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NAS业务暴增213%、净利大涨52% 绿联科技股价为何仍反复拉锯?

王昱 2026-04-02 13:16
王昱 2026/04/02 13:16

邦小白快读

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绿联科技2025年报显示业绩强劲但股价波动剧烈,核心干货包括关键数据和风险提示。

1. 业绩数据:全年营收94.91亿元,同比增长53.83%;归母净利润7.05亿元,增长52.42%;NAS业务收入12.26亿元,暴增213.18%,成为新增长极。

2. 股价表现:财报发布后股价微涨0.10%、翌日重挫3.67%、反弹5.05%,过去一个月振幅近40%,反映市场多空博弈。

3. 风险提示:研发投入仅4.37亿元,费率4.61%低于同业;经营活动现金流暴跌105.66%转负;大股东套现近十亿元引发后市疑虑。

实操干货聚焦业务策略和机会。

1. 业务亮点:NAS产品以“低端颠覆”策略简化操作,面向家庭用户,硬件配置优于竞品;渠道上亚马逊贡献34.91亿元营收,占比36.81%,海外收入增长64.27%。

2. 可学习点:公司通过“即用性”设计降低技术门槛,避开软件短板,利用供应链优势快速占领市场;但需警惕华为、小米等巨头入场带来的价格战风险。

绿联科技在品牌营销、渠道建设和产品研发上表现突出,干货涵盖消费趋势和用户行为洞察。

1. 品牌营销:依赖营销驱动增长,销售费用增速超营收;NAS业务以“小白用户”定位,强调日常“爽感”,如HDMI输出和视频转码加速,贴合家庭娱乐场景。

2. 渠道建设:线上渠道收入70.38亿元,占比74.20%,亚马逊主导贡献36.81%营收;线下收入24.47亿元,增长59.40%,通过合作全球零售巨头如Walmart、Costco拓展渠道。

3. 产品研发和定价:NAS产品采用“硬件先行”策略,同价位提供多核CPU等高性能配置,实现“加量不加价”;消费趋势显示NAS需求暴增,用户偏好简化操作和轻量创作。

品牌机会和风险并存。

1. 机会:海外市场增长64.27%,独立站等跨境渠道收入增长63.67%;产品研发纠偏信号明显,研发费用增长43.96%。

2. 风险:产品研发强度不足,研发费率4.61%低于安克创新(8.60%);市场竞争加剧,华为、小米等生态巨头入场可能引发价格战;依赖单一渠道如亚马逊可能导致稳定性问题。

绿联科技年报揭示跨境电商增长市场和消费需求变化,干货包含政策机遇、风险提示和可学习点。

1. 增长市场:境外收入58.21亿元,增长64.27%,成核心动力;亚马逊渠道营收34.91亿元,增长61.72%;其他跨境渠道如独立站、TikTok收入14.21亿元,增长63.67%,显示多平台机会。

2. 消费需求变化:NAS业务暴增213.18%,反映用户对简化存储设备的需求,聚焦家庭娱乐和个人备份场景;可学习其“低端颠覆”模式,如阉割冗余功能、强化常用体验。

事件应对和机会提示。

1. 正面机会:线下渠道拓展稳健,收入增长59.40%;最新商业模式如“硬件先行”策略可复制,通过参数竞赛快速入门市场。

2. 风险提示:依赖亚马逊单一渠道,占比36.81%;竞争加剧,华为、群晖等入场威胁份额;现金流紧张,经营现金流暴跌105.66%;市盈率高(40.78)可能引发估值调整。

3. 扶持政策启示:公司积极拓展全球经销网络,卖家可借鉴合作大型商超模式;但需注意大股东套现近十亿元导致的股价震荡风险。

绿联科技在产品设计、生产和电商推进上提供启示,干货聚焦商业机会和数字化策略。

1. 产品生产需求:NAS业务暴增213.18%,产品设计强调“即用性”,硬件堆砌如多核CPU和大内存,瞄准非专业用户的入门需求;生产启示包括优化成本结构,尽管毛利率仅28.1%低于其他业务。

2. 商业机会:消费电子增长显著,充电类产品收入43.56亿元增长47.28%;供应链优势助力“参数竞赛”策略,如以相近价格提供优于竞品的硬件,可开拓家庭娱乐场景市场。

推进数字化和电商启示。

1. 电商启示:线上渠道收入占比74.20%,增长51.98%;亚马逊依赖度高,工厂可参考多渠道布局,如独立站和TikTok增长63.67%。

2. 数字化推进:公司通过线下拓展全球零售渠道,如合作Walmart、Costco;启示是整合线上线下,利用供应链切入市场,但需警惕成本压力导致的盈利不确定性。

绿联科技年报凸显行业趋势、技术解决方案和客户痛点,干货涵盖新技术洞察和需求变化。

1. 行业发展趋势:NAS业务收入暴增213.18%,受AI概念驱动;消费级存储市场增长,绿联成出货量冠军,超越群晖、威联通等竞品。

2. 新技术和痛点:客户痛点包括传统NAS高技术门槛;解决方案是“即用性”设计,简化安装和App操控,强调网络吞吐效率;技术策略如阉割复杂功能,强化HDMI输出和视频转码。

客户需求和风险分析。

1. 需求洞察:用户偏好轻量创作场景,服务商可开发类似简化产品;渠道数据显示线上主导,服务商需关注亚马逊等平台集成。

2. 风险启示:竞争加剧,华为、小米入场可能挤压独立厂商;毛利率28.1%较低,反映成本压力;行业需创新以维持护城河,避免价格战。

绿联科技年报反映对平台的需求和管理挑战,干货包括平台做法、招商机会和风险规避。

1. 平台需求和问题:亚马逊渠道贡献34.91亿元营收,占比36.81%,显示单渠道依赖风险;平台需求包括其他渠道如独立站、TikTok收入增长63.67%,招商机会在于多元化布局。

2. 平台最新做法:线上收入70.38亿元,占比74.20%;平台需管理线上线下平衡,线下拓展通过合作全球零售巨头如Costco、Media Markt;运营管理启示是强化渠道网络以应对波动。

风险规避和风向提示。

1. 机会提示:跨境渠道增长快,平台可借势招揽卖家;国内平台如京东、天猫营收增长38.25%和25.75%,显示稳健渗透。

2. 风险规避:依赖单一平台可能导致稳定性问题;现金流紧张(经营现金流转负)提示平台需优化支付和采购流程;股价震荡(振幅近40%)警示市场信心管理重要性,避免类似高管套现事件。

绿联科技年报揭示产业新动向、结构性问题和商业模式启示,干货包括趋势分析和政策含义。

1. 产业新动向:NAS业务收入暴增213.18%,绿联成消费级出货量冠军,反映AI驱动存储市场崛起;新动向还包括跨境业务增长64.27%,渠道“多点开花”。

2. 新问题:研发投入不足(费率4.61%低于同业),经营活动现金流暴跌105.66%转负;股东套现近十亿元引发估值疑虑,市盈率高达40.78。

商业模式和政策启示。

1. 商业模式:采用“低端颠覆”策略,硬件先行避开软件短板,以参数竞赛占领入门市场;启示是从“捕捉风口”转向“高筑墙”巩固护城河,但面临华为等巨头入场挑战。

2. 政策法规启示:风险如依赖亚马逊渠道,提示需多元化法规支持;研发纠偏(费用增长43.96%)可作为产业转型案例,但需政策鼓励创新以化解结构性隐忧。

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Quick Summary

UGREEN's 2025 annual report reveals strong performance but volatile stock price movements, with key data and risk alerts.

1. Performance Data: Full-year revenue reached RMB 9.491 billion, up 53.83% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 705 million, up 52.42%. NAS business revenue surged 213.18% to RMB 1.226 billion, becoming a new growth driver.

2. Stock Performance: The stock rose slightly by 0.10% post-earnings, then plunged 3.67% the next day, followed by a 5.05% rebound. Over the past month, volatility approached 40%, reflecting intense market sentiment.

3. Risk Alerts: R&D investment was only RMB 437 million, with a rate of 4.61% lower than peers; operating cash flow plummeted 105.66% into negative territory; major shareholders cashed out nearly RMB 1 billion, raising concerns.

Practical insights focus on business strategy and opportunities.

1. Business Highlights: NAS products adopt a "low-end disruption" strategy with simplified operations for home users, offering superior hardware specs vs. competitors. Amazon contributed RMB 3.491 billion in revenue, accounting for 36.81%, while overseas revenue grew 64.27%.

2. Learnings: The company lowers technical barriers via "out-of-the-box" design, avoids software weaknesses, and leverages supply chain advantages for rapid market penetration. However, price war risks from giants like Huawei and Xiaomi entering the market warrant caution.

UGREEN excels in brand marketing, channel development, and product R&D, with insights on consumer trends and user behavior.

1. Brand Marketing: Growth is marketing-driven, with sales expense growth outpacing revenue. The NAS business targets "novice users," emphasizing ease-of-use features like HDMI output and video transcoding for home entertainment.

2. Channel Development: Online channels contributed RMB 7.038 billion (74.20% of revenue), led by Amazon (36.81%). Offline revenue grew 59.40% to RMB 2.447 billion via partnerships with global retailers like Walmart and Costco.

3. Product R&D & Pricing: NAS products employ a "hardware-first" strategy, offering high-end specs (e.g., multi-core CPUs) at competitive prices. Consumer trends show surging demand for simplified NAS devices for light content creation.

Opportunities and risks coexist for brands.

1. Opportunities: Overseas market growth of 64.27%; cross-border channels like independent websites grew 63.67%. R&D expenses increased 43.96%, signaling a strategic shift.

2. Risks: Low R&D intensity (4.61% vs. Anker's 8.60%); intensified competition from Huawei and Xiaomi may trigger price wars; over-reliance on Amazon poses stability risks.

UGREEN's annual report highlights cross-border e-commerce growth and shifting consumer demand, with insights on policy opportunities, risks, and learnings.

1. Growth Markets: Overseas revenue surged 64.27% to RMB 5.821 billion, driven by Amazon (RMB 3.491 billion, up 61.72%). Other cross-border channels (e.g., independent sites, TikTok) grew 63.67% to RMB 1.421 billion, indicating multi-platform potential.

2. Consumer Demand: NAS revenue exploded 213.18%, reflecting demand for simplified storage for home backup and entertainment. Sellers can learn from its "low-end disruption" model, stripping complex features to enhance core usability.

Event response and opportunity alerts.

1. Positive Opportunities: Offline channel revenue grew 59.40%; the "hardware-first" strategy is replicable for quick market entry via spec competition.

2. Risk Alerts: Over-reliance on Amazon (36.81% of revenue); competition from Huawei and Synology threatens market share; operating cash flow plunged 105.66%; high P/E ratio (40.78) may lead to valuation adjustments.

3. Policy Implications: The company's global distributor network expansion offers a model for partnering with large retailers. However, stock volatility from major shareholder sell-offs (nearly RMB 1 billion) requires caution.

UGREEN offers insights into product design, production, and e-commerce advancement, focusing on commercial opportunities and digital strategies.

1. Production Demand: NAS revenue surged 213.18%, with products emphasizing "out-of-the-box" usability and high hardware specs (e.g., multi-core CPUs) for non-professional users. Production insights include optimizing cost structures, despite a lower gross margin of 28.1%.

2. Commercial Opportunities: Consumer electronics growth is strong—charging product revenue grew 47.28% to RMB 4.356 billion. Supply chain advantages support a "spec competition" strategy, offering better hardware at similar prices to tap the home entertainment market.

E-commerce and digitalization insights.

1. E-commerce Lessons: Online channels accounted for 74.20% of revenue, growing 51.98%. High Amazon dependency suggests factories should diversify via channels like independent sites and TikTok (63.67% growth).

2. Digital Advancement: Offline expansion through global retail partnerships (e.g., Walmart, Costco) highlights the need to integrate online and offline channels. However, cost pressures create profit uncertainty.

UGREEN's report highlights industry trends, technical solutions, and client pain points, with insights on new technologies and demand shifts.

1. Industry Trends: NAS revenue surged 213.18%, driven by AI-driven storage demand; UGREEN leads consumer-grade NAS shipments, surpassing Synology and QNAP.

2. Tech & Pain Points: Clients face high technical barriers with traditional NAS; solutions include "out-of-the-box" design simplifying setup and app control, emphasizing network throughput. Technical strategies involve stripping complex features while enhancing HDMI output and video transcoding.

Client demand and risk analysis.

1. Demand Insights: Users prefer lightweight creation tools; service providers can develop similar simplified products. Channel data shows online dominance, requiring focus on platform integration like Amazon.

2. Risk Insights: Competition from Huawei and Xiaomi may squeeze independent players; low gross margin (28.1%) reflects cost pressures; innovation is needed to avoid price wars and maintain competitive moats.

UGREEN's report reflects platform dependencies and management challenges, with insights on platform strategies, merchant recruitment, and risk mitigation.

1. Platform Needs & Issues: Amazon contributed RMB 3.491 billion (36.81% of revenue), highlighting single-channel risk. Demand exists for diversified channels—independent sites and TikTok grew 63.67%, offering merchant recruitment opportunities.

2. Platform Strategies: Online revenue totaled RMB 7.038 billion (74.20%); platforms must balance online/offline channels, with offline expansion via retailers like Costco and Media Markt. Operational insights emphasize strengthening channel networks to mitigate volatility.

Risk mitigation and trend alerts.

1. Opportunities: Cross-border channels are growing rapidly; domestic platforms like JD.com and Tmall saw revenue growth of 38.25% and 25.75%, showing steady penetration.

2. Risk Mitigation: Over-reliance on a single platform risks stability; negative operating cash flow underscores the need for optimized payment/procurement processes; stock volatility (~40% swings) highlights the importance of managing market confidence, especially after insider sell-offs.

UGREEN's report reveals industry shifts, structural issues, and business model implications, with insights on trend analysis and policy relevance.

1. Industry Trends: NAS revenue surged 213.18%, with UGREEN leading consumer-grade shipments, reflecting AI-driven storage market growth. Cross-border business grew 64.27%, showing diversified channel success.

2. Structural Issues: Low R&D intensity (4.61% vs. peers); operating cash flow plummeted 105.66% into negative territory; major shareholder sell-offs (nearly RMB 1 billion) and a high P/E ratio (40.78) raise valuation concerns.

Business model and policy implications.

1. Business Model: The "low-end disruption" strategy focuses on hardware to circumvent software weaknesses, using spec competition to capture entry-level markets. The model must evolve from "riding trends" to "building moats" amid competition from Huawei.

2. Policy Implications: Over-reliance on Amazon highlights the need for regulatory support for diversification. Increased R&D spending (up 43.96%) signals corrective action, but policies encouraging innovation are needed to address structural risks.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

I am a Brand Seller Factory Service Provider Marketplace Seller Researcher Read it again.

【亿邦原创】4月2日消息,近日,绿联科技(301606.SZ)发布了2025全年财务报告,展现出公司强劲的增长势头和盈利能力。

公司全年实现营业收入94.91亿元,同比增长53.83%,营收规模大幅跨越;归母净利润达到7.05亿元,同比增长52.42%;扣非归母净利润为6.80亿元,同比增长53.97%。

尽管业绩亮眼,但二级市场的反应却反复无常。

财报发布当日,其股价微涨0.10%,翌日重挫3.67%,紧接着又于昨日强劲反弹5.05%。昨日收盘价已回升至3月中旬大震荡前的水位。事实上,在过去的一个月中,该股展现出极高的波动性,振幅逼近现价的40%。

优秀业绩背后,绿联陷入多空角力的漩涡:

NAS业务的异军突起,既带来了远超同业巨头的高估值,也让“重营销、轻研发”的经营策略在新的市场博弈中面临底色考验。


跨境业务快速增长,线下渠道布局稳健,亚马逊依赖度不降反增

2025年,绿联在海外市场依旧跑出“加速度”。

分地域来看,境外收入58.21亿元,同比增长64.27%,占比提升至61.34%,成为增长核心动力;境内收入36.64亿元,同比增长39.71%,国内市场稳步渗透。

与此同时,在渠道布局上,绿联呈现出“长板更长、多点开花”的态势。

亚马逊仍是核心“粮仓”,单一渠道独大的情况继续存在:报告期内,亚马逊渠道为绿联创新贡献了高达34.91亿元的营收,同比增长61.72%,占据总营收份额的36.81%——较去年占比小幅上升。

除亚马逊外的其他跨境渠道(独立站、速卖通、Lazada、Shopee、Noon、TikTok等)合计实现收入14.21亿元人民币,同比大幅增长63.67%。

而在国内电商平台,绿联科技在京东与天猫分别实现了12.05与9.20亿元的营收,增幅分别为38.25%和25.75%。

整体而言,线上渠道依旧是绿联科技的主要销售场域。2025年,其线上收入总计70.38亿元,在总营收中占比74.20%,同比增长51.98%;而线下收入为24.47亿元,在总营收中占比25.80%,同比大涨59.40%。

值得关注的是绿联在“重塑线下”维度的野心。

报告期内,绿联科技积极拓展线下渠道,进一步在全球市场拓展其经销网络,通过战略合作大型商超、专业渠道及区域头部经销商,在境外,其已成功进驻美国Walmart、Costco、Bestbuy、B&H、MicroCenter,欧洲Media Markt,日本Bic Camera、Yodobashi Camera等知名零售巨头渠道体系。


NAS业务一枝独秀,“低端颠覆”策略横扫全球,但上限多高仍待观察

2025年,绿联科技的传统产品线表现稳健。

分品类来看,充电创意、智能办公、智能影音三大传统板块收入分别为43.56亿元、24.32亿元、14.72亿元,同比增长47.28%、38.41%、38.83%,分别占据总营收的45.90%、25.62%、15.51%。

其中,在充电类产品、音视频产品、连接传输类产品以及插入存储类产品等被合称为“泛拓展类科技消费电子”的“老本行”上,绿联科技再下一城:据弗若斯特沙利文数据,2025年,绿联已是该领域的全球出货量最大的公司。

不过,真正引人注目的却是其近一年以来受“OpenClaw”等AI概念驱动而暴涨的消费级NAS业务。

据悉,绿联早在2018年就已经开始立项并研发NAS相关技术。2020年是其NAS业务正式商业化的元年。当年,绿联推出了旗下首款私有云存储产品——绿联私有云DH1000。

这款产品主打“小白用户”和“家庭共享”,凭借极其简单的安装流程和手机App操控,降低了传统NAS设备极高的技术门槛,迅速在消费电子市场打开了局面。

随后几年,绿联相继推出了多个爆款型号,逐步从入门级的“双盘位”向性能更强的“四盘位”、“六位盘”、“八位盘”迈进。

报告期内,NAS产品所在的智能存储业务收入达12.26亿元,同比暴涨213.18%,贡献了总营收的12.92%,成为新增长极。

根据其在港交所最新招股书中披露的数据显示,2025年,绿联已经超过业内的一众“老前辈”和新锐势力(推测公司F系Synology群晖、公司G为QNAP威联通、公司H为Buffalo巴法络、公司I为极空间ZhiTi),在消费级NAS产品上一骑绝尘,以断层式领先夺下了出货量和零售额的“双料冠军”。

绿联之所以能“后发先至”,与其独特的产品定义、市场竞争策略密不可分。从根本上来讲,UGREEN不是用“传统IT设备”的逻辑来打造产品,而是更趋近于“消费电子”的产品逻辑:

致力于把私人NAS从程序员才能玩转的“服务器”重塑成“像大号U盘一样操作简单、使用流畅、界面简明的设备”;其以“即用性”为核心,无需传统竞品的配置调试。

具体而言,其优势区位在于面向非专业用户的入门级和中端需求,尤其是家庭娱乐、影音创作和高速传输场景。而在这种客群定位下,其产品呈现出两大思路。

其一,阉割冗余选择、强化常用功能、强调日常使用“爽感”。

相较于系统深度、复杂架构以及Docker、虚拟机等高阶功能,绿联更侧重于在HDMI输出、视频转码加速、网络吞吐效率等方面下功夫,让“普通人用得爽”,贴近家庭娱乐、个人备份、轻量创作等场景。

其二,“加量不加价”,硬件先行。

在同盘位、同价格段产品中,绿联往往能够以相近甚至略低的价格,提供比老牌厂商更好的硬件配置(多核CPU、大内存、高速传输等)。

这也是一种“田忌赛马”:绿联作为背靠供应链的“后来者”,相较于多年深耕软件能力、生态体系的群晖、威联通,利用“参数竞赛、性能堆砌”的策略快速占领入门级市场、避开短板方面的直接对抗,无疑是更讨巧的打法。

不过,随着赛道红利的显现,在这条道路上,已经有越来越多的对手涌现。绿联的护城河究竟是否足够深,依旧有待观察。

华为、小米、联想等生态巨头近年来加速入场。凭借天然的生态粘性与庞大的流量入口,这些巨头能够轻易在“闭环高墙”内对独立厂商形成降维打击。在价格战与生态捆绑的双重夹击下,想要守住份额并非易事。

与此同时,海外老牌劲旅群晖、西数、巴法络等也开始针对入门级市场“俯冲”。打开亚马逊平台,不难发现,它们的部分中低端SKU也颇具价格竞争力,正试图夺回失地。

而且,绿联“把硬件做重、优先规模扩张”的打法,也对成本结构造成了压力。市场最看好的NAS业务,毛利率(28.1%)反而远低于公司的其他产品线。作为一种更新周期较长的耐用消费品,NAS业务究竟何时能将其盈利能力修复至公司平均水平,仍存在较大的不确定性。

增长隐忧:市盈率高、研发投入低、大笔套现、经营现金流紧绷

高歌猛进之后,绿联的市场估值是否足够合理、足够稳健,已成为资本市场博弈的焦点。在消费电子板块内,相比安克创新(22.62)、漫步者(23.33)、传音控股(24.32)等同业巨头,绿联的市盈率(40.78)显得格外出挑。

然而,剔除AI概念带来的热度泡沫,绿联增长曲线背后的结构性隐忧仍待化解。

其一,研发强度不足。相比同赛道的安克创新,绿联的研发投入规模较小,去年仅有4.37亿元,或不足前者的1/5。而从研发费用率上来讲,绿联的数据(4.61%),也不如安克创新(8.60%)、漫步者(6.91%),仅高于大基数的传音控股(3.67%)。

与此同时,在各项成本中,销售费用增速超过营收增速。依赖营销驱动增长的问题依旧存在。

不过,财报显示,由于研发团队规模扩大,去年其研发费用同比大增43.96%,已经呈现出了扭转“轻研发”倾向的纠偏信号。

其二,经营活动现金流“失血”。

2025年,绿联“经营活动产生的现金流”同比暴跌105.66%,直接转负,说明公司账面虽然有利润,但未能从实际业务中攒下“真金白银”。财报解释称,大幅下跌系本期采购商品及其他日常经营活动支付的现金增加所影响。

与此同时,之所以其现金等价物净增加额仍然维持正向增长,一定程度上得益于其投资活动的贡献:2025年其“投资活动产生的现金流量净额”为5.72亿元,去年则是-10.9亿元,大涨152.42%。

其三,大股东与核心高管密集套现近十亿元。

2025年1月底,绿联科技迎来首波大规模限售股解禁。紧随其后的2-3月,最大外部股东高瓴资本(通过珠海锡恒)套现约5.09亿元。负责研发的副总经理陈艳及多名核心高管(通过绿联管理等平台)套现约4.72亿元。

接连的高位减持导致市场对公司后市预期产生疑虑,或许也对财报发布后股价的不涨反跌造成了影响。

综合来看,2025年,绿联科技交出了一份比较优秀的答卷,是跨境电商赛道上的一匹黑马。未来,能否延续这种增长势头、继续乘胜扩大战果,则取决于绿联能否完成从“捕捉风口”向“高筑墙、广积粮”的转变。


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文章来源:亿邦动力

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FAQ回顾

绿联科技2025年NAS业务表现如何?

绿联科技2025年NAS业务收入达12.26亿元,同比增长213.18%,占总营收12.92%,成为消费级NAS市场出货量和零售额双料冠军。

绿联科技2025年财务状况有哪些亮点和隐忧?

2025年营收94.91亿元增长53.83%,净利润7.05亿增长52.42%。但经营现金流暴跌105.66%转负,市盈率40.78高于同业,研发投入4.37亿仅占营收4.61%。

绿联科技海外市场表现如何?

境外收入58.21亿元占比61.34%,亚马逊渠道贡献34.91亿元占36.81%,同时进驻Walmart、Costco等全球零售渠道,跨境业务持续高速增长。

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