

过去一年,虽然由于广告需求走弱、收入下降,但近1亿元的广告收入,一定程度上也为友宝带来子弹,对冲零售周期风险。

另一边,丰e则走向了“私域场景+全直营+商品差价”的零售模式。

丰e主要专注于写字楼、工厂办公间等封闭私域场景。这种场景流量稳定且具有排他性。一旦柜子进驻了某个公司的前台,竞对很难再进。它的主要利润就来自那瓶3块钱的水和5块钱的面包。虽然这种模式在扩张初期销售费用巨大,但其抗风险能力较强。

但稳定的“小本生意”另一方面也成了丰e最大的风险,全直营较重的模式也意味着较大的经营杠杆。这就意味着,丰e未来道路是十分明确的,即通过AI等方式改善效率、提升单柜产出。

无人零售是门好生意吗?

穿上了厚厚AI外衣的丰e,首先是一家零售公司。

零售的成败,本质上在于能否持续围绕消费者不变的核心需求展开。那些年失败的无人零售,既无时间距离上的便利,也无产品服务上的优势,更无价格上的实惠。当新鲜感成为唯一卖点,便没有因素能留住消费者。

如果回头看2017年那场疯狂的“百柜大战”,绝大多数玩家倒下背后,都有同一个预期——用互联网流量平台逻辑重资产铺线下零售,追求规模,放弃盈利验证,低估了线下零售的重力法则。

随着点位的扩张,他们发现和互联网软件边际成本趋于零的逻辑不同,每一次拓点都意味着货柜硬件、仓储租金和配送团队的新一轮投入,资本一旦退潮,没有内生动力的玩家逐渐倒下。

从财报数据来看,幸存者友宝和丰e并没有完全摆脱这一重力。

截至2025年底,友宝点位数量为67840个,同比仅增长1%。这种近乎停滞的增长背后,是优质点位被争抢殆尽,新业务拓展也比想象中艰难,运营商只能重估扩张的风险。如今,友宝市值较上市初期缩水约75%。

丰e试图用AI叙事逻辑重构生存规则,但眼下看来,算法尚无法跑赢线下的重资产磨损。

从招股书来看,丰e的销售费用率依然在随着规模扩张逆势上涨。2023年至2025年,丰e的销售及营销开支分别为5.86亿元、7.49亿元和9.61亿元,销售费用率分别为47.1%、45.3%和47.8%,这意味着规模翻倍后,费用率仍保持高位。

经测算,2024年丰e单柜月均营收1132元,到了2025年则只有1034元,单柜营收呈下滑态势。

这意味着,即使AI优化了补货路径、降低了货损,但随着点位向二三线城市或更细碎的“微场景”渗透,新增点位的边际开发成本和物流运维成本依然在蚕食利润。

换句话说,算法带来的效率改善,目前仍被线下扩张的结构性成本所抵消。

目前,无人零售柜不仅面临同行竞争,即时零售业态的崛起,意味着消费者“最后10米”需求的竞争,正在变得前所未有地激烈。

随着美团、小象超市等即时零售平台将SKU持续扩展,且配送半径与速度达到极致,商品独特性与价格没有优势的无人零售柜似乎正在逐渐失去吸引力。社交平台上,不少用户表示拿完东西后被弹出的账单“吓到“,”比便利店贵太多了,有一种被背刺的感觉”。

不可否认,在一些更具封闭性的办公场景,无人零售柜的“随手可得”仍具有不可替代的优势。但白领用户们究竟愿意为这一种便利接受多少溢价,或许仍需要验证。

IPO后,“无人零售的王者”丰e还需要用更多时间寻找它真正的护城河。

注:文/天下网商,文章来源:天下网商(公众号ID:txws_txws),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:天下网商

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FAQ回顾

无人零售行业的头部企业有哪些?

目前无人智能零售柜行业头部企业主要包括市占率第一的丰e科技、市占率第二的友宝在线,以及农夫山泉、元气森林等快消巨头布局的智能柜品牌。丰e科技2025年智能柜保有量超18.4万台,市占率达21.5%,为行业第一。

丰e科技的盈利模式是什么?

丰e科技收入几乎全部来自智能零售柜的商品销售,仅1%来自广告及其他收益。其高毛利主要得益于无需支付办公场景场地租金、大规模集采压低进货成本,以及办公白领对即时便利的溢价接受度更高。

丰e科技用AI提升了哪些运营效率?

丰e科技研发国内首个大规模商用的AI零售智能体“星途智航FLOW Pilot”,可自动分析点位数据规划补货路线和SKU组合,将单个补货员可管理点位从60个翻倍至120个,补货运营人力成本仅为传统零售柜的30%。

无人零售柜相比即时零售有什么优势?

在写字楼、工厂办公间等封闭私域场景下,无人零售柜具备“随手可得”的即时性优势,且点位进驻后具有排他性,竞品很难进入,流量较为稳定,抗风险能力较强。

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