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史上最平淡的618 最忙的是AI

伯虎团队 2026-06-30 11:04
伯虎团队 2026/06/30 11:04

邦小白快读

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本文介绍了2026年被称为AI含量最高的一届618大促的整体情况,本次大促平台放弃价格战转而发力AI,整体GMV增速仅4%,远低于去年,AI应用体验有优有劣,给普通消费者带来以下实用参考。

1. 目前各大平台都上线了AI购物工具,包括淘宝千问AI购物助手、抖音豆包的买前问豆包、京东京言AI助手等,这些工具可以帮消费者做商品推荐、算优惠比价,解决选择困难症,今年4月后AI推荐转化率已经达到3%以上,适合没有明确购物目标的用户使用,能节省挑选时间。

2. AI工具目前还有不少缺陷,普通用户需要注意:AI对用户需求的理解经常出错,还可能推荐下架、停产商品,误触扰民的情况也很多,有明确购物目标的用户,自行搜索浏览反而效率更高;另外AI推荐经常混入商业广告,用户需要注意甄别,不要完全依赖AI的购买建议。

本次2026年618AI成为电商核心角力点,消费端和商家端都呈现出新变化,给品牌商的运营和营销带来多个关键启示。

1. 消费趋势层面:65%-70%用户仅期待AI做整理信息、比价、算优惠这类基础工作,仅不到一半用户接受AI直接给出购买建议,消费者仍重视“逛”的购物乐趣,对AI推荐存在天然的信任疑虑,品牌不要过度依赖AI推荐获客,仍要做好自身品牌信任建设。

2. 运营营销层面:目前京东头部商家数字人开播率已达80%,数字人开播成本仅为真人直播的十分之一,AI客服能帮商家节省约70%的人力成本,品牌可以在这些环节落地AI降本提效;但要注意用户反感全AI生成的商品图,AI素材同质化严重,品牌需要保留足够的真实实拍内容,另外AI推荐规则不透明,获客门槛提升,品牌需要逐步摸索GEO优化方法,平衡AI投放和用户信任。

本次618AI全面落地电商行业,给卖家带来了新的提效机会,也存在不少需要警惕的风险,具体总结如下。

1. 机会层面:目前各大平台都向商家开放了AI工具,京东数字人免费对所有商家开放,AI客服可以降低45%的转人工率,提升退款挽单成功率,AI还能辅助卖家做数据复盘、库存调度、竞品监控,卖家可以用这些工具实现降本提效;平台都在大力推AI流量入口,提前布局适配AI规则的卖家,能优先获得新的流量增量。

2. 风险提示与应对:目前AI推荐规则不透明,属于不清晰的黑箱,卖家获取AI推荐的门槛比传统搜索时代高很多,竞争难度明显升级;同时AI生成内容同质化严重,用户普遍反感全AI商品图,卖家不要完全用AI替换人工内容,要保留足够的实拍商品内容;另外用户对AI推荐的商业性质有疑虑,卖家不要只依赖AI流量获客,要做好私域和品牌信任建设。

本次618AI全面渗透电商全链路,给做电商供货的工厂带来了新的商业机会,也为工厂推进数字化转型带来了不少启示。

1. 产品生产设计层面:AI导购可以快速汇聚海量用户的真实偏好,帮助工厂更高效地捕捉用户需求,降低用户调研的成本,辅助工厂调整产品设计和生产方向,比如用户对产品尺寸、功能的个性化需求,都能通过AI快速汇总,帮助工厂打造更适配市场的产品。

2. 商业机会与转型启示:电商全链路AI化对供应链效率提出了更高要求,工厂可以对接平台的AI供应链调度工具,提升库存分配、生产排期的效率,适配电商的动态销售需求;另外C端用户反感同质化的商品和AI内容,工厂在产品研发设计阶段就要突出差异化,避免同质化,才能在AI推荐体系中获得用户青睐,工厂也可以逐步推进自身的数字化AI改造,适配电商行业的新变化,提升整体运营效率。

本次618AI电商的大规模落地,展现了行业的发展趋势,也暴露了不同角色的核心痛点,给AI电商相关服务商指明了发展方向。

1. 行业发展趋势:电商行业已经结束了价格战的竞争阶段,转而进入AI效率竞争的新阶段,各大平台都在布局AI导购、AI运营工具,市场对AI电商相关服务的需求持续扩大,AI和电商全链路融合是未来的明确方向。

2. 核心客户痛点:对平台来说,核心痛点是大模型难以实现海量电商商品数据的实时同步,AI对用户意图的识别准确率不足;对商家来说,核心痛点是AI推荐规则不透明,GEO优化没有成熟可靠的方法,AI生成内容同质化严重,难以满足商家的个性化需求;对消费者来说,核心痛点是AI推荐立场不中立,隐性广告多,信任度不足。

3. 解决方案方向:服务商可以针对性开发产品,比如优化大模型的电商数据实时同步能力,开发成熟的GEO优化服务,帮助商家解决AI流量获取的问题。

本次618各大平台都完成了AI电商的落地试探,积累了实践经验,也暴露了很多问题,给平台商后续发展带来很多启示。

1. 目前已经验证了不同生态平台的AI打法可行性:阿里和字节聚焦争夺AI超级入口,京东做全链路全场景AI渗透,拼多多快手聚焦用AI帮商家提效,都获得了初步的拉新效果,比如阿里有近1.4亿用户通过千问首次体验AI购物,京东618AI对话用户突破300万,服务量较去年双11提升10倍,AI确实是存量市场挖掘增量的新方向。

2. 现存风险和优化方向:目前AI技术仍不成熟,存在意图识别不准、数据同步不及时的问题,用户对AI推荐的信任度低,AI规则不透明也引发了商家的不满,平台需要优化AI技术,逐步公开优化规则,还可以参考亚马逊的提示词广告模式,对商业化推荐做明确标注,平衡AI商业化和中立性,提升用户和商家的满意度。

本次2026年618作为全球AI含量最高的一届电商大促,展现了电商产业的全新动向,也暴露了行业新问题,是研究AI电商化非常好的样本,核心信息总结如下。

1. 产业新动向:电商行业已经彻底从传统的价格补贴战,转向AI驱动的效率竞争,AI已经全面渗透进导购、营销、客服、供应链、履约等电商全链路,不同生态位的平台探索出了差异化的AI电商商业模式,头部平台已经初步验证了AI拉新的价值,AI电商是接下来电商行业的核心发展方向。

2. 行业新问题:技术层面存在用户意图识别不准、海量商品数据难以实时同步的工程难题;C端层面AI无法替代购物过程中“逛”的情感需求,用户对AI推荐的信任度不足,接受度有限;B端层面AI推荐规则不透明,商家获客门槛提升,AI内容同质化问题严重;整个行业来看,AI只提升了交易效率,还没有创造出新的消费增量,存量竞争的格局没有改变。

3. 后续可以围绕AI商业化与中立性平衡、GEO优化规则等方向开展进一步研究。

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声明:快读内容全程由AI生成,请注意甄别信息。如您发现问题,请发送邮件至 run@ebrun.com 。

我是 品牌商 卖家 工厂 服务商 平台商 研究者 帮我再读一遍。

Quick Summary

This article outlines the landscape of the 2026 618 mid-year shopping festival, widely described as "the most AI-powered 618" to date. This year, major e-commerce platforms shifted their focus away from price wars to prioritize AI-driven shopping experiences. Overall gross merchandise value (GMV) grew just 4% year-over-year, far below 2025's growth rate, while AI shopping tools delivered a mixed bag of user experiences. Below are key takeaways for general consumers:

1. All major platforms have launched AI shopping tools, including Taobao's Qianwen AI Shopping Assistant, Douyin's Doubao Pre-Purchase Q&A, and JD's Jingyan AI Assistant. These tools offer product recommendations, price comparison, and promotion calculation to help shoppers resolve decision paralysis. Since April 2026, AI-powered recommendations have achieved a conversion rate above 3%, making them well-suited for users without clear shopping goals who want to save time on product browsing.

2. AI tools still have notable flaws that general users should watch for. They frequently misinterpret user needs, may recommend delisted or discontinued products, and often send unwanted intrusive notifications. For users with specific shopping goals, traditional search and browsing remains more efficient. In addition, commercial recommendations are often mixed into organic AI suggestions, so users should evaluate results critically and avoid relying entirely on AI for purchasing decisions.

AI became the core competitive battleground of the 2026 618 shopping festival, bringing new shifts in both consumer and merchant behavior and delivering key insights for brand operations and marketing:

1. Consumer trends: 65% to 70% of users only expect AI to handle basic tasks such as information aggregation, price comparison, and promotion calculation. Fewer than half of users accept AI making direct purchase recommendations, as consumers still value the exploratory "shopping experience" and have inherent trust concerns about AI suggestions. Brands should not over-rely on AI recommendations for customer acquisition, and must continue investing in building their own brand trust.

2. Operations and marketing: 80% of top merchants on JD already use AI digital humans for live streaming, at just one-tenth the cost of human-led broadcasts. AI customer service can help brands cut labor costs by roughly 70%, so brands can deploy AI in these areas to cut costs and boost efficiency. However, consumers dislike fully AI-generated product images, which tend to be heavily homogenized, so brands must retain sufficient authentic original photography. In addition, AI recommendation rules are non-transparent and have raised customer acquisition barriers, so brands need to gradually refine AI-generated content (GEO) optimization strategies to balance AI-powered distribution and user trust.

The 2026 618 festival saw full-scale deployment of AI across the e-commerce industry, bringing new efficiency opportunities for sellers alongside notable risks to watch for:

1. Opportunities: All major platforms have opened their AI tools to merchants. JD offers free access to digital human streaming for all sellers, while AI customer service reduces transfer rates to human agents by 45% and improves success rates for retaining orders during refund requests. AI can also assist sellers with data review, inventory scheduling, and competitor monitoring, helping sellers cut costs and boost efficiency. Platforms are heavily promoting AI as a new traffic entry point, so sellers that prepare early and adapt to AI rules can capture first-mover advantage in new traffic growth.

2. Risk warnings and mitigation: Current AI recommendation rules are opaque black boxes, and the barrier to securing AI recommendations is far higher than in the traditional search era, making competition significantly more intense. At the same time, AI-generated content is heavily homogenized, and consumers generally dislike fully AI product images. Sellers should not fully replace human-created content with AI, and must retain sufficient authentic product photography. In addition, users are suspicious of the commercial incentives behind AI recommendations, so sellers should not rely solely on AI traffic for customer acquisition, and must invest in private domain operations and building brand trust.

AI has penetrated the entire e-commerce value chain in this 618 festival, bringing new business opportunities and key insights for digital transformation for factories that supply e-commerce sellers:

1. Product development and design: AI导购 can quickly aggregate real preferences from a massive user base, helping factories capture consumer demand more efficiently, cut user research costs, and adjust product design and production direction. For example, personalized demands for product sizes and features can be quickly summarized via AI to help factories build products that better fit market demand.

2. Business opportunities and transformation insights: AI-driven end-to-end e-commerce operations raise higher requirements for supply chain efficiency. Factories can connect to platform AI supply chain scheduling tools to improve the efficiency of inventory allocation and production scheduling, to adapt to the dynamic demand of e-commerce sales. In addition, end consumers dislike homogenized products and AI-generated content, so factories need to prioritize differentiation in the product R&D and design stage to stand out in AI recommendation systems, gradually roll out their own AI-driven digital transformation, adapt to new industry changes, and improve overall operational efficiency.

The large-scale deployment of AI in e-commerce during this 618 festival revealed clear industry development trends, exposed core pain points across stakeholders, and pointed out clear development directions for AI e-commerce service providers:

1. Industry trends: The e-commerce industry has exited the era of price competition and entered a new phase of AI-powered efficiency competition. All major platforms are rolling out AI导购 and AI operations tools, market demand for AI e-commerce services continues to expand, and full integration of AI across the e-commerce value chain is a clear future direction.

2. Core pain points of clients: For platforms, the core pain point is that large language models struggle to achieve real-time synchronization of massive e-commerce product data, and AI still lacks accuracy in user intent recognition. For merchants, core pain points include opaque AI recommendation rules, lack of mature and reliable methods for GEO (AI-generated content) optimization, and heavy homogenization of AI-generated content that fails to meet merchants' personalized needs. For consumers, the core pain point is that AI recommendations lack neutrality and include too many hidden ads, resulting in low trust.

3. Solution directions: Service providers can develop targeted products to address these pain points, such as improving large models' ability to synchronize real-time e-commerce product data and developing mature GEO optimization services to help merchants solve AI traffic acquisition challenges.

The 2026 618 festival saw all major platforms test and deploy AI-powered e-commerce, accumulating practical experience while exposing key problems, and delivering important insights for platforms' future development:

1. The test has validated the feasibility of differentiated AI strategies across platform ecosystems: Alibaba and ByteDance focus on competing for the AI super entry point, JD pursues full-stack AI penetration across all scenarios and end-to-end operations, while Pinduoduo and Kuaishou focus on using AI to improve merchant efficiency. All have achieved initial user growth results: for example, nearly 140 million users tried AI shopping for the first time via Alibaba's Qianwen, while JD recorded over 3 million AI conversation users during 618, a 10x increase in service volume compared to the 2025 Double 11 festival. AI is confirmed as a clear new path to unlock incremental growth in the saturated e-commerce market.

2. Existing risks and optimization directions: AI technology is still immature, with problems including inaccurate intent recognition and delayed data synchronization. Users have low trust in AI recommendations, and opaque AI rules have also sparked discontent among merchants. Platforms need to improve AI technology, gradually disclose and refine recommendation rules, and can reference Amazon's prompt advertising model to add clear labels to commercial recommendations, to balance AI commercialization and neutrality, and improve satisfaction among both users and merchants.

As the most AI-intensive e-commerce promotion globally, the 2026 618 shopping festival reveals new industry dynamics and exposes emerging problems, making it a valuable case study for AI-driven e-commerce transformation. Key findings are summarized below:

1. New industry dynamics: The e-commerce industry has fully shifted from traditional price-subsidy wars to AI-driven efficiency competition. AI has penetrated all links of the e-commerce value chain, including导购, marketing, customer service, supply chain, and order fulfillment. Platforms across different ecosystem positions have explored differentiated AI e-commerce business models, and leading platforms have preliminarily validated AI's value for user acquisition. AI-powered e-commerce is now the core development direction for the industry.

2. New industry problems: On the technical side, there are still engineering challenges of inaccurate user intent recognition and difficulty in real-time synchronization of massive product data. On the consumer side, AI cannot replace the experiential emotional demand of exploratory browsing, user trust in AI recommendations remains low, and adoption is still limited. On the merchant side, opaque AI recommendation rules raise customer acquisition barriers, and AI-generated content suffers from severe homogenization. Across the industry, AI has only improved transaction efficiency, but has not yet created new net consumption growth, so the existing pattern of saturated competition remains unchanged.

3. Future research can be focused on the balance between AI commercialization and neutrality, GEO optimization rules, and other related topics.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

来源 | 伯虎财经(bohuFN)

作者 | 楷楷

今年的618,被行业称为“AI含量”最高的一届电商大促。

各大电商平台都收起了价格战,转而把AI当成了新的角力场——数字人主播7×24小时轮班倒、AI算法猜你想要什么、AI助手在对话框里帮你比价选品……

但AI狂欢之下,销售数据却多少有点尴尬。

星图数据显示,2026年618购物节,综合电商、即时零售、社区团购的全网电商累计销售额(GMV)为9340亿元,同比增长4%,低于去年20.9%的增速。

场外舆论更是出奇地“安静”,媒体称这是16年来最低调、最平淡的一届618。

大厂明明已经铆足了劲抢夺购物入口——阿里把AI助手塞进淘宝C位,豆包首页的黄金位置上线了“618问豆包”,就连向来沉默的拼多多都悄悄上线了AI搜索。

可最终,谁也没有创造出实打实的消费欲望,AI购物,到底还差哪一步?

平台疯狂上AI

今年618,AI可谓无处不在。

AI导购、智能推荐、智能售后等功能全面落地,往年还是小打小闹的AI导购,如今都已站上了各大平台的C位。

阿里将千问和淘宝全面打通,用户通过自然语言便可完成整个购物流程。另外,淘宝App内也同步上线了“千问AI购物助手”,涵盖AI问答、AI试穿、AI种草等功能。

豆包也打通了抖音电商,用户与豆包对话可获取商品推荐和购物链接,另外,豆包首页一级导航栏也增加了“买前问豆包”功能,使用体验更流畅。

京东也在今年3月上线了京言AI助手,能根据用户输入的内容提供购物灵感。此外,京东还推出了数字人直播、AI补货助手、物流超脑大模型等功能,将AI嵌进整个销售服务链路。

就连一向对AI话题保持低调的拼多多,也在5月悄悄上线了AI搜索;快手也在618前夕推出“AI购物助手”,提供商品推荐、商品对比等服务。

目前来看,各大平台布局AI电商的动作大同小异,但细究起来,大家的目标各不相同,打法全跟着自家生态走。

阿里和字节聚焦于“超级入口”的争夺,阿里想把千问变成消费的第一站;字节也为了这个目标在努力,正在通过内容重塑入口,打通AI生态闭环。

京东主打的是从营销到履约的全场景AI渗透;拼多多和快手则希望通过AI提升商品分发、供应链效率的工具,更着重于商家经营提效。

AI的全面介入,确实带来了一些看得见的变化:

在消费者端,AI导购可以帮消费者推荐商品、计算优惠,让购物更省心。

据36氪报道,今年4月以来,用户对AI购物推荐的接受度较去年下半年有所提升,点击豆包商品卡的转化率达3%以上。

在商家端,AI提升了整个交易链路的效率,主要体现在直播、客服和经营决策三块。

京东数据显示,2026年一季度,京东头部商家数字人开播率达80%。目前,京东数字人已免费向所有商家开放,成本低至真人直播的1/10。

另外,淘宝升级AI店小蜜,上线“AI假图识别模型”后,平均转人工率下降45%,平均退款挽单成功率超过20%;抖音披露,旗下飞鸽智能客服可节省约70%的人力成本。

在平台端,AI功能成为了电商平台挖掘增量用户的新钩子。

京东数据显示,618大促期间,JoyAI APP累计对话用户突破300万,服务量较去年双11提升10倍以上;在春节的红包大战后,阿里称有近1.4亿用户通过千问首次体验AI购物。

AI的出现,正在倒逼平台从单纯的价格补贴,转向经营效率、生态协同和用户价值的深耕,谁能更高效地把合适的货推到合适的人面前,谁就有机会在存量市场抢下更大块的蛋糕。

从这个角度来看,AI确实干了更多的活,但问题是消费者买单了吗?

消费者 “又爱又怕”

目前来看,AI导购“看上去很美”,但用起来还是差点意思。

首先,在意图理解上,AI还是不够聪明。在社交平台上,不少用户提到AI导购确实帮自己省去了对比、挑选商品的过程,但并非每一次对话都顺利。

有用户表示,自己想让AI导购根据自己的偏好推荐一款鞋子,却翻出了买土豆的订单;有网友表示自己想买一款车载水杯,AI导购建议直径3-4厘米的杯子,推荐完全脱离实际。

“如果没有购物目标,AI推荐能解决选择困难症,如果已经有了明确偏好,AI导购反而成了累赘”,一位网友总结道。

其次,“一句话购物”还没有达到非常流畅的阶段。

有网友吐槽称,AI导购有时候连下架商品都识别不了,其推荐的几款手机都是已停产机型;还有人遇到过AI导购给的优惠券,点进去却发现根本不能用;

更让用户无语的是,AI导购总是“埋伏”在货架页里,自己稍不留神就误触,给的信息也没多少干货,还不如自己逛详情页来得痛快。

大模型要跟海量的电商商品数据进行实时同步,这是一个巨大的工程难题。目前,大部分AI导购都只是影响了购物链路的第一步,但要真正深入整个流程,则还需要一点时间。

最后,消费者最担心的是,AI推荐的商品,真的值得信赖吗?

我们分别在豆包、千问和京东上咨询“能缓解过敏的面霜”,几个平台第一批推荐的都是主流面霜品牌。但如果再深入追问,AI导购就开始推荐一些普通消费者不太熟悉的品牌。

社交平台上也有消费者表示,自己根据AI导购买入了某款面霜,后来发现这款产品正在小红书上猛打广告,虽然质量不一定有问题,但自己难免会想,是不是中了算法的“圈套”?

大家的吐槽,都指向同一个问题——AI真的能帮助消费者做好购物决策吗?

一方面,是信任问题。

AI导购看似是消费者的私人助手,但实际上,它也是平台和商家的“销售员”,AI推荐和商业广告之间,本来就是既共生又对立的关系,它们的立场很难保持完全一致。

消费者对此心照不宣,他们对AI推荐也存在天然的质疑,尝鲜可以,下单却很难。

根据《每日经济新闻》的618前瞻调研显示,65%-70%用户期待AI工具可以“整理信息、比价、计算优惠”等,但仅有37%-48%用户期待“AI直接给出购买建议或自动下单”。

另一方面,购物的本质到底是什么。

更多用户仍然习惯自行搜索、比价后下单,而非依赖AI决策。

这背后不仅仅是信任问题,还有一个常常被忽视的因素,那就是“逛”本身也是消费过程的一部分,那种挑选、比较、发现惊喜的乐趣,目前AI导购还替代不了。

AI导购把购物变成了一道选择题,但很多人怀念的是“逛店铺”的乐趣。

商家被困于算法

消费者对AI导购还在观望,但商家已经被裹挟着往前走了。

AI工具确实能帮助商家提效,甚至在消费者看不到的物流与供应链环节,AI也在默默干活,通过赋能智能调度、库存分配,让商品更高效地送到消费者手中。

无论从“降本”还是“增收”的角度来看,AI都交出了不错的成绩单,可对于商家来说,用AI容易,用好AI却很难。

首先,AI规则并不透明。

搜索时代,商家可以通过关键词竞价、排名优化等相对清晰的规则来获取流量。但在AI推荐时代,规则变成了一个“黑箱”,甚至有商家表示,AI推荐就像一种“玄学”。

有商家寄希望于GEO(生成式引擎优化),但即便是负责GEO的代理商也表示,“我们只能不断调整优化,没法保证一定能被AI选中。”

从前,商家只要拼关键词、销量、退货率等,挤进搜索页前列就有流量;但如今,AI导购把推荐位收窄到寥寥几个,商家要获得推荐的门槛变高了,竞争难度也升级了。

另外,AI工具也不一定都好用。

在社交平台上,网友已经开始抵制用AI生成商品图的商家,大家纷纷吐槽,“看到AI图一点购物欲都没有” “一张实拍照都没有,压根不知道商品长啥样”。

另一边,也有商家坦言,AI生成素材虽然成本低,但同质化严重,有时候生成内容还需要返修,并没有节省多少时间。

目前,AI在客服、文案、美工等岗位还不能完全取代人工,商家反而更倾向在可以看见明确数据反馈的环节投入AI,比如数据复盘、竞品监控、产品预测等。

尽管嘴上在吐槽,但商家对于AI工具也不敢怠慢。毕竟,同行都在用,你不用,就很有可能会被甩出赛道。

这个618,AI在电商世界里的闯关试探,有正面反馈也有负面声音。

但一个不争的事实是:AI或许真的解决了很多问题,却还没有办法让消费者更想买。

AI的出现并没有改变电商的本质,平台和商家的效率虽然提高了,但增量从何而来,才是整个电商行业最大的难题。

大洋彼岸的亚马逊或许能为我们提供一些参考:

今年5月,亚马逊推出了个性化的AI购物助手Alexa for Shopping,其能够跨设备记忆用户偏好,提供商品对比、新增降价等功能,比如帮用户盯价,一旦达到预期价格就提醒下单。

在商业化方面,亚马逊也直接推出了“提示词广告”,当消费者向AI提问时,语义匹配的商品会带着Sponsored标签,直接出现在对话答案里。

面向消费者,AI导购只有读懂用户的需求和痛点,才能真正撬动销量;面向商家,AI需要成为能直接看见转化效果的投放工具,效果清晰了,增长才能持续。

当然,如何在AI推荐的商业化与中立性之间保持平衡,依然是挑战。但至少,大家可以先找到一个更适合自家生态的答案。

如今,AI开始进一步走入购物生态,当然,它还取代不了消费决策中那些情感驱动的部分——冲动、信任、仪式感、逛的乐趣。

这条路,AI才刚刚开始走,从“用上”到“用好”,它还需要时间实现进化。

注:文/伯虎团队,文章来源:伯虎财经(公众号ID:bohuFN),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:伯虎财经

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