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大模型重燃大厂“医疗梦”

伯虎团队 2026-06-09 12:01
伯虎团队 2026/06/09 12:01

邦小白快读

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本文核心讲互联网大厂依托AI大模型加码布局医疗领域的行业动态,核心干货信息如下:

1. 大厂布局医疗已有十多年历史,早期都只做浅层流量撮合生意,比如挂号、在线问诊、医药电商,不碰核心诊疗,且早年变现模式缺陷明显,低频难留存、合规风险高,多数玩家难以盈利,头部移动医疗平台陆续被收购,大厂此前一直保持试探节奏,字节曾斥资100亿收购美中宜和,近日又投60亿在北京建三级综合医院。

2. AI大模型出现后打破了行业僵局,AI医疗可以覆盖C端用户分诊健康管理、D端医生临床辅助、B/G端医疗机构部署多场景,市场增长空间巨大,大厂也选择了不同路径落地,目前AI医疗还存在准确率不足、监管不完善等问题,落地仍需时间。

AI医疗已经成为新的风口赛道,本文总结了该领域的消费趋势和布局方向,干货参考如下:

1. 消费趋势层面,据预测中国AI医疗市场将从2023年的88亿元增长至2033年的3157亿元,年复合增长率达43.1%,增长速度快,市场空间大;用户已经接受AI辅助医疗服务,对分诊、基层诊疗、全链路健康管理的需求持续提升。

2. 品牌布局层面,医疗行业兼具公益属性,过度商业化容易引发公众抵触,品牌需要平衡商业盈利和社会责任;不同资源的品牌可以选择不同路径,有资金优势的可以走重资产路线打通线上线下闭环,有基建优势的可以做轻资产产业服务,对接医保支付等全链路履约。

AI大模型给医疗赛道卖家带来了新的增长机会,同时也有需要警惕的风险,干货如下:

1. 机会层面,AI医疗覆盖C端健康管家分诊、D端医生临床辅助、B/G端医疗机构部署多个赛道,多场景都存在刚性需求,市场增长快;卖家可以依托大厂的技术流量优势,对接大厂生态布局细分领域,获得增长空间。

2. 模式借鉴层面,卖家可以参考京东的路径,优先选择体检、口腔、医美等高毛利、高复购的成熟赛道,先跑通盈利模式再逐步拓展,降低试错风险。

3. 风险提示层面,医疗行业容错率极低,当前AI还存在准确率不足、数据幻觉等问题,且监管政策不完善,权责边界不清晰,卖家一定要把控合规风险,不能盲目追求盈利忽略医疗安全。

AI医疗的快速发展给医疗相关生产制造工厂带来了新的商业机会,也指明了数字化转型方向,干货如下:

1. 产品需求层面,AI医疗需要对接各类智能终端,提供随身个性化健康管理服务,医疗智能硬件工厂可以针对性开发适配AI医疗的随身健康监测、居家健康检测类产品,匹配C端用户的健康管理需求,获得新的增长空间。

2. 商业机会层面,当前大厂纷纷加码线下医疗布局,字节投资60亿新建三甲医院,京东、阿里也陆续开设线下门诊,线下医疗建设会带动医疗配套设施、医用耗材等产品的新增需求,工厂可以对接大厂的线下布局,获得稳定的合作订单。

3. 数字化转型启示,工厂可以借助AI大模型优化自身生产流程,同时对接数字化医疗体系,实现产品全链路可追溯,接入医疗服务闭环提升自身竞争力。

AI医疗赛道处于高速增长期,本文梳理了行业趋势和现存痛点,指明了服务商的发展方向,干货如下:

1. 行业发展趋势,中国AI医疗市场规模将从2023年的88亿元增长至2033年的3157亿元,年复合增长率达到43.1%,赛道增长速度快,覆盖C、D、B、G多类客户的多场景需求,市场空间十分广阔,头部效应明显,大厂主导下细分服务商仍有生存机会。

2. 当前行业核心痛点,技术层面存在AI大模型数据幻觉、诊疗准确率不足的问题;行业层面存在监管不完善、权责边界不清晰的问题,用户和医疗机构都存在顾虑;此外还存在线上线下数据不通,难以形成服务闭环的问题。

3. 服务商可以深耕细分领域,提供专业医疗数据标注、AI落地部署、合规咨询等细分服务,解决客户痛点,切入赛道。

AI医疗的发展给医疗平台指明了新的发展方向,也明确了需要规避的风险,干货如下:

1. 市场对平台的核心需求,当前市场需要平台能够打通C端用户服务、B端诊疗对接、G端医保社保衔接的全链路闭环,同时打通线上线下数据,满足AI模型训练和落地的需求,形成高粘性的服务场景。

2. 可借鉴的平台发展路径,拥有流量和资金优势的平台,可以选择字节的重资产模式,自建或收购线下医院,打通线上线下数据,打磨AI模型;拥有供应链优势的平台可以选择京东的路径,优先布局高毛利成熟赛道跑通盈利;拥有支付和用户基建优势的平台,可以选择阿里腾讯的轻资产模式,做AI医疗的产业基础设施。

3. 需要规避的风险,要把控合规问题,平衡商业和社会责任,提前应对监管要求,解决AI准确率问题,避免合规风险。

本文梳理了互联网大厂布局AI医疗的全历程,呈现了AI医疗领域的最新产业动向,可供研究参考,干货如下:

1. 产业新动向,互联网大厂早在十多年前就开始布局医疗领域,早期以浅层流量撮合为主,受限于变现难、门槛高一直难以突破,AI大模型出现后,大厂纷纷加大投入,目前已经形成三类成熟的商业模式:字节的重资产线上线下整合模式、京东的以医带药先跑盈利模式、阿里腾讯百度的轻资产产业基建模式,当前大厂已经从试探转为抢滩布局,赛道竞争加剧。

2. 行业新问题,当前AI医疗存在两大核心问题:技术层面AI大模型存在数据幻觉、诊疗准确率不足的问题,不符合医疗低容错的要求;制度层面相关监管法规不完善,权责边界不清晰,阻碍行业落地。

3. 研究启示,AI医疗是技术、场景、合规、信任多维度的系统性工程,未来研究可重点关注技术落地和合规体系建设方向,该赛道大厂优势明显,更有可能跑通全场景。

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Quick Summary

This article covers the latest industry update: major Chinese internet giants are scaling up their布局 in the healthcare sector powered by large AI models. Key takeaways are as follows:

1. China’s tech giants have explored the healthcare space for over a decade. Early on, they only focused on superficial traffic-matching businesses such as appointment booking, online consultations and pharmaceutical e-commerce, and stayed away from core clinical care. Early monetization models had clear flaws: low user frequency made retention difficult, compliance risks were high, and most players failed to turn a profit. Leading mobile healthcare platforms were acquired one after another, and giants maintained a cautious, trial-and-error approach for years. That changed recently: ByteDance previously acquired healthcare provider Meinian Yeehe for 10 billion RMB, and is now investing 6 billion RMB to build a new tertiary general hospital in Beijing.

2. The emergence of large AI models has broken the industry’s long-standing stalemate. AI-powered healthcare can serve multiple scenarios across C-end user triage and health management, D-end clinician assistance, and B/G-side institutional deployments, opening enormous growth potential. Different giants have pursued distinct go-to-market paths. At this stage, AI healthcare still faces challenges including insufficient diagnostic accuracy and incomplete regulatory frameworks, so large-scale commercial落地 will take time.

AI healthcare has emerged as a high-growth promising industry. This article summarizes consumer trends and strategic布局 guidance for brands, with key insights below:

1. On consumer trends: the Chinese AI healthcare market is projected to grow from 8.8 billion RMB in 2023 to 315.7 billion RMB in 2033, representing a 43.1% compound annual growth rate, indicating rapid expansion and massive market potential. Consumers have already accepted AI-assisted medical services, and demand for triage, primary care and end-to-end health management continues to rise.

2. On brand strategy: the healthcare industry has inherent public welfare attributes, so excessive commercialization easily triggers public backlash. Brands must strike a balance between commercial profit and social responsibility. Brands with different resource endowments can choose differentiated paths: capital-rich players can pursue an asset-heavy route to build a closed online-offline loop, while players with existing infrastructure advantages can pursue an asset-light industrial service model that connects to the entire value chain including medical insurance reimbursement.

Large AI models have opened new growth opportunities for sellers in the healthcare track, but also carry notable risks that require vigilance. Key takeaways:

1. Opportunities: AI healthcare covers multiple high-demand segments including C-end health management and triage, D-end clinical assistance for physicians, and deployments for B/G-side medical institutions, with the entire market growing rapidly. Sellers can leverage the technological and traffic advantages of major internet giants, access their ecosystems to target niche segments, and unlock new growth.

2. Model reference: Sellers can follow JD.com’s playbook: prioritize mature, high-margin, high-repeat segments such as physical examinations, dental care and medical aesthetics first, validate a profitable business model before expanding gradually, and minimize trial-and-error risks.

3. Risk warning: The healthcare industry has extremely low tolerance for error. Currently, AI still faces issues such as insufficient accuracy and hallucinations, while regulatory policies remain incomplete and accountability boundaries are unclear. Sellers must prioritize compliance risk management, and cannot pursue profit blindly at the cost of medical safety.

The rapid development of AI healthcare has created new business opportunities for medical manufacturing factories, and clarified a direction for their digital transformation. Key insights:

1. Product demand: AI healthcare requires integration with various intelligent terminals to deliver personalized, portable health management services. Medical smart hardware manufacturers can develop AI-compatible products such as wearable health monitors and at-home testing devices tailored to C-end consumer health management needs, to capture new growth.

2. Business opportunities: Major internet giants are now scaling up their offline healthcare布局: ByteDance is investing 6 billion RMB to build a new Grade A tertiary hospital, while JD.com and Alibaba have also launched offline clinics. Offline healthcare expansion will drive new demand for supporting medical infrastructure and consumables. Factories can partner with giants on their offline projects to secure stable, long-term orders.

3. Digital transformation insights: Factories can leverage large AI models to optimize their own production processes, while integrating into digital healthcare systems to enable full product traceability. Accessing the closed-loop AI healthcare service ecosystem will also improve manufacturers’ overall competitiveness.

The AI healthcare track is in a period of rapid growth. This article summarizes industry trends, core pain points and strategic directions for service providers, as follows:

1. Industry trends: China’s AI healthcare market will grow from 8.8 billion RMB in 2023 to 315.7 billion RMB in 2033, with a 43.1% compound annual growth rate. The fast-expanding track covers multi-scenario demand from C, D, B, and G-side clients, offering enormous market space. While the sector is dominated by large giants, there are still meaningful opportunities for niche specialized service providers.

2. Core industry pain points: Technically, large AI models suffer from hallucinations and insufficient diagnostic accuracy. From an industry perspective, incomplete regulation and unclear accountability boundaries leave both end users and medical institutions with lingering concerns. In addition, online and offline healthcare data remains siloed, making it difficult to form a closed service loop.

3. Strategic guidance: Service providers can deepen their focus on niche segments, offer specialized services such as medical data annotation, AI implementation and deployment, and compliance consulting to solve core client pain points, and successfully enter the AI healthcare track.

The growth of AI healthcare has clarified a new development direction for healthcare platforms, and outlined key risks to avoid. Key takeaways:

1. Core market demand: The market currently expects platforms to build a full closed-loop value chain connecting C-end user services, B-end clinical collaboration, and G-side medical insurance and social security integration, while breaking down silos between online and offline data to support AI model training and implementation, and build high-engagement service scenarios.

2. Proven development paths: Platforms with strong traffic and capital advantages can follow ByteDance’s asset-heavy model: build or acquire offline hospitals, unify online and offline data, and refine AI model performance. Platforms with supply chain advantages can follow JD.com’s path, prioritize mature high-margin segments to validate profitability first. Platforms with advantages in payment and user infrastructure can follow the asset-light model of Alibaba and Tencent, and act as industrial infrastructure providers for the AI healthcare sector.

3. Risks to avoid: Platforms must prioritize compliance, balance commercial goals with social responsibility, prepare in advance to meet upcoming regulatory requirements, and resolve AI accuracy issues to avoid compliance and safety risks.

This article reviews the full history of Chinese internet giants’布局 in AI healthcare, and presents the latest industry developments for research reference. Key insights:

1. New industry developments: China’s internet giants began exploring the healthcare sector more than a decade ago. Early efforts focused on superficial traffic matching, and failed to achieve breakthroughs due to monetization challenges and high industry barriers. Following the advent of large AI models, giants have sharply increased investment, and three mature business models have now emerged: ByteDance’s asset-heavy integrated online-offline model, JD.com’s medicine-led profit-first model, and the asset-light industrial infrastructure model of Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu. Giants have shifted from tentative exploration to aggressive expansion, and competition in the track is intensifying.

2. New unaddressed industry issues: AI healthcare currently faces two core challenges: Technically, large AI models suffer from hallucinations and insufficient diagnostic accuracy, which do not meet healthcare’s low-tolerance requirements. Institutionally, incomplete regulatory frameworks and unclear accountability boundaries are blocking widespread commercial落地.

3. Research implications: AI healthcare is a multi-dimensional systematic project that integrates technology, scenario access, compliance and user trust. Future research can prioritize technology implementation and regulatory framework building. Large giants hold clear competitive advantages in this track, and are the most likely players to build a successful full-scenario AI healthcare ecosystem.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

来源 | 伯虎财经(bohuFN)

作者 | 楷楷

建一座三甲医院要花多少钱?字节的答案是60亿元。

前段时间,北京市规划和自然资源委员会朝阳分局对“北京爱瑞国际化医疗综合体”的规划方案进行了公示,这是一座由字节子公司持股、总投资60亿元的三级综合医院。

在外界看来,科技大厂和三甲医院,看似是八竿子打不着的两码事。但事实是,字节并非个例,近年互联网大厂的布局,早已悄然延伸至线下医疗领域。

2021年,字节在北京开设首家小荷门诊;今年4月,京东健康综合门诊望京店正式开业。阿里、腾讯、百度等也从未缺席,比如蚂蚁集团此前收购了好大夫在线。

只是,医疗毕竟是一门高门槛、低容错、回报周期长的“慢生意”,这些年,大家的布局也始终克制。一直到AI医疗成为风口,“离医疗远、离AI近”的大厂,才终于看到了突破口。

这一轮,大厂终于能啃下医疗这块“硬骨头”了吗?

大厂觊觎医疗已久

早在十多年前,大厂就已经盯上“看病”这门生意。

2015年,阿里健康接过天猫的医药业务,推出云医院平台等业务;同年,京东开始以网上药店的身份销售医药;2017年,京东互联网医院正式上线。

百度更早在2010年就开始布局医疗领域,发展医疗搜索、挂号等服务;腾讯从2012年开始,依托微信推出预约挂号、缴费、候诊等服务。

这些年,大厂在医疗领域的布局都有一个共同点:都以浅层的“连接”服务为主。

无论是开设互联网医院,提供挂号、轻问诊服务;还是布局医药电商,覆盖更多购药场景,本质上还是流量撮合生意,并未触及核心的诊疗环节和庞大的医疗生态体系。

因为对于大厂来说,它们首要考虑的不是“能不能做”,而是“值不值得做、要如何做”。

首先,医疗是一门兼具公益属性的生意,它不能被过度商品化,否则很容易引起公众的抵触。

这也意味着大厂做医疗,必须在“商业盈利”和“社会责任”之间小心平衡,在战略上也不得不保持高度克制。

其次,过去十年,医疗生意的变现模式相对有限,在线问诊、流量撮合、医药电商是最常见的三种商业模式,都已经被大厂做了个遍。

但这三种变现模式,各有各的短板:

在线问诊属于低频消费,用户问完就走,很难沉淀下来;医药电商看似是高频刚需,但本质上还是电商生意,和“医疗”二字沾边却不够深入。

流量撮合的消费频次虽高,却处于两个极端。普通的挂号、缴费,属于薄利生意;如果要做利润更高的医疗广告,则非常考验平台的合规把控能力。

好大夫在线就是一个典型的例子,其创始人王航给平台定下了“三不做”原则:不赚取药品利润、不自建线下医院、不做医疗广告业务。

王航的初心是值得尊敬的,但在商业世界中,过度的克制就意味着自我束缚,一旦外部环境出现变化,就很容易陷入经营困境。

另一家移动医疗平台春雨医生也是如此。根据其披露数据,2023年、2024年、2025年1-10月,公司亏损分别为957.2万元、2294.9万元和291.8万元。

如今,好大夫、春雨医生等头部平台已陆续被收购,互联网医疗生意看起来容易,但平台没有一定的资源和资金底气,是很难坚持下去的。

更重要的是,医疗本就是一门高投入、高壁垒的生意。大厂如果不甘心只做流量撮合,就必须收购或自建专业医疗团队,以此换取入场券,但这笔学费注定不会太低。

2022年,字节便以100亿元全资收购了高端妇儿医院美中宜和,创下了中国民营医院交易史上的最高纪录。

因此,在前景不明朗的背景下,大厂对于这门“吃力不讨好”的医疗生意,始终保持着一种微妙的平衡:既想占住位置,又不敢走得太快。

大模型改变一切

然而,AI大模型的出现,悄然改变了这一切。

医疗资源紧张是全球都在面临的挑战,而AI大模型的出现,则能够放大有限的医疗资源,形成可复制的知识模块,服务更多用户。

这种改变不仅仅针对C端,还能覆盖整个医疗生态体系的不同层面。

在C端层面,顶尖专家的诊疗经验可以通过AI赋能更多基层患者,一些基础疾病也可以通过AI产品端“先分诊,再就医”,在一定程度上缓解了医疗资源紧张的问题。

这也是当下大厂扎堆的热门方向,比如蚂蚁旗下的“蚂蚁阿福”、字节 “小荷AI医生”、百度 “文心健康管家”、京东“AI京医”等。

除了健康问答、健康管理等基础功能外,比如“蚂蚁阿福”还能提供真人医生问诊,形成在线问诊到药品购买的闭环链路。

海外大模型厂商也在加速布局。今年初,OpenAI推出了OpenAI Health,用户可询问健康和养生的相关问题;Claude用户授权后,可访问个人健康与诊疗数据,连接医保、理赔等。

在D端(医生端)层面,AI产品可以整合医学前沿研究、复杂病例以及专家诊疗经验,为基层医生、实习医生提供临床决策辅助。

比如北美的AI医疗独角兽OpenEvidence,其目标是对医学做“JPEG压缩”,官方称已有1/4的美国医生用户在使用。

阿里健康医学AI助手“氢离子”;京东健康的AI工具“知医”;百川智能搭载自研医疗大模型Baichuan-M3 Plus的“百小应”,都是主攻这一方向的医学AI工具。

而B端和G端的想象空间则更大了,AI可以部署到医院、医疗机构以及医疗公共服务平台中,这些场景不仅需求刚性,还是可以产生持续营收的长期服务项目。

有了更多落脚点之后,AI医疗成为了大厂的必争之地。

最先被看见的,是AI医疗的“钱景”。弗若斯特沙利文预测,中国AI医疗市场规模将从2023年的88亿元快速增长至2033年的3157亿元,年复合增长率高达43.1%。

除此以外,大厂更看重的是医疗作为万亿级健康生态入口的战略价值,因为AI医疗是为数不多能同时跑通C、B、G端的垂直领域。

C端的AI医疗产品正在向AI健康管家转型,能够打通用户的健康数据、生活习惯等,并接入就医、社保、保险等服务闭环,形成高粘性的AI应用场景。

B端负责承接诊疗需求;G端则充当基础设施的角色,提供底层的信用背书与资源调度保障,这种全方位的服务链路被打通并沉淀下来之后,就很难被简单复制。

这种“AI+个人服务”的产品,也更接近人们对AI助手终极形态的猜想——模型本身就是产品,能与不同类型的智能终端进行绑定,为用户提供深度个性化服务,形成长期稳定的场景化服务模式。

AI医疗加速落地

于是,大厂开始加大对AI医疗的投入。

去年底,蚂蚁旗下的“蚂蚁阿福”以饱和式投入杀入市场,蚂蚁集团CEO韩歆毅曾表示,仅阿福改名后的市场投放,就花了“小几个亿”。

字节跳动在北京砸下60亿元开医院,本质上也在展露出一种决心——大厂在AI医疗领域,不再是试探,也不是观望,而是要抢市场了。

有意思的是,大厂都在押注AI医疗,却选择了不同的发展路径。

字节押注的是重资产模式,通过控股收购、深度整合、自建生态等方式,将医疗版图从线上拓展至线下。

开医院对于AI医疗的落地有着重要意义,能够打破线上与线下之间的数据鸿沟,帮助大厂打通诊疗服务闭环,还能将用户的问诊数据反哺大模型,提高大模型的效率和准确性。

一直强调做供应链生意的京东,打的是“以医带药”的算盘。京东虽然也开医院,但步伐没有迈得太大,而是选择体检、口腔、医美等高毛利、高复购的成熟赛道,先跑通盈利模式。

相较之下,阿里、腾讯、百度则选择了轻资产模式,以数字化能力串联起医疗产业上下游,做AI医疗的基础设施。

其中,阿里和蚂蚁必定是最不能忽视的竞争者,它的核心价值不是拥有多大的用户规模,而是能够实现全民覆盖的电子基建。

患者看病不是一个孤立的场景,就诊只是第一步,之后还需要对接挂缴查、医保支付、商保报销等,其需要的是一整套的履约体系,而阿里和腾讯则是最有优势的玩家。

目前来看,虽然AI医疗赛道上还有科大讯飞、百川智能等垂直玩家,但最有可能同时跑通院内医疗就诊、院外健康管理以及AI医疗产品三大场景的玩家,还是大厂。

不过,大厂想要站稳阵脚,最关键的并不是选择哪种商业路径,而是要回归到医疗行业的第一性原理——患者才是最重要的。

最核心的问题依然是可靠性,医疗不是普通消费品,它的容错率极低,但目前的AI医疗产品,还没办法做到百分百的准确率。

在社交平台上,不少用户吐槽几款主流的AI大模型,存在数据出现幻觉、分析不准确等问题。

另外,AI医疗相关的监管和法律条文尚未完善,目前还没有明确的权责边界,这也成为一些医疗机构和消费者对AI医疗望而却步的原因。

说到底,AI医疗从来不是单点技术的突围,而是一场从技术、场景、合规、信任等方面重构医疗领域的系统性工程。

在安全可控的医疗底线上,真正帮用户解决健康问题,才是AI医疗落地的本质。

当然,这条路还很长,AI医疗也不会一夜改变世界,但如果大厂现在还没抢到自己的船票,可能就会永远错过了。

注:文/伯虎团队,文章来源:伯虎财经(公众号ID:bohuFN),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:伯虎财经

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