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只有一条好腿 岚图如何跳出困境?

明昊 2026-06-29 10:32
明昊 2026/06/29 10:32

邦小白快读

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本文介绍了成立五年的国家队新能源品牌岚图的发展现状、面临的困境以及破局尝试,核心干货信息如下:

1. 发展现状:岚图2025年总交付量150169辆,同比增长87%,2025年11月已完成第30万辆整车下线,整体增速亮眼,但产品结构极度不均衡,MPV车型梦想家贡献了53%的销量,其余三款车型总销量占比还不及梦想家的一半,MPV整体市场份额不足乘用车的5%,且竞争越来越激烈。

2. 现存问题:除产品偏科外,梦想家还存在车机卡顿、续航虚标、OTA升级慢等用户投诉,和华为合作存在技术依赖风险,全行业价格战导致岚图毛利率持续下行,港股上市后市值较预期缩水近半,剔除政府补贴后核心业务尚未盈利。

3. 破局尝试:2026年推出四款新车覆盖全品类,坚持自研核心技术打造差异化,发力出海,目前海外销量同比增长277.7%,已进入40多个国家和地区。

本文以岚图为例,分析了传统央国企转型高端新能源汽车的经验与问题,对新能源汽车品牌有较高参考价值,核心干货如下:

1. 产品研发方面:抢先切入蓝海细分赛道更容易打造爆款,岚图2022年进入新能源MPV赛道时,竞争对手尚未成型,凭借四驱大空间+高性价比快速卡位家庭、商务双场景,后续补上华为智驾短板进一步巩固优势,但过度依赖单一爆款会给品牌带来毁灭性风险。

2. 价格竞争方面:面对全行业价格战,岚图采取分层突围策略,守住高端MPV基本盘,以高性价比抢占20-30万主流市场,再上攻更高端价位带,用满配对抗竞品简配,但该策略也导致毛利率持续下行,存在伤害高端定位的风险。

3. 品牌建设方面:和第三方技术企业合作时要警惕依赖风险,必须坚持自研核心技术打造差异化标签,同时布局海外市场是避开国内价格战、推动品牌向上的有效路径。

本文梳理了当前新能源汽车行业的发展格局,能给汽车行业相关卖家提供机会参考与风险提示,核心干货如下:

1. 行业环境变化:当前国内新能源汽车行业已经进入史上最惨烈的价格战,从10万以下到30万以上全价位段都陷入激烈竞争,消费者对车辆的智能化水平、配置丰富度、性价比要求越来越高,市场已经从增量竞争转为存量厮杀。

2. 市场机会:高端新能源MPV仍有稳定的市场需求,大六座SUV、长续航混动轿车等细分赛道也存在增量空间,海外市场对中国高端新能源汽车接受度越来越高,已经成为新的增长曲线,多品类全价位布局是未来品牌发展的主流方向。

3. 风险提示:单一爆款依赖会让整个品牌的抗风险能力大幅下降,一旦核心单品被竞品冲击,整体业绩就会地动山摇;持续价格战会不断压缩行业利润,过度依赖第三方技术会让品牌丧失差异化竞争力,难以获得消费者青睐。

岚图作为东风集团新能源转型的核心项目,其发展路径能给汽车产业链相关工厂提供诸多启示,核心干货如下:

1. 产品生产设计需求:当前新能源汽车消费需求越来越细分,MPV、大六座SUV、长续航混动轿车等细分赛道都存在增长机会,消费者对智驾能力、空间舒适性、配置丰富度的要求越来越高,智驾硬件、大空间、舒适性配置已经成为产品的核心竞争力。

2. 商业机会:国内高端新能源赛道仍有增长空间,出海市场需求旺盛,岚图目前已经进入全球40多个国家和地区,2025年前7个月海外销量同比增长277.7%,2026年岚图推出四款全新车型布局全品类,将会给上游配套工厂带来更多稳定订单。

3. 转型启示:传统车企转型新能源,既可以开放和第三方科技企业合作补足智能化短板,也必须坚持核心技术自研打造差异化竞争力,同时可以通过资本运作赋能企业发展,通过出海开辟第二增长曲线,降低国内市场竞争带来的风险。

本文梳理了当前新能源汽车行业的痛点和发展趋势,能给汽车相关服务商提供方向参考,核心干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势:传统央车企加速新能源转型,已经有选手实现了高速增长,行业全价位段价格战白热化,品牌普遍从单一爆款布局转向多产品矩阵发展,出海成为车企公认的第二增长曲线,资本市场对新能源车企的估值逻辑已经从看增速转向看盈利确定性。

2. 客户核心痛点:新能源车企目前普遍面临产品结构单一、过度依赖第三方技术、价格战压缩利润空间、资本市场认可度不足的问题,C端用户普遍抱怨车机稳定性差、OTA升级慢、售后服务响应不及时,这些痛点尚未得到很好解决。

3. 行业机会:服务商可以针对车企差异化自研需求提供技术配套服务,针对车企出海需求提供海外合规、渠道搭建、营销推广等相关服务,针对C端用户的售后痛点,可以推出更高效的响应式售后服务解决方案,抢占市场空间。

从岚图的发展与上市过程,可以梳理出新能源车企对平台的需求,也给各类相关平台的运营调整提供参考,核心干货如下:

1. 新能源车企对平台的核心需求:资本层面需要获得上市融资渠道、资本认可来支撑长期发展,技术层面需要和科技平台合作补齐智能化短板获得流量,市场层面需要平台帮助对接C端用户、打通海内外销售渠道。

2. 现存核心问题:资本市场对岚图这类传统转型新能源的品牌,尚未形成清晰的估值锚点,岚图采用介绍上市方式登陆港股后,流通盘规模不足,暂未满足港股通纳入标准,缺乏南下资金支撑流动性,原股东集中抛售导致股价持续下跌,影响品牌发展。

3. 平台调整方向:资本平台可以针对传统车企转型新能源品牌完善估值体系,出台配套政策缩短符合条件的企业纳入港股通的时间,改善企业流动性;汽车销售平台可以针对出海车企的需求,搭建海外销售渠道,帮助车企对接海外用户资源,拓展市场空间。

岚图是央国企转型高端新能源汽车的代表性样本,其发展过程中的探索和问题对产业研究有很高的价值,核心干货如下:

1. 产业新动向:当前国内新能源汽车行业已经进入白热化竞争阶段,价格战席卷全价位段,传统央车企加速转型,已经在新能源赛道实现了增速突破,出海成为本土新能源车企新的增长曲线,资本市场对新能源车企的估值逻辑已经从看重增速转向看重盈利确定性。

2. 产业新问题:传统车企转型新能源,普遍容易出现产品结构偏科、过度依赖单一爆款的问题,和第三方科技企业合作容易陷入技术依赖,难以打造差异化标签,多数转型企业核心业务自主造血能力不足,利润依赖政府补贴,在资本市场难以获得清晰的估值定位。

3. 研究启示:岚图的转型探索是研究传统车企新能源转型的典型样本,其经验表明,转型需要平衡规模扩张和高端定位,平衡对外合作和核心技术自研,通过多产品矩阵分散风险,通过出海和资本运作打开增长空间,其成败也将为央车企市场化转型提供重要参考。

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Quick Summary

This article outlines the current development, ongoing challenges, and turnaround efforts of Voyah, a five-year-old Chinese state-backed new energy vehicle (NEV) brand. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Current performance: Voyah delivered 150,169 vehicles in 2025, representing an 87% year-over-year increase, and rolled its 300,000th vehicle off the production line in November 2025. While its growth rate is impressive, the brand suffers from extreme product imbalance: its MPV model Dreamer accounts for 53% of total sales, with the combined share of its other three models falling less than half of that. To add risk, the MPV segment makes up less than 5% of China’s total passenger vehicle market, and competition in the space is intensifying.

2. Existing challenges: Beyond its overreliance on a single product line, the Dreamer faces recurring user complaints over lagging infotainment systems, overstated range figures, and slow OTA updates. Voyah’s partnership with Huawei also exposes it to technology dependency risk. Industry-wide price wars have dragged its gross margin down continuously, and its post-IPO market value in Hong Kong has shrunk by nearly half from expectations. Its core business remains unprofitable when excluding government subsidies.

3. Turnaround efforts: The brand will launch four new models in 2026 to cover multiple vehicle segments. It will also continue independent R&D of core technologies to build differentiation, while prioritizing global expansion. To date, Voyah has entered more than 40 countries and regions, with its overseas sales up 277.7% year-over-year.

This article uses Voyah as a case study to analyze the experience and challenges of traditional central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) transitioning to the premium NEV market, offering actionable insights for NEV brands. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Product development: Moving early into a blue-ocean niche is a proven path to building a hit product. When Voyah entered the NEV MPV segment in 2022, competitors were still underdeveloped. It quickly captured share in both family and commercial use cases with its four-wheel drive, spacious design, and strong value for money, later solidifying its position by adding Huawei’s intelligent driving system. However, overreliance on a single hit product exposes brands to severe existential risk.

2. Pricing competition: Facing industry-wide price wars, Voyah adopted a tiered breakout strategy: defending its core position in the premium MPV segment, capturing share in the mainstream 200,000-300,000 yuan price bracket with high value-for-money offerings, and moving upmarket into higher price tiers by offering fully equipped models to compete against rivals’ stripped-down configurations. But this strategy has continuously pressured gross margins and carries the risk of eroding the brand’s premium positioning.

3. Brand building: Brands must guard against technology dependency when partnering with third-party technology firms, and must prioritize independent R&D of core technologies to build a distinct differentiation label. At the same time, expanding into overseas markets is an effective strategy to avoid domestic price wars and push a brand upscale.

This article outlines the current development landscape of China’s NEV industry, providing opportunity references and risk warnings for automotive industry sellers. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Changing industry landscape: China’s domestic NEV industry is now experiencing its most intense price war in history, with fierce competition across all price segments from below 100,000 yuan to above 300,000 yuan. Consumers are increasingly demanding higher intelligent functionality, richer configurations, and better value for money, and the market has shifted from growth-driven competition to a battle for existing market share.

2. Market opportunities: Premium NEV MPVs still maintain stable demand, and niche segments such as large six-seat SUVs and long-range hybrid sedans still offer room for growth. Global markets are increasingly receptive to China’s premium NEVs, which has emerged as a new growth curve. Multi-segment, full-price-range product portfolios have become the mainstream direction for future brand development.

3. Risk warnings: Overreliance on a single hit product drastically reduces a brand’s risk resilience—if the core product is disrupted by competitors, overall performance will be severely impacted. Sustained price wars continue to compress industry margins, and overreliance on third-party technology robs brands of differentiated competitiveness, making it harder to win consumer favor.

As the core NEV transition project of Dongfeng Motor Group, Voyah’s development path offers multiple insights for factories across the automotive supply chain. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Product design and production requirements: NEV consumer demand is becoming increasingly segmented, with growth opportunities in niche segments including MPVs, large six-seat SUVs, and long-range hybrid sedans. Consumers are placing growing demands on intelligent driving capability, spatial comfort, and feature richness, so intelligent driving hardware, spacious layouts, and comfort-focused configurations have become core product competitiveness.

2. Business opportunities: China’s domestic premium NEV track still has room for growth, and overseas markets hold strong demand. Voyah has already entered more than 40 countries and regions worldwide, with its overseas sales up 277.7% year-over-year in the first seven months of 2025. It will launch four all-new models in 2026 to cover full vehicle categories, which will bring more stable orders for upstream supporting factories.

3. Transition insights: When traditional automakers transition to NEVs, they can partner with third-party technology companies to fill gaps in intelligent functionality, but they must also stick to independent R&D of core technologies to build differentiated competitiveness. At the same time, capital operations can fuel business growth, and expanding overseas can open up a second growth curve to reduce risks from fierce domestic competition.

This article outlines the core pain points and development trends of China’s current NEV industry, offering directional guidance for automotive-related service providers. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Industry development trends: Traditional state-owned automakers are accelerating their NEV transitions, and some players have already achieved rapid growth. Price wars have intensified across all price segments, and brands are broadly shifting from single-hit product strategies to multi-product portfolios. Global expansion has become a widely accepted second growth curve for automakers, and capital markets have shifted their valuation framework for NEV makers from focusing on growth to prioritizing earnings certainty.

2. Core customer pain points: NEV brands generally face problems including over-reliance on a single product line, excessive dependency on third-party technology, margin compression from price wars, and insufficient capital market recognition. For end consumers, common complaints include poor infotainment stability, slow OTA updates, and slow after-sales service response—none of these pain points have been well resolved to date.

3. Industry opportunities: Service providers can offer technical supporting services to meet brands’ demand for differentiated independent R&D, provide overseas compliance, channel building, and marketing services to support brands’ global expansion, and develop more efficient responsive after-sales solutions to address end consumers’ pain points to capture market share.

Analyzing Voyah’s development and listing process reveals NEV makers’ core demands for platforms, and provides reference for operational adjustments for relevant industry platforms. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. Core demands of NEV brands for platforms: On the capital side, brands need access to public listing and financing channels, as well as capital recognition, to support long-term development. On the technology side, they need partnerships with technology platforms to fill gaps in intelligent functionality and gain user traffic. On the market side, they need platforms to help connect with end consumers and build out domestic and overseas sales channels.

2. Existing core issues: Capital markets have not yet established a clear valuation anchor for traditional automaker transition brands like Voyah. After listing in Hong Kong via introduction, Voyah suffers from insufficient free float, has not yet met the inclusion criteria for Stock Connect, and lacks liquidity support from southbound capital. Concentrated selling by original shareholders has driven continuous share price declines, negatively impacting brand development.

3. Proposed platform adjustments: Capital platforms can refine valuation frameworks for traditional SOE transition NEV brands, introduce supporting policies to shorten the timeline for including qualified companies in Stock Connect to improve corporate liquidity. Auto sales platforms can build out overseas sales channels to meet the needs of global-expanding automakers, help brands connect with overseas user resources, and expand market reach.

Voyah is a representative case study of SOEs transitioning to the premium NEV market, and its exploratory efforts and growing pains carry high value for industrial research. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. New industry trends: China’s domestic NEV industry has entered a phase of cutthroat competition, with price wars spreading across all price segments. Traditional SOE automakers are accelerating their transitions and have already achieved breakthrough growth in the NEV track. Global expansion has become a new growth curve for domestic NEV makers, and capital markets have shifted their valuation focus from growth to earnings certainty.

2. New industry challenges: When traditional automakers transition to NEVs, they commonly face structural product imbalances and overreliance on a single hit product. Partnerships with third-party technology firms often lead to technology dependency, making it difficult to build a distinct differentiated brand identity. Most transitioning firms lack sufficient independent profitability in their core business, rely on government subsidies for profits, and struggle to secure a clear valuation positioning in capital markets.

3. Research implications: Voyah’s transition is a representative sample for research on NEV transformation of traditional automakers. Its experience shows that successful transitions require balancing scale expansion and premium positioning, balancing external cooperation and independent core R&D, dispersing risk through multi-product portfolios, and opening up new growth through global expansion and capital operations. Its ultimate success or failure will provide important reference for the market-oriented transition of SOE automakers.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

在新能源汽车的牌桌上,活着只是入场券,活好才是终极目标。

2025年11月,武汉东风大道上,岚图汽车第30万辆整车下线。这个数字放在比亚迪面前或许不值一提,但对于一个诞生仅五年的“国家队”品牌而言,有着一种象征意义——央国企也能在新能源赛道上跑出加速度。

然而,鲜花与掌声,难掩岚图的结构性焦虑:一款车撑起半边天,其余车型集体“哑火”;价格战烽火连天,高端定位遭遇上下夹击;港股虽然完成挂牌,但资本市场等待的是一个更有说服力的故事。

岚图的困境,其实是整个传统车企新能源转型的缩影。

1

梦想家养全家

打开岚图2025年的销量成绩单,数字相当亮眼:全年交付150,169辆,同比增长87%,连续多月破万,11月更是首次突破2万辆大关。

也正是这份喜人的成绩单,让我们得以看到岚图真正的风险。

细看结构,MPV车型梦想家独占53%的销量,约80,248辆。这意味着,岚图每卖出两辆车,就有一辆是梦想家。

“国内高端新能源MPV市场每卖出三台,就有一台是岚图梦想家。”这句官方宣传语,既是荣耀,也是枷锁。

梦想家成功的背后有着特定的时代红利。2022年入局时,新能源MPV尚属蓝海,腾势D9尚未成气候,理想MEGA还未出生,别克GL8仍在燃油时代沉睡。岚图凭借“四驱+大空间+高性价比”的组合拳,抢先卡位家庭出行与商务接待的双重场景。2024年华为乾崑智驾ADS 4上车后,智能化短板被补齐,梦想家更是如虎添翼。

但MPV终究是小众市场。据行业数据,2025年中国MPV市场规模不足乘用车总量的5%,且竞争日趋白热化——极氪009高端截流,比亚迪“夏”向下施压,腾势D9虎视眈眈,别克GL8 PHEV卷土重来,甚至连南北丰田都在酝酿插电混动MPV。梦想家的护城河,正在被多方蚕食。

更严峻的是,岚图其他车型的表现堪称惨淡。2025年1-5月,岚图FREE占比15%,知音占比14%,追光仅占6%。三款车加起来,不及梦想家一款的零头。2026年初,知音月销量一度跌至1626辆,追光更是长期徘徊在数百辆的水平。

一位汽车行业分析师在播客中直言:“这种占比不正常。岚图FREE作为20-30万区间的SUV,本该是走量担当,但三联屏设计过时、智驾算力不足,导致爆款潜质未能释放。”

过度依赖单一车型,这就是岚图的“阿喀琉斯之踵”。一旦梦想家稍有闪失,整个品牌将地动山摇。

02

尚未引爆的暗雷

2026年上半年,新能源汽车行业负面新闻不断。理想日产互撕,小米和江淮起诉自媒体侵权,小米接连陷入“起火”风波。相比之下,2026年的岚图像是个没被批评过的“好学生”。

但没上新闻不等于没有问题。

在车质网等投诉平台上,关于梦想家的反馈集中于车机卡顿、续航虚标、售后服务响应慢等“新能源通病”。更有车主在社交媒体吐槽:“40万买的车,OTA升级等了半年,承诺的城市NOA至今未推送。”

这些分散的抱怨尚未汇聚成舆论风暴,却像慢性毒药侵蚀品牌口碑。岚图CBO邵明峰曾回应:“用户有抱怨很正常,我们要正确理解用户的批评。”话虽如此,从“理解批评”到“解决问题”,中间隔着组织效率与技术能力的双重考验。

另一个隐忧是与华为合作的“双刃剑效应”。乾崑智驾和鸿蒙座舱为岚图带来了流量与溢价,但也让品牌被迫和“华为系”一同内卷——问界、智界、享界同样搭载华为方案,消费者为何选择岚图?当华为的技术红利被摊薄,岚图的差异化标签何在?

03

价格战的囚徒困境

2025-2026年,中国新能源汽车市场陷入史上最惨烈的价格战。比亚迪“荣耀版”横扫10-20万区间,特斯拉Model Y多次调价,蔚来以“租电方案”变相降价,小鹏MONA系列直接杀入15万以下。

岚图的应对策略,可以用“以守为攻、分层突围”概括。

第一层,守住梦想家的高端基本盘。2026款梦想家定价32.99万-43.99万元,相比2022年初代车型直降4万,但配置不降反升——800V超混架构、双零重力座椅、后排娱乐屏“冰箱彩电大沙发”一应俱全。官方称其为“合理利润基础上的诚意定价”,也有观点认为,这是为了对冲竞争压力不得已而为之。2026年1-5月,梦想家累计销售25,014辆,高端MPV销冠地位暂未动摇。

第二层,以FREE+和知音抢占20-30万主流市场。全新岚图知音定价20.29万元起,打出“20万满血华为纯电SUV”的口号;FREE+则以增程混动路线,跻身“20-30万混动SUV销量TOP3”。这一价格带是新能源厮杀最惨烈的战场,岚图的策略是“华为智驾+央企品质”的性价比组合,用“满配”对抗对手的“简配”。

第三层,以泰山、追光L上攻高端。岚图泰山定位“新时代旗舰大六座SUV”,搭载896线激光雷达和华为ADS 4四激光方案,预售13天订单破4万辆;追光L则以“全球首款纯电续航410公里混动轿车”的技术标签,切入30万以上轿车市场,甚至成为多个省市两会“接待指定用车”。

但价格战的代价显而易见。2025年前7个月,岚图毛利率21.3%,虽高于行业平均,却面临持续下行压力。降多了伤品牌,降少了没销量,可以说,蓝图现在的处境,就是在“规模扩张”与“品牌高端”之间走钢丝。

04

“产品大年”能否成为

“破局之年”

面对困局,岚图试图以“技术迭代+产品扩容”破局。2026年,岚图推出“三王一炸”产品矩阵,四款新车全部搭载L3级智驾硬件,这是其应对价格战的底气来源。

第一,从“单腿跳”到“多腿走”。泰山X8、泰山Ultra、追光L、代号“珠峰”的豪华MPV四箭齐发,覆盖SUV、MPV、轿车全品类。尤其是泰山系列,被寄予厚望成为第二个“梦想家”。2026年5月,泰山X8预售13天订单破4万辆,刷新高端大五座SUV纪录,让人看到岚图复制爆款的可能。

第二,从“华为依赖”到“自主可控”。岚图并非简单采购华为方案,而是与引望公司组建联合团队,从产品策划到用户运营全价值链合作。同时,岚图坚持自研ESSA架构、天元电子电气架构、岚海智能超混等核心技术,试图在“华为系”中建立差异化话语权。

第三,从“国内红海”到“海外蓝海”。2025年前7个月,岚图海外销量9,357辆,占总销量14%,同比增长277.7%,产品进入40多个国家和地区。欧盟对中国电动车加征17%-36.3%反补贴税的背景下,岚图知音以“Courage”(勇气)之名出海,主打“中国高端”定位,海外定价甚至高于国内。这既是规避价格战的迂回战术,也是品牌向上的长远布局。

第四,资本赋能,港股上市。2026年3月,岚图以“介绍上市”方式登陆港交所,成为“央国企高端新能源汽车第一股”。不融资、不稀释股权,东风集团以股权分派完成资本重组——这既是央企改革的创新实验,也为岚图后续融资、并购、股权激励打开空间。

05

资本市场的“冷脸”

2026年3月19日,香港联交所的锣声为岚图敲响,“央国企高端新能源汽车第一股”的光环加身,然而现实却撕开了光鲜的面纱。开盘报7.5港元,较东风私有化隐含对价10.85港元大幅低开,首日收跌13.2%,总市值仅239.57亿港元,较机构预期的453亿港元缩水近半。然而首日的暴跌只是开胃菜:截至3月底,股价已跌至5.12港元,总市值不足200亿港元,较上市首日再跌去三成。

资本市场为何对岚图“用脚投票”?

首先,盈利经不起细看。2025年岚图全年净利润10.2亿元,毛利率20.9%看似光鲜,但政府相关补助超10亿元,补助规模超过当期净利润——剔除补贴后,核心业务仍未真正盈利。在新能源补贴退坡的大趋势下,这种靠补贴撑起的利润让投资者对其自主造血能力打上问号。港股市场对新能源车企的估值逻辑已从“看增速”转向“看盈利确定性”,岚图的盈利成色显然经不起放大镜审视。

其次,产品结构的“偏科”让资本不安。梦想家一款车型贡献53%销量,SUV双子星与轿车板块集体疲软。资本市场厌恶不确定性,而“单腿跳”的商业模式本身就是最大的不确定性。一旦MPV市场遭遇价格战或竞品围剿,岚图的整体业绩将地动山摇。相比之下,比亚迪、理想已实现多品类均衡布局,岚图的产品矩阵显得单薄而脆弱。

再者,估值对标上“高不成低不就”。上市首日岚图TTM市盈率21.27倍,与比亚迪港股几乎持平。但无论从营收体量、成长确定性还是产业链整合能力来看,岚图与比亚迪都不在一个量级。与此同时,岚图又难以获得蔚来、小鹏等新势力的“科技溢价”——后者虽亏损但拥有更强的智能化自研标签。岚图卡在“传统车企转型”与“新势力科技”之间的夹缝中,找不到清晰的估值锚点。

最后,流动性的“失血”雪上加霜。岚图采用“介绍上市”不发行新股,上市首日11.09%的换手率,很大程度上是原东风股东拿到分派股份后的集中抛售。流通盘仅8.7亿股,距离港股通纳入标准尚有差距,缺乏南下资金的流动性支撑。东风集团虽两度宣布增持,但“救市”效果有限。

当然,翻盘的可能性不是没有。

岚图CEO卢放多次在公开场合喊话,强调“出海是第二增长曲线”——2025年前7个月海外销量9,357辆,同比增长277.7%,产品进入40多个国家和地区。欧盟反补贴税虽高,但岚图以“Courage”之名主打“中国高端”定位,海外定价高于国内,若能打开欧洲、中东市场,将打开估值天花板。

此外,泰山X8预售13天订单破4万辆,若真能复制梦想家的爆款路径,“多极增长”的故事将让资本市场重新定价。而H股全流通改革若能推动纳入港股通,南下资金的活水也将缓解流动性困境。

说到底,资本市场的冷脸,是对岚图“从政策扶持走向市场竞争”的压力测试。股价跌去的每一分,都在倒逼岚图用更硬的业绩、更均衡的产品、更独立的科技标签,重新赢得投资者的信任。

06

新长征:规模是生死线

岚图CEO卢放曾说:“车好是前提,科技强是附加值,诚意足是落脚点。”这句话放在2026年的语境下,需要加上第四句——“规模是生死线”。

15万辆的年销量,在新能源赛道尚属“小而美”。比亚迪2025年销量突破400万辆,理想、问界、零跑等新势力月销动辄3-5万辆。岚图要真正跻身主流,必须在保持高端定位的同时,将规模推上30万甚至50万辆台阶。

这意味着,梦想家不能塌,泰山必须起,FREE+和知音要真正“走量”,追光L需在轿车市场撕开缺口。任何一环掉链子,都可能让岚图重回“单腿跳”的脆弱状态。

更深一层,岚图的探索超越了商业层面。作为东风集团新能源转型的“尖刀连”,它的成败关乎央企如何在市场化竞争中重塑自我;作为“华系高端”的代表,它的足迹丈量着中国汽车品牌向上的边界。

2026年的岚图,站在30万辆的新起点上,面前是价格战的血海、技术迭代的高墙、资本市场的审视。这个国家队选手,能否从“单爆款依赖”走向“多爆款矩阵”,从“央国企第一股”成长为“全球高端新能源品牌”,将是中国汽车产业转型最具观察价值的样本之一。

在新能源汽车的牌桌上,活着只是入场券,活好才是终极目标。

注:文/明昊,文章来源:陆玖商业评论(公众号ID:liujiucaijing69),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:陆玖商业评论

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FAQ回顾

岚图汽车当前面临的主要发展困境有哪些?

岚图当前主要面临四大困境:一是产品结构偏科,MPV车型梦想家贡献超5成销量,其余车型表现疲软;二是产品投诉增多口碑受损,与华为合作存在技术红利摊薄隐忧;三是价格战下毛利率持续下行,需平衡规模扩张与高端定位;四是港股上市后股价大跌,剔除补贴后核心业务未实现真正盈利。

岚图应对发展困境的主要破局措施有哪些?

岚图2026年推出“三王一炸”产品矩阵,全品类覆盖且均搭载L3级智驾硬件;坚持自研ESSA架构等核心技术,减少对华为的技术依赖,打造差异化竞争力;布局海外市场,2025年前7个月海外销量同比增长277.7%;登陆港交所完成资本重组,为后续发展打开资本运作空间。

岚图梦想家成为高端新能源MPV爆款的原因是什么?

岚图梦想家2022年入局时新能源MPV尚属蓝海,凭借四驱、大空间、高性价比抢先卡位家庭出行与商务接待双重场景,2024年搭载华为乾崑智驾ADS 4补齐智能化短板,目前国内高端新能源MPV每卖出3台就有1台是岚图梦想家。

资本市场不看好岚图汽车的核心原因是什么?

资本市场不看好岚图主要有四大原因:一是2025年净利润高度依赖政府补贴,核心业务未实现真正盈利;二是产品结构偏科,单车型依赖带来极高业绩不确定性;三是估值锚点模糊,卡在传统车企转型与新势力科技赛道之间;四是介绍上市流通盘小,缺乏流动性支撑。

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