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物理AI热潮下的冷思考 警惕“华强北式”AI

杜志强 2026-01-13 09:15
杜志强 2026/01/13 09:15

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文章聚焦CES 2026上物理AI热潮,中国企业积极跨界创新带来新机遇,但也需警惕泡沫风险。

1. AI技术加速在垂直场景落地,改变终端角色,如影石Insta360展示全景相机和无人机等产品线,跨界成为加固品牌护城河的关键策略。

2. 清洁赛道品牌如科沃斯推出泳池机器人和割草机,解决用户痛点,追觅、石头等入局割草机市场成为出海必选品类。

3. AI眼镜市场快速增长,IDC数据显示2026年全球出货量预计突破2368.7万台,中国品牌如TCL、影目科技参展并推出新品。

4. AI陪伴机器人兴起,科沃斯毛团儿、TCL AiMe和可以科技DeskMate结合多模态技术,提供拟人化交互体验。

5. 风险提示:警惕“华强北式”泡沫,部分AI眼镜和陪伴玩具仅蹭概念热度,专家建议回归真实价值避免同质化低价竞争。

文章揭示品牌商可通过跨界和AI技术加固护城河,但需避免概念炒作以提升长期价值。

1. 品牌营销机会:CES成为展示平台,如影石Insta360赞助手提袋做广告,跨界入局新品类如九号子公司未岚大陆推出割草机,开拓海外市场。

2. 产品研发方向:AI终端快速落地推动产品迭代,例如割草机需免部署、自动建图功能应对用户关注的上手难问题;AI眼镜结合光波导技术提升体验。

3. 消费趋势:海外需求驱动跨界,北美市场对泳池机器人和割草机热衷,IDC数据预测AI眼镜出货量大幅增长,反映消费电子多样化趋势。

4. 用户行为观察:用户重视产品稳定性,如割草机在高灌木或斜坡环境需零转全驱和越障技术;AI陪伴机器人强调情感交互以吸引使用者。

5. 风险与创新:跨界需谨慎,避免“华强北式”泡沫;专家建议品牌应差异化竞争,突破底层算法而非依靠同质化低价策略。

文章指出AI新品类带来增长市场机会,但需识别泡沫风险并采取有效应对措施。

1. 增长市场:割草机成为出海必做品类,追觅、科沃斯等品牌入局;AI眼镜市场潜力大,IDC预计2026年中国出货量突破491.5万台,提供新销售渠道。

2. 消费需求变化:用户需求转向易用性和稳定性,如割草机用户关注免部署、自动建图功能;AI陪伴需求上升,刺激机器人产品开发。

3. 机会提示:跨界可捕捉蓝海,如九号通过子公司未岚大陆推出割草机,清洁品牌扩展至泳池机器人;合作方式包括供应链整合,如瑞声科技提供技术体系支持。

4. 风险提示:警惕“泡沫式”创新,如AI眼镜和陪伴玩具部分企业仅蹭流量,没有真实价值;事件应对措施包括避免国内价格战模式以确保品牌长期价值。

5. 可学习点:借鉴免部署技术提升产品体验;最新商业模式强调生态构建而非单点炒作,专家建议聚焦真实需求以应对市场净化。

文章强调工厂需关注AI硬件产品需求和数字化机会,以提升生产效率和捕捉商业机会。

1. 产品生产需求:割草机制造需解决用户痛点,如免部署、自动建图和零转全驱设计应对复杂环境;AI眼镜依赖光波导解决方案等核心组件。

2. 商业机会:新品类制造潜力大,如泳池机器人、割草机及AI陪伴机器人市场需求增长;代表企业科沃斯、追觅展示跨界产品,提供代工或合作契机。

3. 推进数字化启示:AI技术应用启示生产优化,如多模态感知和实时情感计算提升产品质量;供应链角色增强,瑞声科技展示腱绳灵巧手等传感器技术赋能AI硬件。

4. 设计需求:跨界产品需创新设计,如影石Insta360无人机和清洁机器人;专家建议避免同质化,聚焦差异化以支持品牌价值提升。

文章呈现行业向物理AI加速发展,新技术解决客户痛点但需警惕泡沫化问题。

1. 行业发展趋势:AI在垂直场景落地成为主流,跨界如清洁赛道扩展至泳池机器人和割草机;中国品牌主导CES参展,推动全球创新浪潮。

2. 新技术:固态激光雷达、光波导解决方案及MEMS传感器等赋能AI感知能力;多模态AI技术实现主动理解交互,如可以科技DeskMate机器人。

3. 客户痛点:用户需求聚焦操作简便和稳定性,如割草机用户面临上手难、环境不稳问题;AI硬件需脱离机械感,提供生命感体验以解决真实需求。

4. 解决方案:通过AI优化免部署、自动建图功能降低门槛;专家建议服务商应推动技术成熟,如巨头涌入加速去泡沫化,转化为市场基础并净化行业。

文章显示平台需助力定义物理AI未来,但需管理泡沫风险和优化运营策略。

1. 商业对平台需求和问题:上游供应链如瑞声科技希望与终端厂商合作定义AI标准;平台面临泡沫风险,如AI眼镜上百家企业入局部分仅为概念炒作。

2. 平台的最新做法:支持生态构建,如CES作为出海站台推动跨界创新;平台招商机会在新品类,如割草机、AI眼镜市场增长吸引品牌入驻。

3. 平台运营管理:需避免流量炒作模式,专家建议带动品牌走进当地市场而非短期热点;风险规避包括警惕低价竞争导致品牌价值归零。

4. 风向规避:识别真实价值企业,如巨头涌入淘汰无核心技术玩家;合作方式强调供应链整合以提升体验门槛和运营稳定性。

文章探讨产业跨界和AI落地新动向,揭示泡沫问题和政策建议以促进行业健康。

1. 产业新动向:物理AI加速垂直场景应用,中国企业积极跨界,如影石Insta360入局无人机、清洁品牌扩展割草机;新技术如多模态感知推动终端革新。

2. 新问题:“华强北式”泡沫出现,AI眼镜和陪伴玩具部分企业仅套壳上游方案;技术与体验差距导致预期落差,面临同质化低价风险。

3. 政策法规建议和启示:需突破底层操作系统和核心算法;专家意见如吴德周指出应回归价值本质,避免生态炒作,集体亮相倒逼差异化竞争。

4. 商业模式:跨界加固护城河但需真实联动;研究启示包括供应链角色增强促进定义未来,巨头涌入加速去泡沫化并净化行业。

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Quick Summary

The article highlights the physical AI boom at CES 2026, noting that Chinese companies are actively innovating across sectors, creating new opportunities but also requiring caution against bubble risks.

1. AI technology is accelerating its deployment in vertical scenarios, changing the role of end devices. For instance, Insta360 showcased product lines like panoramic cameras and drones, with cross-sector expansion becoming a key strategy to strengthen brand moats.

2. Cleaning sector brands like Ecovacs launched pool robots and lawn mowers to address user pain points, while players such as Dreame and Roborock are entering the lawn mower market, making it a must-have category for overseas expansion.

3. The AI glasses market is growing rapidly, with IDC forecasting global shipments to exceed 23.687 million units by 2026. Chinese brands like TCL and Yingmu Technology exhibited and launched new products.

4. AI companion robots are emerging, with examples like Ecovacs' Mao Tuan, TCL's AiMe, and Keyi Technology's DeskMate leveraging multimodal technology to offer human-like interactive experiences.

5. Risk warning: Be wary of a "Huaqiangbei-style" bubble, where some AI glasses and companion toys merely ride the hype. Experts advise focusing on real value to avoid homogenized, low-price competition.

The article reveals that brands can strengthen their moats through cross-sector expansion and AI technology but must avoid concept炒作 to enhance long-term value.

1. Brand marketing opportunities: CES serves as a key platform for showcasing innovations, such as Insta360's promotional strategies. Cross-sector entries, like Ninebot's subsidiary Weilan Dalu launching lawn mowers, help tap overseas markets.

2. Product R&D direction: The rapid deployment of AI terminals drives product iteration. For example, lawn mowers need features like no-deployment setup and auto-mapping to address user concerns about complexity; AI glasses should integrate waveguide technology for better experiences.

3. Consumer trends: Overseas demand, particularly in North America for pool robots and lawn mowers, fuels cross-sector expansion. IDC data predicts significant growth in AI glasses shipments, reflecting diversification in consumer electronics.

4. User behavior insights: Users prioritize product stability, such as lawn mowers requiring zero-turn all-wheel drive and obstacle-crossing capabilities for challenging terrains. AI companion robots must emphasize emotional interaction to attract users.

5. Risk and innovation: Cross-sector moves require caution to avoid a "Huaqiangbei-style" bubble. Experts recommend differentiated competition by focusing on underlying algorithms rather than homogenized low-price strategies.

The article points out that new AI product categories offer growth opportunities but require identifying bubble risks and taking effective countermeasures.

1. Growth markets: Lawn mowers have become essential for overseas expansion, with brands like Dreame and Ecovacs entering the segment. The AI glasses market shows strong potential, with IDC forecasting China's shipments to exceed 4.915 million units by 2026, opening new sales channels.

2. Shifting consumer demands: Users now prioritize ease of use and stability, such as no-deployment and auto-mapping features for lawn mowers. Rising demand for AI companionship is driving robot product development.

3. Opportunity highlights: Cross-sector expansion can capture blue oceans, e.g., Ninebot's subsidiary Weilan Dalu launching lawn mowers, and cleaning brands expanding into pool robots. Collaboration models include supply chain integration, like AAC Technologies providing technical support.

4. Risk warnings: Be cautious of "bubble-style" innovations where some AI glasses and companion toys lack real value. Countermeasures include avoiding domestic price wars to preserve long-term brand value.

5. Learnings: Adopt no-deployment technology to enhance user experience; emerging business models emphasize ecosystem building over single-point hype. Experts advise focusing on genuine needs to navigate market consolidation.

The article emphasizes that factories should focus on AI hardware demand and digitalization opportunities to boost production efficiency and capture business prospects.

1. Production requirements: Lawn mower manufacturing must address user pain points, such as no-deployment setup, auto-mapping, and zero-turn all-wheel drive for complex environments. AI glasses rely on core components like waveguide solutions.

2. Business opportunities: New categories like pool robots, lawn mowers, and AI companion robots show growing demand. Leading companies like Ecovacs and Dreame showcase cross-sector products, offering OEM or collaboration chances.

3. Digitalization insights: AI technologies, such as multimodal perception and real-time emotional computing, can optimize production quality. Supply chain roles are strengthening, with AAC Technologies demonstrating sensor tech like tendon-driven dexterous hands for AI hardware.

4. Design needs: Cross-sector products require innovative designs, e.g., Insta360's drones and cleaning robots. Experts advise avoiding homogeneity and focusing on differentiation to support brand value enhancement.

The article depicts the industry's rapid shift toward physical AI, where new technologies address client pain points but require vigilance against bubble risks.

1. Industry trends: AI deployment in vertical scenarios is mainstream, with cross-sector expansions like cleaning brands moving into pool robots and lawn mowers. Chinese brands dominate CES participation, driving global innovation.

2. New technologies: Solid-state LiDAR, waveguide solutions, and MEMS sensors enhance AI perception capabilities. Multimodal AI enables proactive understanding, as seen in Keyi Technology's DeskMate robot.

3. Client pain points: Users demand simplicity and stability, e.g., lawn mower users face setup difficulties and environmental instability. AI hardware must move beyond mechanical interactions to offer lifelike experiences.

4. Solutions: AI-driven features like no-deployment and auto-mapping lower barriers. Experts suggest service providers should advance technological maturity, as major players' entry accelerates de-bubbling and industry purification.

The article indicates that platforms must help define the future of physical AI but need to manage bubble risks and optimize operational strategies.

1. Platform demands and challenges: Upstream supply chains, like AAC Technologies, seek partnerships with terminal manufacturers to set AI standards. Platforms face bubble risks, e.g., hundreds of AI glasses entrants with some engaged in mere concept炒作.

2. Latest platform practices: Supporting ecosystem building, such as CES serving as a launchpad for cross-sector innovation. New categories like lawn mowers and AI glasses offer merchant acquisition opportunities due to market growth.

3. Platform operations: Avoid traffic-hype models; experts recommend guiding brands into local markets rather than chasing short-term trends. Risk mitigation includes preventing low-price competition from eroding brand value.

4. Trend avoidance: Identify enterprises with real value, as major players' entry weeds out those lacking core tech. Collaboration should emphasize supply chain integration to raise experience thresholds and operational stability.

The article explores industry crossovers and new trends in AI deployment, highlighting bubble issues and policy recommendations to foster healthy sector development.

1. Industry trends: Physical AI is accelerating in vertical applications, with Chinese firms actively crossing sectors, e.g., Insta360 entering drones and cleaning brands expanding into lawn mowers. New tech like multimodal perception drives terminal innovation.

2. Emerging issues: A "Huaqiangbei-style" bubble is evident, where some AI glasses and companion toy firms merely repackage upstream solutions. Tech-experience gaps lead to unmet expectations, risking homogenized low-price competition.

3. Policy and regulatory insights: Breakthroughs in underlying operating systems and core algorithms are needed. Experts like Wu Dezhou advise returning to value essence, avoiding ecosystem hype, and leveraging collective showcases to spur differentiation.

4. Business models: Cross-sector moves can strengthen moats but require genuine integration. Research insights include an enhanced supply chain role in defining the future, with major players' entry accelerating de-bubbling and industry purification.

Disclaimer: The "Quick Summary" content is entirely generated by AI. Please exercise discretion when interpreting the information. For issues or corrections, please email run@ebrun.com .

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在AI的全面进化下,整个消费电子市场的发展和风向也发生了变化。CES 2026期间,物理AI成为大家讨论的热点话题,如何加速AI在垂直场景的落地是共同去寻找的答案。

为了争夺关注度,各大品牌厂商将最新的AI技术通过终端产品以及生态的方式去展示出来。值得一提的是,AI的加速落地,不仅是革新了对原有终端的角色,也改变了多数品牌商的打法。简单来说,就是跨界成了常态,AI让不同消费品类之间的界限越来越模糊,尤其是中国品牌军团。

在今年的CES上,中国参展企业依旧是最亮眼的存在,一方面是产品夺目吸引人,另一方面则是跨界最为积极的,而且更为激进。这种产品的拓展可以理解是是扩宽护城河的关键举措之一,但同时也要警惕泡沫的出现。有的企业跨界纯碎是为了博取眼球,所谓的生态矩阵并未形成联动。有的则仅仅是为了蹭一波产品概念热度,但其实就是上游方案的套壳。

中国企业“跨界成瘾”,生态成了一种潮流

早在多年前,CES就成了中美企业之间的直接对抗,不仅参展数量“势均力敌”,在垂直行业的引领上也是各有胜负。有一点需要注意的是,往年CES赠送的手提袋都是尼康赞助的,今年虽然依旧是黄色手提袋,但赞助商则换成了中国企业影石Insta360,包更大更能装,四天的时间里成了流动的广告牌。

作为中国新势力企业的代表,影石Insta360凭借全景相机火出圈,并成功登陆资本市场。CES 2026上,展出了从消费级到专业级的产品线,包括全景运动相机X5、口袋相机GO Ultra等。不仅如此,作为跨界者之一,影石Insta360孵化了无人机品牌影翎,并在去年上市了8K全景无人机影翎Antigravity A1。在大疆缺席的CES上,吸引了各国观众的驻足。

清洁赛道的跨界相对来说是最为显眼的,众多扫地机厂商除了变着法子去创造新的清洁方式,比如爬楼、会飞之外,还打破原有的边界,泳池机器人、割草机成为扩展的新方向。当然,这也跟北美等海外市场的需求高度相关,并且也算是所属清洁赛道的一次深入布局。其中,科沃斯ULTRAMARINE泳池清洁机器人具备智能环境识别与路径规划能力,可从容应对复杂多变的池内环境;MOVA水下泳池机器人Rover Master配备了仿生机械臂。

割草机相对入局厂商较多,包括追觅、科沃斯、石头、MOVA等,基本算是成为清洁电器出海必做品类。而在清洁电器品牌之外,以出行被大众所熟知的九号,也已经跨界入局割草机行业,通过旗下子公司未岚大陆推出了多款产品以及“Navimow标准”。

据未岚大陆市场总监姜芷青指出,过去几年,用户最关心的其实是三件事:上手难、复杂环境不稳、能不能放心交给它自己割。传统产品往往需要埋线、插杆或遥控建图,新用户学习成本高;在斜坡、高灌木、狭窄通道或树木遮挡等环境下,机器人容易漏割、打滑、迷路甚至伤草,无法形成真正可托付的闭环体验。

“目前正在通过免部署、自动建图、零转全驱、越障不伤草,降低操作门槛并提升作业稳定性。以固态激光雷达为核心的感知体系为长期能力基础,借助AI技术去获得稳定、高效、可预期的割草体验。”

割草机之外,AI终端的快速落地,推动很多家电企业开始扩展这一品类。其中,AI眼镜在全球的爆火,正在吸引更多的厂商加入战局。IDC的数据显示,2025年第三季度中国智能眼镜市场出货量为62.3万台,同比增长62.3%。同时,2026年,全球智能眼镜市场出货量预计将突破2368.7万台,其中中国智能眼镜市场出货量将突破491.5万台。

今年的CES,上面提及的追觅此次就推出了AI眼镜,TCL借助雷鸟创新展示了在AR以及AI眼镜上的最新进展,并推出了首款eSIM AI眼镜。骨传导耳机品牌韶音也拓展了可穿戴的边界,推出了两款AI眼镜,但目前并未有发售计划。阿里虽然没有独立的大展台参展,但旗下的夸克AI眼镜在去年发售后,也来到CES上开拓市场。

另外,AI陪伴作为从去年就开始火起来的赛道,今年也看到了更多的玩家。比如科沃斯展示了旗下首款智能陪伴宠物机器人LilMilo毛团儿,将多模态感知与拟宠物化行为技术相结合,为用户带来有生命感的陪伴体验;TCL则展出AI机器人TCL AiMe,是全球首款分体式AI陪伴机器人,可以融合上百种仿生表达组合。

另外,可以科技发布了全球首款桌面AI伙伴DeskMate,通过多模态AI感知与实时情感计算,实现了"无需下令,主动理解"的自然交互。这款机器人能实时捕捉用户表情与语音语调,动态生成非预制的表情反馈,摆脱了机械感。

跨界的博弈,警惕“泡沫式”创新

作为全球数一数二的消费电子展,CES早已不设边界。在成熟的供应链体系下,任何一家企业都可以以很快的速度迈入一个全新的热门行业。在CES 2026上,作者还看到,上游供应链的话语权也越来越大,正在加速走向前台,不仅仅是去调研未来的科技趋势,更是希望和终端厂商一同去定义物理AI的未来。

瑞声科技在CES 2026上,就展示了面向AI智能体的技术体系,22自由度的腱绳灵巧手、六维力传感器及MEMS惯性传感器,为机器人提供了"感知-决策-执行"的能力;收购Dispelix后推出的光波导解决方案,则为AR眼镜提供核心光学支持。

不过,CES作为很多企业出海的第一站,有一点还是需要清楚地认识到,那就是切忌用国内价格战那一套玩法去做长久生意,最终的结果只会让品牌价值归零。相关企业负责人曾对作者指出,要带动品牌和生态走进当地市场,而不是用流量那一套去搞一时的热点。

与此同时,在CES上看到热闹的同时,也要警惕一些泡沫的出现。比如AI眼镜,上百家企业的入局,背后必然存在一些泡沫。影目科技创始人杨龙昇指出,2026年,随着更多厂商,尤其是巨头进入,短期内市场关注度会继续上升,看起来会“更热”。哪些公司在为真实使用做准备,哪些只是为展示未来而存在,这个也至关重要。

致敬未知创始人吴德周泽认为,行业热闹背后确实存在部分泡沫,但这种泡沫并非全是负面的,更多是技术迭代期常见的“预期与实际体验差距”所导致的。2026年巨头的涌入不会让泡沫变大,反而会加速行业的“去泡沫化”进程,推动行业回归价值本质。

“一方面,巨头的资源投入会加速核心技术的成熟和供应链的优化,这其实是在为整个行业铺路,把‘虚的泡沫’转化为‘实的市场基础’。另一方面,巨头的入场会抬高行业的技术和体验门槛,那些只靠概念炒作、没有核心技术和差异化产品的跟风者,会因为无法满足用户真实需求、难以应对巨头的生态整合能力而被快速淘汰,这相当于帮行业做了一次‘净化’。”

除了AI眼镜之外,AI陪伴玩具在去年火了之后,今年有了更多的企业来到CES的舞台。但一名硬件行业从业者告诉作者,很多来参展的就是为了蹭流量,本质上就是一个毛绒外套加上一个所谓的AI硬件器件,说是华强北和义务的既视感也不为过。

就像吴德周此前对作者说的那样,“舞台聚焦”不代表“生态领先”。在这一轮物理AI加速落地的进程中,中国企业不断拓宽边界,去加固自己的护城河,以及在更多的热门区域探索。

可以确定的一点是,当前中国品牌在硬件制造和功能落地层面有优势,但在底层操作系统、核心算法、生态构建等方面,还需要进一步突破。而且,集体亮相也意味着国内赛道的竞争会更加激烈,这会倒逼中国品牌必须走向差异化竞争,不能再走“同质化低价”的老路。

注:文/杜志强,文章来源:钛媒体(公众号ID:taimeiti),本文为作者独立观点,不代表亿邦动力立场。

文章来源:钛媒体

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