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Momentum Works:TikTok Shop东南亚包裹数量首次超越Shopee

王昱 2026-01-24 03:06
王昱 2026/01/24 03:06

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报告揭示了TikTok Shop在东南亚包裹数量首次超越Shopee的关键信息,提供可操作的电商竞争洞察。

1. TikTok Shop通过极兔速递推动包裹量大幅增长,2025年第四季度日均达2650万件,同比增长73.6%,首次超越Shopee自有物流SPX Express约18%,且差距持续扩大。

2. 实地调研佐证这一趋势,吉隆坡多个取件点包裹数量趋于均衡,反映平台履约竞争进入正面交锋阶段。

3. GMV层面Shopee仍领先,但差距收窄,未来预测包裹配送量可能持平,Shopee将强化配送速度等用户体验服务。

4. 竞争焦点从价格补贴转向平台运营效率、执行能力和增长平衡,管理者需优化内部资源分配。

电商竞争格局变化为品牌营销和消费趋势带来新方向,强调用户体验和数字化融合。

1. 消费趋势显示消费者偏好高效购物平台,如TikTok Shop在内容-娱乐-交易融合体系上的优势,Shopee则转向提升配送速度和履约优化,品牌需调整渠道建设以匹配用户行为。

2. 用户行为观察表明包裹量增长反映需求变化,品牌可借机研发产品适应高效履约模式,避免依赖价格竞争。

3. 竞争焦点转向运营效率,品牌应关注平台长期能力而非短期促销,以优化定价策略。

东南亚电商市场增长带来机遇与风险,卖家需把握消费需求变化并学习最新策略。

1. 增长市场机会显著,TikTok Shop包裹量超越Shopee,订单量增加,卖家可探索合作方式如利用其内容平台优势。

2. 风险提示竞争加剧,Shopee强化防御策略(如即时配送),可能影响卖家流量分配,需制定事件应对措施。

3. 消费需求层面转向高效履约,卖家应提升运营效率以应对内部压力,避免规模失衡风险。

4. 可学习点包括平台运营模式(如TikTok Shop的封闭式转化体系),扶持政策或涉及物流优化合作。

电商平台订单增长为生产带来商业机会,启示工厂推进数字化和高效设计。

1. 商业机会源于包裹量激增,如极兔速递日均2650万件订单,主要由TikTok Shop推动,工厂可受益于需求扩张。

2. 产品生产和设计需求提升,需适应高效履约体系(如快速配送),优化供应链以匹配平台竞争。

3. 推进数字化启示明显,竞争焦点转向运营效率,工厂应投资电商整合,如物流成本优化。

行业发展趋势转向运营效率,暴露客户痛点并提供解决方案。

1. 发展趋势:电商竞争从价格补贴演变为长期运营能力较量,服务商需把握新技术如物流优化(极兔速递案例)。

2. 客户痛点包括平台履约瓶颈(如包裹配送差距),Shopee强化配送速度显示痛点所在。

3. 解决方案涉及提升执行能力,如优化成本结构或开发高效服务系统,应对内部效率压力。

平台竞争动态揭示需求和运营管理新方向,需调整策略规避风险。

1. 商业需求:平台对高效运营需求激增,如Shopee转向用户体验提升(即时配送),TikTok Shop优势在内容融合。

2. 最新做法:包裹量超越预示招商机会,平台需强化运营管理平衡效率与规模。

3. 风向规避:竞争焦点内部化,管理者需避免资源分配失衡,如Shopee防御策略启示风险控制。

产业新动向显示竞争模式演变,带出政策启示和商业模式分析。

1. 产业新动向:包裹数量超越标志竞争加剧,焦点从流量转向运营效率与执行能力平衡。

2. 新问题:如何在效率与规模间取得平衡(内部压力),政策法规建议关注平台长期能力建设。

3. 商业模式启示:TikTok Shop的内容-交易融合体系优势,Shopee的应对策略(提升配送)提供研究案例。

4. 预测报告(如2026年东南亚预测)建议关注系统性较量,为产业提供前瞻性分析。

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Quick Summary

A report reveals that TikTok Shop has surpassed Shopee in parcel volume in Southeast Asia for the first time, offering actionable insights into e-commerce competition.

1. TikTok Shop drove a significant increase in parcel volume through J&T Express, reaching 26.5 million daily parcels in Q4 2025, up 73.6% year-on-year. This exceeded Shopee's in-house logistics SPX Express by about 18%, with the gap continuing to widen.

2. Field research supports this trend, with parcel volumes at multiple pickup points in Kuala Lumpur becoming more balanced, indicating that platform fulfillment competition has entered a direct confrontation phase.

3. Shopee still leads in GMV, but the gap is narrowing. Future forecasts suggest parcel delivery volumes may equalize, prompting Shopee to enhance user experience services like delivery speed.

4. The competitive focus is shifting from price subsidies to platform operational efficiency, execution capabilities, and balanced growth, requiring managers to optimize internal resource allocation.

Changes in the e-commerce competitive landscape present new directions for brand marketing and consumer trends, emphasizing user experience and digital integration.

1. Consumer trends show a preference for efficient shopping platforms, such as TikTok Shop's strength in content-entertainment-transaction integration, while Shopee focuses on improving delivery speed and fulfillment optimization. Brands need to adjust channel strategies to align with user behavior.

2. The growth in parcel volume reflects shifting demand, providing brands an opportunity to develop products suited to efficient fulfillment models and avoid over-reliance on price competition.

3. As competition shifts toward operational efficiency, brands should focus on platforms' long-term capabilities rather than short-term promotions to optimize pricing strategies.

Southeast Asia's e-commerce market growth presents both opportunities and risks, requiring sellers to adapt to changing consumer demands and learn from the latest strategies.

1. Significant growth opportunities exist, with TikTok Shop surpassing Shopee in parcel volume and increasing order numbers. Sellers can explore partnerships, leveraging TikTok Shop's content platform advantages.

2. Intensifying competition poses risks, as Shopee strengthens defensive strategies like instant delivery, which may affect seller traffic allocation. Sellers need contingency plans.

3. Consumer demand is shifting toward efficient fulfillment, requiring sellers to improve operational efficiency to handle internal pressures and avoid scale imbalances.

4. Key learnings include platform operational models (e.g., TikTok Shop's closed-loop conversion system) and potential support policies like logistics optimization partnerships.

Rising e-commerce platform orders create business opportunities for production, highlighting the need for digitalization and efficient design.

1. Business opportunities stem from surging parcel volumes, such as J&T Express's 26.5 million daily orders driven by TikTok Shop, benefiting factories through expanded demand.

2. Product production and design requirements are increasing, necessitating adaptation to efficient fulfillment systems like fast delivery and supply chain optimization to match platform competition.

3. Digitalization is crucial as competition shifts to operational efficiency. Factories should invest in e-commerce integration, such as logistics cost optimization.

Industry trends are shifting toward operational efficiency, revealing customer pain points and opportunities for solutions.

1. E-commerce competition is evolving from price subsidies to long-term operational capability, requiring service providers to leverage new technologies like logistics optimization (e.g., J&T Express case).

2. Customer pain points include platform fulfillment bottlenecks, as seen in the parcel delivery gap, with Shopee's focus on delivery speed highlighting these issues.

3. Solutions involve enhancing execution capabilities, such as optimizing cost structures or developing efficient service systems to address internal efficiency pressures.

Platform competition dynamics reveal new directions for demand and operational management, requiring strategy adjustments to mitigate risks.

1. There is surging demand for efficient operations, with Shopee focusing on user experience (e.g., instant delivery) and TikTok Shop excelling in content integration.

2. Parcel volume surpassing indicates merchant acquisition opportunities; platforms must strengthen operational management to balance efficiency and scale.

3. Competition is becoming internalized, requiring managers to avoid resource misallocation, as seen in Shopee's defensive strategies highlighting risk control.

Industry developments show evolving competition models, offering policy implications and business model analysis.

1. Parcel volume surpassing signals intensified competition, shifting focus from traffic to balancing operational efficiency and execution capabilities.

2. Key questions include how to balance efficiency and scale (internal pressures), with policy recommendations focusing on long-term platform capability building.

3. Business model insights include TikTok Shop's content-transaction integration advantage and Shopee's counterstrategies (e.g., improved delivery) as case studies.

4. Forecast reports (e.g., 2026 Southeast Asia predictions) suggest focusing on systemic competition for forward-looking industry analysis.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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【亿邦原创】1月24日消息,新加坡风投及科技咨询机构Momentum Works近日发布最新研究报告称,随着TikTok Shop在东南亚市场持续高速扩张,其在包裹递送量等关键运营指标上已对Shopee形成实质性冲击,区域电商竞争在2025年明显加剧。

报告指出,2025年第四季度,东南亚主要第三方物流企业极兔速递(J&T Express)日均包裹递送量达到2650万件,同比增长73.6%,增量主要由TikTok Shop相关配送活动所推动。

Momentum Works在报告中援引J&T Express的内部估算称,TikTok Shop当前产生的订单量已超过Shopee。Momentum Works团队在2026年1月20日的分析中表示,根据J&T方面的判断,其目前承接的包裹数量较Shopee自有物流SPX Express高出约18%,且这一差距仍在扩大。

这一判断也得到了实地调研的佐证。

Momentum Works团队在马来西亚吉隆坡多个包裹取件点的观察显示,来自Shopee(主要由SPX发件)和TikTok Shop(主要由J&T发件)的包裹数量整体上已趋于均衡。在多个不同地点,取件点所呈现出的发货结构高度一致,反映出两大平台在实际履约层面的竞争已进入正面交锋阶段。

从交易规模来看,Momentum Works预计TikTok Shop在2025年的成交金额将实现显著增长,但在商品交易总值(GMV)层面,整体规模仍低于Shopee。报告同时指出,尽管双方差距持续收窄,Shopee目前在东南亚区域内的总体订单量和包裹量仍保持领先地位。

基于上述变化,Momentum Works在其《2026年东南亚预测报告》中提出两项关键判断:其一,TikTok Shop在今年的包裹配送量有望与Shopee基本持平;其二,Shopee预计将强化防守策略,把更多资源投向即时配送等能够直接提升用户体验的服务领域。

Momentum Works认为,当前东南亚电商竞争的核心逻辑已与数年前明显不同。行业焦点不再集中于价格补贴或大规模促销,而是转向平台自身的运营效率、执行能力与持续增长能力。报告指出,当下的竞争压力更多来自内部,“管理者、运营团队和高管都必须在效率与规模之间取得平衡”。

报告进一步分析称,Shopee尚未在内容、娱乐与交易高度融合的“封闭式转化体系”上取得突破,这一体系正是TikTok Shop的核心优势。

因此,Shopee更可能通过强化消费者能够直观感知的价值主张来应对竞争,包括提升配送速度、优化履约成本结构等。在这一背景下,东南亚电商平台之间的竞争,正从流量与补贴之争,演变为对长期运营能力的系统性较量。


亿邦持续追踪报道该情报,如想了解更多与本文相关信息,请扫码关注作者微信。

文章来源:亿邦动力

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