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变革两年 “耐心”的石头科技还能装下昌敬的野心吗?

明昊 2026-07-01 11:12
明昊 2026/07/01 11:12

邦小白快读

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总:本文复盘了石头科技变革两年的发展情况,核心干货信息整理如下:

1.石头科技曾是资本市场人人追捧的“扫地茅”,最高达到千亿市值,是科创硬件创业的标杆,近两年拿下全球扫地机器人销量第一,营收持续增长,海外收入占比过半,还拓展了洗地机、割草机器人、洗衣机等多个新品类,但也出现了明显的增收不增利问题,毛利率连续下行,净利润大幅回落。

2.核心问题是战略定力不足,创始人昌敬在主业刚登顶行业顶峰时跨界做新能源汽车,分散了个人精力和公司资源,国内为抢市场份额下场打价格战,稀释了原本积累的高端品牌心智,多元化布局里洗衣机等业务仓促上马,消耗资源后收效甚微。

3.目前石头站在发展十字路口,手握全球第一份额、海外百国渠道等优势,也面临利润下滑、市场信任危机等问题,未来走向取决于创始人是否重新聚焦主业。

总:本文石头科技的发展案例,给品牌运营商提供了很多值得参考的经验教训,核心干货整理如下:

1.品牌定位方面,高端品牌溢价是家电企业最珍贵的核心资产,石头原本靠高端技术和调性立身,因竞品围剿下场推出大量中端机型打价格战,直接稀释了消费者心中的高端品牌心智,高端溢价持续被削弱,这个教训值得所有高端品牌警惕。

2.多元化扩张方面,扩张要贴合自身原有资源优势,石头的洗地机依托原有的算法和硬件积累,成功做成第二增长曲线,但跨界洗衣机赛道,缺场景积累缺用户心智,最终投入大量资源收效甚微,盲目扩张反而消耗主业根基。

3.战略选择方面,对比科沃斯守利润稳高端、石头抢规模换市场的不同结果可见,行业进入成熟期后,盲目冲规模牺牲利润会让企业陷入“越卖越赚少”的尴尬,创始人的精力分配会直接影响上市公司发展,跨界重资产业务极易分流主业资源。

总:本文梳理了当前清洁电器行业的格局,给相关卖家整理了值得关注的机会与风险,核心干货如下:

1.市场机会方面,当前海外市场是清洁电器行业稳定的增长基本盘,欧洲、东南亚市场持续放量,石头科技海外收入占比已经超过一半,适配海外本地场景的户外割草机器人也成功打开销路,出海和细分场景新品是明确的增长机会。

2.行业风险方面,国内扫地机器人已经从高端小众品类变成红海肉搏赛道,白牌厂商抢占下沉市场,头部品牌贴身挤压中端市场,价格战非常激烈,石头科技为冲份额下场价格战最终导致利润被大幅稀释,增收不增利,卖家需要警惕价格战陷阱。

3.经营启示方面,卖家拓展新业务要依托自身原有技术、渠道和用户资源优势,不要盲目跨界毫无积累的全新赛道,同时要平衡好规模与利润的关系,不能一味为了冲排名冲份额牺牲长期盈利能力,避免陷入“越卖越薄”的尴尬境地。

总:本文给硬件生产工厂的战略发展提供了诸多启示,核心干货整理如下:

1.产品生产设计需求方面,当前全球扫地机器人市场已经从高端小众转向大众红海,市场同时存在高端旗舰产品和中端走量产品的需求,洗地机、户外割草机器人等都是已经被验证的增量品类,具备稳定的市场空间,工厂可以根据自身能力布局对应产品线。

2.商业机会方面,海外市场需求稳定增长,欧洲、东南亚等区域市场持续放量,出海已经成为国内硬件工厂最重要的增长基本盘,适配海外本地使用场景的产品更容易打开销路,获得稳定增长。

3.战略发展启示:工厂推进多元化扩张和数字化转型要保持战略定力,不能在主业根基未稳时盲目铺开多条战线,分散资源,更不要盲目跨界完全不熟悉的重资产赛道,否则会分流主业的资金和研发资源,影响整体盈利能力,扩张要依托自身原有技术和产能优势逐步推进。

总:本文梳理了智能清洁家电行业的发展现状和痛点,给相关服务商提供了行业参考,核心干货如下:

1.行业发展趋势方面,当前智能清洁家电已经进入行业成熟期,市场内卷加剧,价格战成为常态,头部品牌纷纷开启出海布局,多品类扩张也成为头部品牌的共同选择,除了传统的扫地机器人,洗地机、户外割草机器人等细分场景新品已经跑通增长模式,成为新的增量方向。

2.客户核心痛点方面,当前头部品牌扩张过程中面临多个普遍痛点:海外渠道铺设、跨境投放、本地运营需要投入巨额资金,成本压力大;新业务研发试错、市场推广需要持续投入,短期无法造血;价格战冲击下品牌定位容易摇摆,高端品牌心智容易被稀释;创始人精力分散还会导致企业战略不稳定,增收不增利是当前头部品牌的核心难题。

3.行业机会方面,服务商可以针对品牌出海需求,推出本地化运营、跨境投放、渠道搭建等相关服务,针对品牌多品类扩张提供用户心智运营、新品类推广等服务,帮助品牌控制扩张成本,提升盈利水平。

总:本文分析了头部智能硬件品牌的发展现状,给家电相关平台的招商、运营提供了参考,核心干货整理如下:

1.品牌对平台的需求方面,当前头部品牌一方面拓展海外市场,需要本地平台提供渠道资源和运营支持,另一方面布局新品类,需要国内平台提供流量扶持和用户教育帮助,快速打开新品类的市场销路,平台可以针对性推出对应的服务,满足品牌需求。

2.平台招商方面,石头科技作为全球销量第一的扫地机器人品牌,拥有极强的算法和产品技术优势,已经完成多品类布局,海外渠道覆盖170多个国家,年营收体量接近190亿,其中洗地机、户外割草机器人等新业务已经跑通盈利模式,具备很高的合作招商价值。

3.风险规避方面,平台和品牌合作时需要关注品牌的战略稳定性,石头科技目前存在创始人分心造车、利润率持续下滑、市场信任危机、新业务持续失血等问题,平台合作需要警惕相关风险,同时行业持续价格战会影响平台价格体系,平台需要提前调整运营策略规避相关问题。

总:本文复盘了石头科技近两年的发展历程,为研究国内科创硬件产业发展提供了典型样本,核心干货整理如下:

1.产业新动向方面,当前国内智能清洁家电行业已经完成集中度提升,头部品牌成功拿下全球第一的市场份额,出海成为行业主流增长方向,头部品牌普遍开启多品类布局,同时技术出身的科创创业者在主业登顶后跨界新能源造车,已经成为值得关注的创业新现象。

2.产业新问题方面,本次案例暴露了很多当前科创企业发展的新问题:主业登顶后创始人野心膨胀,容易导致企业战略摇摆不定;无序多元化扩张会持续消耗主业利润,高端品牌定位会被价格战稀释;创始人不当资本操作会引发市场信任危机,对企业发展造成长期负面影响。

3.研究启示方面,该案例清晰展现了技术派创业者的能力优势与短板,也对比了科沃斯稳利润、石头冲规模两种不同战略的发展结果,对研究创始人能力边界、创业企业战略选择、多元化扩张的边界等问题,都提供了非常有价值的典型样本,具备很高的研究参考价值。

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Quick Summary

This article reviews Roborock’s two-year transformation and growth, with key takeaways summarized below:

1. Once hailed as the "Moutai of robot vacuums" and widely favored by capital markets, Roborock peaked at a market capitalization of RMB 100 billion and became a benchmark for tech-hardware startups. Over the past two years, it has claimed the top spot in global robot vacuum sales, achieved sustained revenue growth (with over half of revenue coming from overseas markets), and expanded into new product categories including wet-dry vacuums, robotic lawn mowers, and washing machines. However, the company now faces a clear issue of "revenue growth without profit growth": its gross margin has declined continuously, and net profit has dropped sharply.

2. The core problem is a lack of strategic focus. Shortly after Roborock’s core business reached the top of the industry, founder Chang Jing made a cross-sector move into new energy vehicles, diverting both his personal attention and the company’s resources. Domestically, the company entered a price war to grab market share, eroding the premium positioning of its established high-end brand. Its rushed diversification into new businesses such as washing machines has also consumed resources with little gain.

3. Roborock now stands at a crossroads. It holds advantages including the world’s largest market share and distribution channels across 100+ overseas markets, but it also faces falling profits and a crisis of market confidence. Its future trajectory will depend on whether the founder refocuses on the company’s core business.

This article draws actionable lessons for brand operators from the Roborock case, with key takeaways summarized below:

1. For brand positioning: Premium brand margin is the most valuable core asset for home appliance companies. Roborock built its brand on advanced technology and a high-end image, but when pressured by competitors, it launched a large number of mid-range models to compete in a price war, which directly diluted its high-end brand perception among consumers and continuously eroded its premium pricing power. This lesson is a warning for all premium brands.

2. For diversification: Expansion should leverage a company’s existing resource advantages. Roborock’s wet-dry vacuum business, built on its existing algorithm and hardware expertise, has successfully become a second growth curve. However, its cross-sector entry into the washing machine market, where it lacked both scenario-based experience and existing brand perception, consumed massive resources with minimal returns. Blind expansion ended up weakening the foundation of its core business.

3. For strategic decision-making: Comparing the different outcomes of Ecovacs’ strategy of protecting profits and maintaining premium positioning versus Roborock’s strategy of pursuing scale at the cost of market share shows that once an industry matures, blindly chasing scale at the expense of profits leaves companies trapped in the awkward position of "selling more but earning less". Founder focus directly shapes the trajectory of public companies, and cross-sector entry into capital-intensive businesses almost always diverts critical resources from the core business.

This article sorts out the current competitive landscape of the smart cleaning appliance industry, and outlines key opportunities and risks for industry sellers, with key takeaways summarized below:

1. For market opportunities: Overseas markets are currently the stable growth foundation of the cleaning appliance industry, with continuous volume growth in Europe and Southeast Asia. More than half of Roborock’s revenue now comes from overseas, and its robotic lawn mowers, adapted to local outdoor usage scenarios, have successfully gained market traction. Going global and developing new products for niche scenarios are clear growth opportunities for sellers.

2. For industry risks: China’s domestic robot vacuum market has evolved from a niche premium category to a fiercely contested red ocean. No-name brands dominate the lower-tier market, while leading brands intensely compete for the mid-tier market, leading to extremely cutthroat price competition. Roborock’s entry into the price war to gain market share ultimately led to severe profit dilution and revenue growth without profit gains, a trap all sellers should guard against.

3. For operational takeaways: When expanding into new businesses, sellers should leverage their existing technology, channel and user advantages, rather than blindly entering entirely new markets where they have no existing experience. Sellers must also balance growth scale and profitability, avoid sacrificing long-term earning power just to chase rankings and market share, and prevent falling into the awkward position of thinner and thinner margins with higher sales.

This article offers strategic insights for hardware manufacturing factories, with key takeaways summarized below:

1. For product design and production: The global robot vacuum market has shifted from a niche premium market to a mass-market red ocean, with demand for both high-end flagship products and volume-focused mid-tier products. Wet-dry vacuums and outdoor robotic lawn mowers are already validated incremental categories with stable market space, and factories can arrange corresponding product lines based on their own capabilities.

2. For business opportunities: Overseas demand is growing steadily, with continuous volume growth in regions including Europe and Southeast Asia. Going global has become the most important growth foundation for Chinese hardware factories, and products adapted to local overseas usage scenarios are far more likely to gain market traction and deliver stable growth.

3. For strategic development: When pursuing diversification and digital transformation, factories must maintain strategic focus. They should not spread resources across multiple fronts blindly when the core business is not yet firmly established, nor should they enter unfamiliar capital-intensive sectors at random, as this will divert capital and R&D resources from the core business and hurt overall profitability. Expansion should be pursued gradually, leveraging existing technical and production capacity advantages.

This article sorts out the current development status and pain points of the smart cleaning appliance industry, and provides industry insights for relevant service providers, with key takeaways summarized below:

1. For industry trends: The smart cleaning appliance industry has now entered a mature phase, with intensifying market competition and price wars becoming the norm. Leading brands are increasingly expanding overseas, and multi-category expansion has become a common strategic choice for top players. Beyond traditional robot vacuums, niche categories such as wet-dry vacuums and outdoor robotic lawn mowers have already validated their growth models and become new incremental drivers.

2. For core client pain points: Leading brands currently face several common pain points during expansion. Building overseas channels, running cross-border advertising and local operations requires massive capital investment, creating heavy cost pressure. R&D testing and marketing for new businesses require sustained investment with no short-term profitability. Under pressure from price wars, brand positioning often becomes unstable, and high-end brand perception can easily be diluted. Founder distraction also leads to inconsistent corporate strategy, and "revenue growth without profit growth" is now the core challenge for leading brands.

3. For industry opportunities: Service providers can develop localized operations, cross-border advertising and channel building services tailored to brands’ outbound expansion needs. They can also offer user perception building and new category promotion services for brands pursuing multi-category expansion, helping brands control expansion costs and improve profitability.

This article analyzes the current development status of leading smart hardware brands, and provides insights for investment attraction and operation for home appliance-related platforms, with key takeaways summarized below:

1. For brand demand from platforms: Today, leading brands are expanding into overseas markets, requiring local platforms to provide channel resources and operational support. At the same time, when rolling out new product categories, they need domestic platforms to provide traffic support and consumer education to quickly open up market sales. Platforms can develop targeted services to meet these brand demands.

2. For brand recruitment: As the world’s top-selling robot vacuum brand, Roborock has strong algorithm and product technology advantages, has completed multi-category layout, has overseas channels covering more than 170 countries, and generates nearly RMB 19 billion in annual revenue. Its new businesses including wet-dry vacuums and outdoor robotic lawn mowers have already validated profitable business models, making it a very valuable partner for platform recruitment.

3. For risk mitigation: When cooperating with brands, platforms need to pay close attention to brand strategic stability. Roborock currently faces issues including founder distraction from the automotive sector, sustained profit margin declines, a crisis of market confidence, and ongoing cash burn from new businesses, all of which platforms should watch for when partnering with the company. In addition, sustained industry price wars disrupt platform pricing systems, so platforms need to adjust operating strategies in advance to avoid related problems.

This article reviews Roborock’s development over the past two years, providing a typical case study for research on China’s tech hardware industry, with key takeaways summarized below:

1. For new industry trends: China’s smart cleaning appliance industry has now completed industry consolidation, with domestic leading brands claiming the top global market share. Outbound expansion has become the mainstream growth direction for the industry, and leading brands have generally launched multi-category layout strategies. At the same time, it has become a notable new entrepreneurial trend for technology-focused founders to enter the new energy vehicle sector after their core business reaches the top of the industry.

2. For new industry challenges: This case exposes many emerging problems in the development of Chinese tech startups. After their core business reaches the top, over-ambition of founders often leads to inconsistent corporate strategy. Unplanned diversification continuously consumes core business profits, and price wars erode high-end brand positioning. Inappropriate capital operations by founders also trigger a crisis of market confidence, causing long-term negative impacts on corporate development.

3. For research insights: This case clearly demonstrates both the advantages and disadvantages of technology-founded entrepreneurs. It also compares the development outcomes of two distinct strategies: Ecovacs’ focus on protecting profits versus Roborock’s focus on chasing scale. It provides a very valuable typical case for research on founder capability boundaries, strategic choices for growth-stage startups, and the limits of diversification, with high research reference value.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

复盘这两年的产品战略,石头最大的问题,不是技术不行,而是定力不足。

2024年深秋,北京顺义某产业园的直播间里,昌敬穿了一件户外冲锋衣,背景是极石01碾过戈壁滩扬起的黄沙。弹幕刷得飞快,有人问他极石的续航,有人问越野配置,忽然一条弹幕挤了进来:“昌总,石头科技又跌了,您怎么看?”

他愣了一下,嘴角扯出个笑,说:“做企业,要有耐心。”

这句话当晚就被截屏,在雪球和东方财富的股吧里疯传。有人把“昌敬劝你耐心”和“昌敬套现9亿”P在一张图里,左边是他直播间里的笑脸,右边是K线图上那根陡峭的绿柱。2024年A股最黑色幽默的注脚,就这么诞生了。

快2年过去了,石头科技怎么样了?

在国内智能小家电行业里,石头科技是最特殊的一家公司。

几年前,它还是资本市场人人追捧的“扫地茅”,凭借算法壁垒、高端产品调性和亮眼的海外收入,一路冲到千亿市值,是科创硬件创业的标杆。创始人昌敬,从程序员转身成为上市公司掌舵人,懂产品、重研发、踩得准行业风口,被视作技术派创业者的典范。

但过去两年,石头彻底换了一种叙事。

外人眼里的石头,变得割裂又矛盾。它拿下了全球扫地机器人销量第一,海外市场越做越大,产品越卖越多,营收年年走高;可与此同时,利润肉眼可见地下滑,毛利率持续走低,曾经的高端品牌光环,在无休止的价格战里慢慢黯淡。

外界所有争议,最终都会落到一个人身上——昌敬。

这两年石头的起与落,早已不只是行业内卷的结果。它更像是一场典型的创业者困境:当主业刚站上行业顶峰,创始人的野心早已跳出原有赛道,多元化尝试、跨界造车、双线布局,轰轰烈烈的背后,是上市公司持续付出的利润代价和战略摇摆。

1

全线丰收背后

只赚吆喝不赚钱

翻开石头近两年的经营数据,第一眼是繁荣,细品全是隐忧。

从2024到2025年,石头的营收一路狂飙,接连刷新上市以来的最高纪录。出货量更是彻底甩开对手,登顶全球第一。依托成熟的算法和稳定的品控,石头在海外市场站稳了脚跟,欧洲、东南亚市场持续放量,海外收入占比过半,成为公司最稳的基本盘。

产品层面,石头也不再只靠扫地机器人撑场面。从规模和品类布局来看,石头的扩张速度,在整个清洁家电行业里几乎是最激进的。

这两年它拼命补齐短板,一边把高端旗舰机型的技术下放,做中端走量机型,抢国内中低端市场份额;一边疯狂拓展新品类,洗地机快速崛起,成为第二大主力品类,户外割草机器人在欧洲打开销路,洗衣机等小家电也陆续试水。

可热闹的销量背后,利润早已撑不起曾经的龙头身价。

最直观的变化,就是增收不增利。营收翻倍增长,净利润反而大幅回落,毛利率连续两年下行。曾经靠着高端机型稳稳维持的高毛利时代,彻底结束了。

原因很简单:国内市场杀疯了。

这两年,扫地机器人早已从高端小众品类变成了红海肉搏赛道。追觅、云鲸持续挤压中端市场,大量白牌厂商用极致低价抢占下沉市场,科沃斯稳守高端利润阵地,唯独石头选择放下身段,下场打价格战。

为了保住全球份额,石头只能用技术换规模,把旗舰配置下沉、压低中端售价,靠走量稳住市场排名。这种选择短期有效,出货量一路走高,但代价是致命的——整体盈利结构被彻底打乱,低价产品稀释利润,高端溢价被持续削弱。

更关键的是,石头的扩张是靠全维度烧钱支撑的。

海外渠道铺设、跨境投放、本地运营,每年都是巨额开销;多品类同时研发、试错、铺市,新业务短期内无法盈利,只能持续输血;再加上常年高位的研发投入,多重费用叠加,直接吞噬了主业的利润空间。

对比同行,两家龙头的路线差异,差距一目了然。

科沃斯选择守利润、控节奏、稳高端,哪怕增速慢一点,也要保住盈利能力;石头选择抢规模、扩边界、冲排名,用利润换市场。两年下来,科沃斯利润稳步攀升,石头却陷入了“越卖越薄”的尴尬境地。

02

定位摇摆:

高端立牌,中端自耗

熟悉石头的人都知道,它的立身之本,从来不是低价,而是技术和高端调性。

早年石头能弯道超车,靠的就是领先行业的激光导航、避障算法和清洁逻辑。G系列旗舰机,长期霸占高端市场主流席位,也是石头海外高利润的核心来源。直到今天,石头的高端产品力,依旧没有掉队,迭代依旧扎实,海外高端市场的认可度依旧稳固。

真正的问题,出在国内中端市场的反复摇摆。

从2024年开始,面对竞品的贴身围剿,石头不得不改变以往只做高端的姿态,密集推出中端机型,主动降价切入大众市场。

这套打法帮石头快速稳住了国内市占,补齐了销量短板,但也带来了难以逆转的内伤。

长期深耕高端的品牌心智,被大量低价中端机型稀释。普通消费者不再只觉得“石头是高端好用的扫地机”,慢慢开始给它贴上性价比、平民款的标签。高端品牌的溢价,是家电企业最珍贵的资产,一旦松动,再想重建难如登天。

而它的多元化布局,更是一半惊喜、一半遗憾。

洗地机是最成功的增量,凭借过硬的硬件积累和算法沉淀,短短两年跻身行业前列,成为实打实的第二增长曲线;欧洲割草机器人适配海外场景,稳步出货,是小众但健康的新业务。

但洗衣机品类的试水,就暴露了石头的短板。跨界全新小家电赛道,没有场景积累、没有用户心智、没有渠道优势,仓促上马后投入大量资源,最终收效甚微,只能收缩调整,白白消耗研发和资金资源。

复盘这两年的产品战略,石头最大的问题,不是技术不行,而是定力不足。

在主业利润尚未稳固、行业持续内卷的阶段,一边被动打价格战消耗根基,一边多点开花布局新赛道。战线铺得太散,资源被持续分流,本该深耕的主业精细化运营缺位,新开的业务又难以快速造血。

03

昌敬:技术创业者的

优势与致命短板

石头今天所有的局面,都绕不开核心掌舵人——昌敬。

作为技术出身的连续创业者,昌敬的优势极其鲜明。微软、腾讯的产品和研发背景,让他对智能硬件、算法迭代、产品体验有着极强的敏感度。石头能从小米生态代工厂起步,一步步靠技术突围,做成全球龙头,足以证明他的前瞻判断力和产品能力。

在行业红利期,他敢赌、敢闯、敢押注新技术路线,让石头踩中了智能扫地机器人的全部风口。

但走到行业成熟期,昌敬的个人短板,开始彻底暴露,并且深刻影响着整个公司的走向。

最大的问题,是野心过大,战线太散,精力严重分流。

在石头市值巅峰、主业刚坐稳龙头位置时,昌敬选择跨界入局新能源汽车,创办极石汽车,扎进最烧钱、竞争最残酷的越野赛道。

造车是资本市场公认的“无底洞”。巨额融资、持续烧钱、小众定位、代工模式,让极石汽车始终难以规模化起量,无法自我造血,长期处于消耗状态。

自此,昌敬彻底进入双线创业状态。一边是上市家电主业,一边是重资产造车新业务。

一个人的精力终究有限,这是普通人都懂的道理。当大量时间、资源、心力被汽车业务牵扯,石头主业的战略定力自然会松动。

这也是近两年石头战略摇摆的根源:到底守利润,还是冲规模?到底深耕主业,还是多点扩张?公司始终没有形成长期、坚定的主线,只能跟着行业内卷被动调整。

更让资本市场诟病的,是昌敬的资本操作和公众口碑管理。

此前,昌敬前脚股价下行阶段减持套现,后脚公开呼吁投资者长期持有,形成强烈的舆论反差,直接消耗了市场对石头的信任。此后他低调隐身、极少公开发声,也让市场对公司未来的判断更加谨慎。

客观来说,石头的利润下滑不全是造车分心导致,行业全员内卷是大环境使然。但不可否认:创始人的精力分散,让石头在最需要稳扎稳打、精细化运营的两年,错失了巩固利润壁垒的最佳窗口期。

相比之下,雷军之所以能兼顾手机与汽车,是因为二者的企业处在完全不同的发展阶段。雷军背后是成熟的千亿集团、完整的高管团队分摊管理压力;而昌敬的两家创业公司,高度依赖个人决策,一旦重心偏移,主业必然受影响。

这也是机构最大的隐忧:石头会不会慢慢沦为造车业务的“现金奶牛”?

04

十字路口:规模登顶后,

石头该如何落地?

站在当下回望,石头过去两年拿到了最亮眼的规模名次,却也付出了最沉重的盈利代价。

如今行业格局趋于稳定,价格战烈度稍有缓解,石头的拐点也在慢慢到来。

高端新品回暖,带动毛利率止跌回升;海外市场依旧保持高增长,是最稳固的基本盘;洗地机、户外机器人等新业务已经跑通模式,能够持续贡献增量。只要收缩低效业务、严控费用、稳住产品结构,盈利能力有很大修复空间。

但长期难题依旧悬而未决。

国内中端市场的内卷不会消失,想要保住全球第一的销量,就无法彻底脱离价格战;可继续以量换价,利润天花板就会被持续锁死。

不过归根到底,最大的变量,依旧是昌敬的选择。

极石汽车能否独立造血、不再消耗创始人精力与资源,直接决定石头未来两三年的走势。如果创始人重新聚焦主业,石头结束摇摆状态,将有望在规模和利润之间找到平衡。

纵观国内硬件创业史,很多爆款公司都逃不过同一个宿命:靠单一技术和单品登顶,随后被野心驱动,开启无休止的多元化扩张。

有人深耕主业、循序渐进,守住江山;有人急于突围、多点冒进,最终顾此失彼。

石头和昌敬的故事,今天还远远没有到落幕的时候。

它已经拿到了全球市场的销量王座,证明了自己的技术和产品能力。而接下来真正的考验,不再是怎么“做大”,而是怎么“做稳、做赚、做长久”。

褪去高速增长的行业红利,褪去激进扩张的浮躁,稳住主业根基、收敛战略野心、修复盈利能力,才是这家全球龙头,接下来最该走的路。

2026年的夏天,石头科技站在一个关键的十字路口。

它手里还有牌:全球第一的市场份额,覆盖170多个国家的渠道,年营收近190亿的体量,超过40%的研发人员占比。这些基本面,撑得起“中国智造”出海标杆的叙事。

但它面临的麻烦也是真实的:利润率持续下滑,现金流首次转负,创始人信任危机未解,港股IPO悬而未决,新业务还在持续失血。

昌敬需要回答一个根本性的问题:他究竟想做一个“扫地机之王”,还是一个“跨界企业家”?

2年前直播间里的那句“耐心”,本可以是一个企业家对长期主义的坚守。但当它与9亿套现并置在一起,它就成了一种讽刺,一种对信任的透支。

毕竟,在商业世界里,耐心从来不是说出来的。它是一种能力,一种选择,一种用时间和行动堆出来的信用。

而信用这东西,一旦碎了,比K线图上的绿柱更难修复。

注:文/明昊,文章来源:陆玖商业评论(公众号ID:liujiucaijing69),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:陆玖商业评论

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FAQ回顾

石头科技近两年的经营状况怎么样?

2024到2025年石头科技营收持续刷新上市以来最高纪录,扫地机器人出货量登顶全球第一,海外收入占比过半,洗地机成为第二增长曲线;但受价格战、多品类扩张等影响,出现增收不增利,毛利率连续两年下行。

石头科技利润下滑的主要原因是什么?

一是国内扫地机器人赛道内卷,石头科技下场打价格战,用技术换规模,稀释了利润;二是海外渠道铺设、多品类研发、日常研发等费用高企,吞噬利润空间;三是主业战略摇摆,错失巩固利润壁垒的窗口期。

昌敬的决策对石头科技发展有哪些影响?

昌敬的技术敏感度让石头科技靠技术突围成为全球扫地机器人龙头;但他跨界布局造车分散精力,导致石头科技主业战略摇摆;高位减持后呼吁股民保持耐心的操作,也消耗了资本市场对公司的信任。

石头科技未来发展有哪些有利基础?

石头科技目前手握全球第一的扫地机器人市场份额,销售渠道覆盖170多个国家,年营收近190亿,研发人员占比超40%,高端产品力稳固,海外市场保持高增长,洗地机等新业务已跑通盈利模式。

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